Yes, but… Imagine now a conflict against, let’s say China (as much as I hope it never happens). The SH will have to strike ? I fear it will get chewed in bits by Flankers, J-10s, and others. Sure it will be able to deal with many airforces, but not with all of them… And that might be a problem for a Navy which is quite “Global”. Not even to say that the limited range will force to either have refuellers loitering very close to the borders, or to place carriers at risk.
And what about modern fighters ? (J-10, J-11, Su 27 / 3x series?)
I wouldn’t bet on this.
SuperHornet getting chewed by the Flanker? Perhaps in the close-range dogfight, but even that’s debatable with the introduction of the JHMCS. At BVR, its avionics that matter more, and the SH excels in this department. In fact, with the current F-14D config vs the current F-18F config, the F-14D has a lesser chance of surviving an engagement with Flankers – the Tomcat isn’t even integrated with AMRAAMs IIRC. And when you compare the definitive SuperHornet version with AESA, all up IDECM, JHMCS and decoupled cockpits, its capabilities in A2G and A2A will be unmatched by the Tomcat. The only thing one can argue back with is with the “if the Tomcat was similiarly upgraded” statement, but I tire of these iffy statements, because we might as well say that “if the F-22 was navalised, then blah blah blah”. There’s ABSOLUTELY no point to getting into iffy debates.
I used to be a super SuperHornet hater too, but after some time, I realised that my (and most people’s) objection to the plane was due to the loss of the F-14’s very impressive long-range A2A capabilities in the form of the Phoenix, as well as its sub-Tomcat flight performance. However, the SH will be getting the range-improved C7 (or is it C8) AMRAAM capability, which will bring back the long-range interception capability somewhat (there are doubts about the Phoenix’s long range capability vs fighter sized targets anyway, much as I hate to acknowledge it). Also, with BVR combat much more likely to take place nowadays, its massive improvement in avionics capability over the Tomcat should be somewhat comforting. Of course, one could say that if the Tomcat was upgraded with the same avionics, then *insert what you want here*, but there’s no point talking what ifs. Overall, the SH is, contrary to what many say that a step back in capability, actually a big step forward in capability available to the commander. I love the Tomcat a lot, but its time to get over the sentimentality.
Thw X-35 was declared to have slightly better performance than the X-32 during the post-competition briefing, IIRC.
Proliferation fears spark interest in sea-skimming weapon
The US Navy is considering acquiring Russian NPO Mashinostroyenhe P-900 “Alfa” supersonic sea-skimming missiles for conversion into targets amid fears the weapon will soon begin to proliferate on the world market.
If a commercial purchase is not possible, the USN is studying potential development of a hybrid surrogate target that would combine the airframe and power plant of the Raytheon BGM-109 Tomahawk cruise missile with a supersonic final stage derived from either the Raytheon SM-2 Medium Range 2+ or MIM-23B Hawk missiles.
USN officials say the P-900, also known by the Russian industry designation 3M51, is not capable of being effectively modelled by any existing supersonic targets in the US inventory. Capt Richard Walter, programme manager US Navy aerial targets and decoys, says the Russian weapon is a “threat totally in its own category”.
The USN operates a small number of modified Russian Zvezda-Strela missile design bureau KH-31 supersonic sea-skimming missiles as targets. Boeing is the prime contractor for that programme, with the target version designated MA-31. The USN has given the P-900 the unclassified designation of Threat D in statements on options to counter the perceived threat.
Speaking last week at the US National Defence Industrial Association’s annual targets and ranges conference in Charleston, South Carolina, Walter said: “Just like with MA31 [where] we went out and bought the real item, we are considering that on Threat D. We are working through all the different groups you have to do that.
“We are working through those issues and getting ready to contact the embassy. If the country is interested in doing this we will probably try to set up a foreign comparative test type activity, the same as we did with MA-31.”
Walter told the conference that the USN has been actively studying development of a P-900 equivalent for at least four years with the Office of the Undersecretary for Defense initiating preliminary studies in 2000. That resulted in recommendations to explore evolving a surrogate target from the Tomahawk airframe to replicate the cruise phase flight profile of the Russian missile, and integration of a high-speed final stage to replicate its terminal phase behaviour.
A follow on risk reduction study was carried out by Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory during 2003-4.
Apparently the USN feels the same way as Jonesy does on the Alfa…. just that they aren’t banking on it being unreliable…
Hmm, Jonesy, do you happen to be Stuart Slade on Warships1.com? Because much of what you say conforms to an excellent aricle written by him.
Here’s the article.
[on http://www.warships1.com, in response to a statement about
Russian supersonic anti-ship missiles]
Don’t hold your breath. Statements like that are an absurd
over-simplification. The Russian anti-ship missiles represent one set of
technical solutions to penetrating anti-missile defenses. They are not
the only set of solutions to those requirements nor are they necessarily
the best.
