dark light

savage-rabbit

Forum Replies Created

Viewing 15 posts - 76 through 90 (of 306 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • in reply to: What is future of J-10? #2575052
    savage-rabbit
    Participant

    Countries such as Egypt seem to be more influenced by politics and finances than actual operational capabilities. They also seem to have a quantity over quality emphasis. Look at the relatively large numbers of basic F-7’s acquired in the past. These aircraft were probably not even as capable as the exisitng MiG-21MF’s but were still purchased to maintain numbers (I think local assembly also may have been involved).

    Given that they still have both rust bucket MiG-21’s and F-7’s shows that they still emphasise quanitity to some degree.

    To be fair, the Egyptians did upgrade those aircraft significantly back in the 1970s and 80s with western electronics (New HUD, IFF, communications gear, navigation suite, ECM pods…) and weapons including Sidewinder and apparently also R.550 Magic I misslies. So the MiG-21 and also the F-7B in Egyptian service was substantially better equipped than the standard Chinese F-7B export model. The Egyptians continue to operate these birds for the same reason it made sense to the the USAF to buy second hand Northrop F-5 from the Swiss and it’s not to use them as frontline fighters. Just like the USAF does with the F-5 the Egyptians use the remaining MiGs and F-7s aircraft for training which makes sense since they are cheap and losses are lightly felt so why not fly them as long as they will last?.

    in reply to: Rafale out of Norwegian contest #2575520
    savage-rabbit
    Participant

    well then why don’t you don’t buy anything and you will save a lot more money.
    :dev2:
    Really.. for its weapon system a country is better mantaining the system by itself and not depending on a different party.

    That’s hardly an issue for the Scandinavians. They already have tight cooperation going on all sorts of levels and have no reason to distrust each other. If some sort of work and technology sharing agreement between Norway and Sweden vis-a-vi the Gripen pans out it will be better for all concerned, especially if Denmark also joins up. The Scandinavians would be able to consolidate their defense and civil aviation industries much the other european nations did with EADS and Airbus and thus become more self reliant. You can argue endlessly that the F-35 being a better aircraft that the Gripen, which it is probably is, but a united Scandinavian defense industry is a much more valuable prize in the long term.

    in reply to: Northrop F-5 Public Domain Book Project #2577428
    savage-rabbit
    Participant

    Hi all,

    i’m looking for information about Northrop F-5/F-20 to be used in a public document that will be published in pdf and available to be downloaded in next december.

    All information would be welcome but specially those related with the number and description of F-5 ancestors (N-102 Fang, a naval version for the F-5, a fighter called Tally Ho, and maybe four more design studies).

    Photos and illustrations with proper authorization to be used in the book/document would be welcome too.

    Thanks

    What license will you be releasing the PDF under?

    in reply to: Last airborne gun battle? #2577883
    savage-rabbit
    Participant

    Flankers never carried R-60s

    Fair enough, I pulled that out of memory, Flankers and Fulcrums don’t interest me all that much. 😮

    In the Ethiopian-Eritrean conflict weren’t the pilots Russian vs Ukrainian mercenairies?

    No, not entirely. On the Ethiopian side MiG-21s and MiG-23s were flown by Ethiopian pilots and as far as I know the ErAF MB-339s were flown by Eritreans. All of these types were flown exclusively on A2G missions and quite a few MiG-21 and 23s were lost to Eritrean FLAK, the Eritreans have good FLAK crews. There also seems to have been a mix of natives and mercs flying choppers on both sides. I’m not sure what the ratio of native pilots vs. mercs was in the MiG-29 (ErAF) and Su-27 (EtAF) but reports seem to indicate that some senior native pilots on both sides were eventually certified on the Flankers and Fulcrums and flew along side the Russians and Ukrainians. That is how that MiG-29UB got caught with it’s pants down by marauding Su-27s in the first place, conversion training with an Eritrean student. You should head over to ‘acig’ they are better informed than I am, like I said before I find Flankers and Fulcrums rather booring.

    in reply to: Us Air Force obligated to keep aging planes #2579355
    savage-rabbit
    Participant

    re-wiring the airframes for bombing missions and adding bomb bay doors would surely be a headache, not to mention strengthening the fuselage or the whole airframe. i don’t know about the 747 version where it was added with laser/laser-beam capability, but must have been a headache adding such additional equipment that was not originally designed with.

