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BlackArcher

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  • in reply to: Saab Gripen & Gripen NG thread #3 #2259750
    BlackArcher
    Participant

    Brazil is going to develop the 2 seater version. I don’t follow how the cost of development work to be done by Brazil (the cost of which is unknown) could be part of the contract with SAAB.

    exactly- the cost of development cannot be included in a contract where Brazil is paying Saab. That will have to be borne by Brazil when that work starts.

    What can be included is the cost of IP that will be transferred from Saab to Brazil so it can go ahead and develop the Gripen F.

    in reply to: Saab Gripen & Gripen NG thread #3 #2259756
    BlackArcher
    Participant

    We’ll have to wait until Brazil and Saab see fit to release the details, but it will be hard to tell how much go to what. We know that it must include some logistical support, but we don’t know how much and how long, for example. We know that it includes some IP, but I don’t think we’ll ever know how the IP is priced, etc. We currently have no idea how much weaponry is included there. Etc.

    So you say that that it was as high as Rafale’s offer. It is also higher than the supposed $4.5 billion that FAB originally said. FAB says that it’s due to negotiations regarding updates in the design, but they are not saying what those updates are. Do we know what the updates are? We don’t. Do we know whether Rafale would need those updates had it been chosen? We don’t know because we don’t know what those updates are. If Rafale ends up needing those updates, how much will the price go up? We don’t know, because we don’t know what those updates are. If we don’t know about the details we can’t really say much about the cost beyond “that’s a lot of money” and that isn’t very useful, because it isn’t about whether it’s a lot of money or not (defense isn’t cheap, it always requires a lot of money), but what Brazil is getting for that money.

    Mind you, I would love it if Brazil gives us more details. That’s why I check this thread every day.

    well, as I see it, you have no idea what has gone into the contract which leads to a unit cost of $150 million per Gripen E. And while the cost of support and initial maintenance contracts will likely be included in the total cost, these also have to be taken into account when talking about whether a particular aircraft is affordable or not.

    I don’t see any hints at weapons being included in this contract cost, although there is a high likelihood that there will be other equipment included such as recon pods, laser designators and such. Perhaps integration related costs for Brazilian weapons, but no separate weapons packages seem to have been included, although that is a gut feeling for me, just as your reply is also based purely on gut feel.

    The only cost that I would say can be discounted for other possible customers is the cost of transfer of technology. But for any other prospective customer, the $150 million per unit figure will be the the ball park figure. Even if you remove those costs, and say that works out to $50 million per unit (too high, but just assume that), that’s shaving $1.8 billion off the contract cost, which still works out to $100 million per unit. Still VERY STEEP for a single engine light-medium weight fighter.

    It definitely isn’t the affordable solution that it is touted to be. F/A-18 E/F would cost less to acquire, going by the RAAF acquisition of 24 Super Hornets.

    in reply to: Saab Gripen & Gripen NG thread #3 #2260083
    BlackArcher
    Participant

    You have been around long enough to know that you can’t just divide the package cost with the number of units and conclude anything from the resulting number.

    Yes I know you cannot do that. But perhaps we could find out what this package consists of to make the costs so high. And what do you mean by “conclude anything from the resulting number”? This $5.4 billion is as high a figure as was being talked about for Rafales!

    in reply to: Saab Gripen & Gripen NG thread #3 #2260089
    BlackArcher
    Participant

    Anyone already posted that? (Vianney Riller nterview, a brazilian independent test pilot who flew Gripen testbed) (subtitled)

    What is he trying to say? Couldn’t understand what his point was

    in reply to: Indian Missiles News #1788306
    BlackArcher
    Participant

    http://ibnlive.in.com/blogs/sauravjha/2976/65425/indian-army-air-defence-futures.html

    Saurav Jha’s article on Army Air Defence:

    – IA has settled for wheeled launchers for Akash after experimenting with tracked launchers.
    – Akash standard battery = 1 nos 3D CAR + 1 nos Rajendra 3D BLR + 1 nos BSR + 4 launchers (3 missiles each) and a c4 control center
    – Akash autonomous mode = 1 additional BLR.
    – Akash group mode = 4 batteries report to a C4I control center covering up to 5000 sq Kms.
    – Army’s RFI for MRSAM is dead, role filled in by Akash, many more orders for Akash expected.
    – Akash 2 range 37 km, possibly with an active seeker.
    – Sosna-R purchase likely to replace Strela (article unclear about the status)

    – The QR-SAM procurement was supposed to be DRDO-MBDA maitri Vs Tor Vs SpyDer, but now Maitri is as good as dead. At present an indigenous QR-SAM is being pursued.
    – IA considering upgrade of L-70, ZU-23-2B guns being offered by L&T and Punj Lloyd. BEL executing upgrased for ZSU-23-4 guns and Tunguska might get upgraded as well. The BEL upgrade will allow Shillka to be networked like Akash and Sosna-R.

    Janes had reported on the Sosna-R purchase a couple of months ago..

