China doesn’t have a declining population yet. So far, the workforce has begun to decline (2012 was the first drop), but total population will keep rising for some time.
Well, the work force decline is what matters, not the total population decline.
There’s not going to be any “Second Korean War”.
Sure there will be, when there is a sign of Syrian style public revolt taking place in North Korea.
The current ROK war manual calls for an automatic invasion of North Korea in that case.
presumably the DPRK is aware of the above… and are thus only maintaining the air bases full of obsolete aircraft and army bases and artillery dug outs with decrepit guns as diversions against their “real” attack… light infantry infiltrations, IEDs, RPGs and light mortars carried by SF to hit US/SK airbases from behind… they would dress them up in SK clothes to create chaos “behind the lines”…
1. It is not possible to send more than 100 infiltration force, because the only possible mean is AN-2 or small submarines. North Korea hasn’t used tunnels to send in infiltrators for two decades; almost all come by international flights disguised as Chinese laborers and North Korean defectors.
2. One can also tell apart North Koreans by the looks anyway. Blame it on the neverending famine in North Korea that produced young men of different stocky, harshy looks in military ages since the collapse of the Soviet Union that is quite rare in the South. Have a group of these strange looking men and that raises an instant suspicion. It is same as a bunch of US special forces walking down the streets of North Korea in North Korean uniform. Doesn’t work.
What you do not seem to understand that North Korea abandoned all invasion plans since the mid-90s. Nowadays, calling for “Unification” in North Korea is an act of treason and is considered a social taboo because it implies the Southern conquest of North Korea. Since the tunnels were for an offensive war and North Korea abandoned offensive war strategies since the 90s, this is the reason why no new tunnels were built. Kim Jong Un himself spent most of his youth in Europe, so he understands the outside world well enough to have a chat with Dennis Rodman without a translator. He knows better than anyone what his chances are if the second war was to resume.

On the other hand, the South’s war manuals changed from the defensive war to an offensive war, where the ROK’s objective is to invade the North Korea at the first available opportunity, be it a popular revolt or some kind of nuclear weapons transfer to Iran crisis, and liberate the oppressed North Koreans.
Seoul is in reach of most North Korean artillery.
About 300 pieces, the location of which are known and can be suppressed in about two hours with counter battery.
Any Korean War would be devastating for both countries as well as the global economy (South Korea is a major economic power these days).
The second North Korean war is a two week war at most, barring any Chinese intervention.
NT, never mind. I am seeing my last post now.
There is some time before the US starts drawing requirments for a 6th generation jet, so its way way into the future.
There are only two active manned fighter jet airframe builders left in the US, Boeing and Lockheed Martin.
Lockheed Martin dropped the ball and created the biggest weapons procurement disaster in the US history. Boeing gets the business automatically the next time.
Doesn’t need a crystal ball to see this happen.
Boeing has the F-X contract in the bag??? Are you referring to the South Korean F-X III Program or the future USN F/A-XX (NGAD)???
US 6th gen projects.
If you are the Pentagon, would you hand down another fighter jet contract to Lockheed Martin after the F-35 disaster?
Indeed, it will take more cuts and more problems for the F-35 to fail, yet I am sure Boeing and Lockheed have something ready to go, should this happen.
Except that the US DoD is likely to stay away from any Lockheed offerings.
Heck, Boeing has the 6th gen F-X contract in the bag after the F-35 disaster.
http://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/singapore-set-to-complete-f-35-assessment-383321/
Singapore is a security cooperation participant in the F-35 programme, which provides access to programme data and allows it to request special studies.
Ng gave no sense about whether Singapore will hold a tender for new fighters, the number of new aircraft that will be obtained, or the timeframe for a new aircraft acquisition.
One alternative to the F-35 could be additional Boeing F-15SG aircraft, of which Singapore operates 24. Another alternative could be an F-15 variant based on the F-15 Silent Eagle that Boeing has proposed in South Korea’s F-X III competition.
Seems that Singapore will follow where Koreans go like the last time, which makes the Korean F-X contest a virtual 80 jet contest.
Is Russia really stupid enough to export 48 no I mean 24 Su-35’s to China. With Advanced Engines (S117) and Avionics (Irbis-E). Really, what would China want with just 24 Su-35’s.
China’s buying Su-35s to get a hold of its 117S engines for use in the J-20, because Russia wouldn’t sell the engines alone.
