Well i got an Airbus friend working in China with fairly good contacts with PLAAF officers, he also states these are rumours, but seems to trust them.
😮
I wonder how/why an airbus employee would have contacts with PLAAF officers? :confused:
Did the PLAAF officers maybe indicate to them that these rumours are maybe credible or if he’s making that judgement by himself (if he’s an experienced PLA watcher he could definitely make the latter judgement with some confidence).
But yeah, my own assessment is that these are rumours that we should treat with skepticism, but the claims themselves are not that unbelieveable at all, especially looking at how F-22s performed in early exercises against the USAF’s 4th gens.
The J 11’s were su 27 kit planes. Did any of them get thrust vectoring ?
The original rumour I think just said J-11s. No one knows if those were Su-27SKs, J-11As, or J-11Bs, or maybe even Su-30s for all we know.
But of course no current Chinese flankers have thrust vectoring (let’s see when Su-35s arrive).
Let’s remember it’s just a rumour, and with the kind of details that it has we should treat it with substantial skepticism.
Yes,what I wanted to highlight is that they put on trial (if report is correct) both the effectiveness of 5gen planes than the tactic (of russian origin) to shoot down Awacs using long range missiles.
Double gain then, even a little numbers of 5 gen aircraft can make a difference if used like so.
I would hazard some additional caution as to inferring details about the “report”/rumours that were not necessarily there. Specifically for example, from what I read we do not know how exactly the J-20s supposedly eliminated the AEW&C first.
Obviously one can imagine they used BVRAAMs, likely their PL-15s/PL-12Gs (not the big LRAAM recently revealed on the J-16 which I call PL-XX), and considering the range of the PL-15s/PL-12Gs, engaging the AEW&C would likely not have occurred at excessive ranges — likely no greater than the effective range of AIM-120D, if that.
From there, the supposed engagement of J-10s/J-11s against J-20s is also not explicitly described, but one can assume the inclusion of BVRAAM and WVRAAM.
I would say that the tactic of using 5th generation aircraft to first seek and eliminate the opposing side’s AEW&C before engaging their fighter aircraft (if the opportunity presents itself) would be quite a sensible if not obvious tactic by anyone to use if they had the prerequisite 5th generation aircraft available and were facing a foe composed of 4th gen+AEW&C. It would likely be one of the most foundation tactics to defeat the opposition’s C4ISR nodes in the air, whether it’s China with the J-20, US with F-22/F-35, or Russia with PAK FA, and I wouldn’t quite call it a tactic of Russian origin, as I think that would convey the idea of using ultra long range LRAAMs like KS-172, but rather general counter air/air superiority tactics that would be employed by any air force.
But I digress.
I see no Chinese Air Bases in Inner Mongolia.
To do so would threaten Mongolia and have Russia open bases on the Mongolian border they closed.
Technically it’s in the Northeast of Gansu province, but it is very close the border of Inner Mongolia. My mistake, I misjudged the provincial border on Google Earth
Coordinates: 40°24′5″N 99°47′22″E
It’s obviously quite far from the Russian border — Mongolia is between the two.
Red Sword 2016 line-up:
Lot of rumors flying around regarding the exercise. While PLAAF is very happy with the J-20, they’ve got a rude shock how ineffective J-10 + J-11 + AWACS combo were. If specific engagements involving the J-20 were against the the KJ-2000 and J-10 version was the J-10B/C then that is very worrisome. Barring the J-20, that is pretty much the best the PLAAF has and it had not taken the the 2x J-20 too long to finish them-off.
I’d really caution against the validity of these rumours — I mean they make complete sense of course, especially considering the kind of results that F-22s and F-35s were able to achieve against 4th generation fighters in their early exercises as well — the amount of detail they carry and the original source in the threads are a bit dubious imho.
Size anyone? 😉
not high enough quality to give us any more accurate estimates than we already have from previous satellite photos, unfortunately.
^wow.
Doesn’t these exercises expose it to Japan/US radar in some form ?
This airbase is located in central China, in the middle of nowhere that is also known as Inner Mongolia.
PLAAF is not wasting any time: Red Sword exercise includes 2x J-20. The line also includes J-8F, J-10B/C, J-16, KJ-200, KJ-2000, Multiple Y-8 EW series and more. Looks like the only thing left is the kitchen sink.
PS: Any idea whether they have thrown in the J-16D as well?
J-16D only made its maiden flight last year, I doubt it.
But pictures on the ground seemed to show JH-7/As with a new large EW pod. Also, the satellite photos don’t show the KJ-500s that had also participated in the exercise.
