Please notice that I mixed the numbers speaking about J11 when I was thinking at the J10(B).
Regarding the J20, although a formidable opponents, there is only a few chances that it would be in the class of any of the other Super Maneuverable fighters ( Mig35, Su35, F18E/F or a F35).
A few year back, someone made here a good analysis of the J20. You might have a look back at it. But sound reasoning tells u sthat it won’t out-climb, out-turn, out Alpha or out-roll anyone. It’s another bread. Another use. And presented as a fighter certainly with the sole purpose to hide a more offensive role. EoA for me.
I don’t know enough about aerodynamics to really speak about any analyses even if I had seen it, however I do have a firm belief having read enough debates about it, that eyeballing aerodynamics isn’t quite reliable. Better if we had access to a decent sized wind tunnel and an accompanying access to a super computer’s time.
Also, much of J-20’s performance will depend on what kind of engine it uses. Many of the western attempts to project J-20’s role seems to be unaware of WS-15’s intended place on J-20. In that sense I suppose if J-20 only had Al-31 or 117S as its permanent powerplants then I would agree to their logic that J-20 could only really perform as an interceptor and cannot survive close engagements with the opposing fighter it was designed to compete with — namely F-22.
i see you class F-35 and super hornet as super maneuverable and in the same league as Su-35? That’s interesting.
I’m not sure what EoA means, but “presenting” J-20 as a fighter to “hide” a more offensive role doesn’t quite make sense. Clearly J-20 isn’t a striker because its weapons bay is far too small to hold any meaningful A2G weapons beyond some SDBs or a couple of large PGMs (not to mention relatively shorter range than what an optimal striker for westpac should have). And it doesn’t make sense to hide J-20 as an “interceptor” either, given any modern fighter these days can fulfill the interceptor role and if speed were a bigger concern I can’t help but think a configuration more like YF-23 would have made sense. And of course, an air superiority fighter aircraft is arguably the most offensive role a nation can field given air superiority is the prerequisite for all kinds of other offensive air operations.
On the subject of YF-23, I feel like that plane is a better comparison to J-20 in terms of role, assuming the sufficient powerplant for J-20 is available: a stealthy air to air fighter primarily, with some emphasis on speed, but also nimble enough to survive close encounters with opposing legacy and stealth fighters, but also deliberately designed to have a large fuel load and long range/endurance… at least relative to F-22.
If anything I feel like most of the western world’s PLA observers are missing a few vital clues which predated J-20’s revelation and were distracted by how supposedly long it appeared and jumped on the band wagon started by bill sweetman without essential contextual information and forethought into just what PLA have stated about J-XX, not to mention the likely capabilities they would have required on their next generation premiere fighter aircraft.
It remain to be seen if both those design can really pass 30+ deg of AoA. That is even doubtful IMOHO. Then that the J11 can superstall, why not. But is this Super Maneuverability (at least more than an old Draken)?.
On the other hand, the roll rate of the J11 will be something to keep an eye on.
Well the entire “super maneuverability” phrase is a bit stupid and non specific anyway.
The point I was getting at is that the PLA do operate current and past aircraft designed with impressive maneuvering in mind, so I think we can safely infer the claim of “super maneuverability” for J-XX/J-20 to mean the J-20 is intended to be a maneuverable fighter aircraft of some kind relative to the fighters they currently operate. This is all in relation to lukos’ question about whether J-20 is an “interceptor” — which I can’t believe people around these parts are still confused about.
In other words, if PLA classify flankers and J-10 as “ultra-super maneuverable” or something, then maybe the question of just how relatively nimble J-20 is meant to be by “super maneuverable” is valid. But some good old fashioned logic and PLA watching experience tells us that almost certainly isn’t the case.
why does PAF have so many different type of aircraft?
they must have a terrible time training and logistics.
Is this a reference to something? Because last I remember they only have 5 major types of combat aircraft?
F-16s, JF-17s, F-7s, Mirage III and V… and I imagine the Mirages would have quite a few common components between them.
Compared to other air forces with larger varieties of fighters, as well as bombers (for USAF and VVS especially) PAF variety is relatively slim?
What is super manuverable anyway, and why does j-20 have it and not the J-11?
Whoever said J-11 doesn’t?
