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plawolf

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  • in reply to: Is the F-22 Worth it? #2591750
    plawolf
    Participant

    Yes it would be arrogant and out right stupidity not to keep a watful eye on the developments of china however it isnt the same thing as going into a procurment doctrine which views china a threat and tries to shape up the military to fight china.

    If you think that then you should take another look at what the US military is buying and what it is giving up in order to buy them. Offically US military planning is not aimed at China, but in reality it is.

    in reply to: Is the F-22 Worth it? #2592592
    plawolf
    Participant

    Something that must be considered is the spin-off benefits that developing the ‘revolutionary’ technologies used in the F22 would have for future projects. In fact, the F22 and F35 used and benefited hugely from technologies developed in the F117, and more significantly, B2 projects.

    The F22 price tag might sound astronomical at $250m+, but thats only a fraction of the B2’s $2bn+ unit price. Future projects, purhaps UCAVs, would also likely benefit from technologies developed for the F22, and their unit costs may well be lower as a result.

    The technolgies developed by the F22 project would not be lost or wasted with time, the planes built would be, especially considering the chances of large quantities of such potent ac be needed.

    in reply to: PLAN CV aspirations confirmed? #2056990
    plawolf
    Participant

    What are you guys ranting about? That is just a set of general aims that the PLAN is aiming to achieve in the three phases, what is wrong with that?

    PS, Nimrod, whats 1910 + 40? Not 2060 I asure you.

    in reply to: FC-1 Prototype 04: the Saga Continues #2597824
    plawolf
    Participant

    Sancho Pancho

    How about you take the hint and go start your own rant thread somwhere else? If you want to keep posting in this thread, stick on topic.

    in reply to: Kuznetsov vs Vikramaditya #2057364
    plawolf
    Participant

    No, No and no. I do not think that manuals are useless, I just said that not all cannot be written to manuals, things that might seem small but eventually can be quite big issues. Don’t try to put words to my mouth…

    You just don’t get it do you? How do they class ‘big’ and ‘small’ things? How do they decide what goes into a manual and what doesn’t? By how important it is.

    Now how did they teach you in your service time? Or have you ever even been in army? If you haven’t, then I suggest that you wont go judging thing that you have no clue. Training of artillery mens in every single country (and training of all basic troops) is done by roughly using the same methods. You don’t teach hwo to shoot with howitsers by giving you them manual and say “go and fire!”. Nor you wont say to infantrymen that “here’s the manual of how to engage hostile forces, read it and go to the front line”. Training of all practise work is bestly done by showing how to do it and “drypractice” it with the proper equipments. Sitting in schoolpench has no use to artillerymens…

    You think everything is as easy as infantry work? I have been trying to avoid having to say it, but infrantry work is grunt work, you don’t need a great deal of techno know-how to shoot a gun or hawitzer, its manual work, and the training is geared that way. But not all services work that way. Some need more in-depth knowledge. The simple running of the ship stuff will be basically the same on all conventional warships, so there is little to worry about in terms of training there, so where is the difference? Deck ops. But deck ops have extremely precise rules that are well documented and strickly followed. Its very clear where you can walk, when you can walk, what everyone has to do is well set out and there is zero margin for error. There is no ‘making it up as you go along’ element to deck ops, the difference is getting the crew so used to the routine that they can do it quickly without error.

    This repeating myself over and over is getting bit lame. My point have been that Chinese, when starting to operate carriers, wont learn everything from books, they need to get real experience of their own. You cannot expect that the manuals written by some others will 100% fit to the chinese service methods or that relying to them will automaticly mean you know how stuff is done. It seems you have never done any practical job…becouse if you have you would get the point what i’m saying. From books you can only learn the theory, the practice cannot be learnt anyother way than trying it yourself. And without handeling the practice situations, you cannot operate anything.

    Well if you would pay attention and understand the point Im trying to get across, I wouldn’t have to keep repeating myself. As for not having any practical experience, well speak for yourself, I have done plenty of pratical work and I have done plenty of other work and I know that different jobs require different kinds of skills and consquently, different training methods.

