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21Ankush

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  • 21Ankush
    Participant

    The fact that you not know what the have planned doesn’t mean there is nothing. Neither will mean a lot of plans that something will improve. 😉

    then come and talk when there is something concrete, till then the JF-17 is nothing more than a Chinese product with Chinese avionics, including radar, that the PAF wants to replace with European avionics since they’re not happy with it, Chinese weapons that the PAF wants to replace with western weapons and a Russian engine that the PAF is not happy with and wants replaced as well.

    nothing about the JF-17 sounds like its fixed for the future and from what it seems, the PAF is not particularly thrilled with what they’re getting, but putting up a brave face anyway since they’ve invested so much in it. otherwise why would they want to replace almost all the important components with western items ? :rolleyes:indigenous is of course not even in the picture. so much so for a domestic Pakistani aerospace industry.

    21Ankush
    Participant

    Unless final engine, final production run and weapons fit is known, how can you or anyone, even HAL possibly have ANY idea on price?

    Weapons are not part of the price of a fighter. :rolleyes: just inane posts.

    21Ankush
    Participant

    Sorry, but if all things were equal, there is no way anyone would choose LCA over Gripen. Just absolutely no way.

    The list of advantges of Gripen is way too long…..

    so please enumerate them. I can bet the one you’ll say is that the Gripen is in service. using that same argument, the JF-17 won’t stand any chance either, so why would it be successful for export ?

    the reason is cost- plain and simple. a Tejas could cost around $30-35 million per unit for export (since the IAF’s Tejas’ cost around $25-26 million per unit), whereas the Gripen C/D goes for anywhere near $50-55 million per unit. name one system on the Gripen C/D that the Tejas doesn’t already have or won’t have when it enters service this year.

    in reply to: The PAK-FA Saga Episode X #2423970
    21Ankush
    Participant

    HAL’s share in the FGFA variant of PAK-FA to be 25%

    Scrutinising the Sukhoi Corporation’s work on the Fifth Generation Fighter Aircraft (FGFA) — a project that India will soon sign up to co-develop — gives one an idea of Russia’s size, and its aerospace expertise. During daytime, in Moscow, the Sukhoi Design Bureau conceptualises FGFA components; by 10 pm the drawings are electronically transmitted over 5,000 kilometres to a manufacturing unit in Siberia. Here, at KnAAPO (Komsomolsk-on-Amur Aircraft Production Organisation) — seven time zones away — it is already 5 am next morning. Within a couple of hours, the drawings start being translated into aircraft production.

    Having designed over 100 aircraft (including India’s Su-30MKI), built over 10,000 fighters, and with 50 world aviation records to its credit, Sukhoi understandably regards Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd (HAL) — its partner-to-be in designing the FGFA — as very much the greenhorn.

    But the newcomer wants its due. Bangalore-based HAL has negotiated firmly to get a 25 per cent share of design and development work in the FGFA programme. HAL’s work share will include critical software, including the mission computer (the Su-30MKI mission computer is entirely Indian); navigation systems; most of the cockpit displays; the counter measure dispensing (CMD) systems; and modifying Sukhoi’s single-seat prototype into the twin-seat fighter that the Indian Air Force (IAF) wants.
    THE FIFTH GENERATION FIGHTER
    Cost of development $8-10 billion
    India’s requirement 250 fighters
    Russia’s requirement 250 fighters
    Cost per aircraft $100 million
    Indian name FGFA
    Russian name PAK FA

    India will also contribute its expertise in aircraft composites, developed while designing the Tejas Light Combat Aircraft (LCA). Russia has traditionally built metallic aircraft; just 10 per cent of the Su-30MKI fuselage is titanium and composites. The FGFA’s fuselage, in contrast, will be 25 per cent titanium and 20 per cent composites. Russia’s expertise in titanium structures will be complemented by India’s experience in composites.

    With India’s work share almost finalised, the 2007 Russia-India Inter-Governmental Agreement (IGA) to build the FGFA will soon evolve into a commercial contract between Russia’s United Aircraft Corporation (UAC) and HAL. Ashok Baweja, until recently the chairman of HAL, told Business Standard: “When HAL and UAC agree on terms, they will sign a General Contract. This will include setting up a JV to design the FGFA, and precise details about who will fund what.”

