May 14, 2016 at 7:03 pm
Im specifically talking about non program members.
Or nations that havent put up funds.
1. Greece: While Greece probably couldn’t, and should not be buying anything, I have a sneaking suspicion that the minute Turkey starts taunting them with F-35,s they will want their own. Even if they have to rob a bank ( or the EU) to get them.
2. Germany: The Tornado currently will start being retired at around 2025. The plane even in its current state is woefully inadequate to face down a resurgent Russia. Will the Germans put on their big boy Lederhosen and finally spring for their own defense?
https://www.flightglobal.com/news/artic … ay-404109/
3.Poland: The country currently has 48 F-16s 30 Mig 29s and 18 su-22s. These will all need to be replaced in the near future. While F-35s might cause sticker shock at the onset,The Polish might save a lot of money consolidating to 1 type. Its likely the Su-22s and mig-29s are obsolete on the Russian frontier either way. The U.S. has just released billions in funds to reinforce NATOS eastern flank. Wouldn’t it be in Poland’s interests to ask for foreign military aid? 1-2 Billion towards F-35s would serve both countries interests.
4. India: Can we trust them NOT to sell secrets to Russia? The Rafael deal is history, and the T-50 is on the ropes.
Now is LM time to step forward. As I have mentioned before a FACO line would ease the concerns of the build in India crowd. The main issue here is trust.
5. Gulf Arab states: Not likely because of Israel.
6. Spain: Will they return to the F-35 fold? They have currently made a decision to extend the life of their Harriers.
This was a good move, but will only last as long as they don’t need to actually use the Spanish navy.
1 Major conflict or emergency could quickly bring them back.
7. Taiwan: Not likely unless there is a MAJOR provocation from China.
Discuss. Who do you believe will be the next participant in the F-35 program?