    This is just ridicilous. Ofcourse chinese (or any other) know how the planes are flown fundamentaly. Aircrafts behaive similarily in the air wheter they were launched from ground or sea. The issue is the taking off and landings. If you say that taking off from carrier and landings is not so different than operate planes from ground, well i suggest that you better stop posting in this thread.

    There you do, trying to put words in my mouth. When did I ever say that they are the same? I was saying that skills learnt on land can be applied on ships to help add to any training material you might get. Its call experience.

    Also, I was refering to the deck crew, not the pilots, if you were, then you are even further off the mark in terms of training.

    What comes to the soviet/russian carrier operations, i admitt, my choose of words weren’t the best. But it wont change the Chinese situation. Like i said, China cannot adapt the russian expereince right away and expect the knowhow is passed directly to chinese carrier crewmembers. Telephaty is still (unfortunetly) just for fantasybooks. I seriosly doupt that Russian participation in chinese aricraft carrier program wont be anything more than just delivering the systems. China and russia have not so bright past on the teaching relations, i doupt it have improved since.

    Funny, in the last few thousand years, this thing called writting have been developed that allows one person to share his thoughts and experiences with others just fine, Im sure you are familiar with the concept.

    Also, when did I ever say that the PLAN can just read some manuals and run the ship as well as an experienced crew? I have stressed throughout the importance of hand-on experience.

    The point I was trying to convay is that the PLAN won’t have to discover what they can and can’t do or have to figure out how to do things, they can buy that knowledge (much of it they can even get from open sources). It would just be a case of having the crew gain real operationsl experience. It will take time, but hardly the decade+ you seem to have somehow got stuck in your head.

    in reply to: Kuznetsov vs Vikramaditya #2057394
    plawolf
    Participant

    I never said we shouldn’t write manuals nor thurst them. My point have all along been, that not all can be learn from books, that there is important factors and methods that are never officially printed anywere. Those things don’t surpass the manuals, but completes them.

    We both agree that manuals do not, and cannot contain everything, the difference is degree. You seem to think that a manual is next to useless and insist that people have to learn everything through trial and error, and I strongly disagree with you on that point. I think training material, the properly written ones at least, are written by professionals who base their work on first hand experience of from interviews with people who have done the job before.

    I think your judgement have been greatly effected by the, frankly, astonishingly poor training material you got when you were serving, and to some degree, you have the a similar lack of confidence in all formal training material.

    Of course not everything will be written in books, but then not everything need to be. People are not idiots and can quickly learn and adapt all of their own accord. Also, past experience working on similar activities, while not completely transferable, does help a great deal.

    The very prupose of ALL training manuals is to give the reader as much relevent material as possible and practical, and a mature verson should be able to very least be able to allow the reader to complete the duties expected of him if he has properly absorbed the material. The notion that it will take decades for fresh crews to get to grips with a ship even with proper training material is plain stupid (no offence), and a quick look at reality will easily provide ample evidence to the contrary. Take the introduction of a new ship class, the first crew might take a several years to get to grips with it, but crews on follow-on ships will find the transition far smoother and quicker, why? Is it because the first crew are pulled out of their duties to go on every subsequent ship and teach his counterpart everything or is it because the experience of the first crew is collected, distilled and put into revised training manuals so that subsequent crews can benefit from their knowledge without needed them to teach every last one of them in person?

    Just because you got lausy or no manuals does not mean that all manuals are bad, and manuals on carrier deck ops are amounst the most strick and precise anywhere by the nature of the task at hand.

    But as you seem to accuse me of not reading your post properly, the same thing aplyes to you in this one. I said in my previous post that the issue isen’t the chinese skills of operating the ship itself, but how well they can operate the carrier operations in whole package, including the aviation assets over sea.

    Oh have I? Operating planes from carriers will be different from operating them on land, obviously, but that does not make the operations so different and alien that past experience from land ops cannot help to add in the ‘little things’ that manuals might noy include.