    The concept of a B-747 has actually been seriously considered, I remember seeing the concpet drawings of a 747 with several internal cruise missile magazines. I don’t think rewiring the aircraft or redesigning it would be all that difficult. It is, however, a very old design and one wonders if it would be cost effective. When the USAF finally runs out of B-52’s wouldn’t it make more sense replace the B-52, if they still need a sub-sonic bomber, with an aircraft based on some jet-powered military transport?

    in reply to: Last airborne gun battle? #2581261
    savage-rabbit
    Participant

    When was the last incident of an air to air battle in which an aircraft was downed soley by cannon fire from an enemy ‘plane?

    AFAIK it was an Eritrean MiG-29UB shot down, reportedly on the 26’th of february 1999, by an Ethiopian Su-27S. There are some variations in the accounts of what exactly happened and I don’t know how accurate they are. From what I remember the story goes that the Flanker finished the UB off with a 30mm gun after hosing off several R-73 or R-60 missiles at the UB whose pilot skillfully evaded them all. It is worth noting that the Flanker was being flown by a female pilot. Although there have been numerous sucessful female fighter pilots, to the best of my knowledge, that was the first time a woman shot down an enemy aircraft in a dogfight while flying a super-sonic jet fighter.

    savage-rabbit
    Participant

    A bit like New Zealand letting Australia defend them eh? 😀

    I’m not arguing Hungary should abandon defence, but they should concentrate on providing a good, realistic force suited to their needs. If they want to develop a fast jet capability then they could save a lot of money by buying combat versions of aircraft like the L159 or Hawk. NATO and EU security is best served by political stability and effective border controls. NATO would probably be better served by telling the poorer members (no offence intended) to provide good domestic security forces and a border guard and let the bigger countries worry about air defence. Ultimately a single squadron of Grippens (great machine that it is) is a drop in the ocean.

    You make some valid points countries often go way overboard when procuring air force equipment. But also keep in mind that aggressive dictators and the wars they start don’t creep up on you slowly and predictably they can come as a complete surprise. A lot of European countries still haven’t forgotten how their complete lack of preparation allowed Hitler to walk all over them. After the great war they drastically cut down their air forces and their aviation industries and when it became imperetive to re-equip getting ahold of modern fighters and training up large numbers of pilots turned out to be something they couldn’t do in a few months. Especially if they didn’t even have a viable force of professional military pilots to serve as the core of the expansion. To make matters worse the few third party sources of modern military aircraft were booked solid since everybody submitted massive orders at once. The French even offered to finance the construction of a factory for Curtiss fighters at French tax payer expense so that their orders could be fulfilled in time. There is a cruel joke in the Scandinavian countries that The German army was sent to invade Norway but Denmark was occupied by the Hamburg firebrigade. While that is not an accurate description the ease with which Denmark was occupied by literally a hand full of German troops has still not been forgotten in that country and as a consequense the Danes maintain a strong core air-force even if there may not be an immediately apparent need for one. According to AFM they are even looking into replacing their F-16s with Typhoons at some point. If the Danes ever have to build up for war rapidly and expand the air force by a few squadrons in a single year or two that core air-force will be invaluable even if it seems to serve no purpose in times of peace. Spending on a core air-force in times of peace is kind of like insurance. Why insure your car? But then again where would Finland have been during the Winter War, which came as something of a surprise, if they had done like Denmark and maintained an air force that could be wiped out in a couple of airstrikes by a handful of Bf-110s? As it turned out their air force was prepared enough to give the Soviet a proper spanking and played a significant part in ensuring that Finland didn’t become a Soviet Republic.

    in reply to: SAAF Mirage F1-AZ's #2583707
    savage-rabbit
    Participant

    I thought that these were the only ones operational. 7 were delivered of which about 5 or 6 entered service. I think at least one has been lost

    I could be wrong though.

    No, mostly you are right there were between 4 and 7 aircraft delivered and apparetnly in rather bad condition. According to some sources they were from Poland according to others from Belarus. Perhaps the Ugandans have sourced MiG-21s from both countries. Apparently some of the Ugandan pilots refused to fly them because they had no log books but they have been flown by Russian contract pilots and Ugandan pilots have been sent to Israel and Eastern Europe for training. One of the Ugandan MiGs was definetly lost when it crashed into lake Victoria and of the rest at least one is a MiG-21UM/US trainer. The remaining aircraft were refurbished at IAI and fitted with flare dispensers and probably also with new ejection seats. I’m not sure whether this was just a refurbishment or whether it was the full MiG-21-2000 upgrade.

    in reply to: China's News, Pics and Speculation Part 9 #2590439
    savage-rabbit
    Participant

    Here’s another one. What’s this F-7M carrying on the left wing pylon?

    in reply to: SU-30MKP (Persian) ???????! #2590767
    savage-rabbit
    Participant

    As already mentioned though, Iran would be nuts to actually try to sink a carrier, since the response would almost certainly involve either widespread use of cruise missiles to cripple Iran (and its economy), or indeed may be nuclear. Even if Iran managed to produce a single nuclear device, and managed to hit Israel, the response would be at least 100 times as serious (they might manage a single 10 kiloton warhead, but would be on the receiving end of dozens of 100+ kiloton warheads). Any Iranian ‘success’ (hitting a carrier or hitting Israel) would give pyrhhic victories look like overwhelming successes!

