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Blitzo

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Viewing 15 posts - 286 through 300 (of 1,256 total)
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  • in reply to: Russian Navy Thread 2. #2022788
    Blitzo
    Participant

    Russian destroyer design revealed

    Russia developing Shtorm supercarrier

    Both are quite ambitious and unique designs… although I can’t help but look at the destroyer and wonder if it’s not a little top heavy with that towering forward mast?
    A 222 strong VLS is also quite ambitious, even for a 18,000 ton ship, but I suppose some of that 128 SAMs might be smaller point defence SAMs. And if there is no common VLS it may also make any direct comparisons with ships featuring common VLS less meaningful.

    It would obviously make a great replacement for the Slavas, Sovs and Udaloys and to supplement the refitted Kirovs.

    But it’s interesting that Russia is not seeking a more intermediary ship design between the 4500+ ton Gorshkov and a 15,000-18,000 ton heavy cruiser… You’d think building some 8000 ton destroyers might be a more conservative choice while costing less and providing heavier capabilities compared to a frigate… but apparently not.
    I wonder how many will be built, and from when.

    in reply to: Russian Navy Thread 2. #2022807
    Blitzo
    Participant

    Same with the 054A – while very similar in performance to the 1135.6 class broadly speaking, it does not actually do anything better (no real land-attack capability, less powerful ASW). Don’t get me wrong, they’re attractive general purpose frigates with great export potential, but Russia is not a realistic prospect, even though ships of this kind would indeed make sense for them, because the 1135.6 is a fully suitable domestic alternative.

    I fully agree that Russia has no reason to buy 054As, however I think the lack of VLS on Talwars is a pretty significant hindrance even assuming HHQ-16 still has the same effective range and capability against different targets as vanilla Shtil-1s, simply on the basis of firing rate between VLS versus arm launchers. On a side note, I’m surprised the IN retained arm launched Shtil with their P17 frigates that succeeded the Talwars… it’s a shame IN are only getting true VLS launched area air defence with their P15A DDGs.
    Regarding ASW, 054As come with TAS (and hull sonar of course) as standard for all hulls and the last four hulls feature twin tail TAS+VDS. I believe the TAS and VDS situation with Talwars are a bit more variable. I know IN recently bought some ACTAS VDS for three of their Talwars but I’m not sure on the status of others. 054As also feature the ability to fire VL ASROC like weapons (although PLAN have yet to demonstrate that capability to us in photos).

    So on paper I’d say 054A does feature a few key advantages over Talwar, though Talwar also has their own nice capabilities such as more powerful AShMs. The actual effectiveness of the subsystems are obviously something we don’t know but simply in terms of how comprehensive the subsystems are, imo 054A is meaningfully superior at least in the AAW aspect, if not ASW as well to a lesser degree.

    Now, Admiral Grigorovich OTOH is much more similar to 054As than the Talwars mostly on the basis of VLS launched Shtil. I’m not sure how its ASW suite changes vis a vis the Indian Talwars, but I’m assuming it’s quite comprehensive.

    This is assuming by 1135.6 you mean the Talwar rather than Grigorovich. If not, then disregard this post.

    in reply to: PLAN News Thread #4 #2022943
    Blitzo
    Participant

    Why the hell should China ‘show the world’ anything? Do you think China maintains its armed forces as some kind of giant theatre troupe for your entertainment?

    You’re not even pretending to engage seriously any more.

    If anything the Chinese government and PLA prefer to hide the development and progress of its military to the world. They maintain a very high degree of deliberate operational security.

    in reply to: PLAN News Thread #4 #2023027
    Blitzo
    Participant

    I give up, Roovialk.

    I think I’ve explained everything to a degree that even a five year old can understand but it seems like you’re not even reading what I write, and you’re ignoring everyone else’s opinion of you as well.