    In here I cannot agree with you. Carrier aviation operations differences alot of those in made in ground. it’s almoust silly to state othervise. Why did russians spend almoust two decades to learn the stuff when they certainly knew how to operate Flankers in ground? You cannot expect that the experience of russians or brazilians will pass directly to chinese. They MIGHT sell some manuals or send some advisors, but it wont make the fact that chinese will need at least a decade to get everything run properly dissapear.

    I see you have totally aviod the FACT that the russians were majorly cash-striken during that two decades. How many flight hours did the managed to clock in those two decades? Hell, how many of those two decades did the carrier spent at sea at all?

    Aditionally, the Russians had to pionier everything themsevles, the PLAN won’t. The russians have already demonstrated in the past that they are willing to sell training with their hardware, so why not again, with a major order for Su33s at stake.

    And also, when did it become a ‘fact’ that the PLAN will need a decade, ‘at least’, to get a carrier running properly? The 10 years was just a number I chose as my most pessmistic expectation of how long it will take the PLAN to get a carrier up and running assuing they had to learn everything themselves and that they are all an astonishing dumb bunch of idiots. When did that speculation gain factual status? :rolleyes:

    But isen’t this thread purpose to compare these two from our armchair admirals point of wiev? Ofcourse both indian and Chinese officals thinks these sort of silly compare “which is better” issues are completely unimportant and irrelevant to real life.

    That is assuming that in some distint future AFTER both ships went into active service. There never was any timeframe.

    I’m well awere of the russian situation after soviet collabse, but it’s hardly any excuse. If the carrier program would have had more funds directed to it, i still doupt the time of learning all the stuff would have been considerably narrower, perhaps few years…But then you have to remember that Russian/soviets had operated aircrafts overseas since 1974…So not all was new to them, unlike to china…

    Please, thats just desperate. They didn’t even have the money to send the ships to sea or give their pilots much hell, they didn’t even have the money to stop their ships rotting away at ancher, but they somehow managed to find the funds to pioner fastjet ops on carriers? Find me one source that said that the fall of the USSR had so little an effect on their carrier ops that its ‘hardly any excuse’ for spending two decades getting their carrier fully operating.

    in reply to: China's News, Pics and Speculation Part 9 #2600505
    plawolf
    Participant

    What I find interesting is the absence of the wingtip missile rails. Have the design been revised or will those be added later?

    in reply to: Kuznetsov vs Vikramaditya #2057483
    plawolf
    Participant

    Ofcourese chinese wont trow infantry soliders to run Carriers, nor is the question anyway that chinese wount be abvle to handlle the ship as ship. The question is, how much china needs to be able to operate the carrier’s airwing properly? And how big lead India enjoys in this field. China haven’t operated any sort of fixed wing aviation onboard carriers and India have, period. There is no excaping of it, and stating that India doesen’t really enjoy any advantage is living in petty denyal.

    Again, I must ask if you have actually read my posts properly. Throughout, I have never tried to deny the fact that the IN enjoys a considerable advanatge in terms of its carrier ops experience, so where did this ‘denyal’ stuff come from?

    You mentioned the high stakes on carrieroperations, thats true. But you cannot expect chinese to just miracleosly adopt properly fuctioning airdeck operations by just simply reading books…They need to learn it from the hard way, just like Indians had to learn it in the sixties. Now Indians haven’t operated the STOBAR system before and making the Gorky fully operational takes time. But it wont take as much time as chinese have to consume as Indians already knows the “little things”, the overall flexibility to ensure the airoperations goes as planned. There is no other way to learn those than expereince, and China doensen’t have it, India have it.

    I am not a little astonished by some of the sentement expressed above, the most basic foundation of human civilisation is our ability to learn from past experience and avoid making the mistakes of our predecessors, and the key to that is WRITTEN language and not word of mouth. The superority of the written text over mental recollection and verbal expression is manyfold and comprehensive. Memory fades, some people are better at articulating their ideas and thoughts then others etc. But a text well ‘never’ fade and always express itself in a clear and procise manager that the vast majority of humans can understand with perfect clarity. Operation manuals that have evolved over the course of decades are in effect the collection of distilled knowledge and experience of generations of seamen. The whole point of going to the trouble of making a manual in the first place is so that future generations can avoid the exact ‘make the same mistakes and learn it all the hard way’ pitfall you insist the PLAN have to suffer.

