Paris Air Show

So, at PAS2015 what can we expect?

The narrowbody backlogs are built up to a point where you’d think no more big orders are possible, the industry is currently pondering whether its in an order bubble and fuel prices are recessed. You’d imagine that would mean there is little appetite for new orders so the airshow could be quiet.

Well, a few things stick out.

– Emirates are currently weighing up a sizeable B787-10 or A350-900 order; will they decide in Le Bourget?
– Noises coming out about a possible deal to sell the A330 regional into China (that is the A330ceo)
– All the talk a few weeks back was of the seemingly inevitable launch of A380neo in Paris. This talk has cooled, significantly. Will there be any A380ceo orders to have resulted in this cooling? United? Turkish?
– Boeing are talking about the Middle Of Market (MOM) aircraft, a replacement for the 757 – surely too soon for a launch in Paris?
– Boeing have a production gap between the 777classic and 777X. Plugging this hole the “order” of the day?
– Mitsubishi are about to start test flying the MRJ, any more orders to the backlog?
– Bombardier are taking the CS100 and CS300 to their show debuts; and also unveiling supposedly 10-15% of performance improvement from the brochure statements. Will this result in orders? What about ilyushin finance’s order, is it safe? Air Canada got rid of its Ejets this week – going to Delta, room for a few CS100?
– Bombardier have also started the whispers on a possible CS500. But they are currently financially and resource stretched – could they launch the CS500 (which IMO is inevitable at some point) at PAS2015?
– The preliminary agreement between Delta and its Pilots makes no room for the Embraer 175E2, how will the Brazilian airframer respond to the potential of the 175E2 being outside of scope for all US operators? Will there be many more orders added to the rest of the E2 backlog?
– The rumour mill had the CFM Leap in all sorts of trouble a month or two back, will there be an update from Airbus/CFM on A320neo testing to allay fears?
– The P&W GTF in the A320neo hit problems a couple of weeks back, is the program still on schedule? Are the problems related to that which grounded the C Series [note change in name from CSeries] for months last year? Will they impact the C Series? How is performance shaping up?

I’m sure there is a rake more going on that I’ve forgotten or don’t know about…