All depends on Labor’s ability to recover to what it once was, though the odds of that happening seem to be rather low at the moment, and also on what happens inside Likud, i.e. will Netanyahu once again take over the party or will Sharon remain the leader, or perhaps someone else.
And of course the next question is whether or not Shinui would be able to form a coalition, if it would become the largest party. There are many difficulties there as well, as Shinui and religious parties don’t go along too well…
PS: Skythe, check your mail.