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tphuang

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Viewing 15 posts - 151 through 165 (of 969 total)
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  • tphuang
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    If there is a more illusory factor in this than China’s supposed economic leverage over the US I have no idea what it is!.

    If China likes exporting its industrial product to the US, and the quarter trillion dollar trade surplus that exists in its favour, then I’d suggest that turning the screw on the US and further putting the skids under the economy of all those lovely consumers would be extraordinarily unwise!. Wasnt there a 25% drop in exports recorded for China just last month?. I saw a piece on the BBC that stated China needed to maintain 8% growth just for the graduates its universities are turning out to be able to find employment?.

    China is definitely in a position to tear the US a new backside economically. The victory would be a hollow one though.

    They are wrong about this, which explains most of the mainstream economists didn’t see the crash coming.

    Think about an island where there is a couple of Chinese people and a couple of Americans. The Chinese works day and night to cook, gather food for the Americans and then feed the Americans, get paid. Which Chinese people lend back to the Americans, so that they can do the same work the next day all over again. Which they get paid for and then lend back to Americans. Of course, the Americans can never pay back because they don’t do anything. Now according to your typical brainwashed economist, the Americans are central to this economy, because they provide demand. But wouldn’t the Chinese people do better if they just leave the Americans off to starve itself and cook food just for themselves? Now instead, they’ve been funding these ridiculous American debt, part of which is obviously being used on a larger military budget this year. So, Chinese lending is actually helping the US military, think about things that way.

    This is the obvious factor I am amazed that has taken this long for the Chinese side, on here, to come up with. When you know someone is analysing and watching you show them what they expect to see!. Whether this is a stealth fighter with RF enhancers or a missile boat with some of its accoustic insulation compromised while you know SURTASS is in the area. You take away the advantage the enemy will get from his surveillance and he’ll stop wasting resources on that surveillance.

    Problem for the Chinese is that, whilst it knows about SURTASS, it won’t know where and when there are US SSN’s around who’s data will be used to validate SURTASS. Move and counter move….the way the game has ever been played.

    One thing is for certain though – the kind of clumsy and unsophisticated attempts to interfere with SURTASS as demonstrated in this incident will achieve nothing beneficial to PLAN ops.

    well, I think part of the problem is not just the spying, but operating on China’s background. If you take a look at any Chinese map, they basically claimed the entire South China Sea as part of the boundary. When US surface force operates between Hainan and some of the disputed islands controlled by China, that in many ways reduces China’s claims to these islands.

    tphuang
    Participant

    I think the issue you may be missing is that China isnt in a position to do anything legitimate about this because the USN is doing nothing illegal for China to intercede against. A clever lawyer could try and make an argument but there is plenty of legal precedent and it is very clear where, and what, motive and intent would be behind any ‘unfortunate’ collision here. Unfortunately, for the PRC, this sort of incident phtographed builds towards the body of evidence in favour of the USN – if they, PLAN, are smart they’ll knock it on the head at the rush.

    If it were a trivial issue this aggressive stance on China’s part wouldn’t be occurring so just ‘talking this one away’ is not going to happen. SURTASS is accoustically profiling everything that visits that base and is, likely, generating invaluable tactical data. The USN will not put that on the table without something significant to trade off for.

    So the question would have to be what would the USN’s interest be in developing the kind of protocol that you describe?. When China puts a few SURTASS ships 75 miles off San Diego maybe there is a trade. Until then China’s position doesn’t appear strong?.

    you are forgetting that although China has not as much to contribute to USN other than maybe more transparency (although I doubt that will be enough), it has plenty of economic sway in the matter. That is unless you missed the trip that Hilary Clinton took to China a couple of weeks ago, where she basically got her two knees and begged China to lend more money to US. I’m sure SURTASS ship has been there for a long time and maybe China got aggressive much earlier than this, but I’m sure it’s not coincidental that this happens at a time when US needs China to send more money over to fund all those ridiculous rescue packages. I could go on with my economic theories, but I will just stop here.

    And honestly, I think China could’ve done other things to make life annoying for the SURTASS ships. I think on SDF, they brought up the idea of surrounding the ship with really noise ships, basically things that will make the throw off the accoustic data that these ships can collect. They certainly have enough fishing ships to do that.

    tphuang
    Participant

    You are quoting moral standards to me when you are defending clear breaches of maritime law?