“Super maneuverability” was one of the prerequisites for the J-XX project that was stated by an air force general quite publicly on TV (and remains one of the most candid revelations ever made by the PLA officially on an under development project).
Obviously we don’t know what “super maneuverability” means for the PLAAF but given they operate nimble planes like flankers and J-10s, I think we can make a fair guess as to the kind of minimum bench mark it needs to reach to qualify for PLAAF calling it “super maneuverability” rather than say, just being maneuverable or whatever.
I wonder if this will prompt the Chinese side to eventually release their side of these kind of encounters…. They’ve previously had similar “reporter on station” type programs when CCG cutters have met foreign vessels during patrols (video below is of vietnam), if this kind of thing becomes common place I wouldn’t be surprised if they stick a CCTV reporter aboard one of the naval ships for exposure of the other side. I’d be interested in seeing an 054A’s CIC in operation during a moment like this… or at least its bridge.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2T9S7XQKNR8
The last guy on radio clearly didn’t have very good english — he repeated instructions in mandarin as well, which was naturally far more natural sounding.
To be honest Blitzo whilst better than nothing those two Hamilton class were hardly the deal of the century! Two vessels built in the 1960’s with equipment removed before delivery to the Philippines. Part of the problem the Philippine navy faces is the vast majority of their fleet is second hand and elderly, the older a piece of equipment the greater the maintenance.
I feel like given the constraints of budget, the two ex-Hamiltons are the best the Philippines could have gotten. This blog makes a good case, I think http://maxdefense.blogspot.co.nz/2013/07/why-hamilton-class-whecs-are-still.html
Obviously the two ex-Hamiltons won’t be able to withstand any meaningful air or missile attack given its anti air armament is a mere Phalanx CIWS, but they do give the Philippines a decently large ocean going ship with limited anti surface capabilities, and the ability to contest waters against China’s CCG vessels if they choose to use a navy ship versus a coast guard cutter.
Trying to compete PLAN SCS capabilities will be difficult if not nigh impossible in the near future, given a mere four ship 054A frigate division of a typical PLAN DESFLT could out match the entire Philippines Navy, but then again the Philippines relies on the US for its defence anyway, and I can’t see a more truly independent competitive capability developing very soon.
Even if the US gifts PN a few of their old OHPs (assuming their hulls are viable), I’m not sure if Philippines have the budget to arm, modernize and operate them.
China’s overriding objective must be to avoid conflict. Fortunately she can afford to ignore all but the most egregious provocations i.e. landing on the reefs with Marines, taking vessels/personnel captive, etc. For lesser provocations, China can respond by issuing only general public condemnations (that don’t make specific territorial claims creating a “red line”) whilst otherwise going about her business.
Yes, agreed.
The red line depends on where the US draws it rather than China. Because if China is eventually able to base some J-11BHs into SCS, how will that change US peacetime operations in the area? No doubt the islands themselves are cannon fodder in any real outbreak of war, but during peacetime they’re very useful as a means of projecting power and normalizing the presence of PLA assets in the region, namely air and maritime surveillance capabilities and possibly limited strike as well.
The PRC’s resolve is quite strong in its need to project power in SCS — so does the US have resolve to prevent PRC projection of power?
Yeah, I feel like if the fellow on the other end had been a natural english speaker the exchange would’ve been smoother. For instance an english speaker might’ve said “please vacate immediately” instead of “you go,” and “please expedite” instead of something as clumsy as “please go away quickly”.
I suspect the US already are helping other countries such as the Philippines, such as handing them the old Hamilton cutters and refitting them as frigates. However a lack of funds is a significant stumbling block which can’t be easily fixed. Vietnam is another country with the most significant disputes with China that the US could seek to reinforce, but I suspect the Vietnamese are also wary of just how much real cooperation they can get with the US — the are still a communist autocracy after all.
Japan is quite enthusiastic about patrolling SCS, and the US will probably seek to draw Australia in as well although the Aussies seem wary.
China will probably seek to use regional economic initiatives to prevent the formation of an explicit alliance as such.
