So the debate now seems to be
1) C2 as C1 lite
2) C2 as souped up C3
3) C2 dropped as being an unwarranted extra tier between C1 & C3
1) A stripped down C1 would still be expensive, but would leverage production costs from the other class, offer economies of scale in operations and support, and if we went for “fitted for but not with” on a grand scale costs could be kept reasonable. However it’d still be a lot of money for what seems to be a second line and Policing vessel. That said, it would leave the door open to later upgrades to bring it nearer C1 standards if needed later or in an emergency.
2) The RN looked at this with the Castle class OPV and concluded that costs rose massively when a OPV was given a genuine war weapons fit so that it approached frigate costs yet still fell far short of frigate capability. Even if the VT OPV was given a modest weapons and sensor fit (absolute minimum IMO would be a light callibre gun, a point defence SAM and some sort of ASW capability, possibly helicopter based rather than hull based with a reasonable sensor fit, now the Omani Navy are building just such a ship and it’ll probably serve them well, but it wouldn’t be anything like as useful as a stripped out austere frigate and wouldn’t have upgrade potential. Also there is the power and range question, fuel tanks don’t come cheap and neither does high speed, fit gas turbines and IEP instead of a 20kt or so diesel plant and it’s no longer looking a bargain.
3) Ditch C2, keep the OPV type C3 for Policing roles, build a basic but effective T23 replacement and keep the surface fleet down to two basic designs plus the C3 common hull MCM/OPV/Survey etc. design.
Personally, I vote for 3 as first choice, followed by 1 with option 2 of a beefed up militarised and armed OPV last.
Seems that despite some differences there is a remarkable amount of consensus on this one:) I think the previous S2C2 program was a better approach but FSC seems to be a result of struggling with the costs of the sort of vessels originally emerging from that project. As others are saying, the main difficulty is figuring out what C1 and C2 are. The high/low end force structure is valid, makes sense and IMO is the correct path, but it looks like the RN want high high end (T45), low high end (C1, T23 new generation?), high low end (C2, C1 lite or enhanced C3?) and low low end (C3). Four classes, if we take C3 out of the mix and say that is a program to develop a single class to replace the RN collection of OPV, survey, MCMV types with a slightly more war capable design it still leaves three tiers of surface combatant, the AAW optimised T45 (which has ASuW potential later if the RN can pay for it), C1 which appears to be planned ASW optimised and C2 which is meant to be cheap but will it be a cheaper down spec T45, C1, a whole new design, an upgraded C3? A whole new design would probably negate any supposed cost savings, a spartan version of T45 or C1 would still be expensive and a souped up C3 wouldn’t be much of a replacement for Batch 3 T22 and T23 frigates. Far better IMO to have two types (which could include sub groups, ie. T45 without PAAMS but enhanced ASuW and ASW systems) and the idea of common machinery is definitely worth pursuing. If the RN ends up with T45, a FREMM type C1 and some as yet hard to define C2 frigate/corvette I can see them paying just as much money for less capability than just pursuing two well defined and capable designs. The real warship requirements it seems to be if we accept that Policing type duties will be carried out by C3 are AAW, ASuW and ASW, T45 offers state of the art AAW and has room for good ASuW capabilities, and the T23 remains a superb ASW platform with C1 logically being a follow on type ship IMO. I’m with those who see no hurry to replace T23 as it remains an excellent type and a first class ASW vessel, OK it doesn’t have that “new car” smell when other navies are getting new builds but it’s a good’un, but given lead times, the age of the first boats of the class and financial planning requirements the RN do need to be thinking of what will replace them and start moving the folow on design forward.
Some speculation and musings based on the discussion we’ve had-if the RN did buy a DDH for C1 (either the UVX concept or a much enlarged hangar/helideck on a more conventional design) would there be a good argument for the companion C2 design to lose helicopter facilities beyond a spot for personnel/stores transfers and emergency landing? That’d free up a lot of space or allow designers to shrink the vessel and cut costs significantly. If the type was going to work with DDH and CVF groups there’d be plenty of other hangar and basing facilities for choppers.
AFAIK current planning is for a combined total of 18 C1 & C2 plus 8 C3, C3 is in addition to the surface combatants and is intended as a multi-role vessel to replace MCM, survey and OPV types eventually with a single class. C1 is supposed to be a first class ASW vessel and C2 an austere secondary warship for securing lines of communication and less threatening missions. In a way I think it is a regressive step from the older S2C2 concept of a very high capability multi-role destroyer and a much less ambitious GP frigate/corvette.