    This contract will mark a significant shift in the aeronautical relationship between India and Russia. For decades, HAL has played a technologically subordinate role, assembling and building fighters that Russia had designed. Now, forced to accept HAL as a design partner, the Russians have negotiated hard to limit its role.

    The reason: Russia is sceptical about India’s design ability in such a cutting edge project. In June 2008, Business Standard interviewed Vyacheslav Trubnikov, then Russia’s ambassador to India, and an expert on Russia’s defence industry. Contrasting the Su-30MKI with the Tejas LCA, Trubnikov pointed out snidely, “I know perfectly well the Russian ability. But I don’t know what contribution the Indian side might make. So, one must ask the question to the Indian designers, to HAL…what is their claim for building a fighter of the fifth generation type? Either avionics, or engine? What might be India’s contribution? To be absolutely frank, I don’t know.”

    For long, the UAC argued that HAL could not expect a major role in the FGFA because Sukhoi had finished much of the work while New Delhi dithered about joining the project. UAC asserts that 5,000 Sukhoi engineers have worked for five years to design the FGFA. Such claims are hard to verify, but it is known that the Sukhoi Design Bureau has about 8,000 engineers, distributed between many different programmes.

    With Sukhoi’s ploughing on alone, Minister of State for Defence Pallam Raju admitted to Business Standard: “The longer India waits to join the project, the lesser will be our contribution. But, we are not sitting idle. Through the defence ministry’s existing programmes [such as the Tejas LCA] we are building up our capabilities.”

    Most Indian officials agree that India has not lost much. Even if the FGFA makes its much-anticipated first flight this year, it is still at a preliminary stage of development. Ashok Baweja assessed in early 2009, “The FGFA’s first flight is just the beginning of the programme. My understanding is that the Russians are going ahead (with the test) to validate the FGFA’s “proof of concept” (conceptual design). Whatever composite materials they have now, they’ll use. But, because the composites will change… the FGFA will keep evolving for a fairly long time.”

    A top ministry official estimates, “It will take another 4-5 years to develop many of the FGFA’s systems. Then, the aircraft will undergo at least 2000 hours of certification flying and, possibly, some reconfiguration. The FGFA should not be expected in service before 2017. And the twin-seat version may take a couple of years longer.”

    With just a 25 per cent share of design, South Block policymakers still believe that the FGFA project is a vital step towards India’s emergence as a military aeronautical power. “Developing 25 per cent of this fighter is far better than just transferring technology to build it in India, as we did with the Su-30MKI,” points out a defence ministry official.

    Ashok Baweja puts the project in context. “India can only (develop the FGFA) by partnering with Russia. They have so much experience. It’s not just the design… you must also have materials… maraging steel, titanium, composite alloys, and the industrial base to convert these into high-tech components like gyros, sensors and optics. The FGFA will give us important experience for building fighters hereafter.”

    in reply to: PLAAF; News and Photos volume 13 #2423981
    21Ankush
    Participant

    It is the same for them. I agree it is not the same plane but the path is usually Tweety/K8 -> FT7 -> F7 -> Mirages/PG/F16/JF17/FC20

    so all PAF pilots fly the F-7 solo before moving on to other operational fighter types ? is there any one good article that explains the training for fast jet stream in the PAF ?

    in reply to: PLAAF; News and Photos volume 13 #2423994
    21Ankush
    Participant

    Maybe they are so good they need no LIFT 🙂

    I think the PAF has a path with after the K8 the FT7. The JJ-9 is pretty much the same.

    no its not pretty much the same. why would the PLAAF buy it if it was pretty much the same as the JJ-7 ? they could simply use their JJ-7s till they retired and just before that induct L-15s instead.

    so the PLAAF uses a dedicated LIFT (JJ-9) and the PAF doesn’t. ok, thats clear.

    in reply to: PLAAF; News and Photos volume 13 #2423998
    21Ankush
    Participant

    I think the point of having LIFT is that it can simulate flight performance closer to modern fighters than AJT and the cockpit and man-machine interface on these LIFT is also much closer to modern fighter.

