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irtusk

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  • in reply to: KC-777 (again) and LPAT #2440861
    irtusk
    Participant

    2. many of the components still stand. what the GAO struck down was fairly narrow. we are still left with:
    a) the KC-30 is more capable individually (offload, range, pallets)
    b) the KC-30 is more capable as a group (IFARA simulation)

    BS. The GAO was very limited on what it could sustain a protest over & what it could not.

    they certainly could sustain a protest if the capabilities were incorrectly calculated

    they specifically DENIED a number of protests about IFARA

    a) Sorry, bigger is not necessarily better.

    in this case it was

    And as the US has learned with the KC-10, a tanker with a lot of airlift capacity increases the likleyhood that it will be used for airlift & a tanker tasked with airlift is unavailable for its primary purpose of aerial refuleing

    it’s called FLEXIBILITY

    so we should remove capability to FORCE the USAF to make the ‘right decision’?

    the USAF is a big boy, they can handle the responsibility themselves

    b) Not unless you spend tens of billions of dollars upgrading (dare say completely rebuilding &/or relocating) quite a significant portion of the airfields USAF tankers do &/or have been identified as possible location to operate from.

    that was ALREADY INCLUDED in the decision

    granted the GAO didn’t approve of the way they estimated the cost (they wanted more actual numbers instead of an estimate), but to within an order of magnitude, all that cost was already accounted for

    That is the US workshare of the KC-X program itself, not some theoretical post program benefit

    there’s nothing theoretical about a plant turning out Airbus planes, it is very real

    that has nothing to do with the KC-X program.

    how can you say ‘has nothing to do with the KC-X program’?

    it is a DIRECT RESULT of the KC-X program

    It means that for the projected $35-40 billion of the KC-X development & procurement program the KC-767AT provides $29.75-34.0 billion in US workshare vs ‘just’ $20.3-23.2 billion for the KC-30. That is a difference of $9.45-10.8 billion.

    and that is a very dishonest comparison because it completely ignores a substantial chunk of what the EADS/NG bid offers

    And yes many are fully aware NG/EADS are FOS with their “58%” number since early in the process it was significantly lower but they kept increasing it

    nothing insidious or surprising about it, they have stated that they are looking to replace euro suppliers with american suppliers where they can, and that shift you see is the fruit of that search

    (along with the supposed number of US jobs – even to the point were they claimed the same number of US jobs as Boeing) in order to make a BS case that it was an “American tanker”.

    the jobs numbers are always bogus, what matters is the money

    but if NG inflated the jobs numbers, they learned from the best (Boeing) πŸ˜€

    It is about providing the right amount of (not the most) capability at the best cost – and being the right size is key in providing the right amount of capability.

    you can keep spinning it however you want, but the fact remains the KC-30 is
    a) more capable individually
    b) more capable as a fleet

    getting a less capable tanker simply to suit your preconceived notions of the ‘proper’ size is silly

    And as the typical EADS/KC-30 Kool-Aid drinker that you are you confuse capacity with capability. The real world isn’t so simple.

    nope, that’s why they have the IFARA simulations to take into account all those ‘not so simple’ issues

    Of course a KC-777 would have even greater capacity & higher cost than the KC-30. And just like the KC-30 that extra size comes at a cost (& I do not just mean $).

    you are deliberately obfuscating the scale of the difference. The KC-30 would (possibly) cost a SMALL amount more. The KC-777 would cost a GINORMOUS amount more. There is a difference there even if you don’t acknowledge it

    there is no valued added in exceeding requirements met or exceeded by KC-767AT

    only in Boeing/pfcem fantasy land

    in the real world, we have stuff like the KC-Y program. Please explain for the audience what capabilities KC-Y is/was targetting. (here’s a hint: they were MORE than the KC-767AT)

    in reply to: KC-777 (again) and LPAT #2441059
    irtusk
    Participant

    It is signally to the DOD that if it further alters the requirements/criteria to favor the larger KC-30 (as opposed to staying with the requireements/criteria the USAF developed) that it can & will ‘trump’ the “bigger is better” argument with something bigger than the KC-30.