The Russian attention to hypersonics had its costs. The missiles are big
and heavy. limiting the number that can be carried. Their high speed
causes severe airframe heating that prevents them using infra-red
guidance. It also commits them to a straight run-in course (or, at best,
gentle curves). They have a heat plume that a thermal sight can detect
while the missile is still kilometers over the horizon.
There are such things as adaptive and iterative guidance systems that can
be applied to subsonic missiles that simply cannot be used on the
hypersonics. Subsonics have much lower signatures so can be more
difficult to spot. They don’t guzzle fuel like hypersonics so can deliver
equal punch in a much smaller airframe. And so it goes.
For your information; Russian-style hypersonics are known as “streakers”,
Western style highly agile subsonics as “dancers”. Both have their place
but their relative merits are still being evaluated with great passion.
What is startling is how few of their naval weapons the Russians have
actually sold. P-270 Moskit has gone to China and they have sold 96 Kh-35
Harpoonski to Algeria. Contrary to your repeated assertions, they have
not sold any of their naval weapons to the US. They have sold a small
number of M-31 target drones to the US via Boeing on the simple logic
that it was cheaper to buy the actual missile in question than to spend
money developing a simulator. M-31 is a version of Kh-31, a short-range
air-to-surface missile, roughly equivalent to Maverick.
As a point of factual accuracy, neither the US nor the UK nor any other
major western sea power has adopted or has any plans to adopt any Russian
designed weapons system.
As a point of factual accuracy, according to SIPRI, Russia is now the 5th
largest arms supplier in the world in terms of value of signed contracts
and its relative position is declining.
I would like to revise my first sentence. please do hold your breath
while waiting, you’ll find the experience instructive
Stuart [Slade]
——————————————————————————–
Streakers and dancers complicate intercept in two ways. If we take the
intercept window of a crude, basic anti-ship missile (subsonic,
straight-in) as a baseline there are two options. The first is to use the
Russian approach and get the missile to cross that intercept zone as
quickly as posisble. This means adopting the shortest path across it and
flying that path as fast as possible. Hence P-270. This is a perfectly
viable approach.
The second is to stretch the time the CIWS needs to destroy the missile
to the longest possible point. In effect, this (a) reduces the percentage
chance of the system killing the missile and (b)reduces the number of
inbound systems a single CIWS can engage. One way of doing this is to use
an iterative guidance system in the missile. This works by giving the
missile a fine-cut radar receiver which picks up and localizes the
emissions from the CIWS fire control system. The missile knows its own
coure and speed, it now knows the position of the CIWS (and can work out
the course and speed of the target). The computer in the missile knows
the algorithms used by the closed loop tracking system in the CIWS to
correct the aim of the CIWS. it can therefore work out what the firing
correction applied by the CIWS will be and alter the missile’s flight
path to be somewhere else. This system is a service reality.
A third method is to physically shrink the envelope. The outer edge of
the intercept window is set by the maximum range at which the inbound
missile can be spotted, the inner edge is the range at which wreckage
from the shot-down missile will still strike the target ship. We can push
the outer edge in by flying the missile lower, by making it more
difficult to spot and by reducing its emissions. We can pull the inner
edge outwards by making sure the shot-down wreckage travels faster.
Putting all this together means that existing streakers fulfill
rerquirement (a) very well at expense of (b). In terms of (c), the
significantly pull the inner edge back (from 1 km to around 2.5) but have
major sacrifices in the outer edge. Their level of airframe heating,
their heat plume, the altitude at which they fly, their active radar
emissions, all mean they can be detected well over the horizon.
On the other hand, dancers make major gains in (b) at cost of performance
in (a). They sacrifice the inner edge of the engagement zone but achieve
major gains in reducing the outer edge by being inconspicuous. Typically,
they come in with their radars off (homing on command or IR), they are
coated with RAM (which streakers can’t use since it burns off), they have
little airfrme heating and only a limited plume.
In summary, streakers move fast but have a larger, more distant intercept
zone. dancers move more slowly and evasively and have a much smaller
intercept zone, closer to the target ship. Close your eyes and visualize
it, you’ll see what I mean.
This leads to a curious point which comes back to the Soviet’s lack of
systems analysis. They designed P-270 to exploit certain weaknesses in
the SPY-1 radar performance. This it does, but by looking at a single bit
of equipment in isolation, they neglected to evaluate the target system
as a whole. Had they done so, they’d have found they’d managed to push
the intercept envelope back into an area where AEGIS works very, very
well. Once Standard SM-2 had been given an IR auxiliary homing system,
it was more than capable of shooting the P-270s out of the sky. Its
essential to think system-to-system NOT weapon-to-weapon.
