Infrastructure disruption – Iran may have a few reactors and some of these may be well protected, but I would hazard that the enrichment process is centralised on a few key sites and components, the destruction of the centrifuges required could be achieved realatively easy. This could be done by sabotage, or my a single, small strike which has little logistics tail (compared to a strike to take out halkf a dozen reactors).
If Israel took out the Iranian capabilities there might be a LOT of sabre rattling, but Saudia Arabia, Pakisatan, India and China would not exactly bust a gut to retaliate.
The Iranian Nuclear program is highly dispersed. You could probably hit key sites in the system and disrupt it’s efficiency, slow it down considerably, even slow it to a crawl for a while but I’d be disappointed if there was some single “spider at the center of the web” type facility that would completely bring the Iranian program to a halt if it were destroyed. One study estimated it would take an air campaign of between 1000-2000 sorties to do any significant damage to the Iranian nuclear program and that’s probably optimistic since the Iranians must be well prepared for this eventuality. Such an air campaign would leave the US (or Israel and thereby inevitably the US) effectively at war with Iran. These attacks would also be happening in the middle of the worst recession since 1929, with the USA having it’s hands full in Iraq and Afghanistan and it would destabilize the oil producing middle east (and Iraq/Afghanistan) at a time when nobody needs that to happen. People also tend to forget about the fact that the US fiscal situation is FUBAR. I doubt the USA can really afford the economic consequences of attacking Iran. There is fairly little chance of solving this dilemma with firepower and if a major air assault on Iran does happen anyway it is unlikely to do more than slow the Iranians down and reinforce their belief that they need a bomb.
Unexpected and welcome find – Nigerian FT-7NI Air Guard
http://www.airliners.net/photo/Nigeria—Air/Chengdu-FT-7NI-Air/1713454/L/
http://www.airliners.net/photo/Nigeria—Air/Chengdu-FT-7NI-Air/1712651/L/
http://www.airliners.net/photo/Nigeria—Air/Chengdu-FT-7NI-Airguard/1712568/L/&sid=d3e3c99255fcaef1dcd3ebac9b781854
http://www.airliners.net/photo/Nigeria—Air/Chengdu-FT-7NI-Airguard/1712489/L/and a brand new and amazingly looking A109E Power
http://www.airliners.net/photo/Nigeria—Air/Agusta-A-109E-Power/1712285/L/
http://www.airliners.net/photo/Nigeria—Air/Agusta-A-109E-Power/1712284/L/
Nice, here’s two more:
http://www.airliners.net/photo/Nigeria—Air/Chengdu-FT-7NI-Airguard/1705773/L/&sid=b9be3ac219ca74b30244fea847bcf87c
http://www.airliners.net/photo/Nigeria—Air/Chengdu-FT-7NI-Air/1706200/L/&sid=b9be3ac219ca74b30244fea847bcf87c
Any photos of the single seaters?
http://www.nigerianairforce.net/Events/AircraftInduction/Pix/pix13.jpg
http://www.nigerianairforce.net/Events/AircraftInduction/Pix/pix10.jpg
http://www.nigerianairforce.net/Events/AircraftInduction/Pix/pix9.jpg
http://www.nigerianairforce.net/Events/AircraftInduction/Pix/pix6.jpg
http://www.nigerianairforce.net/Events/AircraftInduction/Pix/pix5.jpg
http://www.nigerianairforce.net/Events/AircraftInduction/Pix/pix4.jpg
Not that much bigger but better than the thumbnails.
Unfortunately I have no pic’s but the document is the analysis of the Missile Combat Evaluation Trials. This document is still classified but for those in the know it is HQ/TS/7080/16/WEP. If you read the source from which tempestII got the pictures (ORAF’S) you can read more about it. There was no Omani connection other than perhaps a transfer of Rhodesian technology when a number of RhoAF personal joined the Omani AF.
ORAFs=Old Rhodesian Air Force Sods
Hehe… đ
Not sure why you chose to doubt me but the missiles are as I’ve stated. South Africa purchased 200 AIM-9B missiles from the USA, some of these were sold to Rhodesia. Taken from official documentation.
I know for a fact that the Rhodesians used the AIM-9B. I have seen an authenticated photo of a RhodAF Hunter carrying two of them. Unfortunately I do, however, not have access to official S-African or Rhodesian documentation so I have never been able to confirm the source of those missiles. There are numerous claims floating around about the source and type of the missiles used by the RhodAF. They have been claimed to have come from Oman, from South-Africa, it has been written that they were vanilla US made AIM-9B or S-African built V1,V2. The subject has been rather confusing. If you say you have documentation to proving they came from S-Africa stocks I’ll believe you, I’d actually be interested in further details on these documents.
I was expressing doubt, or perhaps rather surprise about your statement that they RhodAF Hunters carried the V3A/B since I have never seen one thus equipped. Another point is the HMS on RhodAF Hunters which I have never heard about. This is not to say such equipment wasn’t ever installed on RhodAF Hunters. Your statement is just news to me and I usually require more than just somebody’s word for something , i.e. V3A/B+HMS+RhodAF Hunters, before I believe it. If you can post a photo of a RhodAF Hunter packing a V3A/B I for one would be thrilled.
