What pressure is there to provide a hose and drogue option for the F-35A?
Why, two of the biggest JSF customers there are buying 1,000 or so of the aircraft who both use the hose/drogue method to refuel their aircraft……..the U.S. Navy and U.S.M.C. Both the -B and -C models will have retractable probes designed into the same airframe so there’s no reason I can see that a customer can’t specify which refueling option they want with little trouble.
So the F-111 support industry, having seen their cash cow exit stage right, is yearning for the next best thing; a unique to Australia F-15 variant?
That, or, just grasping at straws……..
Nice, well done post, Jason.
I’ve been debating along those same lines regarding the SH and Australia.
Quote:
Well, obviously, bring_it you are not familiar with the classic American practice of subsidizing the buyers of our products through the U.S. defense budget….
I am aware of that , however
I was being facetious, bring_it…..;)
Note that while the flyaway cost to partner nations is $58.7 million, the flyaway cost of the F-35A to the USAF is expencted to be ~$130 million to begin with – decreasing year-by-year until (hopefully) it is equal to or lower than the cost to partner nations.
So basically what you are implying is that for every one Export F-35 sale we are paying for one through our own pocket ? This is quite baffling and unprecidented , i doubt that US DOD would offer a 50% subsidy per export unit and would allow LM to sell the F-35 at half the production cost and foot the bill for the rest when they themselves dont have the money to buy enough of fighter aircrafts to begin with. I find this un acceptable and if it is so , i demand an immediate withrawl for export of this fighter …
Well, obviously, bring_it you are not familiar with the classic American practice of subsidizing the buyers of our products through the U.S. defense budget……i.e., pay double the price of a product for our services so that a foreign nation can have it at half the price conveniently precedented for us by the likes of the F-16, F-15, F-18, M-1, F-4 programs. In ALL of these cases we casually footed the bill for the product so that buyer nations could have them on the cheap and we didn’t do so much as cast aglance in the process. No big deal.
Assuming this, I still don’t know why nations around the world aren’t snapping up orders for the latest carriers and destroyers, Virginia-class subs, ABM systems, and Next Generation Bomber aircraft seeing as how we’ll simply eat the development costs in order to sell it to them at a “friendly” price…?
Contract………shmontract……….
It’s the “Ekranoplane” all over again………..stealthy blah-blah-blah made out of plywood and sitting in a hangar somewhere produced for PR benefits.
Iran is no closer to producing stealth aircraft than it is completing a second oil refinery……..which it can’t do today.
bring_it_on gets “it”……..
Airframe price is one thing……..program cost is entirely something else. You cannot and will not tell me that the unit+program cost of buying 75 SHs plus associated support (engines, maintenance, etc.) will be equal to or more than the same for the F-35 for the same number of aircraft. The SH’s hardware is proven, in production in the hundreds, and in service today……..the F-35 is still testing all of it’s components in pre-production state. I”m not anti-F-35…..very, very far from it in fact. The F-35 is the future of U.S. tactical air power and it’s an impressive machine. And the U.S. is planning on using it around the world from a variety of basing platforms against all manner of opponents to perform numerous missions……..so far it’s proving out well for this. Is Canada going to use it’s new aircraft in the same manner or against the same opponents? NO. It’s not conceivable or likely in the least.
Try again, focus and concentrate on my point, for Canada’s unique needs (irregardless of contracts here) the SH can do as much for them for the money spent and saved as the F-35 can. This is the impetus of my original post……not which is most advanced or so on……which one will meet the country’s needs most economically.
For Canadian defense planners/buyers, the SH can be ordered today for minimal cost vs. the F-35 with uncertain cost fluctuations, and you can plan your other defense needs much more accurately around it. Heck, even the Aussies with much more pressing defense needs are buying it as a fall-back for many these same reasons.
@pfc, you’re not nearly as bright as your momma told you that you were in grade school. So, just drop the act because you’re making yourself look stupid in front of the world.
It is being really optimitic if one thinks that the F-35 can be procured at a cheaper price then the F-18E/F in the 2011-2016 timeframe. Boeing will almost guarantee beat any offer made by LMA , and with obvious reduced risk of overruns and delay
In that time frame, more SH’s will have been built and their tech will have been far more proven and supportable when compared with the F-35. OF COURSE the Super Hornet will be cheaper to build on a per unit basis. That’s what we in reality call a “no-brainer”………
Wrong.