The argument for existing hulls is all about reducing risk and cost, and if the RN seriously wants the 18 C1 & C2 hulls they have to be ruthless in controlling costs, if the program goes out of control the way Astute did they could end up with half that number. At the moment the RN already operate or soon will operate two hulls that remain excellent and highly competitive, T23 and T45, so IMO it makes sense to use these as a starting point. Reading the requirement for C1 it does actually look very much like a T23 new generation, and using the hull as a starting point, with new machinery, a new lower RCS top side with a modern point defence SAM, light gun and fully optimised ASW sensor fit would give the RN a very good ASW vessel that they should be able to build for reasonable cost. My own argument would be that rather than design and build (or buy in a foreign design) a low end surface warship for C2, it’d make more sense to just continue the T45 program and upgrade the existing T45’s with ASuW capability, a new 155mm gun etc. and use the T23 replacement optimised ASW type as C1, and eliminate C2 as such, basically return to the older RN aim of a two tier force structure before the FSC project.
On the DDH, that is essentially a return to the through deck ASW cruiser, although it could be a much smaller vessel, it is often forgotten now that the light aircraft carriers were genuinely planned as ASW cruisers and that the often discussed concept was far from subterfuge to build carriers without the treasury noticing (even the treasury aren’t that dumb…) it is often claimed to be. A good idea, and a T45 derived hull would be a good approach, it does however have cost implications and implications for the balance of the fleet, and in some ways there is the question of what it would offer that an enlarged helideck and hangar on a more conventional design would offer, unless we look far into the future at the possibility of lightweight STOL/STOVL UAV operations.
On future MCM, I suspect fleet forward MCM may be best served by giving the surface fleet unmanned underwater vehicles for mine hunting, and possibly buying a few MCM Merlins and going down the US and Japanese airborne MCM route, as to build C3 as a fast MCM vessel is going to push prices through the roof and IMO it’d end up unaffordable, it would’nt just be increasing power, size would go up, because it’d be high value there’d be demands to increase mission profile and defensive systems, and from a technical point I suspect it’d be very expensive to combine speed and a good MCM hull.
I do think world navies need a good patrol/Police vessel. OK it may not be glamorous or win many promotions to flag rank, but counter-drug interdiction and anti-piracy patrols are a mission sorely under rated and essential to the security of global trade and domestic social and security issues. Yes, we can use large surface combatants, but why use vessels woth hundreds of millions, with large crews and huge running costs to do what a good sea going OPV worth a small fraction of the cost and with far far lower operating costs can do just as effectively. Such roles require an ongoing continuous long term presence, they’re not short term deployments, and that means the ships tasked with the role have to be affordable station ships.
Interesting debate, keep it going!!:)
By leaving the door open for a possible upgrade of the existing T45’s with land attack missiles and extra VLS cells later that’d give the RN an almost 50/50 split between high capability destroyers with leading edge AAW and ASuW and lighter pure ASW sub hunters, not a bad mix IMO.
My FSC;
-T45 derivative with ASuW/GP mission role (I’d like to retain PAAMS if possible)
-T23 replacement ASW frigate as described a few posts earlier
-the VT large OPV, possibly with a 57mm gun and RAM for drug interdiction, anti-piracy patrols, Police duties
Say, 8 T45’s, 4 ASuW T45 derivatives, 13 T23 follow on ASW frigates, for 25 major surface combatants, plus 8 large OPV’s for C3.
A Merlin sized hangar would be nice even if the vessel carries Future Lynx normally, I’m not sure if a double hangar is neccessary but it’d certainly add options for not a great deal of extra cost. On propulsion an evolved version of the T23 combined GT/diesel electric system would be ideal IMO, improved to IEP and using more modern prime movers and electrics, Wartsila diesels and maybe a single WR21? On sonar and ASW torpedo systems I’m no expert and I’ll defer to those who know about that side of things, but a low RCS top side, a close in missile system (RAM? Mica? CAAMS?), a 57 or 76mm gun with smart munitions for anti-missile screening and a couple of light cannon, job done. The Dutch OPV integrated mast would indeed have a lot of promise for such a ship. This could offer the RN of a truly first class ASW vessel with enough of a sting to protect itself, which IMO is the way to go rather than trying to do a little of everything to much lower standards.
If either C1 or C2 is to be an ASW optimised vessel based on an existing hull then the T23 hull is probably better as a starting point, with the T45 hull being the basis of a ASuW/GP vessel, with or without PAAMS. For all the T23 hull isn’t in the first flush of youth the actual hull forms are a lot less subject to change and improvement than most other aspects of warship design (and it is surprising just what long timelines hull designs can have if you tace through their evolutionary developments) and the T23 was a thoroughbred ASW type fully optimised for low acoustic signatures and ASW work. Just my view. With RAM (or the possible ASRAAM based equivalent, there we go again, re-inventing the wheel) and a light gun with CIWS capability (eg. Bofors 57mm) it would be possible to build a pure ASW frigate with good self defence capability, actually very similar to T23.
IMO Eurofighter made the correct decision in Scandinavia, what is the point of wasting money and effort just to be a stalking horse to drive down the price of the competition? I think the customers are doing absolutely the right thing in playing a hard game to get VFM, I also think EF did the right thing in washing their hands of it.
