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Blitzo

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Viewing 15 posts - 1,201 through 1,215 (of 1,256 total)
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  • in reply to: PLAAF Thread 15 #2367010
    Blitzo
    Participant

    So.. whats happening with J-20 nowadays? Still Chinese new year?

    No idea. Most likely once they’ve already “leaked” it to the public it’s now in testing in some more remote base.

    in reply to: Air Action Over Libya (Merged) #2367554
    Blitzo
    Participant

    The cynicisim and willingness of some to allow people to die is sad.

    I’m not sure if that’s directed at me, but in case it is I’d like to point out I never said civilians either on the rebel or the Gadafi side should die.

    These people initially undertook peaceful protest, only to be brutally suppressed by the regime and it’s apologists, they then took up arms to defend themselves.

    Is it wrong for me to ask that a regime should have the power to fight against an insurrection or is it universal that governments must bow over to every anti government movement?

    Now I don’t support Gaddafi, but I also think we can’t see this in black and white either, and we certainly can’t label the rebels as the “good guys,” as a previous poster had.
    but that’s just my opinion.

    The evidence is there, it is plain to see for anybody who does not have a biased agenda.

    What kind of biased agenda can anyone have, apart from hoping that peace and stability will return to Libya asap?

    If these “rebels” then escalate their actions into removing the regime, by whatever means and using whatever is necessary, it is only the regime that is to blame.

    Well they are rebels, aren’t they? I mean you can hardly call them peaceful protestors anymore…

    Those who whine that the “rebels” may massacre people in Tripoli are guilty of sitting in their safe, comfortable homes with little to no threat to their safe, comfortable lives.

    I wouldn’t call it whining more than warning.
    And are you saying those people who think the rebels won’t massacre people in Tripoli aren’t guilty of sitting in safe comfortable homes with little to no threat to safe comfortable lives?

    —–

    I wouldn’t want to OT this thread too much, because the updates on constant action is… constantly up to date — but the perception that the rebels are inherently “good” or whatever, for me is skewed.
    Thanks.

    in reply to: Air Action Over Libya (Merged) #2367565
    Blitzo
    Participant

    Isn’t obvious?
    They are the good guys, good guys don’t massacre.
    They take appropriate, measured and efficient decision, in respect of international moral standards, law and best practices all of this in consultation with their allies and partners.
    This for the sole goal of maintaining social cohesion , order and peace.

    Lol… you’re being sarcastic… right?

    in reply to: The PAK-FA Saga Episode XVI #2367748
    Blitzo
    Participant

    Looks like a starfighter from that angle.

    Do you mean F-104 starfighter or X-wing starfighter? :p

    in reply to: B-1 Bomber with AAMs (Missile Mothership) Rand concept #2368080
    Blitzo
    Participant

    No it can’t. At least no source claims such numbers, except for saying “in the future they will…”. Thats if they get a realistic sat guidance (which they currently don’t have).

    You’d think the emergence of the J-20 would have made people start to view these “claims” with more seriousness.

    Preparations for any PLA action against Taiwan would take months, and be plainly obvious to the US

    Not the missile TELs. And that is assuming PLAAF fighters at any point in time are not ready to respond into action.

    Sat guidance is on paper only. Currently its based of US civilian channels, which of course won’t happen in wartime. CEP figures for their ballistic missiles, are not exactly impressive…despite the claims that “in the future we will get 30-50m!”. Well thats in the future. In the future ATBMs will also be a heck of a lot better.

    I can’t quote you the exact CEP figures, I don’t have pictures of arms expos with brochures of systems like SY-400 or P-12 but I’m sure they’re floating on the internet somewhere. If you can get a hold of those numbers then you can infer the CEP of 2nd Arty, un-“dumbed down” systems. Using WS-2 as your proof that Chinese missile and rocket systems have bad CEP isn’t a very good choice btw.

    The claims of “30-50m!” were past. The future is here. 😮
    Besides the AShBM is meant to hit a moving carrier. Don’t you think they would’ve been able to achieve a similarly good CEP against simpler ground based targets before moving to try against moving targets? (Wait, I remember now that you don’t believe in the existence of the AShBM. Damn, how inconvenient.)