    the whole ‘right-sized’ thing is a red herring

    it’s about capability for the cost

    the KC-767 and KC-30 are very similar in cost, yet the KC-30 offers substantially higher capability so I prefer it

    the KC-777 is even more capable than the KC-30, yet everything i have seen indicates that the cost would be SUBSTANTIALLY higher than the KC-30

    if boeing can prove me wrong and offer the KC-777 for only slightly more than the KC-30 i would be all over that

    but as it stands now, the KC-30 seems to offer by far the best VALUE

    in reply to: KC-777 (again) and LPAT #2441061
    irtusk
    Participant

    No, exceeding requirements by more than your competator exceeds them is of no falue benefit (the solicitaion was clear & unabiguous on that).

    some areas had extra credit, some didn’t, the issue is a little more subtle than what you’re saying

    Since proven to be utter nonsense.

    1. they are historical reference to explain the reasoning behind the selection (as requested by Al.)

    2. many of the components still stand. what the GAO struck down was fairly narrow. we are still left with:
    a) the KC-30 is more capable individually (offload, range, pallets)
    b) the KC-30 is more capable as a group (IFARA simulation)

    No I am not ignoring the benefit of an Airbus plant in the US. But if you want to include that you must aslo include such benefits the Boeing offer…

    and yet you keep harping on 85 vs 59 as if that was the definitive number when you know it’s not

    as far as the benefits of Boeing’s offer, please share

    in reply to: KC-777 (again) and LPAT #2441075
    irtusk
    Participant

    So why was it selected? There must have been some reason, even if you do not agree with it. Or even if said reason is nonsense.

    Unfortunately you have been confused by pfcem who believes that exceeding the requirements at less risk is a bad thing.

    Here’s a good overview from when the contract was awarded:

    http://www.irconnect.com/noc/press/pages/news_releases.html?d=143009
    http://lexingtoninstitute.org/printer_1234.shtml

    and then the GAO decision

    http://www.defenseindustrydaily.com/KC-X-GAO-Sustains-Boeing-Protest-04936/

    Just an FYI some of pfcem’s other ‘pet’ foibles include ignoring the benefit of an Airbus plant in the US (no! we must focus strictly on KC-X! If we look at the broader picture it hurts Boeing) and pretending that Boeing has a magic development cycle that can turn out a new model in zero time.

    in other words, be aware that he is the ΓΌber KC-767 cheerleader when evaluating his comments

    in reply to: Rafale news VI #2441539
    irtusk
    Participant

    The thing to remember is that WVR is so random, that no one escapes unscathed.

    We have at least 2 known instances of a superhornet shooting down an F-22, and I really doubt that the Rafale is that much better than an F-22 πŸ˜‰

    Heck, we even have an F-5 shooting down an F-22, and i know the gap between an F-5 and an F-22 is greater than than the gap between a superhornet and a Rafale

    To say the Rafale suffered no losses is simply not credible

    irtusk
    Participant

    UPDATE 3-Saudi weighs Eurofighter, F-15 for new jet deal

    Riyadh is in talks with Britain over possibly doubling a recent purchase of 72 Eurofighter Typhoons with an add-on purchase buttressed by a support deal, and has held exploratory talks with Boeing (BA.N) on adding more F-15s, the sources said.

    “Saudi Arabia has not finalised its requirements or decided if it will hold a competition or go with one player,” said a source closely following the discussions.

    I wonder if they are looking at the SE or more F-15S’s?

    in reply to: Hot Dog Typhoon thread III #2441774
    irtusk
    Participant

    According to the same brief, if Greece accepts the offer it will be involved in the development of the Trance 3 aircraft plus its weapons (mostly the METEOR), plus the new AESA radar, the Captor-E.
    EADS is committed to deliver the new radar in the same amount of time they need to build the aircrafts, which is 36 months. (From this summer I guess)

    That would seem to contradict this other article:

    Typhoon T3A To Have Mechanical Array Radar

    A Eurofighter executive suggests that any plans for an active electronically-scanned array (AESA) radar are β€œunlikely to meet the Tranche 3A timescales.”