They were Sidewinder 9B’s and also South African V3’s ( Called Sidewinder 9J by the Rhodesians)together with South African HMS. All supplied by South Africa and fitted by TFDC.
What little I know about these early S-African missiles:
Based on the fact that the first variants of these missiles that appear to have seen any substantial degree of production was the V3B starting in 1979 and the fact that the missiles on that RhodAF Hunter depicted above are not V3A or V3B that narrows the possibilities. The missiles seen on the RhodAF Hunter depicted above could be a South African V1 or V2 or a US made Aim-9B. I won’t rule out that the Rhodesians may have gotten some V3As or even V3Bs but I haven’t seen one carried by a RhodAF Hunter yet. If anybody can post such a photo I’d be delighted.
From the top V3B, V3A, Aim-9B.
P.S. I wasn’t aware of the fact that the Rhodesians/Zimbabweans had two seat hunters until after 1979-80.
Thats actually Rhodesian, it was fitted out in South Africa…
According to some soruces these Winders were S-African made clones of the Aim-9B known as the Voorslag-1 or V1. It’s equally possible the Rhodesians got them from the Omanis with whom they did quite a bit of business. The Omani hunters were incidentally also wired up for Sidewinders although the ones in these photos are of a later type than the Aim-9B:


I would then look for as many turboprop aircraft as possible – they may not be glamorous, but they have then endurance and speed to deal with these. Having radar equipped fighters may not be the solution – spotting a terrain hugging light aircraft may not be easy.
I agree… and you are correct in that spotting terrain hugging light aircraft isn’t easy. One will quickly find one self needing some form of AEW asset. As I have pointed out before đ tracking and intercepting light ground hugging (smuggler) aircraft has been done in S-America quite effectively for years now by a combination of small turboprop or jet trainers or COIN aircraft like the Tucano, PucarĂĄ, AT-37 and very basic AEW assets. Some S-American air forces have used US owned and operated aircraft for the AEW part, the Colombians for example operate their own US supplied C-26 metroliners fitted with an APG-66 radar and a FLIR pod to track drug smugglers and vector gun equipped trainers in to intercept them. As for ground defenses: heavy machine guns, possibly MANPADs and night vision goggles are also more likely yield success against these nuisance raiders than massive and expensive SAM batteries. Of course turboprop trainers don’t have the cool factor of a jet fighter but sending a F-7G after these Tamil aircraft (never mind a MiG-29) is like swatting flies with a sledgehammer.

Nice picture…. Is the streamlined bomb a Soviet/Russian M62 FAB or a locally made item?
Here is the reference on the K-13 armed MiG-17F:
10 May 1966, three North Vietnamese MiG-17s attack a SAR packet of two A-1Es Skyraiders and a HH-3C Jolly Green helicopter with two AA-2 Atolls IR missiles, near Yen Bai, about 85 miles northeast of Hanoi. One missile was fired at the HH-3 and one was fired at the Skyraiders, both missiles failed to track all the way to their intended targets. MiG driver must have been out of the Atollâs envelope. Description: CPT Robert D. Furman, pilot of an HH-3, performed the deepest successful rescue into North Vietnam, to date, when he rescued a downed F-105 pilot, CPT Martin H. Mahot, 80 miles northwest of Hanoi (âMiGs Miss First Shots With Air-Air Missilesâ, The Washington Post, May 12, 1966, p. A1 (NC); âMekong Arms Ship destroyedâ, The Times (London), May 12, 1966, p. 1 (NC); Neil Sheehan, âMiGâs Fire First Missiles, But They Miss U.S. Planesâ, The New York Times, May 12, 1966, pp. A1 & A17; âVietnam Communiqueâ, Air Force Times, May 25, 1966, Vol. XXVI, No. 41, p. 4; âWorld Affairsâ, âVietnamese Warâ, Facts On File, Vol. XXVI, No. 1341, July 7-13, 1966, p. 249; âWorld Affairsâ, âVietnamese Warâ, Facts On File, Vol. XXVI, No. 1333, May 12-18, 1966, p. 169; âIndustry Observerâ, Aviation Week & Space Technology, June 20, 1966, p. 23; Jack Foisie, âAir, Navy Units Destroy Ship With Red Armsâ, The Los Angeles Times, May 12, 1966, pp. A1 & A11; âMiGs Fire Missilesâ, Aviation Week & Space Technology, May 16, 1966, p. 37).
That sounds interesting but I have learned take eyewitness accounts with a grain of salt. Especially if the sightings took place at high speeds while the eyewitness was being shot at. đ If it was really common practice to arm NVAF MiG-17/F-5 fighters with K-13 missiles then I would expect MiG-17/F-5 fighters packing K-13 missiles or at least K-13 pylons to feature very, very prominently in wartime NVAF photographs. They don’t, at least not in the material that is available to me. That doesn’t mean that NVAF MiG-17/F-5 fighters never carried the K-13. The NVAF converted several of it’s MiG-17/F-5 to carry bombs and rocket pods so it’s not unthinkable that they also upgraded some to carry the K-13 which wasn’t a particularly complex thing to do and the Vietnamese are resourceful people. In addition the NVAF may have recieved limited numbers of MiG-17 aircraft from the Soviets or Eastern European countries that had this capability already installed on delivery but these aircraft would have been comparatively few judgnign from available photographic material.