You are dreaming if you think that the fly-away cost of a Super Hornet is $55.5 million, that is an AIRFRAME cost for the USN, not a fly-away cost & NOT an export customer price (in 2006 budget the USN got 38 for $72.4 million each, in 2007 budget the USN got 34 for $76.2 million each, in 2008 budget the USN got 24 for $88.0 million each & in 2009 budget the USN got 23 for $83.4 million each). Fly-away cost for export customer is ~$90+ million. A committed order of 75 MIGHT drop it to ~$80 million. Just look at how much Australia is paying for its Super Hornets…
The flyaway cost (in FY2008 dollars) for the F-35A to partner nations is $58.7 million. That is what Australia, Canada & Norway are known to have been given. The $70-75 million is an ESTIMATE in 2014 DOLLARS which is about right for $58.7 million in FY2008 dollars depending on what the actual inflation rate ends up being during that time (average 3% resulting in ~$70 million, 4% resulting in ~$74.2 million).
So it is in fact a $20+ million difference IN FAVOR OF THE F-35A.
And airframe costs is exactly what I’m talking about here since “flyaway” cannot be calculated until the exact customer with the particular contract and particular demands are laid down and made official. Canada can buy SHs off of the SH line with little in the way of change from current USN demands (add a searchlight, or different survival gear) per their demands for around $55.5 million in today’s dollars for the airplane itself. THEY CAN’T DO THAT WITH THE F-35! Thus my point.
The USAF, RAF, and USMC really need the F-35……….but the U.S. Navy doesn’t and could continue on into the forseeable decade or two with the SH and UCAVs happily.
2. Let’s get this Canada-Russia war idea out of the way: it won’t happen. It can’t happen. Look at a map, & think for about 10 seconds about the nature of the relationship between Canada & the USA, & you will see why.
A key reason for my post and reasoning above…..Canada is not going to get into any war with Russia as neither want or could afford it for very long.
First, there would be no bilateral conflict between the two but even if there was would 75 F-35s make that much difference vs. 75 SHs in the overall outcome? No. The F-35 is clearly more advanced but if Russia wanted to throw hundreds of Su-s, Migs-, and Tu-22/160s as well as cruise missiles and maximum naval assets into the conflict……Canada would need a whole lot more than 75 F-35s to make a difference.
Second, under what circumstances would Canada ever come up against a first-line air defense without U.S./NATO support in any conflict imaginable? Supporting NATO efforts in Afghanistan? No. I really can’t see any which makes me wonder why the F-35 for them is such a necessity.
2) Air to Air Refuelling – Does the F-35A support probe and drogue?
Since the USMC uses the hose/drogue method and the F-35 will be used by countries who use only that method for refueling, I don’t see why that hasn’t been considered in the design or production.
No, 75 Super Hornets would not be cheaper than 75 F-35s. And if you are so convinced that Canada is very unlikely to go to war with a major power in the conceivable near term, what do you even need the Super Hornet for? Of course you SHOULD be concerned with things BEYOND the near term…
The current unit price for the SH to the U.S. Navy is roughly $55.5 million per copy. The F-35 is now looking at a unit price of around $70-75 million per plane for the initial production run to begin in 2011………that’s a difference of $15-20 million per airplane. Inflation, economies of scale, etc., will all come into play but the F-35 will be more expensive to buy than the SH…….no question in that.
Canada should and must maintain a credible air combat force. It needs to defend it’s airspace, borders, and support its ground/naval forces from the air……..but does the F-35 do this effectively enough better than the SH to justify the extra cost considering the conflicts they are most likely to be in? That is the question. I say no. The U.S. Navy appears perfectly comfortable with entrusting at least half of its aerial roles over the next 20+ years to the Super Hornet.
I know it’s a moot point since Canada has signed onto the F-35 program as a partner and paid-in the money. But, it’s a good thing to toss about when considering hardware vs. money vs. return vs. alternative capabilities. For Canada, I would think Aurora replacements (P-8s presumably), AEW (MESA?), and better naval assets would do as much to secure the country for the money as F-35s. Think around $5.5 billion for 75 F-35s against $3.9 billion for 75 SHs…………….that’s a roughly $1.6 billion difference that could buy a good amount of other hardware that could be just as effective in the future.