    AAD Sosna nears production


    The Sosna mobile short-range air-defence system will complete its firing trials later this year and production will start for India in 2015, according to Dr Vladimir Slobodchikov, the managing director of technical sciences at Russia’s Nudelman Precision Engineering Design Bureau (KBtochmash).

    “There is a final series of trials that will happen in October,” he told IHS Jane’s at the Africa Aerospace and Defence (AAD) show held in Pretoria on 17-21 September.

    Slobodchikov described the Sosna as the “the last line of defence” against aircraft, precision weapons, and lightly armoured ground targets.

    It uses the same Sosna-R two-stage missile that is used with the company’s Palma naval air defence system, which is in service with the Russian and Vietnamese navies.

    This had a range of between 1 and 10 km, Slobodchikov said, and carried two warheads, together weighing 7 kg, and two fuzes. The first rod-fragmentation warhead was to destroy proximity targets, while the second fragmentation warhead was for destroying targets on impact.

    Each Sosna vehicle had 12 ready-to-fire missiles and could be reloaded in 12 minutes, Slobodchikov said.

    ..

    KBtochmash displayed a model of the Sosna mounted on a MT-LB armoured carrier at AAD, but Slobodchikov said any vehicle of the same size could be used. He said he did not know what vehicle the Indian military would use with its Sosnas.

    in reply to: Saab Gripen & Gripen NG thread #3 #2260230
    BlackArcher
    Participant

    Comparative Table Brazil / Switzerland

    width: 500 class: grid align: center
    [tr]
    [td][/td]
    [td]Type[/td]
    [td]Number of Gripen NG[/td]
    [td]Amount of Contract (Billions)[/td]
    [td]Unit Cost (millions)[/td]
    [/tr]
    [tr]
    [td]Brazil[/td]
    [td]Gripen E/F[/td]
    [td]36[/td]
    [td]Us$ 5.4[/td]
    [td]US$ 150[/td]
    [/tr]
    [tr]
    [td]Switzerland[/td]
    [td]Gripen E[/td]
    [td]22[/td]
    [td]US$ 3.297[/td]
    [td]US$ 150[/td]
    [/tr]

    By the same unit cost from Switzerland the Brazil would have enclosed in its contract:

    • a new production line that will be installed in Brazil
    • development of the new Gripen F in Brazil
    • financial resources to keep the production line in Brazil with rate of the 3 aircraft’s per year for five years

    I do not know if this condition are in the Brazil contract, but it would be interesting to find out if there will be prototypes of the Gripen F, since so far it seems to me the Gripen F as the same unit cost of the to Gripen E , so I have a little suspect that the Gripen F should have a unit cost higher than Gripen E because the Gripen F will be a more complex aircraft than the Gripen E.

    Can anyone see any possibility of cancellation of this production line in Brazil with only 15 Gripen NG scheduled so far?

    that unit cost is truly staggering! Found it hard to believe that Brazil agreed to pay $5.4 billion for 36 Gripens with some ToT and help in setting up a separate assembly line. Even taking into account the costs of the assembly line distributed over a small order of 36 jets (and I’m sure that only a portion of those costs are included, since there will be costs that Brazil will have to absorb, and not pay to Saab), $150 million unit price for the Gripen E makes it as expensive as an F-35!

    And then forum posters talk about it as being an affordable Western solution. Strange indeed.

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2260267
    BlackArcher
    Participant

    I have to agree with Nic, the LCH is ugly like hell. Not sure why but the proportions of the thick fusesage section with the fixed landing gear are just horrible.
    Purely aesthetically I like the new T129 ATAK and, to my surprise, the WZ-10.

    WZ-10 has a thick fuselage section and fixed landing gear as well..and the T-129ATAK is nothing more than a modernized A129 Mangusta. and to offset the deep fuselage on the LCH, the cross section is really narrow.

    but no point in arguing over this..aesthetics do lie in the eye of the beholder.

    http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/85/PLAAF_Changhe_WZ-10_-_Jordan.jpg

    What is however, most important for the IA and IAF is that the LCH has been designed for high-altitude warfare, something most other attack helicopters have limitations with. The LCH should be able to even undertake operations at Siachin Glacier, the world’s highest battlefield..that would bring a quantum leap in offensive capabilities for the IA.

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2261109
    BlackArcher
    Participant

    Holy crap that thing is fugly.

    Nic

    Which one is a good looking gunship in your opinion?

    Anyway, pics of the cockpit.

    in reply to: World Missiles News #1788327
    BlackArcher
    Participant
    in reply to: Military Aviation News-2014 #2261506
    BlackArcher
    Participant
    in reply to: Military Aviation News-2014 #2261509
    BlackArcher
    Participant
    in reply to: Military Aviation News-2014 #2261511
    BlackArcher
    Participant
    in reply to: Military Aviation News-2014 #2261514
    BlackArcher
    Participant
    in reply to: Military Aviation News-2014 #2261515
    BlackArcher
    Participant
    in reply to: Military Aviation News-2014 #2261517
    BlackArcher
    Participant
Viewing 15 posts - 1,741 through 1,755 (of 3,242 total)