    As I have said before, the PLAN is not alien to the requirements of operating large warships, and much of that knowhow is directly transferable from destroyers to carriers, just as much of the funderamental flying skills learnt in a turboprop trainer can be applied to advanced multi-role jet fighters.

    And of course there are things that will be completely new to the PLAN, but it will not be so fundamentally different that past experience in other fields cannot to ‘imported’ and adapted. Maintaining a jet in the hanger of a carrier is not that different from doing the same job on land; storing and moving munitions and fuel on a carrier is not that different from doing the same on land etc. Add to that the fact that those procedures that are most unfamiliar, namely, deck ops, have extremely detail and procise operating procedures that I have no doubt would be recorded in excessive detail in a whole host of manuals and handbooks. That is because those ops are high-risk and cannot leave anything to chance or leave ambiguities, as even tiny errors have led to major accidents or problems in the past. Reading and following those manuals will allow PLAN crews to know all the most critical elements needed to get things running smoothly without incident. And the little things like, ‘spitting into the exhaust of an Su33 is a bad idea’ etc, Im sure they would be able to figure out for themselves quickly enough.

    But if we look the issue in bigger scale, there is only one way that china could narrow this lead that India enjoys, and that is to get the Varyag operational before Gorky…Gorshkov should be ready in 2010, but Indian warship building industry (as the final refitting is supposed to carry out in Indian shipyards) is know for it’s long building times and lacking behind schedules so who knows? If China can get Varyag operational in let say, 2008? Then there is theoretical few years plus to chinese. But then again is few years making any difference? Russians had Kuznetsov running trials since later part of the eighties, but it was only in 2003-5 when the airoperations were fully in hand…

    Why would the PLAN care when the Gorky is ready? The activities of the IN is, to be honest, something they couldn’t care less about right now. The PLAN’s primary concern is Taiwan and the Yellow Sea, that is why I am highly spectical of the notion of them getting the Varg into frontline service – there is just no justification for the costs such a venture would need, as it does not add any significant improvement to the PLAN’s ability to meet the threats and challenges they are likely to encounter in the above mentioned regions. It is possible that the Varg will be put into service as a training carrier for PLAN crews to gain real operation experience as part of the PLAN’s long term modernisation plan (whicn includes a blue water navy with carriers), but it seems a little too early for that right now judging by the stage where the PLAN is right now, put in another way, the PLAN have more important things to do with its money and people.

    As for russian experience, well Im sure you know that that is a highly misleading and unrepresentative example considering the fact that the period in question is the exact same time when the USSR imploded and soviet/russian military budgets dried up, resulting in major setbacks and delays to ALL projects of the time.

    in reply to: Kuznetsov vs Vikramaditya #2057553
    plawolf
    Participant

    Training of artillery mens is not done by books, it’s done by making them go trough hell with hammering, piggye carrying, endless fireposition rallyes and so on… :diablo: Like i said, the NCOs and officers go trough some sort of non-straight-forward-military trainings, but normal grunts like i just practiced the real things…So i guess you misunderstud me. Finnish army have very sophisticated training methods and i’m sure a hell of lot of academic work is done to achive the level that we currently enjoy. But my point was that not all is learned from manuals or operational protocols. Practice is often very differnet.

    Thanks for clearing that up, I was beinging to wonder. :diablo:

    In there i agree you…operating warship is bit difference than artillery battery…But you missed my orginal point. Like i said in the first time, the things not in the manuals are so called little things, but those things may very well be the cruisal elements of how fast we could set our howitser to firing position. Things like, what to do if the radio wires aren’t connecting due heavy rain or -30 degree tempature, How to carry ammunition boxes which has no haddles, or how you can fire trough misty optical aiming devices….little things that isen’t written to any manuals, but can cost us several minutes if we wouldn’t know the proper shortcuts…

    That all well and good, and I really fail to see why we are still at this since we are both effectively saying the exact same thing! The most important things are recorded in manuals, and is left out is of a non-critical nature, though prolonged hands-on experience is needed for true mastery.

