Huffington Post?:rolleyes:
Now there’s a non-biased publication, with non-biased authors.
TAC want more fighters and strike aircraft, etc… the latest toy in town is the F-22 so they’ll do whatever they can to get as much as any aother.. and if you believe they’ll all only think about “what’s good for the service”, you must be living in wonderland
So you’re saying that these folks(i.e. Air Force Generals) don’t care how well the F-22 works? It’s not like the ones that had wanted the 243-381 Raptor fleet, were getting a cut of LM’s profits. I’m not saying that everyone involved in lobbying for new toys is completely scrupulous, but I have a lot more faith in the folks that actually have to use the equipment, than those who have nothing at stake but $$$. Those who fly it seem to be pretty impressed.
AS I said slightly lower, you can go for a costly solution in developing a new fighter, or take a shorter way by creating a missile with long range. No fighter can outrun a missile flying at mach 4+ in its direction.. avoid maybe, but is you start manouvering to get out of the way, you’re on the defensive… not easy to counterattack
The missile’s effective range is only as far as its target can be detected/tracked/fired upon. It doesn’t matter if the missile can fly 500km, if your sensors can only detect the target <50km. Then you have an inefficient missile that’s heavier than it needs to be.
Why do you want them to emit anything? if they know they face fighters with very low RCS, they’ll use IR search (Rafale, Sukhois from thirty years, and probably the typhoon as well, all have integrated front sector IR detectors… no need for radar to see an overheated nose and leading edges of an aicraft flying supersonically in the freezing cold of teh background at FL600)
Their IRSTs will need to be cued by something, or they’ll be spending a lot of time scanning with a narrow field of view sensor, hoping to find a target. They have to not only know that there’s a target, but have a general idea of where to start looking. There is no wide field of view, long range IR scanning.
Even if they do detect something, they’ll have to get much closer before they can tell what it is, what its range is, etc…
and, what’s more, they can also rely on ground based radars or awacs working with lower frequency radars which will “see” the more or less stealthy designs more easily to locate for them, even approximatively the threats.
AWACS are going to have the same problem as fighters, as they’re not using bistatic or VLF radars. They have more transmission power, but that’ll just tip the F-22 off sooner as to its location, so it can circumvent it. As for ground based radars, it is true that there are radars that at some range and conditions, can detect the F-22. There are several things to keep in mind though.
A-How many of these large radar sites are available?
B-The F-22 will spot their emissions too, giving it the option to change headings.
C-Anything that actively emits(ground or air based), will be detected by the ALR-94, before the F-22 is able to be detected. The only way to surprise the Raptor is if it is detected passively, and radar sites wait until the last minute to emit, so that it’s already in range, rather than having the ability to avoid them.
D-you still have to be able to track the F-22 to get a firing solution, and that’s a much harder problem than detection.
E-There’ll be more than one F-22 flying, so you aren’t guaranteed to see the rest of the flight.
F-Any ground based early warning site that isn’t mobile isn’t going to have a long life expectancy, and the mobile sites are far less effective in their detection abilities. As these sites are attritted, there are going to be even wider gaps in coverage.
You talk about the F-22 firing without locking with its own radar.. but that can work both ways, and in the end, the one that has missiles with greater range has the advantage.
The one that sees first and shoots first has the advantage. I’ve already discussed the limitations of long range missile shots, when you’re limited to relatively short range detection. It doesn’t matter if the F-22 has shorter ranged missiles, if it can fire them first, and once the AIM-120D comes online this year, missile range differences will be pretty negligible. When will the Meteor come online? 2015?
Lots of ifs? there’s only one that quote: does spectra perform as it is expected to do… and that data is classified. You expect the raptor to operate in a zone it has complete control over… yet, it is not just a homeland defence fighter. it’s meant to go out and clean the skies from enemy aircraft in an offensive… meaning, operate above enemy territory.
Ask yourself this question- what happens to the Rafale if the Spectra doesn’t perform as expected? The Raptor was designed to survive, and provide air dominance in hostile, as well as friendly air space. It’s far less reliant on electronic systems to survive against threats. I’m not trying to say that the Raptor is invulnerable by any means, but if it is flown smartly, it is a very challenging target for a defender.
Anyway, anything we may say for now is that the raptor is supposed to dominate in that area… but it remains just that, a supposition. Based on various data and claims we all hear, but the ony way to know (as opposed to believe) is to see results (if they ever become public) of confrontations in years to come.
We know how well the Raptor has performed against US fighters(including AESA equipped Super Hornets and F-15Cs) using datalinks, etc…
We also know that it defeated a Rafale, and didn’t take any losses to Rafales(or any other European aircraft for that matter), in recent exercises.