I still can’t get over how long the Weapon bay door’s are on the J-20, they will probably need all the space inside for the new long range missile if current estimates are correct. And another thing, what happened to the PL-21 missile? Disappeared or was this new missile the PL-21? Help! :confused:
They aren’t that long. They’re enough to carry a PL-15/crop wing “PL-12G” with sufficient clearance but not for anything longer.
The new PL-XX missile based on current estimates put it at quite a bit longer than PL-12/PL-15 variants, and will definitely be unable to fit inside the new weapons bay.
We haven’t had news of the ramjet PL-21 for a while. No one really knows what happened to it, could either still be under development or abandoned, no one knows.
I’m not up to date with the latest PAK FA/FGFA developments and a quick search doesn’t come up with any concrete info — when are the IAF’s FGFA’s currently projected to enter service (IOC)? Or, putting it another way, how many FGFAs are the IAF expected to have by 2025, given the topic of this thread?
Thanks.
Looks like I got it backwards – http://chinese-military-aviation.blogspot.com/p/missiles-iii.html#PL-12G
Missile above might designated PL-12G
The VLRAAM might be designated PL-15Look like the PL-12C/D below has been replaced by the PL-12G? No word on the PL-21
Huitong said he’s calling it PL-12G and the new missile PL-15.
But I think he’s just pulling those designations from his own inference (which is not an unreasonable thing to do), from conversations with him on SDF, rather than any big shrimps suggesting it.
At this stage I think it makes far more sense to call the new missile PL-XX and continue calling the old missile/crop wing PL-12 as PL-15, given the way the rumours of both have unfolded. but the point is no one seems to really know what the new missile is really called and no one really knows what the old missile should be either.
Carrier Type-002 would be CATOBAR. But don’t forget the, the catapults started testing only recently. So it will take time for them to actually go into production. In the mean time, STOBAR Type-001A will have to do.
IMO you’re only half right — it’s true that the steam catapult development meant that 002 construction would only been able to have begun after 2015, but we should also remember that the original catapults (steam and EM) should have been tested for quite a few years before huangdicun, with many tests at their different R&D sites using deadloads.
So the catapults at huangdicun should be relatively mature, possibly preproduction models, and installed there for flight tests and rigorous navy tests, possibly to see which one goes on 002.
remember, until late last year it was assumed that 002 would definitely go with the steam catapult, but then the catapult competition came up.
001A should be best seen as an “extra freebie” carrier between CV-16 liaoning and the first 002, to increase the short term carrier availability while also being lower risk, before 002 enters service a few years after 001A enters service
Like this? :confused:
[ATTACH=CONFIG]249853[/ATTACH]
I’m sure you’ve seen my post on SDF or CDF annotating some of the suspected features on it.
So yes.
And I think there might be another one on the rear too.
I’ve attached the full study in Chinese from 2013 talking about a missile proposal which likely is what resulted in this PL-XX. The full document is linked here: http://www.filedropper.com/newtypeairtoairmissile_1
some relevant parts translated:
-composite seeker of active radar and ImIR for terminal phase (I think this probably confirms that the aperture on the nose is for ImIR seeker), partly for counter stealth role(?)
-GPS/INS guidance with datalinks for midcourse phase
-mentions something called “direct force control” (直接力控制), also called “射流侧向力,” which I assume to be something like reaction thrusters? Provide lateral thrust? Sounds kind of like “pif” lateral thrusters used in Aster [also more similar to the reaction jets of JDRADM)
-emphasis of importance of joint networking/informationized warfare for this thing to work
-emphasis on use of this missile against high value targets, mentioning AEW&C mostly (including ImIR seeker to identify between high and low value targets)
-emphasis on ECCM
It doesn’t explicitly talk about targeting stealth fighters, stealth bombers or carriers that I can see, but it emphasizes the need to attack high value targets. It also talks about how targets of the future will likely be high speed, and stealthy, and thus places greater requirements for missiles, and seems to imply this missile should be capable against them as well(?). It does also directly say that the missile should have high mobility/maneuvrability, as well as very fast flight controls, and of course guidance. And one of the methods for achieving that high mobility is via the aforementioned “direct force control” or what I assume to be reaction thrusters/attitude thrusters.
Using some common sense, I imagine this missile would be useful against targets that are either relatively slow moving like AEW&C or stealth bombers, and possibly fighter aircraft that are not making very extreme maneuvring, as well as of course carriers.
Yeah, it is a very big missile. Definitely not going to fit inside the J-20. So probably a long-ranged “AWACS killer” and maybe an anti-tanker role as well.
the study mentions it has reaction thrusters, and combined with a semi ballistic trajectory I think it could definitely be viable against fighter aircraft.
but this thing definitely isn’t meant to fit in J-20’s weapons bay, and I see it more like a long range a2a “fire support”