Any one have images of Vietnamese MiG-17 with AA-2 missiles?
I don’t think NVAF Mig-17s carried any K-13 missiles. At least I have never seen any photos of one. The K-13 was definitely carried by the MiG-21 and reportedly also by some Chinese supplied F-6 fighters. I have never seen a photo of a missile carrying F-6 or MiG-17/F-5 taken during the Vietnam War. If there are any I’d like to see some. There were variants of the MiG-17 capable of carrying the K-13, Cuba had some IIRC.
What, a threat like using airliners to carry out suicide attacks then?
The Tigers have threatened to do that? I know they have a traditional suicide squad equipped with explosive vests, car-bombs etc… but airliners?
What, a threat like using airliners to carry out suicide attacks then? Colombo airport has been attacked before – just ask SriLankan Airlines about their burnt out aircraft from a few years ago – and given the military assets based on the other side of the airport it was always going to be a target.
IIRC the 2001 attack was a ground assault not a Tiger air attack. When I said “…a threat most experts would have discounted as non existent not that long ago” I was talking about the Tigers doing air strikes. As in dropping bombs on a target from an airplane.
I wasn’t suggesting that what Sri Lanka needs is an E-3 nor was I suggesting that any shootdown involves a wide variety of AEW assets. However, there is a need for some kind of radar coverage to enable an intruder to be picked up and at low level. Does Sri Lanka have this? Possibly yes, possibly no. You can have all the fighters, armed trainers etc you like up in the air but if you have a low flying terrain hugging aircraft flying at night you might never know it’s out and about until it is too late.
And the sad fact is that they managed it once, which once too often.
And I was trying to point out that one can solve the AEW problem a lot cheaper than the price of an E-3 or even an EriEye equipped aircraft. The Colombians manage to successfully combine ground radars, entry level AEW assets and armed trainers to intercept light aircraft with AEW assets much less sophisticated than an E-3. At the moment the SLAF is missing not only an entry level AEW asset (which they may or may not need) but what’s worse they are missing a military grade ground radar judging from previous posts in this thread. So essentially the SLAF is even worse off than I thought.
And the sad fact is that they managed it once, which once too often.
Perhaps, but then again more people than just the SLAF leadership misjudged the Tigers ability to mount air strikes, however unimpressive they may be. I’d prefer to judge the SLAF from the strength of it’s response from now on, rather than judging it for failing to react to a thread most experts would have discounted as non existent not that long ago.
I assume you’re not aware of the fact that drug running light aircraft have been shot down fairly regularly by various air forces in South American using small jets like the A-37 or turboprops like the Tucano. Why should the K-8 be any different?
A Pucara or Bronco would be an even better solution than the K-8, although I don’t remember hearing that the SLAF operated any of either type.
Although quite expensive, something like the Brazilian ALX is a great aircraft to intercept light planes because with an NVG cockpit and fuselage mounted FLIR, it can engage intruding aircraft day or night.
Yes, I am well aware of that fact, thanks. I’m also well aware of E-3 AWACS and assorted other AEW assets being involved in such incidents – something that Sri Lanka doesn’t have.
Let’s not exaggerate. It is true enough that E-3 AWACS aircraft are involved in some of these S-American interdiction operations but a lot of them are done with AEW assets that are significantly less pricy than top-of-the-line AWACS aircraft. Having an E-3 is nice but for this job it’s hardly a perequesite. PhantomII is right, the K-8 is more than adequate for interception and there is a whole line of AEW systems that could coordinate them interception efforts and they are available for a fraction of the price of an E-3.
The problem is not lack of an available aircraft to shoot the Kiln down, it’s the early warning system.
Unless you happen to have an AWACS aircraft on hand these little planes are actually surprisingly difficult to track if the insurgent pilot knows what he’s doing and you don’t have 100% military grade ground radar cover of your country. The insurgents probably fly at very low levels and at night and into the bargain they are probably navigating using civilian GPS equipment and NV googles. Essentially the problem of tracking them is the same as South American air forces like the FAC and the FAP have had with drug traffickers for years now and the solution is the same. At a minimum the SLAF would need a command and control aircraft with a FLIR pod. Ideally they’d need one that also has a radar. The cheapest option would be something akin to the C-26Bs. A 40 million dollar US aid package to Colombia supposedly covered two C-26Bs (apparently converted second hand airliners) plus 12 small helicopters (ex USAF?), coms equipment, training and a shipment of ammunition. I can’t comment on whether or not that is an accurate indicator of what such surveillance aircraft cost. The next cheapest option would be what? A turboprop plane fitted with the EriEye? The Tamil tactic is actually a bit clever than it looks at first glance. With a minimum of expense they have done something that the SLAF must to respond to. However doing so will cost the Sri Lankan government significantly more money and effort than it costs the Tigers to stage these raids.