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ananda

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Viewing 15 posts - 151 through 165 (of 495 total)
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  • in reply to: Why is the Golden Eagle more successful than the JF-17? #2220295
    ananda
    Participant

    True enough, but still … priorities! Nations like Spain and Australia do not have jet aerobatic teams and Indonesian AF is not (yet) even at that level, yet they are mimicking even higher-tier AFs like UK, France, etc.

    Personally I kind think that when Indonesian AF already build Jupiter Aerobatic Team with KT-1B, then they will not revive the jet powered Blue Hawk team. Wasting resources to have 2 Aerobatic team, still it’s better to used some of those TA-50 as Aerobatic team, rather than relocating some of very limited F-16 from front line duty to Aerobatic team as they have done in the 90’s.

    in reply to: Why is the Golden Eagle more successful than the JF-17? #2221729
    ananda
    Participant

    so they are using their f-16 patterns on the eagles.
    glad they didnt stick with that blue angels looking theme

    From 16 TA-50 Indonesian AF ordered, 6 will be with the Aerobatic Team colours (reminiscences to blue angels patern), while the rest 10 will be on F-16 paterns. Same thing as KT-1B, where some of them also used red and white paterns for Aerobatic Team, whike the rest used grey scheme patern.

    Indonesian AF then will have 2 aerobatic team, one with KT-1B called Jupiter, while the other called Blue Hawk will used TA-50. The Blue Hawk used to operated F-16. Some sense seems back to Indonesian AF on not used their ‘very limited’ front line Fighters as Aerobatic Team.

    in reply to: Why is the Golden Eagle more successful than the JF-17? #2225622
    ananda
    Participant

    Is JF-17 vs T/A-50 even a like-for-like comparison? The JF-17 is very PAF centric, especially considering that it has a 50% stake in it. It’s primarily meant to be a cheap lightweight, sanction free fighter to replace 3 PAF fighters, J-7, A-5 and Mirage III. The number of countries with a similar requirement as the PAF may be quite limited. Perhaps Gripen vs T/A-50 would be more appropriate?

    If KAI manage to turn existing KF-X twin engine design to their proposed single engine design call KFX-E (based on enlarging T-50), then perhaps by that time we can talk about direct competition to Gripen NG.

    in reply to: Botswana looking to possibly buy T-50 and FA-50 #2247675
    ananda
    Participant

    if this happens… it could be the first of a flood of

    Singapore – possibility for replacing remaining F5s

    .

    Singapore ? They already replace their F-5 with F-15SG and F-16 Block 52…no place for FA-50..While their LIFT already used M-346..T-50 already history when that Italian LIFT beat them.

    in reply to: should Indonesia bail out on KFX? #2262420
    ananda
    Participant

    since the project isn’t very far a long yet,
    Indonesia could work with other partners such as Turkey or India which is seeking to field heavier options.

    It can be an option, if there are other partnership that already moving ahead. KF-X is still not definitive yet on the end result. However so far from Indonesian side, this is the only parnership that have prospect as learning curve on taking in the fighters game.

    in reply to: should Indonesia bail out on KFX? #2266315
    ananda
    Participant

    now that janes has revealed the Koreans are basically going for a glorified F-16 variant with side intakes and faceted fueselage

    http://www.janes.com/images/assets/295/29295/1517176-main.jpg

    Is still better then F-16 block 15 OCU MLU or F-16 block 25 MLU (CUPID/Combat Upgrades Plan Integrations Details) that are and will be the back bone of Indonesian AF up to 2020+. Even with that singgle engine configuration, that KFX will provide valuable learning curve for Indonesian.

    Besides that single engine design is more realistic on getting the project within the plan budget and targeted price range.

    ananda
    Participant

    F1? The F1 was built instead of the F2. It’s unlikely Israel would have had both.

    It might have had Mirage III (upgraded by then), Mirage F2, & whatever was built next – but we don’t know what that would have been.

    You can’t change history, e.g. by building the Mirage F2, & ignore the effects of that change.