The question is whether the US is willing to accept a greater Chinese presence (civilian and military) in SCS islands and a potential Chinese airbase in the SCS… even continued probes and patrols within the 12nmi line won’t physically prevent the dredgers and workers from doing their thing. The use of physical military force is the only real way to stop them, and I’m waiting to see where washington draws its red line in SCS if it’s going to draw one at all.
YOU GO!
I feel like the language barrier is making the statement seem a bit more aggressive than it was, not to mention disjointed. I would’ve been interested to hear what the PLAN said to the Delta airline plane later on.
The part of the recording regarding the “military zone” is a bit more indicative and important regarding how the PLAN were ordered to enforce probing aircraft and ships. (namely, not overreaching and calling it Chinese territorial airspace or anything like that)
What’s the name of this class? From what I read it has a 76mm gun, I’m surprised it’s not bigger.
Don’t think there’s a class name — I believe most CCG cutters don’t have ship names in the traditional sense either.
I think the only other gun in production atm is the 130mm gun… probably a bit overkill for a CCG cutter. Of course a single 76mm and an expected two 30mm RWSs for a 12,000 ton cutter is not a very heavy armament/weight ratio, but I don’t think these ships are meant to rely on weapons as their main means of enforcement. Size, endurance, range, size, command/control, and size are the big ticket capabilities of these ships I think.
The first 12,000 ton cutter has gone on its sea trial 🙂

Yes, but there was a project to build up indigenous production of marine gas turbines (M90FR), and they already build industrial gas turbines of higher power than Ukraine – I don’t think developing a suitable power plant would give them insuperable problems, funding permitting.
Hmm yes, M90FR is a 20 MW class gas turbine, I wonder if it would be efficient to say, arrange four or more of them together to power a 18,000 ton hull.
PLAN are looking to use four 28 MW QC-280 gas turbines on their 055s so if a suitable powerplant can’t be developed in the short term maybe a deal could be arranged. Ironically QC280 is also an improved license production of the Ukrainian DA80.
A few months back there was some stuff about M90FR possibly causing delays for the 22356s due to the fallout with Ukraine, was that hot air or is the severance likely to effect short term production of the shpis?
I see, thanks.
I wonder if it might make sense for continued 1135.6s to be built, with improvements built in successive flights?
The way I see it, given the constraints of medium term budget and shipbuilding capability, the Russian Navy needs a large number of ocean going combatants with modern capabilities particularly in the screening role for its larger upgraded destroyers, cruisers and battlecruisers (Sovs+Udaloy, Slava, Kirov classes respectively), so 1135.6 could be Russian Navy’s 054A equivalent — a competitive, (presumably) affordable ship with middle end offensive and defensive power and as medium range AAW screeners, that are relatively cheap enough to play tag with submarines in ASW as well as cheap enough be deployed en masse as work horses, all on a blue water capable hull. They’re clearly able to build the hulls at a good pace and I assume(?) there are no issues with propulsion sourcing, so introducing improved capability and/or lighter subsystems to make use of a reliable production hull seems sensible.
The new 22356s OTOH seem to displace quite a bit heavier than the 1135.6s at 4500 tons standard (meaning possibly 5000+ or even 6000 tons full?), and could fill the role of a higher tier AAW capability with its superior sensor and armament set, as a modern medium weight destroyer and complement the high end of short to medium term Russian surface combatant capability while 1135.6s become workhorses.
Such a composition could probably provide a good bang for buck to set the scene for arrival of a new larger displacement Sov/Udaloy/Slava replacement post 2020.
Project 956 actually has six Shtil directors.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=9XRaA_QXREg#t=163
The ROF even for single arm Shtil is pretty decent. However VLS is very important on the Grigorovich IMO because the only other close in defense is the AK-630….against incoming missiles the rapid fire ability of the VLS might be critical.Also, the Russian Navy only has 3 functional and active project 956 destroyers, the Ushakov, Bistryy and Nastoichivy.
The Bespokoiny gave its engines over to the Nastoichivy back in 2008. However the crew has maintained the ship and it seems to have weathered being in reserve quite well.
The Burny has been waiting engine replacement @ Dalzavod since….2005 I think. It looks to be in much rougher shape but there was talk a year or so back about it’s propulsion finally being overhauled and coming back into service. Since then….nada.
Any plans for the Russian Navy’s Sovs to be upgraded with new weapons and comprehensive subsystems?