    You’ve reached a predetermined conclusion that you need to believe in and you’re twisting every little piece of evidence or lack of to support your notion and sticking your head in the sand when your fallacious leaps in logic are pointed out. You can believe what you want.

    in reply to: PLAN News Thread #4 #2023075
    Blitzo
    Participant

    If the PLAN is adopting red jerseys for aircraft maintenance then they are already heading down the wrong path. Every other carrier nation uses their red jerseys for ordinance handling.

    http://www.carrierbuilders.net/articles/20050212_crew_colors/crew_colors.htm

    The “wrong path”? I didn’t know that it was written into the law of the universe for effective carrier operations that vests for a particular role must abide to a single colour.

    It makes sense for other navies with carriers to have similar jerseys for similar tasks given they may often operate together, so similarity may reduce mistakes when cross-decking.
    For PLAN, they’re not seeking to cross deck with anyone and they have no reason to use the same colours as other navies. Unless you’re suggesting the coloured vests chosen by the USN are the “best” vests for particular roles due to particular physiological or psychological effects they have…

    But hey, it’s good that you’ve basically admitted that the PLAN still have different coloured vests, it’s a step forward.

    Your attempts to “explain” why the Liaoing spends more time dock side than at sea are notable but at the end of the day proper carrier operations demand that a carrier and her crew train at sea.

    The first paragraph that you quoted is me talking about about your fallacious inferences. Your logical jumps do not make sense, it’s like adding two and two to get five. That’s what I’m criticising.

    In my second paragraph, I’m not explaining why Liaoning spends more time at dock than at sea, I’m challenging why you believe she is at dock as for as long as you claim, I’m asking you for evidence.

    You know this. And we all know that Liaoning cannot sail the high seas undetected. There are too many eyes monitoring this ship. Therefore it can safely be said that Liaoning is hiding for some reason. The speculation includes that Liaoning is suffering some type of engine problems that limit what it can do at this time. I am sure that you are familiar with these speculations.

    Actually it isn’t the case that we’ll always or even sometimes get photos of Liaoning when it goes to sea — most often the photos we get of Liaoning are when she is at dock. I don’t recall any photos of Liaoning taken at sea from non PLAN vessels or aircraft whether they be military or civilian, and Chinese civilian ships and civilians know to not post any photos of Liaoning online if they happen to stumble upon her at sea because they’ll get taken down and they’ll get a visit from the police for national security reasons.

    Prove me wrong. Show me a photo of commissioned Liaoning at sea that was not taken by the PLA and released by the PLA.
    The only photo I can recall is the single satellite photo early on during Liaoning’s sea trials, and unless you want to pay to have a satellite track Liaoning to prove where she is, the photo evidence and pattern of release of photos indicates Liaoning is certainly not at dock most of the time; we don’t know where she is.

    I don’t doubt that the USN are tracking Liaoning when she goes to sea and may even occasionally send an MPA to snoop on Liaoning, but what makes you think they would release that information and those photos to the public?
    Military encounters and contacts occur more often than we think, but we don’t hear about all of them, only the interesting ones. And as flattered as I’m sure the Liaoning crew are by your high opinion of their ship’s importance, the Liaoning is really quite old news now for most of the world.

    Even posters on Sinodefenceforum have asked questions as to the whereabouts of the Liaoning and why she does not come out and play. So I am not alone in my inquiries.

    In any event the world moves on and if the Chinese feel that sitting at anchor advances their carrier aviation program more power to them!

    If you’ve been over to SDF lately and browsed in the carrier thread you’d have noticed that there have been only a handful of photos of Liaoning at dock in the last year. So yes, posters on SDF have absolutely asked where Liaoning is, because she sure as hell ISN’T at dock. If she were we’d have constant picture updates of it.

    So in effect you’ve just defeated the premise of your own argument which is based around the idea that Liaoning is always at dock.

    Fact is, we don’t know where she’s been most of last year, and we’ve lost track of how long she’s spent at dock and at sea as well.

