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Sintra

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Viewing 15 posts - 1,006 through 1,020 (of 3,443 total)
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  • in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2195806
    Sintra
    Participant

    You’re mixing up two different things here – non-recurring costs & concurrency costs. If Canada or India placed an order for F-35s next year (delivery in 2020), they wouldn’t have to pay any significant concurrency costs and would receive all aircraft in the mature Blk 3F configuration.

    Oh no, they would have to pay for quite a bit of Non Recurring costs and Concurrency, those numbers are described in detail in the budget documents, an aircraft contracted in FY 2021 (and delivered in 2023) will have 9.32 million US added because of this. The numbers for the post 2021 are identical.

    Cheers

    in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2195807
    Sintra
    Participant

    The detailed summary of the flyaway cost says different. Puts the recurring flyaway cost of the EA-18G at $76.14 million. About the same as expected.

    http://i.imgur.com/y0ouvQC.jpg

    I´ll be damned, the chaps got the number of airframes wrong! Look at that chart, seven airframes, but the actual number requested was ten!
    Vnomad good job, we´ve just uncovered a mistake on that doc.

    Recurring flyaway cost is $94.3 million according to this year’s budget documents.

    Recurring flyaway cost is actually 96,154 million US$ (you just picked the costs for airframe, Engine, CFE Electronics, you have to had ECO to that) but thats entirely irrelevant for the matter, the thing is the Non Recurring Costs have to be payed, and on the case of foreign exports they are actually more expensive because LM is not going to fork out 50% of concurrency like it does when the client is the Pentagon.

    in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2195820
    Sintra
    Participant

    You do realize that Aboulafia did not write the article? and that the author of the article himself also has an editor? So the whole thing is invalidated now?

    I was aware of that, i´ve read the article and i was speaking specificaly of Aboulafia comments, thats why i mentioned the chap, and only him.

    in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2195842
    Sintra
    Participant

    The SH is at the end of it’s production life so it’s NRF is low since they do not need to update production equipment.

    True, i´ve said the same above.

    Here is what is in the F-35’s Ancillary & NRF costs:

    Here is what is in the SH’s Ancillary Equipment section.

    So, the NRF & Ancillary costs are actually higher for the SH than for an F-35A.

    Spud, hats off, you are one of the chaps here who know´s what he´s talking about, but not this time (if i understood you correctly), you are looking at a very small part of those costs.

    2015 Non Recurring Costs and Ancillary Equipment for the F-35A (28 airframes)
    – Non Recurring Costs – 469.794 million US$
    – Ancillary Equipment – 135.718 million US$
    – Unit NRC+AE – 21.625 million uS$

    2016 Non Recurring Costs and Ancillary Equipment for the F-35A (44 airframes)
    – Non Recurring Costs – 438.085 million US$
    – Ancillary Equipment – 207.069million US$
    – Unit NRC+AE – 14.663 million uS$

    2016 Non Recurring Costs and Ancillary Equipment for the SH (5 airframes)
    – Non Recurring Costs – 0.000 million US$
    – Ancillary Equipment – 11.330 million US$
    – Unit NRC+AE – 2.266 million uS$

    http://www.saffm.hq.af.mil/shared/media/document/AFD-160208-044.pdf
    http://www.secnav.navy.mil/fmc/fmb/Documents/17pres/APN_BA1-4_BOOK.pdf

    Cheers

    in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2195848
    Sintra
    Participant

    The prices he quotes….. The Super Hornet price of 77m is accurate. The F-35 is roughly 100 million in recent lots. The rest: good luck buying a FY 2017 F-15E for 90 million, a non-existent Gripen NG for 55 million ( even Saab’s preliminary cost estimates put the Gripen E/F at roughly 80 million). The F-16 50 million? ( I’ll have to do some digging) that seems low to me.

    I love good old Richard Aboulafia, he was artfull enough to find the correct number for the SH (77,791.000 million US$), two units, but he didnt find (?) the equivalent number for the Growler (56,307.800 million US$) just a few pages away, ten units… Why do i have a feeling that Boeing is toying with its SH/Growler production line?

    The F-35A Fly Away Unit Cost, was 129.144 million US$ in 2015, 109.882 million US$ this year, and is expected to be 98.994 million US$ next year.

    Cheers

    in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2195855
    Sintra
    Participant

    It’s not aboulafia saying it. But ok

    Facepalm

    The F-35’s current flyaway cost is in “roughly the same class as the Typhoon Eurofighter — around $90 million — and Boeing F-15,” Aboulafia said.

    in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2195859
    Sintra
    Participant

    Found it. Recurring unit flyaway cost is about $68 mil as of FY 2016. By 2019, one can round that figure out to $70M. With the F-35A on course to hit $80M, it’ll be hard to for customers like Canada (and India?) to turn it down in favour of the SH.

