CVN-77 bow attachment

fifty years might be too long. I was reading a report about populations of all things and right now China’s has spiked. Europe’s is in decline. Russia’s seems to be in decline. The US’s is steadily growing, don’t recall what India’s is projected as.

Chinas population grew 0.6% last year. It’s growing from demographic inertia now: total fertility rate is less than replacement. But there’s enough inertia to keep that going for a long time, & with over 1300 million people, a gentle decline in population is a potential social problem, not a “we’re running out of people!” problem.

The US population is growing by a mixture of demographic inertia (TFR about replacement) & immigration. 0.9% last year.

Europes population – depends on where you draw the boundaries. The EU population is growing slowly, but as much by immigration as anything else. Some countries would have growing populations without immigration, but none have TFR above replacement.

Russias population is declining quite fast (-0.4%), through a combination of very low birth rate & emigration. There is no demographic inertia, since the birth rate has been low for a long time & life expectancy, especially for men, has decreased in the last 30 years – though it’s starting to rise again.

Indias population is rising (1.4%) , & set to keep doing so for quite a while, though at decreasing rates. It’s expected to overtake China. The fertility rate is still above replacement, though dropping fast.

Quite a few countries around the world have below replacement fertility rates, some of which may surprise you, e.g. Iran, Brazil, Turkey, Thailand, Vietnam & Algeria. Mexico & Indonesia are about where the UK was in the 1960s, i.e. less than the USA back then.

Taiwan is but a convenient symbol of the contest for long term power between US and China in the west pacific. Beijing has been working hard to intimidate Japan (met by renewed aggressiveness from Japanese politicians), co-opt and browbeat S.korea using N.Korea as a stick, undermine India (via u know who), expand into Myanmar, Cambodia and Vietnam via letting them get the better advantages of trade…and so on.

the “contest” goes on 24×7 at all levels softpower and hardpower.

Purely my personal opinion, but it appears that chinas only major terrotorial claim is Taiwan, let tham have it, I realy dont see the point in risking hundreds of millions of people dying to save one Island.

fifty years might be too long. I was reading a report about populations of all things and right now China’s has spiked. Europe’s is in decline. Russia’s seems to be in decline. The US’s is steadily growing, don’t recall what India’s is projected as. Between that and that technology wise the world seems to be slowly leveling out I wouldn’t be surprised if in 50 years that China, India, and the US were near-peers except that if China tries to aggressively expand her borders as she’s stated she might get squashed before then.

give them 50 years.

Chinese can never own the west pacific.They simply do not have the money to go in that race,and the technology.

bad news for chinese plans to own the west pacific….

Further proof, if any were needed that the USN is the most powerfull navy in the world and is likely to remain so for the forseable future. In fact with the move to an all destroyer fleet and the new generation ships coming along it is only going to get more capable.
Lets face it you cant argue with a fleet that will in the coming years be able to deploy 24 flat-tops (lets be honest the amphib ships are aircraft carriers by anybody elses standards) flying the JSF (to be one of the worlds premiere combat aircraft) and the E-2D hawkeye.