    So let’s review:
    -you have indirectly admitted the PLAN still have different coloured vests. Good. Vests aren’t that important in the scheme of things, but the fact that it was your fulcrum for your illogical inferences means removing it has also removed your other ridiculous arguments dependent on the presence or lack of presence of coloured vests
    -I’ve also shown that you do not have photos for Liaoning constantly being at dock, and in fact the lack of photos of Liaoning at dock and the difficulty to get photos of Liaoning at sea makes it likely that she is at sea for the time when we do not have photos for her at dock.

    in reply to: PLAN News Thread #4 #2023087
    Blitzo
    Participant

    Your own picture shows the PLAN stepping away from the system the US Navy and other navies from around the world use and moving to a deck system more like the Russian navy.See picture below.

    Okay, you are apparently colour blind — I’ve drawn a circle for you, around the other colours. Green, yellows and a red shirt are visible in that circle. The circle is red, by the way, but I suppose it will appear a darkish shade of gray for you FYI.

    http://i.imgur.com/W9N1KUy.jpg

    I’ll repeat again — the reason we’re seeing only red shirts in the forefront of this pic is because it’s likely a lull in flight deck operations and the red shirts (likely the PLAN’s colour whose jobs include aircraft maintenance) are around the planes because IT’S THEIR JOB. There are no other coloured shirts at the front of the shot because their job isn’t to work on the aircraft and there is no flight deck operations for them to be needed.

    The good thing about this is that in the next year or so eventually pictures and videos are going to come to light showing they haven’t changed their vest colours and this ridiculous tangent of yours will be cut.

    The Russian navy has never adopted a color coded deck crew system. This could be the reason why Russia has not fielded a better aircraft at sea program

    Well gosh if it was that easy I wonder why the Russians don’t just change their vest colour for their deck crews, apparently that’s all you need to field a carrier!

    Maybe the Chinese are developing their own ‘mix’ of carrier systems in an attempt to achieve competency in the shortest time. The ‘dance on the deck’ is hard to master and maybe the PLAN is using their own ideas based upon the limited experience they have gathered to date. After all they do claim that the Liaong is a training ship.

    We have no idea what the Chinese are doing with their carrier program apart from a few surface details. They sensibly do not release enough photos or videos on an upto date basis for us to make any meaningful assessment of how far they are along at any point in time. The fact that you’re trying to make so many inferences is simply fallacious.

    And since you pointed out all these other navies who use the colored vest system you should be aware that it was the US Navy who actually pioneered the color coded deck system that is in use today. The pictures below from WW2 tell the tale

    Yes, and the Wright brothers pioneered the powered heavier than air flying machine, that does not mean every person who has ever flown on an aircraft to this day is using the “Wright brother’s mode of transport”.
    In the same sense, colour coded vests was pioneered by the US, no one’s disputing that, but in the modern day you can not call it “the US way” because of just how many navies use similar methods.

    Finally you should be questioning the PLAN and their sluggish snail like pace regarding carrier operations rather than my observations of this pace.

    Actually their “sluggish pace” is quite reasonable and expected given their previous experience with operating aircraft carriers is zero, and that they are indigenously sourcing, producing and trialling virtually every system and subsystem of the carrier, its airwing, its escorts, not to mention having to develop doctrine and training all by themselves as well.

    Even the US Navy is aware that proficiency at carrier operations takes practice, practice, practice at sea.

    Of course everyone is aware of this. What makes you think the PLAN are not?

    The PLAN seems to believe that having a carrier tied up dock side will some how result in mastering carrier operations. But to each his own.

    Do you know how much time the Liaoning has spent at dock versus at sea over the last year or so? Because I certainly do not. If you do not either, then you have no basis to say what the PLAN thinks or doesn’t think regarding mastering carrier operations.

