dark light

  • Moggy C

As a break from Syria – a bit of Oldham fun. Place your bets.

With Oldham West coming up, what do we reckon will be the result? The Corbyn effect may well make a difference. But which way?

General Election 2015 result: Oldham West and Royton

Labour: Michael Meacher 23,630 votes
UKIP: Francis Arbour 8,892
Conservative: Kamran Ghafoor 8,187
Liberal Democrat: Garth Harkness 1,589
Green: Simeon Hart 839

Labour Majority 14,738
Turnout 43,137 59.6%

Now the current crop of candidates. You will remember that Mr Meacher died, hence the by-election.

Monster Raving Loony: Sir Oink A-Lot
UKIP: John Bickley
Liberal Democrat: Jane Brophy
Conservative: James Daly
Green: Simeon Hart
Labour: Jim McMahon

*********************************************************************

My thoughts? A narrow Labour victory from UKIP. Hundreds of votes rather than thousands in it.

Moggy

Member for:

19 years 1 month

Posts:

9,085

Send private message

By: John Green - 4th December 2015 at 21:08

Gawd ! It must be so painful when you can’t fudge a result.

Member for:

19 years 1 month

Posts:

8,370

Send private message

By: Bruce - 4th December 2015 at 17:15

Quite.

Totally irrelevant – its a by-election and they run by their own rules.

UKIP were predicting a win, or eating seriously into the Labour majority. They did neither. Labour increased their vote at the expense of the Tories. It represents a swing away from the Tories, in one constituency, that has always been Labour – always.

With the b$ggers muddle that includes pigs heads, junior doctors, and in party bullying, this is no surprise.

Member for:

19 years 1 month

Posts:

1,180

Send private message

By: trekbuster - 4th December 2015 at 17:09

A steady improvement for Nigel. It must hurt in certain quarters.

[ATTACH=CONFIG]242366[/ATTACH]

The only people hurting are in UKIPand Tory Central. Even the deputy of UKIP said that they were beaten easily without any ‘bent’ postal votes. It’s just Nige ranting, again

Member for:

19 years 1 month

Posts:

9,085

Send private message

By: John Green - 4th December 2015 at 16:37

A steady improvement for Nigel. It must hurt in certain quarters.

Member for:

19 years 1 month

Posts:

17,958

Send private message

By: charliehunt - 4th December 2015 at 12:54

But it was “stolen” from UKIP, don’t forget. And no doubt they will all claim something good out of it – they usually do.

But the paltry turnout illustrates just how interested the voters were!!;)

Member for:

19 years 1 month

Posts:

1,180

Send private message

By: trekbuster - 4th December 2015 at 12:42

Yesterday’s man comes second. What a dismal failure.

UKIP’s share of the vote went up by 3.4% from 18.9%

Labour’s increased by 2.5% from 59.6%

The conservatives lost share from 18.9 to 9.4%

So a ringing endorsement for Call Me Dave then.

An increase for UKIP but hardly the dramatic improvement they were suggesting would happen

Member for:

19 years 1 month

Posts:

17,958

Send private message

By: charliehunt - 4th December 2015 at 12:21

Indeed…….

Member for:

19 years 1 month

Posts:

9,085

Send private message

By: John Green - 4th December 2015 at 11:07

So, notwithstanding a small turnout and predictable outrage from Farage, who is fast becoming yesterday’s man, a comfortable win for Labour at Oldham.

Yesterday’s man comes second. What a dismal failure.

Member for:

19 years 1 month

Posts:

12,419

Send private message

By: Creaking Door - 4th December 2015 at 09:35

What the hell were UKIP, or more correctly, what was Nigel Farage, banging-on about with postal voting? Can the postal vote have been that significant; I think a figure of 15% was mentioned, so that wouldn’t have changed the outcome anyway would it? Maybe alcohol and Twitter shouldn’t be mixed?

Frankly, I’m still surprised at the scale of the UKIP vote but then I guess that anything but a Labour vote would have been ‘wasted’ yesterday!

Member for:

19 years 1 month

Posts:

17,958

Send private message

By: charliehunt - 4th December 2015 at 06:43

So, notwithstanding a small turnout and predictable outrage from Farage, who is fast becoming yesterday’s man, a comfortable win for Labour at Oldham.

Member for:

19 years 1 month

Posts:

4,212

Send private message

By: paul178 - 3rd December 2015 at 21:00

I understand cyanide works quickly!:D

Member for:

19 years 1 month

Posts:

17,958

Send private message

By: charliehunt - 3rd December 2015 at 12:19

You may be right, but if that c.14,000 majority is whittled down significantly it will be a bitter pill for Corbyn to swallow….

Member for:

19 years 1 month

Posts:

19,065

Send private message

By: Moggy C - 3rd December 2015 at 09:17

Corbyn will probably have earned points with the electorate by allowing a free vote and Hilary Benn did the real Labour Party no harm at all.

I think it will be close.

Moggy

Member for:

19 years 1 month

Posts:

17,958

Send private message

By: charliehunt - 3rd December 2015 at 09:13

I saw a reference somewhere to ex-councillor and Labour candidate Jim McMahon embroiled in tax problems so that might affect his vote……..losing a seat anytime isn’t good but losing this seat now would be a disaster.

Member for:

19 years 1 month

Posts:

12,419

Send private message

By: Creaking Door - 2nd December 2015 at 11:35

I thought from the title this thread was going to be about football…

…you know, Oldham Wanderers in the Football Association League Championship Play-Offs, or something? :confused:

Labour: hold with reduced majority.
Conservative: big gains.
UKIP: wiped out.
Liberal Democrat: gains.
Green: gains.
Monster Raving Looney: pointless.

Oldham: 6
Chelsea: 0

Member for:

19 years 1 month

Posts:

17,958

Send private message

By: charliehunt - 2nd December 2015 at 11:28

The key point might be how much of the Labour vote was for Meacher, personally, an extremely capable and diligent Member, as I understand it, and on the left of the party and one of Corbyn’s key allies.

Sign in to post a reply