    Do we know it’s based off US civilian GPS? Beidou is already operational over china and most of east asia. the PLA would be stupid not to use it, unless you think the guidance systems are too expensive for them to afford or something like that. And even if there was say a CEP of 100m to 300m… With submunitions that will still be able to take out a good sized military installation. Might need more than one but you certainly won’t need all your 1000+…

    And at the end of the day… who do you think will run out of missiles first?

    in reply to: B-1 Bomber with AAMs (Missile Mothership) Rand concept #2316005
    Blitzo
    Participant

    Also you say taiwanese tbms will “only get better over time” can’t we assume the same for the 2nd arty? In fact this is already happening, see df-16 talk and the new 4000km irbm.
    And I can’t say quote the CEp of the missile systems nori co has displayed, but most of the recent ones post ~2004 have respectable CEp good enough for targets like airfields or other such military installations

    Systems like sy-400 and p-12 have ins and gps/compass guidance, so you can infer the CEPs if you want. And they’ve been shown at airshows and defense expos for years…
    I’ll try to find a more precise set of numbers or a picture when I have access to a computer

    in reply to: B-1 Bomber with AAMs (Missile Mothership) Rand concept #2316011
    Blitzo
    Participant

    I wouldn’t bet on tbms making it through every time either, but I’d certainly expect bmd to not intercept one ever time.
    The 2nd arty has hundreds if not over a thousand srbms pointed at Taiwan, and you can bet your life they won’t all be the same as when they first entered sercice (ie: they would’ve gone through mlus and upgrades over time. Terminal guidance, gps/compass guidance etc). with terminal guidance df-15 can achieve a CEp of 35-50m, and I’d expect a similar CEp for upgraded df-11s. That kind of CEp is easily enough to strike a landing strip in a hit especially if with submunitions. That logic can be applied to other targets like naval bases, Sam sites, lack sites and what not.
    If there was already a USN or us presence around Taiwan then yes 2nd arty BMs would have a harder time, but if it had gone to that then the pla would either already have fired off the missiles or they will choose not to.

    And any pla lacm strike won’t be alone, it’d work in concert with swarms of other missiles or BMs. Sure they’d face the same problems taiwanese lacms will face but with the saturation of BMs taking out airbases…

    in reply to: B-1 Bomber with AAMs (Missile Mothership) Rand concept #2316119
    Blitzo
    Participant

    LACMs… Assuming they aren’t taken out by 2nd arty ballistic missiles or their own DH-10s or even airstrikes in the opening phases…

    What ground based Lacms do roc have anyway, I know they have some alcms but forgot the designations and specs of the former.

    I wonder what kind of damage they can do anyway. I don’t think they have enough to launch a concerted attack, and high value targets should be protected by c-ram like defenses and j-7s with pl-8, probably with kj-200 support. unless they can saturate the defenses with sheer numbers I’m not so sure about the knd of damage a roc cruise missile strike can do.

    in reply to: The PAK-FA Saga Episode XVI #2318206
    Blitzo
    Participant

    I doubt there’ll be an EW derivative of PAK FA. What would it bring to the role over Su-34?

    Operating deep in enemy territory, and all the other benefits with having a smaller RCS.

    There’s a reason the USN was looking at a stealthy next generation jammer over the current, already very potent F-18G growlers.

    in reply to: The PAK-FA Saga Episode XVI #2318230
    Blitzo
    Participant

    Does anyone know or has anyone seen news about how the IAF PAK FA numbers will be devided (single seat vs double seat?).

    Also does anyone know if the RuAF and IAF are planning to have an electronic attack version of the PAK-FA?

    I thought it was 50 single seat (PAK FA) and 250 twin seat (“FGFA”), for the IAF, with procurement of the single seats first.

    I haven’t heard anything about an EW version of the PAK FA but it’s a large aircraft and if there’s the need and the money there could be as many variants of the aircraft as there were for flankers and hornets. It’s a big plane, and I hope they decide to come out with a Su-34 or FB-22 style derivative in the distant future, which could go very well with expanded EW capability.

    in reply to: B-1 Bomber with AAMs (Missile Mothership) Rand concept #2320420
    Blitzo
    Participant

    An excellent argument.

    Yes because

    Oh yes you got it! Its because of race.