    They are aiming at more than just one bomb. If I was Ahmadinejad I would not be happy with less than 10 of them and I would not play the nuclear-threat hand against Israel or anybody else until I had at least that many. What Iran is after is a kind of mini-MAD protection. Nuclear weapons would make Iran safe since they preclude any ground invasion of Iran by the USA and it’s allies unless they are in the mood for a tactical nuclear exhange which would involve irradiating some of the most vital economic assets on the planet. Iran with a tactical arsenal of 20 nukes makes war with Iran de facto unthinkable and President Ahmadinejad knows that. So long as the Iranians play the diplomatic game, get an entry-level nuclear capability and don’t do anything galactically stupid like sinking a US carrier their future as an Islamic fundamentalist state with membership in the A-bomb club is looking good.

    As for the need for Iranian oil, the trick to beating Iran is to invest in genuinely sustainable energy sources (TDP, Bio-fuels, synthetic fuels, shale and tar pit oil etc), and drop the nonsense about hydrogen. (One of the most accurate descriptions of hydrogen being that it will always be the fuel of the future, i.e. it will never actually arrive)

    True but that is what the Germans call ‘zukunfts musik’. Given the current US administrations stated opinion that the future lies in oil, coal, nuclear and possibly methanol it doesn’t seem all that likely. Alternative fuels are a non issue for the moment, least in the US, Europe has a different perspective.

    in reply to: SU-30MKP (Persian) ???????! #2590798
    savage-rabbit
    Participant

    I think if a US Carrier is sunk the popular impact would be tremendous but I don’t think that nuclear weapons would be used. Lt’s supose the CVN is actualy sunk inside the Persian Gulf, what does the USN do to it? Destroy it further to keep it’s unexploded (nuclear?) stockpiles from reaching ennemy hands? Or leave it there waiting a better moment to salvage any usable item left behind?

    It’s done with US fighters that fall behind enemy lines, but a CVN is much bigger and expensive. Even financialy a CVN loss woulde be a mighty blow, the last time I checked it carried a US$6Bi price tag on it, not counting the aircraft and weapons on board.

    Sinking a US Carrier would be a huge blow to the Americans. Most of all in terms of prestige, they would lose a huge amount of face. To play advocatus diaboli, if I was the Iranian leader I would be prepared to do anything to achieve this even if it meant sending fifty flankers out at once with orders fly their aircraft and their bombs into the carrier at high speed if that’s what it takes. The shock value of such an attack alone would make it worth while even if it fails. But even so I would only behave agressively if the Americans pushed me into a war which I don’t consider likely because of the effect that would have on oil prices. If I was Iran’s leader my strategy would be to provoke the Israelis once in a while to keep the religious and political hotheads happy but avoid a war with the USA at all costs. Iran currently seems to be playing for time with their participation in the nuclear negotiations which makes sense. The Iranians are no fools, they know that if they can manage build up a nuclear arsenal of 20-30 or so simple but robust nuclear weapons in the 10-20 kiloton range and set one of them off in an underground test to prove they have the capability they are basically as safe from the USA as they can be the moment the US geologists and their earthquake sensors confirm a nuclear detonation and pin down the location. The ensuing embargo would probably not be all that severe either since the USA and the World in general needs Iranian oil to flow.

    in reply to: China's News, Pics and Speculation Part 9 #2591691
    savage-rabbit
    Participant

    Should be the Jh-7A…
    Probably from a regiment of the 28th division

    Notice the missing HMS on the helmet? Not really designed for close combat…

    Yup, that sounds about right. For a moment there I thought it might be a J-7G 😮 the wrap around windscreen, the ugly row of bolts and the instrument panel layout makes those cockpits look somewhat similar. Here’s the Jh-7 back office:

    in reply to: China's News, Pics and Speculation Part 9 #2592004
    savage-rabbit
    Participant

    Any bids on what bird this cockpit belongs to?

    in reply to: Formiddable Oldies #2593006
    savage-rabbit
    Participant

    I don’t buy that. If you can get BVR capability on the cheap it makes sense, as you’ll have a significant tactical advantage over your adversary.