We in Australia are still scratching our heads over the ‘purchase’ of the F/A-18E/F Super Hornet, as a so-called stop-gap measure replacement for the F-111 ‘Pig’, until the arrival of the continuously delayed and ever more expensive (and down graded!) F-35.
It’s been discussed here at length before, but the SH isn’t an F-111 replacement in any form. There is no real F-111 replacement on the Western market today and not even the F-15E/K/SG. The SH is being bought by the RAAF for the same reasons it’s being bought by the U.S. Navy…….it’s a capable stop-gap before the F-35 and more advanced UCAVs are available in numbers. The F-111’s job will be assumed by missiles and UAVs and naval capabilities.
Just answering the original thread question, the Super Hornet.
More capable in every way short of all-out straight line speed. Better radar. Better weapons capability. Newer tech.
I love the F-16 and they are still making them in numbers for years to come for eager customers and rightly so as it’s still a very capable airplane. I guess my choice as some national politician or defence official would be regarding the regional situation it would be used in and what threats it faces. The SH will probably be in production longer than the -16 series and it was designed from the outset for the 4-5G world considering upgrades and all.
Just saying, but $55 million for a late Block F-16 vs. $60 million for SH E/F and I take the latter.
My best bets on the F-22 are that the extra 60 units that Congress funded recently get built…….and that’s all.
The F-35 could well get some marginal cuts but not in the near term (as it would spook partner countries and inflate agreed purchase prices) and not in any truly great numbers. The U.S. Navy is pushing for extra SHs right now since it sees a “fighter shortfall” in the next few years before the F-35 really gets going……..I can see F-35 numbers whittled down in the future to pay for the extra SHs now. That kind of stuff.
Either way, I don’t think there will be significant changes to each program right now considering the economic situation and the impact that harming each would have in this environment
disagree here. Just look at the number of customers for it’s counterpart from behind the iron curtain, the Frogfoot. Even today less wealthy countries are more than happy to buy surplus Su-25s even if they are exactly as single role as the A-10. I am talking about Ivory Coast, Equatorial Guinea, Sudan, Eritrea, Chad or even that funny Su-25 in Gambia which has probably never flown. Beefed up trainers like MB339 or PC-9 simply cannot cope with a cold-blooded armored warriors like the Su or A-10.
The A-10 and Su-25 are not the same airplane. No countries were seriously interested in the A-10 during it’s production run to buy it……too expensive for essentially a jet COIN airplane. No countries have been seriously interested in the airplane post-production, even if hauled out of the Boneyard and redone, to justify the cost.
The Su-25 is more like an up-armored A-7 Corsair II. The Su-25 used in Russian Air Force service and adapted for carrier use………….the A-10 would never be in that league…….whereas the A-7 was dutifully so. Can you imagine U.S. Navy A-10s? What would they do? U.S. Navy A-7s make much more sense and the Su-25 is much more like them than the A-10.
The big difference between the A-7 and the Su-25 is the years difference involved and the associated production run. Vought tried to do the same thing with the A-7 that Sukhoi did via the A-7F or Super Corsair.
The A-10 was and is a very limited airplane that does a very specific job very well…………….but in the world of maximized economies it doesn’t endear anyone but the USAF. Along those same lines, I’ve long thought that Vought’s proposal of a modified A-7 with the GAU-30 and new wings and engines from stock aircraft was a better proposal for the USAF than the A-10 in the long term. But, hindsight is 20/20 so they say…….
The surplus Leo vs. surplus Abrams thing has always caught me weird. Seems more poltical than practical……….seeing as how the Aus army could have acquired nearly twice as many Leos as M-1s for the money. The Leos would have been more, MORE than capable for the Aus Army needs for even or less money.
As for airplanes, Aus is getting into the F-35 program for a nominal original fee with a piority delivery designation. You can’t get Typhoons and the advanced tech for that money nor Rafales. F-22s? Hell, the USAF is having a hard time getting them. Forget about it.
B-2s-because B-52s are not going to last forever
F-111- could have performed many more roles than it did
F-14 tomcat 21- because you are kidding yourself if you think the F/A-18 is an interceptor
KC-10- why on earth would you stop at 60?
F-14- because if they lost a mission when russias strategic bomber stopped patrolling, well…..there back!
-B-52s are flying long and healthily into the 2035 range. When that time comes there will be far more exotic and capable things in the air than B-2s that replace them.
-F-111s have done a lot of things. What could the basic F-111 do today that stealthy aircraft, UAVs, and cruise missiles not do?
