July 5, 2006 at 4:39 am
A national day “ gift “ to Yankees
6 Missiles Fired by North Korea; Tests Protested
Published: July 5, 2006
(Page 2 of 2)
But it is far from clear that China — which provides the North with its oil and much of its food — would go along with any move for sanctions. As one central figure in American policymaking told visiting Asian officials late last month, “the Chinese are very worried about collapse,” and likely would try to prevent that form happening.
The firing ended weeks of speculation about the intentions of Pyongyang, which had rolled out the Taepodong 2, its new long-range missile, in full view of American spy satellites, and came despite severe warnings from the United States and countries in this region that a test would entail further isolation and sanctions. The first missile was fired around 3:30 a.m. Wednesday, according to the Japanese government.
American officials said they believe the Taepodong 2 was the third missile fired, with the U.S. Northern Command saying that it was launched at 5 a.m. on Wednesday.
American and Japanese officials immediately condemned the launchings. But American officials had never considered it a serious threat to the United States, especially because there was no evidence the missile was equipped with a warhead. Mr. Bush’s spokesman, Tony Snow, only went so far as to call the launching “provocative behavior.”
The Japanese government said it would take “severe actions” against the North, possibly including economic sanctions. Those could include shutting down the ferry service to North Korea and attempting to stem the flow of the transfer of cash to the North from Koreans in Japan, though officials acknowledge that would be difficult.
At the United Nations, John R. Bolton, the United States ambassador, was “urgently consulting” with other members of the Security Council to try to schedule a meeting of the panel, according to his spokesman, Richard A. Grenell. Later in the evening, it was announced that the Council would meet to take up the matter at 10 a.m. Wednesday at the request of Japan. Mr. Hadley acknowledged that “what we really don’t have a fix on is, you know, what’s the intention of all this, what is the purpose of all this? ” He noted it was a violation of North Korea’s previous pledges to hold to a moratorium on missile tests.
He said one possibility was that the North was attempting to seize the spotlight from Iran, whose efforts to develop its nuclear program — which is years behind North Korea’s nuclear abilities — had grabbed all the headlines. But he noted that “it’s hard to get a sense on what they think is to be achieved by this.”
It was also unclear why it fired short- and mid-range missiles, which it has tested successfully in the past and of which it is said to own several hundred.
“One theory is that they knew that there was a probability that things with the Taepodong 2 wouldn’t work, so it was good to fire off a few missiles that would actually work,” said a senior Bush administration official, who asked that his name not be used because he was not authorized to speak about this issue.
In 1998, the last time the North tested a missile outside its territory, Pyongyang fired the Taepodong 1, which flew over Japan before falling into the sea. That test set off a negative reaction in the region, especially in Japan, which responded by strengthening its military capabilities and its alliance with the United States.
Wednesday morning’s tests are likely to increase calls inside Japan to strengthen its missile defense efforts with the United States, and could increase support for hawkish candidates in the race to succeed Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi, who is scheduled to retire in September.
Shinzo Abe, Japan’s chief cabinet secretary, who is the leading candidate to succeed Mr. Koizumi and who has gained popularity in recent years by being tough on North Korea and China, said the tests were “a serious problem from the standpoint of our national security, peace and stability of the international community and proliferation of weapons of mass destruction.”
The tests are sure to anger China — which expended considerable diplomatic prestige in pressing the North not to go ahead with the launching and to rejoin the six-nation talks — and raise doubts anew about the real extent of Beijing’s influence on Pyongyang. The Chinese foreign ministry said it had no comment to make yet on the launching.
In South Korea, whose government publicly urged the North not to test-fire but privately played down the risk, opponents of the government’s engagement policy toward the North might gain support in presidential elections next year.
Intelligence from American satellite photographs indicated in mid-June that the North was proceeding with the test-firing of the Taepodong 2 at a launching pad on North Korea’s remote east coast. Satellite photographs showed that the North Koreans had taken steps to put fuel into the missile, but the missile sat there until Wednesday morning, leading to speculation that the North was simply staging the event in order to gain attention from the United States.
American officials had suggested that they might use missile defense to shoot down the Taepodong 2 in midair. Bad weather in this region was said to have delayed the launching, because poor visibility would prevent the North from tracking its missile.
But the North contradicted expert opinion by launching its long-range missile in predawn darkness today.
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By: bring_it_on - 5th July 2006 at 15:41
Sferrin, separate rules apply to those with and without nuclear muscle (doesnt matter if this muscle is homegrown or donated by the US’s largest asian trading partner).
US cannot touch NoKo and Pak. it is trying to ‘control’ Pak thru bribes. NoKo is also surely being offered inducements to control its behaviour.
Given the dismal success of such a strategy in the past, I am none too hopeful. also hope you noticed Soko is drifting away from the US orbit into the Chinese one. ethnically and culturally they are closest to the northern chinese also. Soko people really want to help NoKo economically – I dont think a food freeze and mass starvation in NokO has any takers in Seoul.
US can definately touch these countries , however is that the most productive way out?? It isnt about touching someone just cuz you want to flex your muscle it is about trying to get things done !! Just like any other logical country would approach . The chinese have a choice to either act unilaterally with noko or join the world and so far they have made most descisions in their interest and to that of the ROW. Ofcourse china doesnt want noko ‘s regime to fail however they still dont want it to have Nuclear armed missiles (it would simply destablize the region) . Soko’s ambasador was on TV here saying that if they test the missiles sanctions would be looked at very seriously. As far as US/UN sanctions are concerned I really dont see what more can they do , it really bothers me myself greatly to see millions of noko’s not getting enough food , clean water just cuz they have a nut as president. As far as the US DOD and the white house is concerned they were allready saying that the US media has blown it out of proportion and that its just an attempt by the noko’s to get attention to themselves amidst the iran controversies.
By: WisePanda - 5th July 2006 at 06:51
Sferrin, separate rules apply to those with and without nuclear muscle (doesnt matter if this muscle is homegrown or donated by the US’s largest asian trading partner).
US cannot touch NoKo and Pak. it is trying to ‘control’ Pak thru bribes. NoKo is also surely being offered inducements to control its behaviour.
Given the dismal success of such a strategy in the past, I am none too hopeful. also hope you noticed Soko is drifting away from the US orbit into the Chinese one. ethnically and culturally they are closest to the northern chinese also. Soko people really want to help NoKo economically – I dont think a food freeze and mass starvation in NokO has any takers in Seoul.
By: sferrin - 5th July 2006 at 06:16
Let them bark all they want. The US has to be smarter then that and so far we just might be showing signs of ot 🙂 . Its just another attempt by the N koreans to knock and say REMEMBER US!!!
Funny how they decided to wait until the 4th. The thing that amazes me the most is that the world let’s him get away with it. I’m not saying we should attack or anything but how ’bout putting the shoe on the other foot. Withdraw ALL aid, food, what have you and tell him “clean up your act and maybe we’ll decide to help you”. See how long he lasts when the rest of the world gives him the finger and ignores him.
By: bring_it_on - 5th July 2006 at 04:55
Let them bark all they want. The US has to be smarter then that and so far we just might be showing signs of ot 🙂 . Its just another attempt by the N koreans to knock and say REMEMBER US!!!