    http://i.imgur.com/8uf3DQi.jpg

    Something important, look at the “Non Recurring Costs” in that chart, almost nil.
    The non recurring costs are a big chunk of the unit cost of the F-35A and almost nil in the case of the SH/Growler and thats normal because the SH is a much more mature platform.
    The non recurring costs are composed of “non recurring hardware” (example, the 2014 Titaniun spar that had to be redesigned), “non recurring tools” (the tools needed to produce the non recurring hardware) and recurrency, this last one (recurrency) is payed 50% by the JPO (in the name of the consortium countries), and 50% by LM, this last bit would have to payed in full by, lets say, India.
    And how this pans out for an FMS acquisition? The basic cost of an F-35A in 2019 through the FMS would be “Recurring unit flyaway cost” (*1)+”Non Recurring costs” (*2)+”50% Recurrency” (*3)+”FMS fees”+”whatever training, manual and logistical stuff you order” (*4); points (*2) and (*3) are (almost) non existant for the equivalent sale of an SH.
    Round numbers, in 2019 we will be looking at something like “102.406 million US$+50% recurrency+FMS Fees+”whatever training, manual and logistical stuff you order” for an F-35A versus “78.022 million US$+FMS Fees+”whatever training, manual and logistical stuff you order” for the SH (Fly Away Unit Cost is the 2018 one).

    Cheers

    in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2195887
    Sintra
    Participant

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-02-19/pentagon-chief-sells-lockheed-f-35-as-best-even-affordable-jet

    Some numbers that are certain to spark discussion…

    Essentially the F-35 has already matched the price of the F-15, Eurofighter, Rafale and will soon move into a price bracket with the Super Hornet.

    Only the Gripen/F-16/FA-50 might be able to continue to find a niche at the very bottom-end of the market, but even there their advantage is marginal.

    Aboulafia is speaking from is “a***”

    in reply to: Iranian air force future procurement #2195930
    Sintra
    Participant

    ye, same technology

    Diferent engines, diferent structure, diferent radar, diferent EW suite, diferent mission computers, diferent cockpit, etc, etc, etc. Two very diferent birds

    in reply to: Future of the Hawk #2197673
    Sintra
    Participant

    Congratulations to BAE are in order, Saudi Arabia just inked a contract for 22 more HAWK´s (on top of the previous order).
    The BAE Hawk just crossed the 1000 orders.

    [ATTACH=CONFIG]244122[/ATTACH]

    in reply to: COD Osprey- how long before everyone else follows suit? #2016638
    Sintra
    Participant

    The RN just went with the cheapest of the cheapest option regarding Crowsnest because of, well, money… lack of it, and sudenly, Boeing thinks that there´s budget for… the most gold plated platform that money can buy for … COD?! One of those birds costs more than a brand new C-130J.
    COD will be by Chinooks and EH101´s.

    Cheers

    in reply to: Eurofighter Typhoon discussion and news 2015 #2198102
    Sintra
    Participant

    I still wonder what’s behind this.. Aerodynamics? Stealth? Engine? Intake?
    It’s not like LockMart don’t possess any CFD optimization tools one can imagine.

    Lusty elevators…

    in reply to: Eurofighter Typhoon discussion and news 2015 #2198177
    Sintra
    Participant

    This is a really stupid argument…. Who cares how many times either refueled. It it the first transatlantic flight for one, and even now, transatlantic flights by fighter aircraft is not a walk in the park. They keep the fighters as fully fueled as possible in case of rough weather that prevents a scheduled refueling, or a leak, or on and on…..

    What does this prove about either the F-35’s or the Typhoons range? NOTHING! It proves that people will argue over the dumbest minutia when discussing this controversial fighter, embarrassing all around. Read the tea leaves all you want. There is nothing useable here, other than a rather pointless, overdue milestone for the F-35.

    Clap, clap, clap

    Getting back to the topic, any recent Kuwaiti news ?

    in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2198429
    Sintra
    Participant

    btw, The F-35 is only 5 years late and most of that was due to the downturn in the economy.

    Spud, the downturn in economy had nothing to do with the 2004 redesign, and that was quite a big chunk of the lateness.

    Cheers

    in reply to: The indefensible Baltic states. #2198730
    Sintra
    Participant

    If on the territory of an independent state for decades are foreign troops – this military seizure. People just used to this state of affairs. They stopped to call a spade a spade.
    US military bases in Europe not to defend against Russia. European Defence – an illusion for the electorate.
    They have a different purpose. After a nuclear exchange the Americans planted the marines on the coast of Europe.
    Russian troops have to get up on the Atlantic coast, to stop them. This requires the US military bases abroad.

    You can not doubt the one.
    If Russia and China will disappear, will disappear all countries except the United States. Make no mistake, after a year or two will be one large United States.
    US “embarrassed” because there are Russia and China. Russia does not do this, because there are US.
    The same is true for China.

    A “military seizure” can be rightfully described as an unwanted ocupation of national territory, the”unwanted” bit is important. The three times (the most high profile case being good old De Gaul being “Franco French”) that Western European countries showed the door to the US armed force’s, they went, no discussions, they simply left.
    I loved the bit about the American bases not being there to defend Europe, but “after a nuclear exchange” the “Russian troops” had (have?! I hope that you are talking of a pre 1989 scenario! ) to take a leisure park walk to Biarritz to stop GI Joe landing! Do you even read what you write?

Viewing 15 posts - 1,006 through 1,020 (of 3,443 total)