    Is so much better.

    ———-

    Actually never mind, I’m done replying to you. Maybe in another thread or if you want to pop on over to SDF.

    GG

    in reply to: B-1 Bomber with AAMs (Missile Mothership) Rand concept #2320422
    Blitzo
    Participant

    Thats entirely irrelevant. We don’t even know if this Chinese thing even flew.

    Yeah we never do, do we…

    So…saying I said so and he said that, reveals nothing since we are talking about two different distances. I’m saying, that the major Chinese airbases are at least 350 miles from Taiwan. It doesn’t matter how many there are 575 miles or 1000 miles. The question is, how many aircraft in the PLAAF inventory have the capability of a 350 mile combat radius?

    Isn’t that what I’ve been asking all along…?

    And all the above depends on airbases in range of the strait for aircraft that would be in range… which is effectively kapedani’s fulcrum for the whole paper air force argument. In post 74 he said only 4 airfields closer than 350 miles to taiwan, and plawolf later quoted rand saying 27 airbaes within 500nm of taiwan… I personally think the latter gives a broader view, but it depends what kind of aircraft can be fielded from 500 nm away and still achieve a good sortie rate.

    And what does this do for sortie rates? Taiwanese or US aircraft will be flying from much closer bases, over friendly territory, and can have a turn around rate much quicker.

    Depending on what kind of conflict unfolds… if they have closer bases to operate from…

    Oh! A reference? Here’s what the “reference” says:

    Still, where do you get your specs from?

    And you think the USAF doesn’t have them, because it…can’t? The US sells them to its allies. The USN has the E-2D. You never through that maybe, a USAF program is a low priority?

    I never said that, just that the USAF might wanna think about getting some AESAs for their awacs… touchy.

    in reply to: B-1 Bomber with AAMs (Missile Mothership) Rand concept #2320877
    Blitzo
    Participant

    :rolleyes: Israel sells them on discount.

    Maybe the USAF should buy a couple 😮

    That anti-ship ballistic missile story was the best joke the Chinese have come up with in a while. I can’t believe people took that joke seriously.

    Yeah, the J-20’s really an F-117 spliced with a Mig 1.44 and the PLAAF are still flying J-6s… Ooooh and the Varyag is still due to be a casino. Can’t have good security for the slot machines these days without ciws and aesas!

    Oh yes you got it! Its because of race.

    Isn’t it usually?

    in reply to: B-1 Bomber with AAMs (Missile Mothership) Rand concept #2320955
    Blitzo
    Participant

    See, again here’s the problem with these assumptions. A car with 4 wheels is not like every other car with 4 wheels. A sub-scale shuttle prototype is not the same like all sub-scale shuttle prototypes. Such vehicles have been tested since the 1970s by both the US and the USSR. In what way is that Chinese program in any way similar to X-37B?

    -sigh- I use the term “sino-X-37B” loosely… How many other notable unmanned space planes have there been in the last few years?

    Cause its got wings and flies? Yeah…and Chinese tanks are just like the M1.

    God let’s not get into that

    I don’t think some people understand that 500nm is 575 miles, or about 930km. If he had gone to 1000nm, he would have counted 350 airbases. Then he REALLY would have won.

    I think most of us understand 500 nm is +900 km… So?

    😮 J-10 has the combat range of an Su-34 and an F-15E? Yeah…go wikipedia

    Yeah they have references for a reason… Quoting the reference isn’t different to quoting the page, just the latter sounds marginally less credible. (Combat radius is 1100km, btw, not 1500)

    Where do you get your specs, then?

    in reply to: PLAAF Thread 15 #2320991
    Blitzo
    Participant

    Z-19 🙂

    http://cnair.top81.cn/helo/Z-19b.jpg

    I think this officially confirms the existence of this helicopter. Looks good too, like a mini Z-10 and similar to the OH-1, which isn’t a bad thing. Looks like there are four hardpoints, but they probably won’t be able to all hold 4 missiles each like the Z-10. The optics ball can be clearly seen under the nose. I personally prefer that position to the OH-1s roof mounted one. Looks far more flush and gunship-like.

Viewing 15 posts - 1,201 through 1,215 (of 1,256 total)