There’s no such thing as an absolute and invincible weapon… never has been and certainly never will… there’s only constant progress, and never on one side only
Again, the F-22 isn’t invincible, but it is currently the most challenging fighter aircraft to defend against.
They wanted the F-22 which resulted in downplaying the F-15 and boasting about F-22 real or supposed or “out of fantasy land” qualities… You do not believe somebody who wants to sell you something, period (and USAF and LM were selling together the F-22 to the budget deciders)
The point is that the USAF is the final customer, and if they’re going to the trouble trying to “sell” it to the budget deciders, you can bet that they believe it works, as they’re the ones who will have to use it. They’ve had the first hand opportunity to operate it, so if they were dissatisfied, you can believe they’d be saying so to LM. There are plenty of examples of equipment getting the axe, because it didn’t perform as advertised. You didn’t see the services asking for even more of whatever system had problems, and trying to retire other equipment in order to be able to afford even more of them.
That’s wishful thinking, actually… with computer power increasing, radar technologies improving, missiles technology advancing, the F-22 will become a plane “like another” much sooner than that… more about it a bit later
You can increase your computing power, but the F-22 won’t be resting on its laurels either, and it already starts out with a kinematic advantage. A fresh design with higher performance would be needed, along with the newer avionics and weapons, to reduce it to a plane like another.
Problem with it is that the F-22 will have to get a lock too… and modern ECM suites may as well cause the radar of the F-22 to have problems in locking from far away.
The target aircraft will have to be aware of the F-22, prior to being able to utilize their ECM suite. If they’re flying around emitting, then the ALR-94 will triangulate their position from hundreds of miles away, and allow the F-22 to fire passively.
What’s more, the latest european missile, meteor, is given for a range between 60 and 100 miles, and that, combined with active radar and IR versions of the missile may cause some serious problems for the F-22…
Whether it’s the Meteor, R-37, or what have you, it doesn’t matter what the theroetical maximum ranges are. You can’t fire at the Raptor until you know it’s there, and you can believe that Raptors aren’t going to be flying around with a lot of emissions broadcasting their positions.
after the last last exercises in UAE it was said that the rafales identified “visually” their air targets at ranges of up to 40km (meaning they had an identifyable shape on screen). without ever having to start their radar.
That’s great, but the F-22 would’ve seen them from far greater distances already, either with their on board systems, or third party sensors.
If the F-22 tries to lock on them, and SPECTRA does its job in preventing it, the radar beam will be like a beacon giving the rafale’s OSF the direction in which to look for a target. As soon as it detects IR signature of the F-22 (supersonic flight at high altitudes is like a lighthouse at night, you can see it from extremely long distances with proper IR equipment), it will be in range for the meteor and able to shoot… and that’s just one scenario in which the F-22 may experience problems
There’s a lot of ifs involved there. What guidance method will the Meteor be using for this BVR shot(especially if the Raptor is operating in EMCON)? It’s seeker won’t detect the Raptor until it’s right on it. IR alone can’t guide a missile(there’s no laser range finder that’s going to reach out to Meteor ranges), and if the Rafale/Typhoon emits(and they’ll be well within the F-22’s weapons range before, they’re able to detect it with their radars), to try to provide any targeting info, then they become the beacons.
I’ll probably going to get flamed for this, but I’m going to give it a shot anyway, stealth means absolutely nothing. RCS reduction in a strike aircraft simply means that IADS will become more saturated and high value targets will be blanketed, and even if you manage to get all aircraft emmisions (Radar, heat, sound et al) down to a minimum, you can still be dropped by the modernised version of an old classic, an airbursting flak curtain.
The limitation is how large one’s defense budget happens to be, what percentage of spending is going to air defense, how long it takes to field the systems, and whether you have the manpower to operate all of these systems. In theory it sounds great, but in practice, it costs money(and in the case of S-300/400/Patriot type systems), a lot of money.
Oh, and the F117 did posess a greater degree of all aspect steath than the F-22, not to mention a far smaller heat sig, however I have no doubt that the F-22 will have it beat from some angles, and of course would fly rings around it
The F-117 possessed the best stealth technology that 70s engineers could manage, with the computers they had at their disposal. The RAM materials, and knowledge on shaping in current times is far beyond that generation. You can bet that the F-22 not only has a lower avg. RCS, but smaller peaks too.
well, that shows that we’re not talking about the same thing… I was talking about Exercises that USAf had with IAF in 2004… basically when they were doing all they could to get more raptors.