    I never said BVR is not worth while. I would always prefer a BVR capable fighter to an upgraded F-5, MiG-21 or an F-7 if I could afford it and if the level of threat justified it. I just tried to explain the way governments arrive at the conclusion that buying BVR capable fighters is not always financially justifiable. Keep in mind that:

    1. Your way of thinking is not necessarily the way the politicians do the math and they control the money. You need better arguments to persuade you government to buy BVR capable fighters than just the remote possibility that one of your neighboring countries with whom you have been on very friendly terms for the last 30 years just possibly might get some F-16s and invade your country. You have to point to a reasonable threat.
    2. A worth while BVR capable fighter is always going to be considerably more expensive than upgrading your golden oldies and aviation fans tend to very quickly lose track of how much more expensive BVR fighters are.

    If you already have a good number of MiG-21MF or bis fighters in good condition you can get a LanceR level upgrade for $4-5.5 million per aircraft depending on whether you go for a LanceR A or a full LanceR C upgrade. What was the unit price of the Bangladeshi F-7BG fighters? $5.5-6 million IIRC. The actual price is probably somewhere around $8 million for most customers and it rises to at least $10 million if you factor in training, spares, auxiliary equipment and weapons. One of the cheapest, new built, entry level BVR capable fightesr that doesn’t come with a heap of political strings attatched is the FC-1 who’s projected fly away price is what? c.a. $15 million, probably around $20 million or more per aircraft if you factor in training, spares, auxiliary equipment and weapons. Now, in an environment where nobody else has a BVR capability and nobody is likely to acquire it over the next 5-6 years upgrading MiG-21s, F-5Es and other golden oldies makes much more sense than shelling out 2 or 4 times the value of an upgrade or a new build F-7 on a BVR fighter. If you get a second hand F-16s you are at what? 30 million (and let’s not forget that you need permission from Washington to actually use them) and if you go for a state-of-the-art Flanker at $45 million for each unit that works out to about as much as upgrading 7 or 8 MiG-21bis fighters to LanceR C standard.

    in reply to: Formiddable Oldies #2596171
    savage-rabbit
    Participant

    Not to mention support . Would companies be making Parts for the Mig-21 in 2025 ?? Or for the F-5/F-4 for that matter? Add to all that the ever-increasing cost to maintain a jet that is 40-50 years old and to then put it against an opposition that is even somewhat up to date. having hoards of old Mig-21’s are useless say 10 years from now when those damn things become so old and problematic that the AF finds it hard to to put a substantial no. in the air at the time of need.

    Upgrading MiG-21s and F-5s is something that is usually done by air forces that have alot of them already, have done the financial math combined it with a threat analysis:

    • Who else has BVR capable fighters in sub Shaharan Africa? Answer: Hardly anybody.
    • Sho why do we need BVR? Answer: As long as we don’t plan to go to war with the ones who have BVR we don’t need BVR.
    • So why not replace the MiG-21 with the Hawk 200? Answer: We can get much the same juju out of a MiG-21-2000 upgrade that includes zero-timing the airframe and it will cost less than a new Hawk 200.

    So they decided that they might as well have the old birds zero timed, wired up for better IR missiles, possibly fitted with a HMS and fitted with a self defense suite (new RWR, IR flares and Chaff dispensers). In some cases like the Romanian Lancer they are given the ability to carry a laser designator pod and are fitted with a new radar and a stores management system. In each case you have a fighter that may not be able to carry BVR missiles but it will do the job of something like a Hawk 100 MB.339,K-8 etc., it is perfectly good for ground attack missions, it can handle air defense since it is capable of dealing with 80% of what you are likely to run into in your paticular region which includes other upgraded MiG-21s, F-5s, Hawks, MB.339s or overhauled MiG-23s and when armed with something like a Python 4 and a HMS it will absolutely slaughter helos like the Mil-8 Mil-24/35 and it will do so at a portion of the cost of a new machine of equivalent capability. Expect a lot of the air forces who are now upgrading F-5s, MiG-21s or buying new built F-7s today to replace them with something like a Hawk 200 series single seat variant of a two seat advanced trainer or a pocket F-16 like the JF-17 or KAI T-50 although at that time they will probably acquire low end BVR options.

Viewing 15 posts - 76 through 90 (of 306 total)