    Lets not forget the fact that we are not talking about the Chinese pulling randoms out of the infantry and putting them in the carrier, the PLAN have been operating warships for decades, and there will be a huge amount of overlap in the basic shipborn operations between carriers and any other sizeable warship. Just because it is a carrier does not mean that everything on the ship behaves in some strange new way, so experienced veterin crews should be able to ‘import’ much of their past experience with them. The fundermental differences are in deck ops and hanger ops have very specific and tightly followed operating rules and procedures – they a have to be because of the dangers involved, many men have lost their lives doing things differently or forgetting to do things right. The military don’t leave room for error when the stakes are so high.

    in reply to: Kuznetsov vs Vikramaditya #2057581
    plawolf
    Participant

    Well Garry did neatly ignore the second sentence of the first post which states the real reason for the whole thread. 🙂 All a bit silly really since there are a lot of things about Vikramaditya’s fittings etc we don’t yet know and the final purpose the Chinese have for the ex-Varyag is still pretty much anybody’s guess. She may not even have engines so all that stuff about staying out range of MiG-29Ks while attacking with Su-33s could so much crap 🙂

    Daniel

    I have seen quite a few desperate and shameless acts people could do to try and win an argument, and this is certainly right up there with the best of them.

    ‘Never mind the fact that the Su33 outranges the Mig29k, I say that even if the PLAN does patch the Varg up and put her into service, they will not put engines in her, so the Mig29K is superior! Hurah! I win! HAHA!’

    in reply to: Kuznetsov vs Vikramaditya #2057586
    plawolf
    Participant

    To plawolf…

    The things i was refering from my army days were those things that you just cathc up, from older conscripts or fellow soldiers who hear it from others and so on. It’s hard to explain to someone not served, but if you have, you know what I mean

    I never saw any actual manual, so everything we learned came form either the drill instructors or from conscript-trainers (junior sergants). Althoug they have certainly been teached via manuals and so on, lots of the stuff, exspecially from the conscript-trainers were exactly those “little things”, stuff that they had learned from their trainers and those learned from theirs and so on…
    The “little stuff” is usually the “operational update” to manuals, eg. as manuals so often have nothing to do with practice, you need to learn who things are done in real life from some other ways. In artillery, and exspecially serving with soviet howitsers, the information and knowhow coming outside the manuals were extremely cruisal and were the base of the operational effectivness. In basics the same issue was when we changed to the new finnish gun-howitser. As it was brand-new and filled with minor child-ilnesses, we usually had to adopt a completely different operation methods that was printed in the manuals. As we were one of the first to use that gun, those adoptions that we made passed on to the next conscription patch and the experience is passed on…but not in the manuals.

    Well I am very suprised to hear that, and if I were in your shoes, I would have taken this up with the highest authority I could find. Such inadequite training material is a major hinderence and WILL cost soilders their lives in combat. Also, I have serious misgivings about this ‘culture’ of informal or ‘organic’ recording of basic operating procedures. Just as well you guys didn’t fight in a war, or else you might very well have ended up like the Japanese did in the pacific – they had, arguably, the best pilots and carrier crews in the world when they attacked pearl, but because their pilots stayed in frontline servive instead of going home to pass on their experiences to the next gen of pilots (and presumably didn’t have time to help write new training manuals), the skills and experience they learnt died with the men, and the americans had turkey shoot after turkey shoot after the original batch of pilots were whittled away.

