January 28, 2003 at 10:39 pm
Before anyone jumps to a conclusion please listen to all I have to say:
The Iraqi army only has one or two divisions that are equiped and motivated enough for any kind of effective fighting, the rest of the Iraqi army is filled out by poorly trained and equiped conscripts with questionable motivation to fight. The Iraqi air force is reduced to a handful of 1970’s era fighters that could not pierce Jordanian air space, let alone make it all the way to Israel. The Iraqi offensive rocket inventory is a collection of glorified fireworks that do not have the throw weight to do much more than annoy.
If Iraq were foolish enough to use Nuclear, Biological or Chemical (NBC) offensively, the massive retaliation of the offended country and their allies would erase Baghdad and its occupants from the face of the earth. A CIA report published quietly last year determined that the ONLY way Saddam Hussein would use NBC weapons is in the event of an attack upon his country. As Iraq (and for that matter North Korea) does not have the ability to sustain offensive action against its neighbors, the Iraqi NBC capability should be considered defensive rather than offensive.
Iraq is a country composed of widely different ethnicities and religions that whose only common agrement is that they agree to hate each other. In the event that a strong central government (Saddam Hussein) were removed from office, these different interest groups would return to their traditional blood feuds that would make the ethnic fighting in the Balkans look like a mild disagreement.
In the absense of a strong central goverment in Iraq, the resulting vacumn of power would be filled by Iran whose majority is ethnically related to the majority of Iraqi citizens. Do we want to remove a “tin pot” dictator like Saddam so that Iran can enlarge and consolidate its grip on the upper Persian Gulf?
And if Saddam is deposed, and some form of representative democracy was implanted, would that mean that the Kurdish region of Northern Iraq would be allowed to become autonomous, possible destabilizing the goverment of our ally Turkey?
The attack of 9/11 was carried out by Saudis and Egyptians under the the guidance of a Palistinean (Ossama) so the US responded by attacking…. Afghanistan. The US and its allies have become just another of histories many failures in Afghanistan. The Soviets, the British, the Persians and the Chinese (amongst others) at one time or another have tried to subdue Afghanistan but ulitmately have failed to effectively control more than a few towns and roadways. The capture of Ossam is a dismal failure and so the Bush adminsitration have effectively shifted public attention away from the failure in Afghanistan to Iraq and a created threat.
The world asked how the people of Germany could be persuaded by a cabal of a few to make illegal and immoral war against their innocent neighbors in WW2. The world is again asking how the good people of the Untied States can be persuaded by a small cabal to commit illegal and immoral war against a country that is ruled by a despot who poses no threat to anyone other than his own citizens. While Saddam is a jerk and should be removed, where is is written that the US can pick and choose which jerk dictator should be removed and act unilaterally?
The truth is out there.
Scott
By: Arabella-Cox - 29th January 2003 at 01:55
RE: Is war with Iraq neccesary?
reading into “race” or “religion” is just giving Saddam too much credit. He’s a rughless dictator who will do anything to make it that way. He doesn’t give a damn if you’re a muslim or christian, an iraqi or iranian or what not. (of course he’ll take advantage of it just for his own gains). As long as you’re a threat to his “plans” then you are a threat. As to people claiming about he’s being secular or being incompatible with fundamental extremist, basically they’re missing the point and is giving him too much credit. He has proven again that he’ll do things just for spite. The reality of him giving WMD to terrorists are very high even if he’s not pushed to a corner, because it can also be him scheming up to something, again, and again, and again….
By: Multirole - 29th January 2003 at 00:50
RE: Is war with Iraq neccesary?
But if we don’t occupy Iraq, where else would we have a base to use against Saudi Arabia?
By: Arthur - 28th January 2003 at 23:38
RE: Is war with Iraq neccesary?
Unfortunately another misconception in your interesting essay…
In the absense of a strong central goverment in Iraq, the
resulting vacumn of power would be filled by Iran whose
majority is ethnically related to the majority of Iraqi
citizens.
Iraqis are (mostly) Arabs, while Iranians are Persians. They are ethnically not related to each other. There is a rather large group of Shi’i muslems in Iraq (mostly in the South), but those are Arabs and not Persians like the Iranian Shi’i.
Interestingly, Saddam’s rule is probably the most secular in the whole Middle East, including Israel. Did you guys know Tareq Aziz is a christian? The number of christians in Iraq is quite high btw, mostly of the assyrian minority which have their own kind of catholicism.
By: skythe - 28th January 2003 at 23:22
RE: Is war with Iraq neccesary?
Osama isn’t a Palestinian, he’s Saudi.
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” So you think you are strong because you can survive the soft cushions. Well, we shall see. Biggles! Put her in the Comfy Chair! “