    Steaming 75 miles off the coast in international waters is harassing?. The PLAN may not like what the USN is doing. Just as we didnt like Sov AGI’s off Faslane in the bad old days but its nothing new and you dont deal with it like this!

    I’ve been reading this argument all day and I’m not sure it works. Just because US and Soviets agreed to a protocol in cold war, that doesn’t mean China has to agree to the same one. US and Soviet could spy off each other’s coast, but China obviously doesn’t have that capability.

    In the long run, they need to figure out a protocol for this. That’s what the direct military line should be for.

    As for the interpretation of UNCLOS, I’m sure if we get a lawyer in here, he/she can probably smack all of us down with arguments.

    tphuang
    Participant

    Last year I read in the US Naval Proceedings Magazine that the PLAN is sending its subs (SSK’s, SSN’s and, SSBN’s) on longer patrols. Some SSK’s which made ‘day trips’ now sortie out for two to three days. Some SSBN’s which normally went for one week patrols now are going for patrols that last over a month.
    Has anyone heard of anything along this topic?

    Adrian

    They are definitely doing all of that. A lot of it is due to the fact that they are making more trips around the world, so the subs are sort of like escorts, but yeah, they are definitely at the stage of trying to get more sea time for their sailors.

    tphuang
    Participant

    we can also add in the 2 093s, 1 091G, 1 094 (I think there maybe even more than that) based there. Although NSF still has 2 nuclear sub base to the one in SSF. They are also have 5 out of the 8 major supply ships, 883, 884, 885, 887 888. There are already 2 054As in SSF and I think the next 2 are going there too.

    What appears to be happening is SSF will split off into SSF and another power projection fleet that’s based in Sanya.

    tphuang
    Participant

    Possibly, but the Chinese don’t exactly have the best reputation for respecting IP agreements they’ve signed and not stealing your pants if they can get away with it. E.g., they just admitted to flat-out ignoring their PREVIOUS agreement with Russia re: aircraft designs, but are claiming they will NOW respect I.P. agreements… Right. Brasil and India (as well as Russia) haven’t demonstrated the same (complete lack of trustworthiness) sort of approach, and are in fact ‘trusted cooperation partners’ of multiple Western defense contractors. Unless you have NO other options and are completely desperate, China doesn’t really seem like a good ‘partner’. They have in fact put out designs that appear to be straight rip-offs of South African missiles… They were willing to purchase A HANDFUL of copies of the Rooivalk – which wasn’t agreed to, with justification, since that’s pretty much not even hiding their intentions to reverse-engineer.

    I was actually hoping to go through 2 threads not related to China without hearing another post attacking China over J-11B.

    China is not violating anything important in the J-11B row. Sukhoi is just crying to try to get more money out of China. China signed for the rights to produce 200 su-27sk as part of the deal. They haven’t produced that many yet. As part of the deal, they are allowed to increase the proportion of the local content until they produce it completely. Which is what they are doing now. They are not exporting it, so what’s the big deal? They’ve already paid for the 200 unit royalty + ToT + the parts that they signed up for.

    As for Rooivalk, they never managed to get one off the South African, so what’s the big deal. And which missile are you saying that they copied off the South Africans? Don’t even use PL-10, since that’s a speculated photo, nobody knows what it really looks like or even if that’s the real designation.

    in reply to: PLAAF News, Photos and Speculation #12 #2448322
    tphuang
    Participant

    No and they don’t care.

    sure they are, which part do you think they are violating? They already paid for the rights to build 200 flankers which they are still probably 80 aircraft short. They’ve paid the money for all the parts that they signed for. They haven’t tried to export it, which part of the agreement do you think they are violating?

    American engine for a Chinese military aircraft. Now I have seen it all.

    this is for the civilian version of Z-11.