-KC-10. They only bought 60 because that’s all of the money they could contrive in the 1980s as they bought an additional 50 C-5Bs and finished off the C-141 buy and continued to buy C-130Es. The majority of the KC-135 fleet at that time was 20 years old or so and had lots flight time left so no pressing need to replace them.
-F-14D. The Russians were worried enough by the F-4/Sparrow combo by their admission. The Phoenix was never proven terribly good at hitting smaller, missile size targets while the radar could have been integrated into the F-4 airframe. If there had been no F-14, only advanced versions of the F-4 with ever better radar and missile tech, flying off of U.S. carriers into the 1990s, then we’d still be fine and the Russians would have never launched an attack. The F-14, in historical hindsight, was unnecessary.
A-10?
Great airplane but not so simple a decision. The A-10 was built strictly for the USAF in response to U.S. Army pressure for a fixed wing ground support capability of its own in the face of the growing WarPAC conventional arms threat that it was facing in Europe. The USAF obviously didn’t want the Army to operate any FW-types so it took the A-10 a little grudgingly and it never looked to update or grow the airplane much.
Here’s the irony. The A-10 was a big, expensive COIN/ground attack airplane for its day. European countries weren’t interested in a single-role airplane like the A-10 due to it’s cost and limits which could be better spent on other planes or equipment. Less wealthier countries (S. America, Asia, Africa) were perfectly well-equipped with surplus aircraft and converted trainers performing low-tech COIN operations at much, much less cost. If the A-10 were still in production today, in it’s original low-tech form, them you might see still see some nominal buys but it would be facing very stiff competition from the trainer and surplus Mb-339/Hawk/Alpha Jet/etc class as well as the Pilatus and Embraer lines.
F-14D….F-14+…..Super Tomcat? Please. Dead 20 years ago. Deader than Lincoln. No need to even waste energy on it. No buyers.
B-2? 40 B-2s would be interesting today but the costs and economics of the 1990s made it unrealistic. No Soviet Union, no strategic threats that couldn’t be handled with existing aircraft or missiles. NG proposed restarting the line in the early 00’s to make an additional 20 B-2A+ airplanes at around $500M per plane…….not much interest in either the USAF or Pentagon or Congress. The B-52 is proving more cost-effective and flexible versus today’s threats.
As was already noted above, there is no airplane out of production that was economically or miltarily viable today. There are reasons airplanes die and live…..and they are not related to love of them or “what ifs” on an internet site.
The TSR.2 was a wonderful airplane in theory……….but it was cut for a number of reasons and the U.K. remains uninvaded and independent today without it. The F-111K is a great piece of flying history………but Australia will still exist in its current form in 20 years without it. Carter killed the B-1A in deference to the ATB…….but the U.S. wasn’t conquered in a nuclear war with the Russians as a result.
The X-32 was fantastic and the F-32 would have been…………………pure beauty in motion.
😀
RIP, X-32, the most misunderstood and unrecognized greatness of our modern airborne era.
The YF-23 was a pretty airplane. If only it and my beloved X-32 had won their respective contests………alas:o
What were the major reason for dropping the F-23 in favour of the F-22 except from sheer cost?
The YF-22 was considered to be much closer to production ready form than the YF-23 and that largely bears out today since today’s -22 is nearly indistinguishable from the prototype. It also displayed thrust vectoring capabiity during the fly-off (which the -23 did not) and it conducted live weapon fire exercises during the fly-off which, again, the YF-23 did not. Both lent themselves to the argument that it was closer to hitting the production line and thus cheaper. A production F-23 would have had a different canopy and modified nose section, modified inlets and exhausts, the landing gear would have likely been changed since they were hacked from F-15s and F-18s, and additional changes to the control surfaces and V-tail.
Another reason in the F-22’s favor was it’s greater maneuverability……this was 1990 after all…..over the YF-23. While the -23 came across as more of an interceptor, the -22 performed more like the air-superiority machine the USAF wanted to replace the F-15 that was as much an air defense machine as it was a close combat performer.
Hindsight is 20/20 and one can only imagine what the F-23 might be today or how many variants it might be spawning due to its more flexible design versus the F-22. But, twasn’t meant to be.
Oh, and raptor does refer to a general bird of prey….hawk, falcon, eagle, etc. Too many people have let the stigma of Jurrasic Park pervert their basic ability to use a dictionary.