    What Mirage 4000? See above.

    Well this thread, implicated the scenario if Israel become more depending with French as the main armed supplier. Osirak situation show Isreal ability to use F-15 and F-16 as combinations…If the scenario then dictate Israel used French originated assets, then combination of M-2000 and M-4000 can be used as alternative of F-15 and F-16.

    Off course no M-4000 came to realisation. Just played on the scenario that with Isreal become main French asset users, then M-4000 existance can be considered to be usefull with Israel situation.

    ananda
    Participant

    had the IDF been equipped with mirage 2000s and F-2s instead,
    I am not sure if they could’ve pulled off Osirak.

    Then, Israel would made confirmed order for Mirage 4000..

    in reply to: Saab looks to Asia to develop new stealth fighter #2236783
    ananda
    Participant

    Nope.

    Still doing better than a lot of countries.

    Doing better than a lot of countries, does not mean can afford 5th gen twin jet design by her own. Well it may be enough money for AMCA, if India willing to foregone the dream a ‘fleet’ of indigenous carrier, SSN, SSBN.

    in reply to: Saab looks to Asia to develop new stealth fighter #2237730
    ananda
    Participant

    The Korean design gets worse and worse.
    they should just swallow their pride and work with the Indians on AMCA already. its pretty much what they wanted in the first place anyways.

    Why worse ? Why AMCA ? With this current economic conditions continue in Asia, I don’t think India can afford AMCA. The main design still there, but KAI just preparing fall back design. India did not, and still put a believe that they can finish a design like AMCA on their own. Like I said, under current economic condition in Asia, nobody except China can do it alone on a 5th gen twin engine design.

    in reply to: Saab looks to Asia to develop new stealth fighter #2239078
    ananda
    Participant

    Officialy KAI KF-X concept still a twin engine stealth fighter. However with development budget set only at max USD 10 bio, KAI also prepared more modest single engine moderate stealth (whatever its means) fighter concept.

    It’s a fall back concept. However with ROK can not find other partner then Indonesia at this moment, considering both ROK and Indonesia current economic condition (as also the whole region economic conditions), it will be hard to get more budget then already set. So a single engine design can not be discounted, whatever the official line at this moment stated.

    That singgle engine design can fit well with SAAB colaboration.

    http://www.aviationweek.com/Article.aspx?id=/article-xml/AW_07_22_2013_p33-598290.xml&p=1

    in reply to: Future Light Attack – Textron Scorpion #2240336
    ananda
    Participant

    Problem is, the Super Tucano is neither mighty nor very economical. $12-20 million for a 280 knot aircraft with a range of only 780nm and 4 weapons pylons (the centerline pylon will always be used to carry extra fuel)… that’s a lot of buck for not much .

    The price tag depends on which electronics modules you want to put it. Still even that price tag, I don’t this Textron Scorpion can do much better than that. Fully equiped, I believe potentialy higher than that.

    Again the Economical of Super Tucano, is due to operational costs. How this Textron Scorpion with twin turbofan can compete operational cost wise with singgle turboprop ? Mighthy, because for the price and operational cost wise, Super Tucano can do much and more as ‘COIN’ fighters need to be. Super Tucano will not and need not pretend more than what it is, a COIN fighter.

    Now, this Scorpion yes can be perfect replacement for A-37 and OV-10. Still under current situations, will Pentagon bankrolled it ? A-37 and OV-10 become economical because there’s huge need for them by then US, due to Vietnsm and Indochina conflict. The surplus of OV-10 and A-37 become handily available in the 70’s for US to supply the choosen third world nation. Unless the same situation happen, and US once again become ‘Uncle Nick’ handing over surplus toys like in the 70’s, then those OV-10 and A-37 operators will choose Super Tucano…not because no other Fighters that can out match Super Tucano..but because it simply meet their ‘operstional budgets’ for the job they expect to do for…which is mostly COIN.

    in reply to: Future Light Attack – Textron Scorpion #2240364
    ananda
    Participant

    So what is the market for this jet?
    – Europe – NO
    – North America – NO
    – Central America – Mexico. Anyone else is too poor to afford anything and relies on US aid.
    – Latin America – Maybe someone like Peru but that’s about it. Most of the light jets have been replaced by new EMB-314s in recent years and most other A-37 operators cannot afford new aircraft (Uruguay, Paraguay, Argentina).
    – Middle East – NO
    – Africa – NO – not many could afford it and those that could buy supersonics.
    – Asia – maybe Thailand and Philippines.

