that is sad that j-31 got so far, only to die a death with no funding
We will know more next month at the Zhuhai Airshow. Might not be dead yet but it’s been read last rites.
It’s not a question of Russia’s interests. It’s just a question of Kazakhstan’s interests. And my ex-fellow citizens are not interested in situation where US would have any leverage on them, as well as they don’t wish to become a spare card in political games between US and China. Anything else is just someone’s wishful thinking which have nothing in common with reality of CIS politics. :rolleyes:
Nothing wrong with wishful thinking, so long as it’s not wishful non-thinking. I’m sure the people of Kazakhstan will have lots to think about in the coming years.
They have received a mass of Russian S-300s for AD, they are buying Su-30 (at internal Russian prices), Yak-130s, Mi-35s, and intend to buy the follow ups from Russia for almost all those.
They have also signed on to the major Russian security and economic pacts in the region, usually as the 2nd most important nation within the org.I think it is pretty clear what direction Kazakhstan has chosen, and its not angling towards the F-35 or some Chinese generic 5th gen whose characteristics are rather dubious.
Being able to afford the F-35 alone would rule it out, even if we ignore the impossibility of it for other reasons.
Yes but according to what you said earlier Russia would be reluctant to sell them Pak-fa, which means their requirements need to be met somehow.
I can appreciate that’s your opinion if you are Russian. It certainly wouldn’t be to Russian interest for America to increase its virtually non-existent profile in a region historically under Russian rule.
But I can also see it from the Kazakh perspective. Their economic future lies in selling energy products to China and providing passage of Chinese goods to Russia and Europe. If I were them I would want as many cards as I can get to play my big neighbors off. Having a third party alternative is definitely useful. Since Kazakhstan is not structurally dependent on America in any way it would be an attractive option. A squadron of F-35s simply does not give US the upper hand with Kazakh domestic politics.
Of course I don’t claim to speak for Kazakhstan as I am not Russian. I have nothing against Russia, simply addressing a question asked by a Kazakhstanian.
US weapon system for political independence?! One of the most funny things i ever heard! :applause:
Ironic yes. Going American is the best way for countries like Kazakhstan to sustain independence. Despite of the fact that US weapons come with the most strings, America has minimal leverage on Kazakhstan. Buying Russian would be doubling down on dependency.
Countries shopping for 5th gen fighters need to understand the market is going to look very different than when they shoppped for 4th gen, which was a Cold War product built in huge quantities and by many makers. With stealth fighters there will be F-35, J-20, and T-50. The Chinese fighter is not for sale and the other two come with loss of political independence. Take your pick.
The only three known alternatives are the J-31, the South Korean, and Turkish programs. Of these the J-31 is the most developed but without early foreign investment probably wont exist in 2025. The South Korean program wont succeed without massive American assistance, which is not only not forthcoming, but will have similar political strings attached as the F-35 should it bear fruit. The Turkish project is IMO a pipe dream and bargaining strategy.
So the way things are shaping up 5th gen fighters could well be the dreadnoughts of the pre-WWI era – only a few countries had them and without them you didn’t have a real navy.
As far as future air wars go it’s not clear why anyone would need two types of stealth fighters. Just having one type VLO fighter with sensor superiority would give an air force a force multiplier by using legacy fighters as deep magazine operating from behind. The money for J-31s would be far more than that required to upgrade and link China’s entire fleet of J-10s and J-11s as arsenal fighters.
The article is nonsense. You’re better off forgetting everything it says and start from scratch.
J-20 is a heavy air superiority fighter, J-31 a mid weight air superiority fighter. The best analogy is Su-27 and MiG-29. Yes the J-20 does have much more range and payload and therefore has more growth potential as a strike aircraft.
For a geographically large country with distant threats it makes more sense to invest in the heavy fighter. Exactly the reason the Russians have negelected the Fulcrum for so long in favor of the Flanker. This had nothing to do with the Flanker being inferior at air combat maneuvering, quite the opposite.
The J-31 is unimpressive for one reason: its an early tech demonstrator. AFAIK Shenyang never built a real prototype. The YF-22 isn’t all that impressive compared to LRIP J-20s. It certainly has great potential. It is essentially what Lockheed Martin would have designed for the F-35 project if there was no VTOL requirement forcing major compromise on the design. But for it to reach its potential there is a very long road ahead and right now there’s no apparent domestic interest to keep it going.
hello
new person here
i’m not so knowledgable on military aviation, but follow it as a hobby.a relative of mines is a mid level officer in the Kazakhstan air force and some of the new documents cite a need for a new fighter after 2025.
according to my relative, what is being looked at is the Russian Pak-fa and the J-31, because J-20 isn’t available for export.the goal is to replace the mig-29 and mig-31.
what do you guys think would be good. both technical aspects and political aspects are important
some benefits of Russian:
we have very good relations with Russia
most of the time, we receive domestic prices for Russian weapons
most of our weapons are Russian
easier interoperability with Russian alliessome benefits of J-31:
KZ military still seeks to diversify
cheaper
Pak-fa has some issues with the Indian side
Perhaps Kazakhstan should consider F-35 if political independence is the goal.
After the next generation enters service in say the 2030s J-20 exports are conceivable. Could Pakistan afford it even then is another story.
The J-31 is not attractive for PLAAF for a number of reasons, among which its relatively short range does not meet Chinese needs. They would be better off buying as many J-20s as they could afford and upgrading legacy platforms. Plus if rumors are to be believed they have as many as two stealth bomber programs underway so budgets are constrained. The Navy also prefers a heavy fighter.
If the J-31 is to be built there would need to be stronger foreign interest from the likes of Pakistan, Iran, maybe Egypt and soon. I can see it as a budget stealth fighter using off the shelf systems from the J-10. Nowhere near as sophisticated as the F-35, but can give it a run for its money and turn the tables on gen 4.5. Right now its future is quite bleak. Maybe China can sell it off to someone at the early stages of their own gen 5 program.
If you want MiG-31 speed you’ll need to build it like one, mostly out of steel and titanium. You can forget about Gripen like agility.
thanks, does it state weight ?
what else does it say ?
Its unfortunatly very blurry. But it looks like 17 tons empty weight, 11 tons weapons load, 25 tons air combat weight. Max speed Mach 2.5, range 5500 km, combat radius 2000 km, ceiling 20,000 m. Length without pitot tube 21.26m.
It also says it has a 30mm cannon. What is this source?
Considering 6th gen fighters are likely to be much larger than the 5th generation, I’m surprised the China bashers here aren’t trying to claim the J-20’s smaller than the Raptor. :very_drunk:
Can of whoop ass
J-20 seems more similar to a twin engine J-10 than a copy of MiG 1.42
Same design team IIRC.
RIP. I saw the video of the two parachutes descending, seemed both would survive.