That’s all.
http://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/picture-joint-strike-missile-makes-f-35-debut-383362/
PICTURE: Joint Strike Missile makes F-35 debut
Kongsberg’s developmental Joint Strike Missile (JSM) has been attached to a Lockheed Martin F-35 for the first time at the airframer’s Fort Worth, Texas facility.
Installed on 27 February as part of a “fit check” using one of the stealthy fighter’s external weapons pylons, the munition will undergo a further test later this year to verify that it is also able to be carried within the F-35’s internal weapons bay.
Lockheed will conduct similar external trials on all three variants of the fighter, while internal fit checks of the JSM will be confined to the conventional take-off and landing F-35A ordered by Norway, says Norwegian F-35 programme director Anders Melheim.
This is a strange comment. So the JSM can be carried internally only for the Norwegian F-35s, while must be carried externally for non-Norwegian users?
F-35 JOINT STRIKE FIGHTER NOT READY FOR COMBAT UNTIL AT LEAST 2019, GAO SAYS
The $397 billion F-35 Joint Strike Fighter will not be ready to go into operation until at least 2019, 23 years after the Pentagon signed a contract in 1996 with Lockheed Martin to produce just fewer than 2,500 of the aircraft for the Air Force, Navy and Marine Corps, according to a new report.
The range of the F-35 is after all more than enough to cover all 4 countries from one airbase 🙂
What do you think?
And the other three countries agree to pay to have all the economic activities happen in that one country? I don’t think so.
More bad news for Italian activities in India.
Italy: 2 Marines Will Not Be Returned to India for Trial
By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
Published: March 11, 2013Twitter List: Reporters and Editors
Two Italian marines facing murder charges in India will not be returned there for trial, the Italian Foreign Ministry said Monday. The Italians, who were part of an antipiracy military security team, are accused of fatally shooting two Indian fishermen who they believed were pirates in February 2012. India allowed the marines to travel to Italy last month to vote in national elections, and they were scheduled to return to India. But the ministry said in a statement that India’s decision to try the pair in India would violate their rights, in particular the principle of immunity for foreign state actors. The long fight over the marines’ fate has strained ties between India and Italy.
Chinese issues with Uyghurs and Tibetans are nothing compared to the carnage often seen in Indonesian provinces with ethnic tensions.
Actually the Chinese oppression of Tibetans and Uyghurs is far worse. In case of Indonesia, the Javanese are trying to defend what’s their land, where as the Chinese in Tibet and Turkestan are trying to take what’s not theirs as imperialists and suppress the natives.
plus a lot of Tibet has become Han Chinese.
Thanks to Chinese mass immigration in an attempt by the CCP to turn Tibetans a minority in their own land, then suppress Tibetans through the sheer number of Han Chinese.
China has the human and economic resources to make massed colonisation a lot more easy and a lot more successful than the Indonesians.
Where do you get the idea that mass colonization of any kind is OK without the native people’s consent?
http://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/indonesia-confirms-18-month-k-fx-delay-383258/
The statement adds that Seoul will not cancel the programme owing to the “huge sums” already spent on K-FX. The entire programme is forecast to cost $5 billion, with Jakarta committed to footing 20% of development costs.
The K-FX is envisaged as fighter that will be more advanced than the Lockheed Martin F-16C, yet lacking some of the capabilities of the F-35.
Seoul hopes to use offsets garnered from the yet-to-be decided 60 aircraft F-X III competition to help develop the K-FX. Contestants for the F-X III include the F-35, Boeing F-15 Silent Eagle and Eurofighter Typhoon. Sources say Seoul could announce a winner by the middle of 2013.
Lockheed Martin refused to comply with the DAPA’s demands for 51 tech transfers and offered to make only 23 transfers, while both Boeing and EADS CASA offered 100% compliance.
Accordingly, the winner will be decided between Boeing and EADS CASA, because the KFX program depends on this F-X III tech transfer.
the overall size of the wing for the B
Vertical lift thrust would take care of this. Afterall, you have basically no lift from the wing when vertically landing.
and the size of the nose (would have to be a very small radar)
Since the JSF is an attack jet program and not a fighter jet program, this matters little.
and the visible fan blades.
Radar blocker as used in the Super Hornet and PAK-FA would do the job.
It would’ve been quite interesting to see how it would’ve got on if it were selected though.
The F-32 A&C would be entering IOC today at the flyaway cost of under $70 million, regardless of what happened to the F-32B. Boeing structured its JSF program as such that the A&C and B were separate airframes, and one’s trouble would not spill over to the other.