    So this thing looks at best the equivalent of a Hawk 200 in sales or at worst nothing at all.

    Latin America is Super Tucano land. Thailand already replacing their OV-10 in operational sense with surplus Alpha Jets, and already donating some surplus OV-10 to Philipines. Philipines the only viable market left. It clearly still need COIN, their OV-10 already hard pressed, and their Economy is doing well. Problem is, they want to finish the deal for FA-50 first. While for replacing OV-10, super tucano still a favorite. Some Philippines AF contingent already visiting Indonesian AF Super Tucano for comparison studies. If Textron want to sell this to Philippines, then they must work hard and fast.

    But even somehow Philippines AF show interest with this Aircraft, it will be only for 1 sq at most. After that..which market left ? Facing that possibility, Philippines AF I believe will think hard on the possibility they will be the sole operators of this Aircraft.

    in reply to: Future Light Attack – Textron Scorpion #2240379
    ananda
    Participant

    No, in fact the turboprop is only marginaly cheaper. A military operator won’t even notice the cost difference.

    Let’s compare two very similar civilian platforms: the PC-12 (6,500lb light turboprop) versus the Citation Jet 4 (10,000lb twin turbofan). Critics will complain that the CJ4 guzzles fuel and has two engines. And indeed, it at first blush it costs twice as much per flight hour: $1,800 vs. $750. BUT, the CJ4 flies 50% faster and 30% farther than the PC-12. Once you adjust for the jet’s much shorter block times, the cost difference is reduced to only $500 per hour.

    Now $500/hr may be a big deal in the civilian world, but it’s peanuts for a military operator. The overall mission cost will be dominated by all the other factors like pilot training, avionics maintenance and weapons costs. Not to mention that the jet’s extra speed, payload, range and survivability makes it much more useful.

    IMHO that’s why this annoucnement is a big deal. We have a potential Super Tucano killer.

    No..it will not be potential Super Tucano Killer..it will be potentialy ‘killed’ by Super Tucano..

    Who’s the market for this one..? First class AF..? Who can considered the difference of maintanance of turboprop and turbofan as insignificance like you say ? No..they will not even bother to take a look on this class of fighters.

    It’s the third world market that is the potential market..and for them operating COIN like Super Tucano will provide them with state of the art COIN fighters, in the turboprop operational cost. For that market..the difference on operational costs that you think insignificance..is a real deal matter for most of 3rd world military operators.

    It’s interesting concept, but the truth is no big market for twin turbofan COIN fighters. A single engine turboprop with decent electronics and sensors can provide most of the COIN and recce jobs that this fighters offered, with more economical operational costs.

    Btw, for Hawk 200, Indonesian AF as the biggest operators of Hawk 200 actualy was not interested with the Fighters. The contract in the 90’s happen only because the BAE ‘agent’ make sweet deal with then Indonesia ‘dictactor’ family. So with less dictactor in third world right now, you can see the effort to sell that as ‘light fighters’ will increasingly facing much less demand.

    The only thing left is COIN market..well then it faced the mighty and yet economical Super Tucano…well a good market prospect for this one.

    in reply to: Future Light Attack – Textron Scorpion #2240573
    ananda
    Participant

    Just like an A10. Yes you can see it like that. But this is not a Hog… I wld certainly prefer to seat in a J6 when the manpads start flowing ard 😉

    Super Tucano already take much of the market for this one. The countries that not need Super Tucano can choose AH-64…Sooo…yup don’t think much market left for this one.

Viewing 15 posts - 151 through 165 (of 495 total)