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YourFather

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  • in reply to: Point of view about the Super Hornet #2634472
    YourFather
    Participant

    Yes, but… Imagine now a conflict against, let’s say China (as much as I hope it never happens). The SH will have to strike ? I fear it will get chewed in bits by Flankers, J-10s, and others. Sure it will be able to deal with many airforces, but not with all of them… And that might be a problem for a Navy which is quite “Global”. Not even to say that the limited range will force to either have refuellers loitering very close to the borders, or to place carriers at risk.

    And what about modern fighters ? (J-10, J-11, Su 27 / 3x series?)

    I wouldn’t bet on this.

    SuperHornet getting chewed by the Flanker? Perhaps in the close-range dogfight, but even that’s debatable with the introduction of the JHMCS. At BVR, its avionics that matter more, and the SH excels in this department. In fact, with the current F-14D config vs the current F-18F config, the F-14D has a lesser chance of surviving an engagement with Flankers – the Tomcat isn’t even integrated with AMRAAMs IIRC. And when you compare the definitive SuperHornet version with AESA, all up IDECM, JHMCS and decoupled cockpits, its capabilities in A2G and A2A will be unmatched by the Tomcat. The only thing one can argue back with is with the “if the Tomcat was similiarly upgraded” statement, but I tire of these iffy statements, because we might as well say that “if the F-22 was navalised, then blah blah blah”. There’s ABSOLUTELY no point to getting into iffy debates.

    in reply to: Point of view about the Super Hornet #2635412
    YourFather
    Participant

    I used to be a super SuperHornet hater too, but after some time, I realised that my (and most people’s) objection to the plane was due to the loss of the F-14’s very impressive long-range A2A capabilities in the form of the Phoenix, as well as its sub-Tomcat flight performance. However, the SH will be getting the range-improved C7 (or is it C8) AMRAAM capability, which will bring back the long-range interception capability somewhat (there are doubts about the Phoenix’s long range capability vs fighter sized targets anyway, much as I hate to acknowledge it). Also, with BVR combat much more likely to take place nowadays, its massive improvement in avionics capability over the Tomcat should be somewhat comforting. Of course, one could say that if the Tomcat was upgraded with the same avionics, then *insert what you want here*, but there’s no point talking what ifs. Overall, the SH is, contrary to what many say that a step back in capability, actually a big step forward in capability available to the commander. I love the Tomcat a lot, but its time to get over the sentimentality.

    in reply to: JSF, stud or dud? #2636215
    YourFather
    Participant

    Thw X-35 was declared to have slightly better performance than the X-32 during the post-competition briefing, IIRC.

    in reply to: Russian attack capabilities #2052703
    YourFather
    Participant

    Proliferation fears spark interest in sea-skimming weapon

    The US Navy is considering acquiring Russian NPO Mashinostroyenhe P-900 “Alfa” supersonic sea-skimming missiles for conversion into targets amid fears the weapon will soon begin to proliferate on the world market.

    If a commercial purchase is not possible, the USN is studying potential development of a hybrid surrogate target that would combine the airframe and power plant of the Raytheon BGM-109 Tomahawk cruise missile with a supersonic final stage derived from either the Raytheon SM-2 Medium Range 2+ or MIM-23B Hawk missiles.

    USN officials say the P-900, also known by the Russian industry designation 3M51, is not capable of being effectively modelled by any existing supersonic targets in the US inventory. Capt Richard Walter, programme manager US Navy aerial targets and decoys, says the Russian weapon is a “threat totally in its own category”.

    The USN operates a small number of modified Russian Zvezda-Strela missile design bureau KH-31 supersonic sea-skimming missiles as targets. Boeing is the prime contractor for that programme, with the target version designated MA-31. The USN has given the P-900 the unclassified designation of Threat D in statements on options to counter the perceived threat.

    Speaking last week at the US National Defence Industrial Association’s annual targets and ranges conference in Charleston, South Carolina, Walter said: “Just like with MA31 [where] we went out and bought the real item, we are considering that on Threat D. We are working through all the different groups you have to do that.