    Finally, you Roovialk, need to slow down a little and stop trying to use every little photo to try and justify or inform your belief that the PLAN are not choosing to take their carrier program seriously or that they will fail at it. I’m not sure why you’re so obsessed with the notion, and it hasn’t subsided at all in the last few years.
    If you really want to discuss PLAN carrier operations and try to make your case for your view you are welcome over at Sinodefenceforum.com, where there is far more consistent watching of PLAN carrier matters and far more experienced PLA watchers as well.

    in reply to: PLAN News Thread #4 #2023111
    Blitzo
    Participant

    Judging from Russian carrier operations it appears that the PLAN deck crew has decided to take a step back and adopt the Russian method for task color coding. Perhaps the American method was too big a step to take for the Chinese?

    Note the orange vests below and compare this to the pictures posted of PLAN deck crew in their orange vests

    [ATTACH=CONFIG]237118[/ATTACH]

    [ATTACH=CONFIG]237119[/ATTACH]

    ???
    Did you miss the part where I explicitly pointed out the other coloured vests in the picture? Do you need me to zoom in on the picture and draw a circle around it for you?
    And jeez, do you know enough of the russian carrier vest colouring system or their carrier operations to say it’s a “step backwards”? I don’t doubt the deck crew of Kuznetsov are less capable than a USN carrier, but trying labelling coloured vests as something like the main reason for it is stupid.
    It’s also worth mentioning that having colour coded vests isn’t unique to the USN. Other navies also use coloured vests, so it’s a bit arrogant to ascribe it as the “US way”.

    I’m not sure why you keep making these massive inferences about the PLAN’s carrier operations from a few photos or a few seconds of video; you really haven’t gotten better at it over the last year or two.

    in reply to: PLAN News Thread #4 #2023157
    Blitzo
    Participant

    In picture one that J-15 doesn’t have its hook down for landing. Touch and go? In the second picture the deck crew are not wearing the color coded jersey’s shown in early pictures of PLAN carrier operations. What’s up? Have the Chinese abandoned the US Navy style they were trying earlier and gone to the Russian naval system.

    Yes, first picture is probably a touch and go.

    The second photo seems to show a lull in deck operations. In the back ground of the photo you can see some deck crew with the same colour coding as previous. The lull in flight and deck operation may mean the standard deck crew in their different colours aren’t doing their stuff, so they’re naturally not in the picture very prominently.
    Also, the people around the aircraft are wearing orange/red jackets, which is a colour that they’ve had for a while now, since the very beginning actually.
    If I had to make a guess, the red jackets may be aircraft maintenance, who are currently working on their aircraft during a lull in intensive deck operation, which would explain why many of them aren’t wearing helmets and why we mostly only see red jackets in the photo.

    http://i.imgur.com/TYrI68C.jpg

    http://i.imgur.com/Yb5znTB.jpg

    http://i.imgur.com/95CqspU.jpg

    in reply to: Indian Navy news thread #2023175
    Blitzo
    Participant

    No, it appears that they’re going with 32 Barak 8s for the P-15B as well..hypersonic Brahmos won’t be ready by the time the P-15B is ready for sea trials. Then it’ll be another case of the ship being ready before it’s armament is. I think they’ll just stick with Brahmos for the INS Visakhapatnam class.

    I see, thanks.

    In that case, what are the major modifications between P-15A and P-15B? They appear to be keeping the armament the same apart from replacing the 76mm gun with a 127mm one (?). By the sounds of it the primary MF STAR radar and other major sensors will not change either. I assume most of the changes will be in more minor subsystems and internal changes? From what I understand the change in capability between P-15A and B is far less dramatic than P-15 to P-15A, or even the proposed changes from P-17 to P-17A.
    Given the relatively limited changes that I can see, one would almost want to call P-15B a P-15A block ii or flight ii rather than giving it an entirely new designation.

    in reply to: Indian Navy news thread #2023191
    Blitzo
    Participant

    Supposed to be delivered to the IN in July 2018, so kitting her out will take 3 years. Some details on the P-15B INS Visakhapatnam destroyer

    link to article

    Any idea if they’re planning a larger number of SAMs for P-15B?