    in reply to: KC-777 (again) and LPAT #2442533
    irtusk
    Participant

    …a good portion of the US workshare comes from that final assembly plant – aka its included.

    the initial construction and operation for the kc-x, yes

    the operation for the next 50 years building a wide range of airbus planes, no

    If you want to include non-program related benefits of the NG/EADS bid then you must include non-program related benefits of the Boeing bid.

    fine, let’s include all the ‘non-program related’ benefits for the boeing bid

    that would be . . . what exactly?

    i already told you, not my problem that you fail at reading

    In other words you are FOS & just arguing for the sake of arguing.

    i told you and you responded ‘how typical’ and then just repeated the same question again. Who’s being argumentative?

    x+y (boeing) > y (eads), capiche?

    Wrong.

    ‘y’ >> ‘x’
    ‘x’ done well within the time of ‘y’

    thus your developent time is still ‘y’

    ‘x’ requires more resources (thus the higher SDD cost of the Boeing bid) but with said resources would be accoplished well before ‘y’

    you can’t test hanging a boom off a plane until the plane exists. there is only so much parallel development you can do there

    http://lexingtoninstitute.org/1234.shtml

    2. Proposal risk. This is the sole factor in which Boeing managed to match the appeal of the Northrop proposal, but it did so only after being pressed to accept a longer development schedule for its tanker. The Boeing proposal was initially rated as high-risk because reviewers felt the company was offering a plane that in many regards had never been built before, and yet claiming it could be built fast at relatively low cost. The company was forced to stretch out its aggressive schedule, adding cost.

    so yes, boeing argued that it would not be an issue, but the USAF disagreed and the GAO didn’t contradict them in this area.

    boeing argued (like you’re arguing) that developing a new model doesn’t take any extra time

    the USAF and GAO recognized that argument for what it was, BS

    in reply to: KC-777 (again) and LPAT #2442573
    irtusk
    Participant

    I am not the one spinning. It is only the contribution to the US economy directly related to the KC-X program that is relevant.

    bringing an Airbus plant to US would be a DIRECT result of the KC-30 winning

    seems pretty relevant to me

    that is a rather massive gain and to completely ignore it is either ignorant or dishonest, take your pick

    Otherwise you end up in a never ending spiral of this leading to that all the way down the the “contribution to the US economy” of every single individual that can be tied to the program in any way.

    no, i think you’re getting confused with how boeing calculates ‘jobs’ related to a program πŸ˜€

    Who?

    i already told you, not my problem that you fail at reading

    duh, KC-30 requires time, the point is it requires LESS time

    No it doesn’t.

    The systems developement for the KC-45 (whether it be 767 or A330 or what ever) requires more time to develope than the 767-200LRF/KC-767AT airframe.

    lol, again confusing two separate issues
    let us call the time to develop the airframe ‘x’
    let us call the ‘systems development’ time ‘y’
    x+y (boeing) > y (eads), capiche?

    I am not the one squirming.
    Keep on spinning. LOL
    It isn’t a lie, it is a fact.
    Keep on spinning.

    reminds me of the story of the little girl who lost a race but kept running around screaming ‘i won i won i won’, as if by refusing to admit defeat she will somehow actually become a winner. In reality it just made her a sad pathetic loser

    in reply to: KC-777 (again) and LPAT #2442889
    irtusk
    Participant

    It doesn’t contribute in any way to the KC-X program.

    i love how you try to twist

    it isn’t about contributing to the KC-X program, it’s about contributing to the US economy

    The EADS/NG proposal could very easily result in a bigger contribution to the US economy than the Boeing proposal

    Sorry, you can continue to spin it all you want but there is still a ~42% (~$14.7-16.8 billion) foreign content to the NG/EADS proposal vs ‘just’ ~15% $5.25-6.0 billion) for the Boeing proposal.

    and no matter how you try to squirm you CANNOT ignore the potential impact of a permanent Airbus facility in the US

    IF Airbus wants to have a A330 final assembly facility in the US nobody here is stopping them

    yes there is . . .