    The difference between the serivces also seem to be greater then I thought, well, in your case at least. Eggheads might be at a loss to write up useful operating manuals for infantry in the field, but the artifical environment of a warship is their world – they did, after all, design and build the thing from scratch. So I would be willing to bet good money that manuals for warship ops would be a great deal more useful then that for the infantry. You would certainly not find any service who claim to be half professional running a warship like the way you have described how things got done in your unit!

    in reply to: Kuznetsov vs Vikramaditya #2057673
    plawolf
    Participant

    That isen’t entirely true. It’s for fact that experience is tied to person, but the experience and skills are gained somehow and that first hand knowlidge and knowhow is passed on othervise than just in manuals.
    If you have been in the army, you know what i’m talking about. For instance during my service, I quite quickly adapted several little things of everyday “survivor” exspecially those applyed in the outdoor training (eg. be in the “woods”) When i later own talked these things with my Fahter, he just laughed and told that they did the exact same things back in the early 70’s when he was in army…So things, little things that ultimately makes the difference passes on althoug none smart-ass byrocrat haven’t writen them down to some manual…

    So, did you make this ‘adaptions’ yourself, or did your serg show you how to do it?

    As for the ‘little things’ that people learn from each other from practical experience, well, I always took that as a granted, hence my emphysis on the importance of real hand-on experience.

    As for doing things differently from what the manual says. Well people always find little ‘tricks’ and ‘better’ ways to do something then what the manual says, but that is a very dangerous approach. Many of the factors taken into account when writing the manual might not be appreciated by a lowly crewman who only has his own little task to do, if he do things differently, it might save him a few seconds, but it might add to someone else’s workload or place himself and/or others in greater danger in case something goes wrong. I supposed that is a major difference between infantry and navy. In the infantry, soilders/units operate largely independently, and how they do things don’t matter all that much as long as they get the job done, but in the navy, often there is no other way to do something, and individuals trying to cut corners may well cost lives or doom the ship itself in combat.

    If you were refering to the little ‘routines’ that people develop from long practice, well anyone who have been doing a job for any length of time will develop some formula that he/she thinks will help to improve efficiency/person comfort/minimise time spent etc, but such ‘rituals’ are organic in nature, and what works for one person may not for another, so even if an old-timer did teach his replacement everything he learnt, the replacement may well choose not to adopt some of them, which are lost, but the replacement may well develop some little ‘tricks’ of his own instead. But the most important factor is that the most successful of these little personalised ‘operating manuals’ are usually adapted into the formal training manual itself after time, anything left out will not be of a critical nature, meaning that a carrier crew will be able to function perfectly well without them. That is also not considering the fact that many of the ‘tricks’ would be highly specific to a ship or operation, and moving to a new ship or the introduction of new equipment will make many of them useless.

    But, alas, I am getting way too deep into this, the point is that anything not in the manual will not be of a critical nature, and not having that knowledge is not a major hinderence, especially since your own crew will likely develop similar methods all of their own accord after a few years of service.

    …So you cannot minimalize the expereince that Indians enjoy in this field. I belive that none here is stating that Chinese will be doomed for inferior carrier operations, but it’s undenyable fact that they have to learn a lots of thing from the scrahts..just like Indians did when they bough the Vikrant decades ago…

    Really, refer to post 33 then. But anyways, once again I wonder if you have read my post. When did it state that you can learn everything you need to know from a manual? My point is that the most important and critical lessons that a navy has learnt from its past experiences of operating carriers would have been recorded in manuals. That is the most important thing that past carrier operating experience can teach a navy. All the other little details about the nitty gritty part of actual operation will be learnt after a few years of carrier ops, and that is a far cry from ‘using a sub for the first time’ or ‘riding a bike for the first time’ analergies I have seen been thrown around to describe the step-up.

    in reply to: Kuznetsov vs Vikramaditya #2057713
    plawolf
    Participant

    No offence taken. But I feel I must point out some things which you have missed in my post, and have repeated again.

    2. Experience gained is never lost. That is a fundamental misconcpetion. A deck crew chief has spent his life on the carrier, there is no other place for him to go. His eventual replacement started as a deck hand and will replace him. Along the way he has absorbed the crew chiefs knowledge and added some more of his own. He will pass this to his successor and so on. Thats how experience is passed on in real life. The navy is already training the next crew chief once a new one is appointed. I fail to see how this continuity of experience can ever be lost? This is the case with officers too. It would be foolish for any navy to wait for a crew member to retire before training his/her replacement.