    Edit:
    Actually, I think I got mixed up before. I think K-8’s role is intermediate jet trainer. From the recent Dubai Air show, L-15 was shown to be capable in both AJT and LIFT roles. I think JJ-9 would be able to also.

    so if the JL-8 is an IJT in the PLAAF and trains pupil pilots to go on to the JJ-9LIFT, then how does the PAF use the K-8 as an AJT ? do they use any LIFT ?I thought that their FT-7s were basically for type conversion onto the F-7s..

    21Ankush
    Participant

    I have asked you 4 times now not to respond to my posts after past outbursts you have made, you agreed this was a good idea.

    What has changed your mind?


    because you keep posting garbage and then hope to mis-inform others by hoping to not get an answer. if you stop posting lies then I wouldn’t care to reply to your type of posts.
    understood ?!

    in reply to: 36 rafale for Brazil #2 #2424009
    21Ankush
    Participant

    SAAB & the FMV are prepared to give a price guarantee. The Swedes would take the risk of any cost overrun.

    I agree. Saab had even given a fixed price offer to Netherlands for the Gripen NG and that was even earlier in the program. Now, with more developments being made, they’ll have a better idea of the final cost of the program and hence unit cost.

    Saab’s Gripen NG offer to Netherlands with fixed prices

    21Ankush
    Participant

    I am right in assuming that LCA MK2 is the one IAF will be inducting and India looking to exprot? Yes or no?

    no you’re not right. the IAF is going to induct 40 Tejas Mk1s with the F-404 IN20 engine. and while those are inducted, the Tejas Mk2 with the new engine and other changes is developed. is that so hard to understand for you to keep cribbing about “engine not yet integrated” “engine not yet integrated” BS ? the engine choice will be made this year, and after that integration and flight testing will take another 2-3 years. by 2013-2014, the IAF should hopefully start seeing Tejas Mk2 enter squadron service.

    It, currentky has no SELECTED engine. Surley even you can comprehend this?

    whats the big deal about that ?! only someone interested in raising non-issues will keep harping on that. India is not offering the Tejas to anyone as of now. not even the Tejas Mk1. IF and when it does, it’ll leave the choice to the customer about whether it wants the Mk1 or Mk2, depending on when they want the fighter inducted.

    21Ankush
    Participant

    Indeed, but domestic support need not include purchase by the home country air force. JF-17 has a development partner which is committed to a significant purchase, & the backing of the Chinese government. That’s plenty. It doesn’t need the PLAAF to buy it, any more than the F-104G (practically a new aircraft) needed the USAF to buy it to achieve huge export success.

    but that doesn’t apply in the Tejas’ case. I mean, you still need the backing of at least 1 major air force and 1 major purchase to get the supply chain going and keep it going for the duration of an export sale as well as the after-sales support. the IAF is the primary customer and unless it shows enthusiasm for the Tejas and supports it, which develops confidence for other users, there will be no foreign sales possible.

    for the FC-1, the PAF was always the main customer since they needed to replace older Mirages and F-5 Fantans desperately, with the PLAAF buying some as well. it now seems like the PLAAF is not going to induct it after all, with the J-11 and J-10 as options, the FC-1 may be considered as falling short.

    21Ankush
    Participant

    Does anyone know the specs for two seater LCA and how they differ from the single seater? Any other news on two seater? If i am not wrong it made first flight few weeks/months ago.

    well I can answer that. basically an IAF requirement was very good forward visibility for the rear-seater, and hence quite a steep tandem cockpit arrangement (something like that on the Mirage-2000, much better than in the Gripen B/D). fully combat capable, with 1 fuselage fuel tank of 120 liters replaced by the rear seater. Its slightly longer than the single seater and is the basis for the N-LCA airframe.

    and it did have its first flight a few weeks ago, although there was almost a year’s delay compared to what was the originally scheduled date. as per one poster, it has something to do with the control columns in the front and rear not having same authority as seen during ground runs, or something of that kind. its taxi trials began in June or so.

    21Ankush
    Participant

    Apologies if you think that. I just find it hard to think how a plan that is still being flight tested can be claimed to be the fighter world’s next export success.

    I must add that the Tejas has completed all test points of its flight testing phase that relate to its Initial Operational Capability (IOC) phase by Dec 2009 sea level trials held off Goa. And, as per its Chief Test Pilot, Air Commodore Rohit Verma (not retired) who is the Director of the National Flight Test Center, the Tejas met all parameters during the test flights.