    See quite a bit more than a few.

    not really, that’s actually very short term

    The 767-200LRF/KC-767AT does not represent a major development.

    just repeating your lies doesn’t make them true

    Note that even the Japanese & Italian KC-767 with no significant airframe changes required analysis, testing & certification and so would any new tanker.

    thanks for making my point

    boeing took forever to deliver even when they had a standard airframe to base it off of

    add a new airframe to the mix and it will only take longer

    adding more work adds more time, it’s a fact of life

    No it didn’t.

    yes it did

    Time already included in the SDD phase of the KC-X program.

    Contrary to the EADS/KC-30 Kool-Aid you are drinking & pushing, the NG/EADS KC-30 also requires SDD TIME & money.

    duh, KC-30 requires time, the point is it requires LESS time

    Another person who clearly does not understand that deliveries occur per schedule rather than as fast as possible…

    and schedules are based around estimates of how long they estimate it will take

    if you’re implying that they were dilly-dallying on the p-8 just to make it meet some arbitrary schedule, well lol

    in reply to: KC-777 (again) and LPAT #2442935
    irtusk
    Participant

    Employing workers here in the US to manufacture USAF tankers instead of workers in Europe.

    Well it only has to overcome a $10 billion difference.

    And to say an Airbus facility couldn’t contribute that here over its lifetime is silly. It could easily be substantially more.

    Also, as the assembly is here, they will start to build up a local supplier base as it will make sense to have some stuff made here instead of shipped from Europe.

    Which means parts will be manufactured in the US

    Pretty soon we will have a new center of aerospace development.

    And once the base is established, Boeing will be able to move more work out of the high-cost union states making them more competitive . . .

    If Airbus wants to establishes a permanent presence in the US then good for them, at least for the time being we are still mostly a capitalist economy.

    ??? i guess i don’t understand what you’re trying to say about Airbus and capitalist economy

    Anyways, Airbus can’t move anything over here without concessions from their unions. And their unions won’t make concessions unless such a move is directly tied to getting a large order, such as the tanker.

    But the KC-X program is going to be producing tankers for a lot longer than a few years…

    179/15 per year = 12 years

    Wrong. There is nothing new about the 767-200LFR/KC-767AT airframe. All of the componets come from existing 767 varients flying today.

    you clearly have no clue how aircraft development works

    even if all the components are existing, that combination has never been tested together

    that requires extensive analysis, testing and certification, and that’s before you even get to the tanker stuff like booms

    even the almighty GAO agreed with the USAF’s assessment that the development was ‘high risk’

    If there was nothing new, it wouldn’t be ‘high risk’

    Boeing has already shown with the P-8 Poseidon that it is perfectly capable of marrying various airframe components from various variants of a platform to create a new varient specifically tailored to the customer’s requirements.

    i never said they couldn’t do it, pay attention

    i said it would take TIME

    since you seem to have lost the point of what we were talking about, let me refresh your memory

    The A330 will be supplied faster than the 767 and will give the airforce more planes by set delivery times. (very Important)

    BS. Boeing can build KC-767s just as soon & as fast as EADS/Airbus can a KC-30s.

    PS: using the P-8 as an example doesn’t help your cause

    it was a simpler mod than the KC-767AT, was ordered in 2004 and still hasn’t been delivered (first flight just happened last month, 5 years after order)

    in reply to: KC-777 (again) and LPAT #2443048
    irtusk
    Participant

    It brings new jobs to America and will probably guarantee Airbus will be in America for the next 50+ years. This is great for creating jobs and bringing in money. (important)

    More jobs lost than gained.

    And you know this how? Oh that’s right, you don’t.

    If Airbus establishes a permanent presence in the US, that is far more valuable than keeping the obsolete 767 line open another few years.

    The A330 will be supplied faster than the 767 and will give the airforce more planes by set delivery times. (very Important)

    BS. Boeing can build KC-767s just as soon & as fast as EADS/Airbus can a KC-30s.

    If they were standard 767s that would be true. But they were proposing a NEW MODEL of 767. New models take time.

    If the new RFP cuts requirements enough so they could use the same design as the Japanese models, then you would be correct.

    in reply to: Indian Air Forces – News & Discussion Part VI #2443643
    irtusk
    Participant

    and more numbers of Tejas are ordered, instead of the committed 150.