    It takes far more then a crew chief to run a carrier, I was refering to the crew as a whole. When old crewmen leave and new ones come in, there is a re-learning process, and usually regular crewmen are replaced with a rookie fresh from the accademie, who, if lucky, might get a few weeks to shadow his predicessor, but often they are only brought in to replace someone after they have gone. Although it is rare for large proportions of a crew to need replacing at the same time, so this should not impare combat efficiency.

    Also, you and I seem to be working with different interpretations of what ‘experience’ amounts to, I am using experience to describe the actual practical experience of doing something for real instead of reading about it from a manual, whereas you seem to be operating from the point that ‘experience’ is the sum of what has been learned while doing the task, which I have classed under ‘knowledge’.

    Furthermore on the one hand while you accept there is an knowledge gap which may take ~3-10 years to cover (which is what I said more or less), but on the other you say “Knowledge is recorded in manuals, and manuals can be bought”, thereby implying such knowledge can be gained and instantly applied to carrier operations by talking to others, instead of gaining it for oneself.

    Again, I think the different interpretations of ‘experience’ can help explain the confusion. I am suggesting that you can readily buy the bulk of the knowledge and lessons learnt by others from decades of carrier operations and teach that to your own people as easily and effectively as recruits are trained in navies that have operated carriers before. However, there is the practical element that can only be mastered after prolonged hands-on operational experience. I am saying that it is one thing to learn things on paper and another to put that into operation. I estmate that it will take 3~10 years for a fresh crew to be broken in to carrier ops and to become truely proficient. There is also allowances in that time frame for the eventuality that the russians might have held back a little in what info they are willing to supply, and also to allow for planners and commanders to test the abilities of the carrier and fine-tune their operating tactics and doctrine.

    I’m really not sure what the thrust of your debate is? If you have already conceeded to the gap and agree that it may take ~3-10 years to catch up, aren’t you more or less in agreement with my post?

    As regards proponents of the IN, I really don’t take this as a mine is bigger than yours. Its my opinion – feel free to disagree.

    My point is that the emphysis on ’45 years of carrier op experience v 0′, particularly the emphysis on 45 years is over-stating the difference. And I also fail to see the point in bring up the difference in the first place. We were never talking about current capacity, and if you are allowing for years if not up to a decade for the ships to enter service, why not factor in a few more years from the crews to get familiar with the ship before this face-off? Surely you are not suggesting that a future PLAN carrier be pressed into combat the second it is out of the yard? After all, the IN has not done anything ground-breaking or spectacular in its 45 years of carrier ops to give it any significant knowledge-based advanatge, its strength is in being able to operate carriers efficiently. But as soon as a PLAN crew become proficient in carrier ops, that advantage is mostly wiped clean and crew quality differences is hardly note-worthy.

    As for taking this as a pi$$ing contest. Well right from the start I pointed out that I personally doubt that the PLAN will ever put the Vang in front line service, at best it will act as a training carrier for PLAN crews to train in proporation for the arrival of new-built Chinese carriers, so all of this is moot to start off with. I am merely pointing out the flaws in the arguments of some here who seem to be trying to deflect the discussion away from the capabilities of the ships and planes (because they know the Vang and the longer ranged Su33 has a distinct advanatge), and shift it to the dubious area of crew quality and past experience.

    in reply to: China's News, Pics and Speculation Part 9 #2602137
    plawolf
    Participant

    More L15 pics. Notice the intake.

    in reply to: China's News, Pics and Speculation Part 9 #2602165
    plawolf
    Participant

    http://in.news.yahoo.com/060404/43/63box.html

    “Hong Kong customs officials foil plot to smuggle MiG”

    Tuesday April 4, 01:39 PM
    By DPA

    Hong Kong, April 4 (DPA) Customs officials at Hong Kong’s container terminal Tuesday reportedly foiled an attempt to smuggle a MiG-29 fighter jet through the territory.

    The MiG-29, hailed as a highly effective fighter jet of its day, went into production in the former Soviet Union from the late 1960s onwards and was mostly exported to ally states around the world.

    Very interesting, any news on where this Mig was heading to and what will become of it now? Where it came from would also be interesting to know. Can’t really see any half decent AF not noticing a missing Fulcrum.

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