The sad thing is that just as the UK was starting to formulate a realistic defence industrial-strategy with viable long term ambitions the defence procurement minister, one of the few genuinely pretty well respected men to have held a defence ministerial post in recent decades, has decided to go off motor racing. Now maybe he is genuine and just wants to drive racing cars (I can understand that) or maybe he’s fed up by the inane policies of the government and endless battles with the Treasury. I know which one I’d put my money on.
Building conventionally powered boats doesn’t maintain the nuclear boat capability. Eight SSN and four SSBN is a boat every two years on an expected life of 24 years. The Maritime Industrial Strategy concluded that a nuclear boat would need to be ordered every 22 months to retain the capability. That’s ten SSN and four SSBN. Minimum. Any longer a gap between orders would cost more in relearning/retraining and regaining capabilities lost than you saved building less boats. So it is one every 22 months (at least) or none at all. The rolling program of orders is vital. There is also a minmum frequency for new designs, for similar reasons. Calling in US CAD experts to overhaul the design IT on the Astute program was a cost of leaving it too long between new designs. We had lost the capability to do these things ourselves.
True, but if the commerical power sector opens up a new nuclear program (and everybody in that industry, me included, thinks it inevitable) then the nuclear engineering side of things can stay alive on commerical work. Yes, I know a power station PWR isn’t a reactor for a sub, but a lot of the manufacturing requirements, support infrastructure, fuel processing, clean up etc. skills would have a huge amount of cross over. And SSK’s would maintain the actual hull and systems base. However, like I say I support SSK’s as additional to the nuke boats, not to replace them.
Whatever the production cost, it’s almost certain to be cheaper than paying to develop a new variant.
I agree, which is why I’m not sure the T45s need a long range missile. But if they do, Scalp Naval looks like the the best choice because of where they start from, i.e. already fitted with PAAMs & Sylver.
Which might be possible to meet by an off-the-shelf purchase of one of the plethora of existing anti-ship missiles which the latest incarnations of have been given land-attack capability.
All good points. I think one of the problems with European systems is that they tend to suffer from an economic nationalism in which the first choice is a local product, & the second choice is whatever the USA uses. As a result, the European products suffer from a lack of economies of scale, tend to be closely tailored to national requirements, & suffer the lack of upgrades you mention, because the national budget is stretched by the initial cost, & can’t cover long-term upgrades. Even the formation of multi-national firms such as MBDA & Thales haven’t ended this: individual countries buy from the local branch.
If European countries were more willing to buy each others products (please! No more multinational developments with workshare agreements based on orders & endless haggling over the split), pay firms in other European countries to develop weapons for them in the way in which many are happy to pay US firms to do, & less anxious to prop up local firms producing small numbers of everything, there’d probably be more world-class, competitive, European programmes.
I think we’re 90% in agreement on this one. If Scalp Naval makes most sense then I’d not complain about the T45’s getting it:)
A rolling program would make a lot of sense, with a probable force of 8 boats plus 3-4 SSBN’s and an expected life of 25 years for each boat that’s a new delivery each two years, which is perfectly feasible. On SSK’s I agree, but only if they’re additional to the SSN’s, the RN can’t afford to lose any more SSN’s IMO and 8 Astute’s would already be stretching the hunter-killer force thinly. Why oh why did they sell off the Upholders:(
My suspicion is that no8’s fate depends on the new SSBN program, the longer that gets delayed the more likely no8 is. The entire SSN/SSBN program at the moment seems orientated at design and construction skills retention, this requires a reasonably steady flow of work.
That is a good point, at the moment the MoD is acutely aware of how abandoning the Barrow-in-Furness skills base was disastrous for Astute as BAE had to virtually start from scratch at developing expertise they had let go a handful of years earlier, and they can’t afford the sort of screw ups of Astute to plague the SSBN replacement.
it will have to be a variant of an off the shelf design to meet that target date in my mind.
This is the RAN’s problem, unless they decided to go with a SSN there aren’t any off the shelf designs that meet their requirements, it was true when the Collins were selected and unless there are major new SSK programs around the corner in Germany, France or Spain it’ll probably be true in 2018 unless by some miracle Japan were to look for an international submarine partner, which isn’t going to happen as they’re the only other country with SSK requirements close to those of the RAN. This is why I think a lot of the criticism of Kockums is unfair, OK the Collins could have been better managed, but given the demanding requirements etc. I really don’t see DCN, HDW, Navantia or anybody else would have done much better.
Very true, Indeed if one compares the T45 program to how Horizon turned out the RN is doing very well. The RN will at least have more T45’s than there will be Horizons built and each will be more capable. Of course 7 & 8 would nice as would another Astute.;)
The debate on Astute 8 is tied in with argument as to whether hull 8 should be an Astute or the lead boat of a follow on design. The Navy want 8 SSN’s, and given the decision to retain a SSBN force, the two CVF’s and the ARG in addition to intel and counter-sub roles 8 boats are going to be very tightly stretched. And the Trafalgar’s won’t last forever. I’m guessing if BAE offer a good price on Astute 8 the MoD may just go for it, but it does appear to be more than just a financial argument this time as the in service date for hull 8 is close to planning for the next design.