    AFAIK only 40 have actually been ordered, and the last of those won’t be delivered until 2014.

    The order for those 40 was placed back in 2005. Taking 9 years to produce 40 aircraft is not encouraging.

    http://www.thehindu.com/2008/12/05/stories/2008120556261400.htm

    It will consider acquiring 125 more Tejas when an improved β€” Mark 2 (Mk2) β€” variant is developed.

    they still haven’t picked an engine for the Mk.2, so i really really doubt it’s going to be ready anytime soon

    i said all that to say this: india needs a large number of aircraft fast to maintain the size of their airforce, and the LCA isn’t the answer

    i’m sure they’ll work out their problems with it . . . eventually. in the mean time they need something else

    Reject PAK-FA for M.C.A.

    PAK-FA (or some derivative thereof) is for FGFA, MCA is a different program . . .

    in reply to: Super Hornet — will it become an export success? #2444540
    irtusk
    Participant

    lower RCS

    Not according to Boeing…see F-15SE πŸ™‚

    we were discussing Australia’s rationale for ordering the SH over the F-15

    the F-15SE was not announced at the time Australia made it’s decision and is thus irrelevant to the discussion

    buddy tanking

    Australia is procuring KC-30 tankers…

    Buddy tanking in lue of proper aerial refueling takes an already limited number of available combat aircraft & reduces it further.

    It’s an additional option that provides value in certain situations (such as when you don’t want your tanker to get too close to the front lines)

    as far as reducing combat aircraft, well after the F-35 is operational, you wouldn’t be sending the SH in against heavily defended targets anyways, so using them as tankers is no loss

    if you need them, they’re there as an option

    if you don’t need them, then they can perform as regular

    it’s called FLEXIBILITY

    growler

    You can do every bit as much or more to the F-15 to make an EF-15…

    well sure you COULD if you want to spend billions in development and wait years for it to be developed

    OR you could just buy it off the shelf

    Yes I know it hasn’t been done yet but it could & who is to say that it won’t…

    well the US certainly won’t do it, so if Australia wants it they would have to self-fund it, which is, shall we say, not cost effective

    after the F-35 arrives, the SHs can either be sold to the USN or used in these utility roles

    There will be more potetial customers 24 F-15E deirivatives in the future than F/A-18E/Fs

    look, i’m not going to say they couldn’t sell F-15s, because i’m sure they could

    HOWEVER there are some complications

    The F-15s they would get wouldn’t be standard with any other country, so the other country would have to add a new set of support infrastructure

    Certainly not impossible, but it does reduce the attractiveness

    On the other hand, the SHs they are getting are USN standard, making a sale back to the USN easy (especially since they won’t have taken the abuse of carrier landings)

    plus since they are buying from the US, they could get a wink-and-a-nod agreement to buy them back in the future, where they can’t do that with any other country. (i’m not saying this happened, just that it’s a possibility)

    remember these are STOPGAP planes

    Yes a “stop gap” for F-111s…

    no, stopgap for the F-35

    Australia can look at their neighbors and see that the odds of needing something more than the SH before the F-35 arrives is low

    Indonesia’s military is in shambles plus they have become a lot more friendly recently
    Malaysia isn’t a threat
    China isn’t going to do anything major in the next 10 years where the US couldn’t squash them

    the need for something beyond the SH capabilities just isn’t there in the near term

    thus it will suffice until the F-35 arrives

    in other words, get over the F-111, look at the CURRENT situation and current REQUIREMENTS

    the SH is more than sufficient

    in reply to: Super Hornet — will it become an export success? #2444574
    irtusk
    Participant

    No, the procurement cost difference is insignificant (operational cost is a bit though) and unless Australia gets an operational carrier, there is nothing that the F/A-18E/F can do that the F-15E can not do as well or better…

    lower RCS
    buddy tanking
    growler

    after the F-35 arrives, the SHs can either be sold to the USN or used in these utility roles

    remember these are STOPGAP planes

Viewing 15 posts - 571 through 585 (of 867 total)