    “We are working through those issues and getting ready to contact the embassy. If the country is interested in doing this we will probably try to set up a foreign comparative test type activity, the same as we did with MA-31.”

    Walter told the conference that the USN has been actively studying development of a P-900 equivalent for at least four years with the Office of the Undersecretary for Defense initiating preliminary studies in 2000. That resulted in recommendations to explore evolving a surrogate target from the Tomahawk airframe to replicate the cruise phase flight profile of the Russian missile, and integration of a high-speed final stage to replicate its terminal phase behaviour.

    A follow on risk reduction study was carried out by Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory during 2003-4.

    Apparently the USN feels the same way as Jonesy does on the Alfa…. just that they aren’t banking on it being unreliable…

    in reply to: Russian attack capabilities #2052885
    YourFather
    Participant

    Hmm, Jonesy, do you happen to be Stuart Slade on Warships1.com? Because much of what you say conforms to an excellent aricle written by him.

    Here’s the article.

    [on http://www.warships1.com, in response to a statement about
    Russian supersonic anti-ship missiles]

    Don’t hold your breath. Statements like that are an absurd
    over-simplification. The Russian anti-ship missiles represent one set of
    technical solutions to penetrating anti-missile defenses. They are not
    the only set of solutions to those requirements nor are they necessarily
    the best.

    The Russian attention to hypersonics had its costs. The missiles are big
    and heavy. limiting the number that can be carried. Their high speed
    causes severe airframe heating that prevents them using infra-red
    guidance. It also commits them to a straight run-in course (or, at best,
    gentle curves). They have a heat plume that a thermal sight can detect
    while the missile is still kilometers over the horizon.

    There are such things as adaptive and iterative guidance systems that can
    be applied to subsonic missiles that simply cannot be used on the
    hypersonics. Subsonics have much lower signatures so can be more
    difficult to spot. They don’t guzzle fuel like hypersonics so can deliver
    equal punch in a much smaller airframe. And so it goes.

    For your information; Russian-style hypersonics are known as “streakers”,
    Western style highly agile subsonics as “dancers”. Both have their place
    but their relative merits are still being evaluated with great passion.

    What is startling is how few of their naval weapons the Russians have
    actually sold. P-270 Moskit has gone to China and they have sold 96 Kh-35
    Harpoonski to Algeria. Contrary to your repeated assertions, they have
    not sold any of their naval weapons to the US. They have sold a small
    number of M-31 target drones to the US via Boeing on the simple logic
    that it was cheaper to buy the actual missile in question than to spend
    money developing a simulator. M-31 is a version of Kh-31, a short-range
    air-to-surface missile, roughly equivalent to Maverick.

    As a point of factual accuracy, neither the US nor the UK nor any other
    major western sea power has adopted or has any plans to adopt any Russian
    designed weapons system.

    As a point of factual accuracy, according to SIPRI, Russia is now the 5th
    largest arms supplier in the world in terms of value of signed contracts
    and its relative position is declining.

    I would like to revise my first sentence. please do hold your breath
    while waiting, you’ll find the experience instructive

    Stuart [Slade]

    ——————————————————————————–

    Streakers and dancers complicate intercept in two ways. If we take the
    intercept window of a crude, basic anti-ship missile (subsonic,
    straight-in) as a baseline there are two options. The first is to use the
    Russian approach and get the missile to cross that intercept zone as
    quickly as posisble. This means adopting the shortest path across it and
    flying that path as fast as possible. Hence P-270. This is a perfectly
    viable approach.

    The second is to stretch the time the CIWS needs to destroy the missile
    to the longest possible point. In effect, this (a) reduces the percentage
    chance of the system killing the missile and (b)reduces the number of
    inbound systems a single CIWS can engage. One way of doing this is to use
    an iterative guidance system in the missile. This works by giving the
    missile a fine-cut radar receiver which picks up and localizes the
    emissions from the CIWS fire control system. The missile knows its own
    coure and speed, it now knows the position of the CIWS (and can work out
    the course and speed of the target). The computer in the missile knows
    the algorithms used by the closed loop tracking system in the CIWS to
    correct the aim of the CIWS. it can therefore work out what the firing
    correction applied by the CIWS will be and alter the missile’s flight
    path to be somewhere else. This system is a service reality.