I think the PLAN’s four Sovs were/are in a fairly extensive mid life refit, but I don’t think they’ll be replacing the original weapons with newer models.
Granted VLS is an advantage, but you are overestimating its importance too much. HQ-16, SA-N-7, Shtil-1 are all SARH guided. Grigorovich, Talwar, Type 54A, Sovremenny classes all have 4 3S90 target guidance radars, two facing each side. So max number of targets engaged is at a semisphere is 2. (4 if we are talking about total)
With two launchers on Sovremenny, absence of VLS is completely irrelevant. IDK about SA-N-7 launcher, but Mk-13 reloads in 10 seconds. Assuming both systems have similar performance, lack of VLS in Talwar merely adds 10 second delay for engaging second target, that is assuming both targets enter launch range at the same instant. If they are apart then performance difference is even less.
The key improvement of VLS over arm launchers, imo, is greater firing rate, and faster response time (which includes the ability to effectively engage targets from 360 degrees without needing the extra one or two seconds for re orienting the arm launcher)
For SARH missiles, greater firing rate means you are able to take advantage of your terminal illuminators to simultaneously engage more targets — but of course, if your illuminators are arranged like 054A and Talwar/Grigorovich, Shivalik, Sovs, etc, chances are you’ll never be able to use all of them as an attack would likely come from a single direction rather than multiple directions.
However greater firing rate does mean a ship can time share their terminal illuminators between more SAMs and more targets, especially if it is an attempted saturation attack where a defender will prefer to engage as many targets per cycle with as fast a firing cycle as they can manage where arm launchers simply far too slow (1 missile per second from Mk-41 versus one every ten seconds for Mk-13) . Greater firing rate also means you can fire more SAMs at a single target in the same amount of time compared to an arm launcher (i.e.: using a single illuminator per target but supporting multiple interceptor SAMs fired rapidly sequentially) for greater pK against that target.
Agree, the destroyer/cruiser seems rather fanciful – composite construction (which Russia is starting to deploy) might give some additional margin, but all those sensors are a lot of weight in their own right. Particularly since the length/beam ratio is not appreciably different to the Kirov, let alone the British Type 45. Personally, I think the sweet-spot would be 8 ships of a conventionally-powered, Slava-size (i.e. 100000 to 12000 tons) design.
The carrier on the other hand isn’t actually that much of a departure from the Soviet-era 1143.7 project, twin islands not withstanding. It’s a bit larger and replaces the waist catapults with a shallow ski-jump on the angled deck, but that (and the islands, obviously) is about it. Apart from the size (What’s wrong with a 85000 ton hull, like the Ulyanovsk? Especially if it is to be conventionally powered, which as per the article is at least being considered) it doesn’t strike me as totally out there.
Yes I’m not too sure about the new destroyer/cruiser design either, and whatever happened to the Leader class?
I’m also not sure if Russia has any reliable source for gas turbines powerful enough for a vessel of the displacement mentioned? I imagine there’s probably a project or article under development to fulfill this role but from what I understand Ukraine was quite an important source of these powerplants?
The carrier just seems quite radical (twin islands, twin ski jumps) and very large. It seems to have a very wide flight deck — at least wider than a USN CVN, I’d say. The article lists a 95-100,000 ton displacement, which is immense.
I’d be very interested in the proposed timelines for both projects, assuming the Russian Navy haven’t revealed any solid plans for a successor destroyer/cruiser and an aircraft carrier for the short to medium term.
Both, actually. They’re just individual flights of the same class, really. So I’ll partially disregard your post 😉 As for ASW, sonar fit in both classes is quite variable but broadly similar – yet the 1135.6 has a stronger punch with heavyweight torpedoes and long-range ASW missiles.
Fair enough, although I consider the differences between Talwar and Grigorovich to be quite meaningful in terms of AAW simply on the basis of VLS, as much as a Tico CGs from Bunker Hill onwards being quite different to the first five Mark-26 equipped vessels. Certainly it’s worth mentioning if a comparison with a vessel so similar like 054A is the topic of discussion :p
Which long range ASW missiles are Talwar/Grigorovich armed with? Do you mean replacing one of the AShM VLS cells for Oniks/3M-54 with an ASW 3M-54?