http://mainichi.jp/select/news/m20130412ddm005040154000c.html
Japanese cabinet is discussing the possible rescue of Japanese abductees in North Korea by the SDF troops in a war/regime collapse scenario. In other word, Japan would send in SDF troops into North Korea to rescue Japanese abductees should the war break out and the ROK and US troops have moved into North Korea. This would leave a legal justification for sending SDF troops into North Korea.
The ROK is balking at this discussion because it considered North Korea its territory and any unauthorized Chinese and Japanese troop movement into North Korea as an invasion of ROK. In practice, the ROK defense ministry has the wartime command in 2015 and overseas all troops including the US troops, and an uncoordinated Japanese military activities in North Korea could endanger those Japanese troops.
People live on that land, farm it, & so on. Are you proposing to evict them without compensation?
They would be given alternative properties. This is possible because the ROK government owns all land in North Korea following the takeover.
And if compensation is really 90% of the cost of infrastructure in s. Korea, then S. Koreans must be fighting to have infrastructure built on their land.
People can be paid off and made quite, but salamanders cannot be. Yup, even salamanders file lawsuits to block railway construction thanks to the helps of environmental activists, and dolphins file lawsuits to protect their habitats with a help of a few humans. This is what is meant by the first world legal system; sounds familiar, isn’t it?
BTW, most of the new infrastructure wouldn’t need lots of new land. Telecoms, upgrading of railways, surfacing of rural roads . . . . not much compensation to be paid there, wherever it’s built.
The ones that the ROK would likely build in North Korea are 8-lane highways and high speed rail corridors, which need to be as straight as possible. So those do take up lots of prime lands.
When you build a new city from scratch, generally 30% of land is taken up for roads and other public use lands, leaving 70% for homes and businesses. The similar land use ratio is expected in North Korea.
You’ll also need to factor in the cost of paying for skilled S. Koreans to do a lot of work. N. Koreans with picks & shovels can’t create a modern telecoms infrastructure, or give their railways modern signalling, or many of the other tasks needed.
The ratio is like 50:1. For example, 780 Southern managers oversea 50K North Korean workers in Kaesung industrial park.
Your imagined flood of foreign investment has many problems apart from infrastructure (which will take years to bring up to scratch, of course).
Not in the ROK. They build a whole new city of a million from wilderness in 7 years. Just building road and bridges take a lot less without the legal obstructions.
Think about why there is no flood of foreign investment in other countries with lower labour costs than China.
Those other countries do not have a developed country injecting $300 billion in an immediate reconstruction. North Korea does.
Think about supply chains.
Parts supplied from ROK, Japan, and China.
China is a good place to invest because you can get everything you need, quickly & easily. In N. Korea, all you could set up to start with would be screwdriver plants, assembling components.
You are forgetting ROK and China.
You’ll also have to pay for the revamping of the education system
That can wait. Starting up a factory and finding labor doesn’t take much time as China has demonstrated. Seriously, do you think the migrant workers manning Foxconn’s lines are better educated than North Koreans? They are not.
the administration, & dish out a hell of a lot of welfare payments for a few years.
ROK’s welfare program is jobs, not hand outs. North Korean are not used to social welfare so they are eager to work.
Germany spent 1600 billion euros on rebuilding the east.
And the ROK studied German case and devised a plan to not repeat that mistake. Hence the ROK occupation of North Korea starts with a SAR.
you’re still being insanely optimistic.
That is exactly what the ROK government has planned. It is not being optimistic; the ROK government is drawing from its own and China’s development experience to conclude that the plan will work.
those bomber (IL28) are mothballed.
What does this means?
North Korea is drilling for a military operation across its border with China, and China’s drilling for a civilian evacuation in the event of a possible North Korean missile strike in Chinese cities.
China and North Korea aren’t close allies like many westerners presume they are(East Asians know this fact that China and North Korea hate each other), and this is the reason why China seems unable to exert an influence of any kind over North Korea.
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