On average a P-270 weighs about 4.5 times as much as a Harpoon. This
loads the odds in favor of Dancers – remember effectiveness is related to
squares of numbers.
Your comments about Yakhonts containers do not represent new technology
or anything particularly unusual – most western missiles have been
delivered that way since the late 1960s. We treat them as “wooden rounds”
– get them, slip them into the rails, hook them up, run a self-diagnostic
then adjust people’s attitude with them.
Sadly, I can deny the Russians are achieving a lot of success; I say
sadly because I thought they were going to do a lot better than they
have. Their equipment has stirred up a lot of interest but relatively
little of that has translated into sales. Where it has, it is usually
because of a lack of any opposition. Malaya represents the only case
where Russian equipment has secured an order in the face of Western
competition.
Stuart
Its an old article, so some points may not be that relevant, but the gist of it still holds true…
Been following this thread. Just to clarify, but am I right to say that , gathering from your back posts, in your opinion the NSM is just as capable as Russian missiles when both are launched from 160km, if not more capable? And that the Russian missiles are not capable/not worth the expense because they cannot be reliably targeted from beyond a range of around 160km anyway? Thanks.
Oh, yes, does the story you’re referring to about the E-2C providing targeting for the TASM somehow end with the E-2C targeting their own warship or something like that? Please share the story with us 🙂
Perfectly understandable 😀 However, if you throw a bucket of water in his face, then you would make yourself at fault. Nobody said that you cannot go to his backyard and peep at him while he’s shagging 😮
As for the 12 wheeler truck analogy, I think that it cannot really be applied here. Imagine, if you are on a mission like that, won’t you want the mission to be as SAFE and SOUND as possible? I mean, its obvious, right? THey have a mission, and going around with a lumbering P-3 trying to play maneuverability with a fighter plane is ridiculous beyond belief. Do you picture fighters buzzing bombers or bombers buzzing fighters? :rolleyes:
But by staying in international airspace, they are not violating anybody’s rights or sovereignty. The converse is true, that it is their right to fly in international airspace. The only reason other countries are not trying it on the US is they cant do it, not because of a lack of desire.
And who is stupid enough to think that the Orions will do something like that? THeir mission is just to get surveillance material, and it makes no sense whatsoever to jeopardise their mission or their lives by doing anything unruly. It is the fighters who have the choice to buzz the slow moving P-3. Of course, if one is only willing to take in govt propoganda, then the scenario of a P-3 buzzing a fighter jet :rolleyes: would be very conceivable…
They(Pentagon and USAF) may omit the bad parts, BUT I dont believe they would LIE about what it can or cannot do. They will not be able to get away with that considering the amount of scrutiny on the program. Besides, if we cannot trust what they say, then everything we are talking about is moot. :rolleyes: As for AWS&T, what are your reasons for saying that? Care to give some examples? AS for the sources about the Raptor, they come from a variety of sources, like JED and Jane’s, which are about as accurate as we can get without being in the military…
Well, last time i checked there were no HAS’es at Langley. Just go pre-emptive, after all those Weapons of Air Dominance might eventually be used against you :diablo:
The window of opportunity for something like that to happen is rapidly closing, with all the efforts America is spending for ballistic missile and cruise missile defense. They are REALLY taking this problem very seriously, and with the plethora of systems to be fielded in future like the JLENs, E-10 and MTHEL etc…. Its not going to be an easy task trying something like that… But of course, their capability is still quite limited against such threats right now ..
But I wouldn’t wanna be the the insurance agent for the pilots in the Flankers. Their long-term prospects aren’t that bright. 😀
Just got some interesting info on the Raptor. It seems that the cockpit noise levels are dangerously high…. http://www.fas.org/man/dod-101/usaf/docs/mast/annex_f/part16.htm
Yes and no 😀 They compete in the Olympics on their own. They have their own national soccer team. And most of all they have their own tabloid press which had given us lots of interesting read but not always hard facts.
For example, we got reports from HK press that Iran bought the FC-1 shortly after the flight of prototype 01. Because there were Iranian officials there at the official flight, it became “Iran buys FC-1” in HK. There are many instances like this.
Anyways, HK press is not official unlike the People’s Daily.
What? You mean the HK people are being fed crap news virtually every day? Jeez….
Well…
We all know how much of a screwball Chinese medias are with
names, articulations, and interpretations, and, far as the English verses Chinese
part is concerned, babblefish was included to solve the problem.Anyway, here’s another version:
God knows what it says
however therefore quality interpreters would definitely be
invaluable and an asset!!!:p
Basically saying that the basic version of the J-10 has been in service sine 2002, and upgraded versions are currently under testing. They also have an export programme underway, with the first customer being Pakistan with a first batch order of 50 export versions, to be delivered in the 2007 to 2008 timeframe.