    A third method is to physically shrink the envelope. The outer edge of
    the intercept window is set by the maximum range at which the inbound
    missile can be spotted, the inner edge is the range at which wreckage
    from the shot-down missile will still strike the target ship. We can push
    the outer edge in by flying the missile lower, by making it more
    difficult to spot and by reducing its emissions. We can pull the inner
    edge outwards by making sure the shot-down wreckage travels faster.

    Putting all this together means that existing streakers fulfill
    rerquirement (a) very well at expense of (b). In terms of (c), the
    significantly pull the inner edge back (from 1 km to around 2.5) but have
    major sacrifices in the outer edge. Their level of airframe heating,
    their heat plume, the altitude at which they fly, their active radar
    emissions, all mean they can be detected well over the horizon.

    On the other hand, dancers make major gains in (b) at cost of performance
    in (a). They sacrifice the inner edge of the engagement zone but achieve
    major gains in reducing the outer edge by being inconspicuous. Typically,
    they come in with their radars off (homing on command or IR), they are
    coated with RAM (which streakers can’t use since it burns off), they have
    little airfrme heating and only a limited plume.

    In summary, streakers move fast but have a larger, more distant intercept
    zone. dancers move more slowly and evasively and have a much smaller
    intercept zone, closer to the target ship. Close your eyes and visualize
    it, you’ll see what I mean.

    This leads to a curious point which comes back to the Soviet’s lack of
    systems analysis. They designed P-270 to exploit certain weaknesses in
    the SPY-1 radar performance. This it does, but by looking at a single bit
    of equipment in isolation, they neglected to evaluate the target system
    as a whole. Had they done so, they’d have found they’d managed to push
    the intercept envelope back into an area where AEGIS works very, very
    well. Once Standard SM-2 had been given an IR auxiliary homing system,
    it was more than capable of shooting the P-270s out of the sky. Its
    essential to think system-to-system NOT weapon-to-weapon.

    On average a P-270 weighs about 4.5 times as much as a Harpoon. This
    loads the odds in favor of Dancers – remember effectiveness is related to
    squares of numbers.

    Your comments about Yakhonts containers do not represent new technology
    or anything particularly unusual – most western missiles have been
    delivered that way since the late 1960s. We treat them as “wooden rounds”
    – get them, slip them into the rails, hook them up, run a self-diagnostic
    then adjust people’s attitude with them.

    Sadly, I can deny the Russians are achieving a lot of success; I say
    sadly because I thought they were going to do a lot better than they
    have. Their equipment has stirred up a lot of interest but relatively
    little of that has translated into sales. Where it has, it is usually
    because of a lack of any opposition. Malaya represents the only case
    where Russian equipment has secured an order in the face of Western
    competition.

    Stuart

    Its an old article, so some points may not be that relevant, but the gist of it still holds true…

    in reply to: Russian attack capabilities #2052938
    YourFather
    Participant

    Been following this thread. Just to clarify, but am I right to say that , gathering from your back posts, in your opinion the NSM is just as capable as Russian missiles when both are launched from 160km, if not more capable? And that the Russian missiles are not capable/not worth the expense because they cannot be reliably targeted from beyond a range of around 160km anyway? Thanks.