    Nothing new. Exported K8s have Garret Engines. The Z-10 attack chopper has a Canadian Pratt and Whitney Turbo Shaft. The Y-9 has an option for Pratt and Whitney turbo fans. JH-7 used RR Speys, the same engine used on British Phantoms. So in any future conflict between India and China, the Chinese war effort will have US and western support and financing, in addition to significant Russian and Israeli input. And off course their is Pakistani support specially in humint and behind the lines activities. This is when the likes of you are proud to fly the US and Israeli flags

    Chinese are too paranoid to use Western engines for mass production. Z-10 is using WZ-9 as its engine. Y-9 project has been abandoned. JH-7A is using WS-9, which is not exactly the same as Spey. They went through a long certification process for it to sort out all the problems in the engine, which suggests its clearly not an exact copy or licensed production of Spey.

    in reply to: PLAAF News, Photos and Speculation #12 #2448775
    tphuang
    Participant

    No and they don’t care.

    sure they are, which part do you think they are violating? They already paid for the rights to build 200 flankers which they are still probably 80 aircraft short. They’ve paid the money for all the parts that they signed for. They haven’t tried to export it, which part of the agreement do you think they are violating?

    American engine for a Chinese military aircraft. Now I have seen it all.

    this is for the civilian version of Z-11.

    Nothing new. Exported K8s have Garret Engines. The Z-10 attack chopper has a Canadian Pratt and Whitney Turbo Shaft. The Y-9 has an option for Pratt and Whitney turbo fans. JH-7 used RR Speys, the same engine used on British Phantoms. So in any future conflict between India and China, the Chinese war effort will have US and western support and financing, in addition to significant Russian and Israeli input. And off course their is Pakistani support specially in humint and behind the lines activities. This is when the likes of you are proud to fly the US and Israeli flags

    Chinese are too paranoid to use Western engines for mass production. Z-10 is using WZ-9 as its engine. Y-9 project has been abandoned. JH-7A is using WS-9, which is not exactly the same as Spey. They went through a long certification process for it to sort out all the problems in the engine, which suggests its clearly not an exact copy or licensed production of Spey.

    in reply to: PLAAF News, Photos and Speculation #12 #2448729
    tphuang
    Participant

    the article’s quality is actually shockingly low for something posted on xinhua. It’s definitely not an official position, but rather someone’s opinion. Actually, it’s more like a gathering of other articles posted on this.

    in reply to: PLAAF News, Photos and Speculation #12 #2449191
    tphuang
    Participant

    the article’s quality is actually shockingly low for something posted on xinhua. It’s definitely not an official position, but rather someone’s opinion. Actually, it’s more like a gathering of other articles posted on this.

    in reply to: P-800 Yakhont vs P-900 (supersonic) Klub #1820479
    tphuang
    Participant

    In future that really might not matter given that there’d be multiple constellations like GLONASS and Galileo and even Beidou. Though I’d only consider Galileo as a serious competitor in terms of coverage and accuracy.

    not sure about Glonass, but the accuracy for Beidou is expected to be less than 1m for the military version and 10 m for the open version. That’s comparable to 1m and 8m for Galileo. And the way they are getting launched now, it looks like Beidou will be completed before Galileo.

    The entire PLA already uses Beidou.

    in reply to: Russia Air Force's Flanker Doubt #2464496
    tphuang
    Participant

    PPS – Speaking of China. Have they yet produced a TOTALLY indigenous fighter???

    With Chinese airframe/engine/radar ?? – all home grown???

    J-8II, J-10 (which is already using WS-10A), JH-7A(which is no longer using Spey, but WS-9).

    in reply to: Chinese to build two 50-60,000 ton Carriers #2049995
    tphuang
    Participant

    Simply because there is no suitable diesel or Gas turbine solution for powering carriers. Commercial marine diesel currently available are designed to run at only 16kts and are too massive in size.
    Btw a carriers will always need boilers for fresh water. It makes sense to reduce redundancy.

    gas turbine should be available soon. QC-185, QC-260 for example.

    A lot of stuff in development are not as good as foreign designs, but they have to suffice since PLA is generally paranoid about using foreign parts.

    If you don’t believe how fast China can build carrier just think about why they are in such urgent need to buy su-33s even though domestic naval flanker project has either flied already or will fly this year or why they have started a naval flight school recently and are trying to train Ukraine. Varyag is likely not going to do too much, so that leaves domestic carrier as the only answer.

    in reply to: Rosoboronexport wants $75 mill per MiG-29K!? #2446862
    tphuang
    Participant

    unless they manage to put catapult on IAC, I don’t see how they are going to be to put the bug and rafales on there.

    in reply to: Rosoboronexport wants $75 mill per MiG-29K!? #2451271
    tphuang
    Participant

    unless they manage to put catapult on IAC, I don’t see how they are going to be to put the bug and rafales on there.

Viewing 15 posts - 151 through 165 (of 969 total)