    While the 32 Barak-8s on P15A are far superior to the Shtils that the IN relied on previously for area air defence, they’re a bit fewer than the norm for a destroyer of their weight class. 48 or better 64 VLS that are Barak-8 compatible would be far better.

    And whatever happened to the idea of equipping hypersonic brahmos 2 to P-15B?

    in reply to: Indian Navy news thread #2023382
    Blitzo
    Participant

    1.5 years from keel laid to launch is definitely much faster than the 3-4 years for the three P15As… fitting out is the big question now.

    in reply to: PLAN News Thread #4 #2023409
    Blitzo
    Participant

    A quick jaunt through JN from google earth as of last november.
    Four 052Ds (units 2, 3, 4, and 5) in the water and the 12k ton cutter painted and ready for launch. We finally are able to get dimensions for the thing and it is a big, big ship.
    Since then, JN has launched its 6th 052D in december, the first 12k ton cutter was launched, and the second 12k ton cutter is nearing read to be launched.

    http://i.imgur.com/Nr0HmZI.jpg

    http://i.imgur.com/JqdehZ3.jpg

    in reply to: Russian Navy Thread 2. #2024469
    Blitzo
    Participant

    http://flotprom.ru/2015/186299/

    Oh damn, looks like the new destroyer will indeed be nuclear powered.

    http://flotprom.ru/2015/186337/

    Might be laid down as early as late 2017. Displacement- 14,000 tons.

    Any idea if 14,000 tons full displacement or standard or even empty?
    And any mention or rumours of expected production run?

    Looks like USN, VMF, and PLAN are all gearing up to build some true cruisers for the 21st century.

    in reply to: PLAN News Thread #4 #2028926
    Blitzo
    Participant

    This Iraq thing is stressing China out greatly as they see trying to play the super power game on the cheap just doesn’t work. And since China imports a significant amount of oil from Iraq an interruption of Iraqi oil will be greatly felt. The inability of the PLAN to project power troubles China.

    Could Iraq Be Another Libya for China?

    Andrea Ghiselli, “Could Iraq Be Another Libya for China?” The Diplomat, 24 June 2014.
    The crisis in Iraq again reveals the costs of China’s low military profile in the region.
    On June 13, Beijing’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson Hua Chunying declared that China is closely watching the events unfolding in Iraq and paying special attention to the protection of Chinese […]

    http://www.andrewerickson.com/2014/06/could-iraq-be-another-libya-for-china/

    Well even if the PLAN could project power like the USN, this is not an instance where such projection of power would be a smart decision. Not everything can be solved with a few PGMs, and not even with boots on the ground.
    China even now, seems averse to getting its hands dirty in areas not currently considered core interests, and that includes the far abroad. I’m going to speculate that only on rare occasions in coming decades will china flex its growing power projection muscle in blue water.

    Losing some investment dollars, and even losing some of its oil supply, may be preferable to getting into a fight in over its head. Certainly, considering how well a job the US and its allies intervened in regime change and nation rebuilding in various countries over the years, it would be insane for china to attempt it in coming decades. If a nation is looking like a failed state and getting overrun with extremists, the smart thing to do would be to cut their losses and run and evacuate its citizens out. That would be the most likely scenario in which a future blue water PLAN would be needed: to provide escort and protection for its overseas citizens. Such a role would of course involve minimal head on fighting with any warring factions, unless they are deliberately targeting chinese citizens for whatever strange and unlikely reason.

    in reply to: PLAN News Thread #4 #2029047
    Blitzo
    Participant

    A nice cutaway drawing of the 032 test sub.

    http://i.imgur.com/yxNjsNr.jpg

Viewing 15 posts - 286 through 300 (of 1,256 total)