    Oh, yes, does the story you’re referring to about the E-2C providing targeting for the TASM somehow end with the E-2C targeting their own warship or something like that? Please share the story with us 🙂

    in reply to: Su-27 in intercept in Caucasus region #2676018
    YourFather
    Participant

    Perfectly understandable 😀 However, if you throw a bucket of water in his face, then you would make yourself at fault. Nobody said that you cannot go to his backyard and peep at him while he’s shagging 😮

    As for the 12 wheeler truck analogy, I think that it cannot really be applied here. Imagine, if you are on a mission like that, won’t you want the mission to be as SAFE and SOUND as possible? I mean, its obvious, right? THey have a mission, and going around with a lumbering P-3 trying to play maneuverability with a fighter plane is ridiculous beyond belief. Do you picture fighters buzzing bombers or bombers buzzing fighters? :rolleyes:

    in reply to: Su-27 in intercept in Caucasus region #2676298
    YourFather
    Participant

    But by staying in international airspace, they are not violating anybody’s rights or sovereignty. The converse is true, that it is their right to fly in international airspace. The only reason other countries are not trying it on the US is they cant do it, not because of a lack of desire.

    in reply to: Su-27 in intercept in Caucasus region #2676390
    YourFather
    Participant

    And who is stupid enough to think that the Orions will do something like that? THeir mission is just to get surveillance material, and it makes no sense whatsoever to jeopardise their mission or their lives by doing anything unruly. It is the fighters who have the choice to buzz the slow moving P-3. Of course, if one is only willing to take in govt propoganda, then the scenario of a P-3 buzzing a fighter jet :rolleyes: would be very conceivable…

    in reply to: Raptors at $258 Million each. #2618542
    YourFather
    Participant

    They(Pentagon and USAF) may omit the bad parts, BUT I dont believe they would LIE about what it can or cannot do. They will not be able to get away with that considering the amount of scrutiny on the program. Besides, if we cannot trust what they say, then everything we are talking about is moot. :rolleyes: As for AWS&T, what are your reasons for saying that? Care to give some examples? AS for the sources about the Raptor, they come from a variety of sources, like JED and Jane’s, which are about as accurate as we can get without being in the military…

    in reply to: Raptors at $258 Million each. #2619919
    YourFather
    Participant

    Well, last time i checked there were no HAS’es at Langley. Just go pre-emptive, after all those Weapons of Air Dominance might eventually be used against you :diablo:

    The window of opportunity for something like that to happen is rapidly closing, with all the efforts America is spending for ballistic missile and cruise missile defense. They are REALLY taking this problem very seriously, and with the plethora of systems to be fielded in future like the JLENs, E-10 and MTHEL etc…. Its not going to be an easy task trying something like that… But of course, their capability is still quite limited against such threats right now ..

    in reply to: Raptors at $258 Million each. #2621409
    YourFather
    Participant

    But I wouldn’t wanna be the the insurance agent for the pilots in the Flankers. Their long-term prospects aren’t that bright. 😀

    in reply to: F/A-22 Sweeps Tests #2623318
    YourFather
    Participant

    Just got some interesting info on the Raptor. It seems that the cockpit noise levels are dangerously high…. http://www.fas.org/man/dod-101/usaf/docs/mast/annex_f/part16.htm

    in reply to: J-10's for Pakistan? #2628040
    YourFather
    Participant

    Yes and no 😀 They compete in the Olympics on their own. They have their own national soccer team. And most of all they have their own tabloid press which had given us lots of interesting read but not always hard facts.

    For example, we got reports from HK press that Iran bought the FC-1 shortly after the flight of prototype 01. Because there were Iranian officials there at the official flight, it became “Iran buys FC-1” in HK. There are many instances like this.

    Anyways, HK press is not official unlike the People’s Daily.

    What? You mean the HK people are being fed crap news virtually every day? Jeez….

    in reply to: J-10's for Pakistan? #2628070
    YourFather
    Participant

    Well…

    We all know how much of a screwball Chinese medias are with
    names, articulations, and interpretations, and, far as the English verses Chinese
    part is concerned, babblefish was included to solve the problem.

    Anyway, here’s another version:

    http://61.132.72.44/dswc/upload/images/93410529610.jpg

    God knows what it says
    however therefore quality interpreters would definitely be
    invaluable and an asset!!!

    :p

    Basically saying that the basic version of the J-10 has been in service sine 2002, and upgraded versions are currently under testing. They also have an export programme underway, with the first customer being Pakistan with a first batch order of 50 export versions, to be delivered in the 2007 to 2008 timeframe.

Viewing 15 posts - 451 through 465 (of 482 total)