That’s also when they communicated pretty much how more advanced the eventual oponents became and how important it was to get maximum of these new toys they wanted…
The result you point out actually illustrated my saying: when you want to sell something, you show it much better than it really is… and, in the case of F-15s (in the role of “outperformed fighters”), by downplaying their performance, the USAF visibly hoped to prove their point: they wanted the F-22 in bigger numbers as it was supposed to be much better..
Another thing, much more relevant in your example (Red Flag 2008 experience) is that jamming prevented BVR shots and everybody got to merge. Now, if that is the reality (always put a grain of salt.. sometimes more 😉 ), then two observations seem relevant:
– good ECM suite is better than stealth (as you can adapt it to the enemy radar frequencies which is out of the question for aircraft skin or shape)
– any fighter, including the F-22 if it was involved in that “uncapacity to lock on in BVR and shoot”, has to be good in dogfighting… (reminds me of F-4s sent to vietnam with missiles only)So much for the scenario in which the F-22 shoots its enemies in BVR with those never seeing it…
If you’re a bomber, stealth can help you get to target, drop ordnance and get out of there..; but if you have to attack other aircraft and can’t get a lock at long distance because their ECM suite beats your radar long enough, stealth or not, sooner or later you can get locked and shot at too… in the RF 2008 scenario, if F-22s are part of those who had to merge before shooting, then the whole concept that costed billions seems to be just a very efficient way to waste money…
Just a couple points- while I did see the F-15 being downplayed, I never saw the USAF trying to make the F-22 out to be better than it is, just to get more of them.
As for Red Flag, you have to remember that the ECM suites are simulated, as are the weapon’s effectiveness. The idea is to make it very challenging, rather than to have the plane with the longest ranged sensors/weapons win easily, in every engagement. You also have to remember that a fighter isn’t going to be flying around with its ECM system in constant operation, as that’ll provide information that can be used for targeting. That means that until that fighter knows it’s threatened, it’s not going to be trying to jam anyone.
First, where do you get it that F-16 has RCS of ~1m2? That is absolute rubbish unless you talk about discrete values at chosen angles. But then you are talking apples and oranges together.
I find it very difficult to argue with fanboys who only can take some stupid value posted in USAF journal and got no clue about what it means but they will stick to this one meaningless value at all cost. Such behavior is several levels below anything Carlo Kopp has ever written.
I wasn’t comparing the average RCS of the F-16 vs. F-22. The frontal RCS that has generally been given with regards to the F-16 is ~1m2. From the sound of Over G’s statement, it sounded like he was saying that the F-22’s frontal RCS was only .5m2. I’ve never claimed that the average RCS for the F-22 is .0001m2, but I suspect you won’t find too many “barn door” angles on the F-22(especially 5m2), but for the sake of argument, let’s say that there are. The problem for a foe, is that unless they can maintain a constant FOV on that angle, they’re only going to get a return for a brief period before they lose detection/tracking. My”fanboy” talk is not based upon LM claiming all aspect VLO performance. It’s based upon the fact that F-15,F-16, F-18 pilots(and not strictly in 1 vs. 1) with JHMCS, Link 16, AESA, etc… have gotten their butts handed to them time after time, coming from numerous angles and altitudes. It would seem to me, that if there were huge vulnerabilities, they would’ve shown up, and the exchange ratios would start improving for the legacy aircraft.
It all depends on Raptor’s pilot training. He surely is well aware of angles that result in his tactical advantage and tries hard to exploit aircraft’s full stealth potential.
That being said, a well flown Raptor will most likely kill his opponent in 1vs1 scenario, all it needs to do is to maintain a good angle of intercept and approach closer undetected. The more complex the furball is and the more other emitters are in the area (especially SAM), the less likely is the F-22 going to stay undetected because sooner or later someone will have hit a “good” angle for detection and firing solution.
This is exactly how stealth works, now you can resort to fanboy talk, I don’t care.
These “good” anglesonly work for brief periods where the F-22 is in the FOV of the radar, and seeing as how the F-22 is a moving target, the radar isn’t going to have the same relative angle presented to it constantly. Secondly, if that radar is emitting, then the F-22’s ESM will know about it long before the Raptor is within detection range, so the likelihood of the Raptor pilot presenting his least advantageous aspects is greatly lessened.
Thirdly, considering the speed and altitude of the Raptor, the window for the SAM site achieving a firing solution, and engaging is very narrow.
Only someone lacking even basic knowledge about RCS could be satisfied with such answer because it is a logical nonsense. Saying that “F-22 has RCS of a marble” is like saying “hills on Earth are over 8000m high”. Yes, they are but only few of them. Similarly, F-22 might have few angles with RCS of a marble, that does not mean it has similar RCS from every angle. Its RCS can easily be as huge as one of a barn door, depends on where the emitter is.