    The LCA, on paper, is a very impressive plane and India should be proud of what it has acheived.I dont seek to deny that, but as we all know, the export market is a very different ball game.

    much of what the LCA is, is not only on paper. the IAF won’t touch it if its only on paper, because unlike many other air forces who can afford to take airplanes into service before they are fully ready, the IAF simply wont due to operational concerns of having 2 big air forces on its borders. Thats why they’ve resisted for so long to induct the Tejas before it meets the IOC requirements even in terms of equipment.

    ALL of the avionics that the Tejas will have when it enters squadron service are either fully tested or will be fully tested before being given to the IAF in Dec 2010. This is true because several of the Su-30MKI’s avionics as well as the Jaguar and MiG-27 upgrades have many LCA derived avionics as well as the 7 prototypes that are flying (8 counting PV-5 now) . LCA’s LRUs are thoroughly tested and many have been re-used on the HJT-36 Sitara which is due to enter operational service in June 2010. The only major sensor that is not yet been tested thoroughly on the Tejas Mk1 is the LRDE-Elta MMR-2032 hybrid. Its development was complete in early 2008 and ground testing was being done since then. LSP-2 was supposed to be grounded while it was mated with the radar and then flown. Given Elta’s experience and expertise, the radar should’nt have any major issues either.

    Countries that traditionally do well on the export areana have the following

    1) An established aircrat industrial base
    2) Ability to develop weapons and integrate these on any fighter it exports
    3) Exconomic and political clout
    4) Past proven hardware

    India is a far way off this. For example, should they offer LCA for export can they offer a wide variety of Indian made air to air and air to surface weapons as well?

    Now, to address your points

    the first point is very valid. If you want to support an export sale, you need to have a well-established aircraft industry, one that can provide timely spares, support and training. India already provides training to several air force’s cadets (Malaysia for e.g for both its Fulcrum and MKM pilots as well as technicians) so training any customer’s pilots and technicians won’t be an issue. The same was done for the Dhruv, where Ecuadorian pilots trained in Bangalore and then HAL deputed 2 pilots and several technicians to Ecuador in a newly established HAL office to support the Dhruv for 3-4 years at least, till Ecuador could do it on its own.

    Spares won’t be an issue since for the Tejas, several hundred private firms were tapped to be ancilliary support industry and they are part and parcel of the program. the more business for them, the better and in general, private firms will provide timely support because they do not depend on monopoly unlike some Public Sector Enterprises.

    Regarding ability to develop weapons and integrate them, integrating is not that big a deal. the radar’s source code belongs to India and as it is, the Tejas will be integrated with a variety of BVR and WVR weapons- for sure are
    – R-77 (because its the IAF’s main BVR weapon currently)
    – Astra (because it was developed with the LCA as a main platform)
    – Derby (because the Indian Navy has already identified this as the N-LCA’s BVR weapon)
    – R-73 (already test fired near Goa)
    – Python 5 (?- not sure but likely for the N-LCA as the Magic IIs will be retired)
    – Litening LDP (already integrated and extensively tested)
    – 1000 lb bombs (already dropped over Jamnagar, so with Paveway or Griffin LGB kits, these become PGMs)

    The Gripen uses mostly non-Swedish weapons. Its BVR and WVR weapons are not Swedish as are most of its A2G weapons. So, if the Gripen can be sold to countries without Swedish weapons, why should the LCA be an exception ?

    Economic and political clout- its an accepted fact that India already has economic clout and will be an economic powerhouse during the coming decades. the same goes with political clout.

    Past proven hardware is the one factor that will be the hampering factor. Till the IAF uses, and expresses confidence in the Tejas, foreign air forces won’t take a chance. Operational record is a necessity. the Dhruv only started getting orders after the IA and IAF started operating it in large numbers for several years of safe flying. which is why I believe that its only the Tejas Mk2 that has any realistic export potential, based on the Tejas Mk1 having been operated for some years and depending on how it fares in the IAF.

    and if you look at exports, every country that is aiming to make a big export sale, has domestic support from its Air Force (e.g. Swedish AF pilots do a lot of talking about how the Gripen is great in this, or that, to foreign air force pilots, journalists, officials, etc.). the IAF traditionally doesn’t do any marketing because it never needed to in the past. That must change if the Tejas has to be a successfully exported to any nation.