Well, based on these angles that are as large as barn doors, you’d think opposing aircraft would’ve taken advantage of the ease of detection(when flying against the Raptor) seeing as how it’s only hard to spot from very narrow vantage points.
I personally prefer unbiased sources.. USAF is NOT an unbiased source when it comes to F-22. Neither is LM.
Well considering it’s their hardware, money, and pilots, one would hope that they care how well their gadgets work, rather than putting out unrealistically optimistic info. They’re getting ready to buy almost 2000 new gadgets, and they feel pretty confident in the abilities vs. marketing claims.
Russian estimates for the overall RCS value for the F-22/35 are around 0.5 m2, which is a good achievement, actually, they think (any engineer actually) the f117 has better RCS, with 0.1 m2, then again a good value, these are not peaks, but overall measures.
These are average values and can be compared with other average front rcs values (like the 15 sqm2 on the su-27), these are not peaks.
Well considering that the F-16’s RCS is ~1m2, do you honestly believe that the F-22 is only .5m2, yet has the sorts of exchange ratios in exercises that it has achieved. Not even Carlo Kopp makes such outlandish claims.
Why the most stealthier aircraft (on IR, radar, etc), the 117 was phased out?
The F-22 is several orders of magnitude stealthier than the F-117, and has a much greater sensor suite. That’s why the F-117 was phased out.
Layered defenses of critical points would have shorter-ranged SAMs in any decent AD network. Again, these SAMs can handle an attack from any angle.
You are unlikely to attack a target from every possible angle in any realistic scenario, and attacking from 2 – 3 sides isn’t going to guarantee success at all.
Well even if we assume that the SAMs have a 100 percent probability of kill, the weapons being used against them cost a lot less than the missiles, and the SAM site doesn’t have an unlimited amount of reloads. At some point a defensive site will become oversaturated with incoming targets. This doesn’t even take into account EA, UAVs, SOF forces, a multitude of other support platforms, etc….
The next thing to consider is that the most likely target won’t be Moscow, or Beijing, so the defender likely won’t have the budget or resources these countries have for their defensive SAM belts/early warning systems.
And who said is not effective?
But is not in the way you think
70 planes w/o RCS reduction against a SAM fortress would lead to 50 downed, and a unsuccessful mission
70 planes with RCS reduction would lead to 25 downed and a somewhat successful mission
Stealth offers other adantages, like the reduction of ECM planes, and all the logistic issues behind that.
Also, systems like the s300/400/1million…won’t be popular, they are too expensive, too complex, but many other sams are simpler, so the ECM coverage would work better for the stealthy planes against these systems
they are wasting money in the Pakfa (which is good, since would be stupid to lost all that fighter market)
So are they wasting money, or aren’t they? The point is that stealthy targets greatly increase the complexity for the defender, while greatly increasing the survivability of the attacker. To dismiss the challenge an air defense system(or fighter aircraft for that matter) has against these targets is not particularly prudent, if one is serious and honest. That doesn’t mean stealthy aircraft are invincible- the pilot still has to use good tactics to fight to his strengths, but it allows him to spend much more time on offense.
That’s not the point Aspis, the priority would have been to replace a lot of radars with the Nevo thing, such thing has not happened, instead, they are wasting money in the Pakfa (which is good, since would be stupid to lost all that fighter market)
Russians are not switching frequencies, is because they can overcome the ECM/stealth combination with normal frequencies, with new ways, the key here are the phased radars
That’s an interesting revisionist view of the PAK FA(i.e. the Russians know that stealth is ineffective, but they’re building their next generation fighter to be stealthy, so they don’t lose out on fighter sales?)
I think a more realistic view would be that they’re aware of the limitations of EW systems, and are taking advantage of that fact by having similar capabilities.
“Opening holes” in an AD network could mean nothing.
Most priority targets would have the SAM right on top of it.
You still need to fly to a target to attack it.
Whether you’re coming from the back, front, or the sides means little to an S-300/400 system.
The S-300/400 systems aren’t point defense, but part of layered defenses(i.e. defense in depth). There’d be holes in the long and short ranges systems coverage(detection), allowing multiple simultaneous attacks from varying azimuths(and more importantly, from outside of the WEZ of the IADs).
The first planes that enetered the air space , before the 117s, and that went to the 117s targets (at least the source of the radar coverage on these targets) were ef-111s.
I’m sure the 117 manual actually states the ECM support.
Actually the first aircraft in Iraqi airspace were AH-64s from the 101st Airborne, attacking sites with Hellfire missiles.