    21Ankush
    Participant

    Would the Indian government back exports with cheap long term loans or protection for HAL if a nation defaults on repayment? If not then no chance. Defence products are not productive assets, for most nations (target market) it is not feesable to splash out alot of cash.

    Looking at recent Chinese-Pakistan exports like K 8, China has given generous repayment terms. MBT 2000 is the most likely to be bought by Peru over competators, due to cost and capability.

    Thats why I think JF 17 will do well because in the long term it will be most cost effective.

    it depends on how much support the GoI gives in the future.There was a case where Bolivia wanted the GoI to extend it a line of credit for a few Dhruv helicopters and some idiot at the MoD rejected it. It would’ve been a golden opportunity to notch another customer in Latin America after Ecuador. the Dhruv is basically around 15% cheaper than any other helicopter in its class and with the new Shakti engine, has demonstrated great performance over Siachen, a place that is just the most demanding operational deployment for IAF helicopter pilots.

    Chile was very close to buying them, after HAL demonstrated the Dhruv’s superb high and hot performance in Chile. HAL even had the Dhruv certified by Chilean authorities, but Chile finally buckled under US pressure and bought Bell helis instead. and Argentina was also reportedly evaluating it. Turkey has also bought a few Dhruvs to be used as Air Ambulances. Unlike China, in India, the policy of the use of defence exports as a strategic move is not yet established. the mentality has to change for any major sales to be made.

    21Ankush
    Participant

    1) In June JF-17 will be in frontline operational service with a relatively large,we equipped air force

    and the Tejas Mk1 will enter Initial Operational Capability role in the IAF’s No.45 Squadron by Dec.2010, i.e. 6 months after the JF-17 enters squadron service.

    2) Has a fully integrated and functioning engine

    so does the Tejas Mk1. the F-404 IN20 is the chosen engine for 2 squadrons of IAF Tejas Mk1 fighters. and of course they’re “fully integrated and functioning”. If not anything, the F-404 is the very benchmark of reliability in the world’s fighter engine market.

    and for the Tejas Mk2, a superior and newer generation engine will be chosen compared to the RD-93 of the JF-17

    3) Wespons systems and integration practically completed. Choice of Euro/Chinese systems

    Choice of Euro systems ? where has Pakistan integrated any Euro systems or weapons on its JF-17s ? as yet, they’re completely Chinese both in avionics and weapons. you can only offer Euro systems when you integrate them yourselves, or else if you offer it to customers without having done it for yourself, you’ll need to factor in the cost and time taken in doing it for them.

    5) Price is known

    so it is for the Tejas. we know how much the IAF has paid for its first 20 Tejas Mk1 fighters as well as how much the IN has paid for its first 6 N-LCA prototypes.

    6) China/Pak already in talks with potential customers

    this is the only difference. China and Pakistan always intended the FC-1 to be exported in large nos. for the Tejas, the IAF is not bothered beyond its own requirements and the GoI has never been savvy in exporting indigenous defence equipment.

    I am not saying LCA can never reach thi stage, but it is someway off compared to JF-17. I am also certain JF-17 will be a lower cost option.

    it will be behind the FC-1 in this matter for sure. but technologically, its more advanced and will be technologically obsolete much later than the JF-17 thanks to the 4th gen technologies incorporated.

    also, the choice of an American engine (F-404 IN20 or F-414) or European one (EJ200), while more reliable and technologically advanced than the RD-93, may not make it an attractive option for third-world countries that are not sold equipment by US or EU. It’ll be costlier and will require (at least in the case of the US) permission from another country for onward sales. In this matter, the EU will be a much much safer bet, although the EJ200 is more expensive than the F-414.

    I mean it’ll be under the same restrictions as the Gripen could be. mind you, in this regard, the EU option is much much better- as we’ve seen in the past that Boeing tried to include a clause that restricted any future exports of the Tejas without US consent for Boeing consultancy for reducing the number of flights required for completing flight testing. India rejected that clause and later went to EADS for help, and they won that deal.

Viewing 15 posts - 31 through 45 (of 1,410 total)