Since this thread has come out, there has been several entries on the internet refuting the need to dog fight. They all start out with the F-35s all alone at high altitude approaching the enemy. They fire missiles at long range and hope for hits. The problem is————the missiles dont always track and score.
Then while they dont say so, what are the two options. One–continue in to fight close in where the the F-35 is a pig in a dog fight, or two—turn tail and run.
In theory the F35 is perfect, assuming that BVR missiles can’t be jammed.
This will motivate operational costs (including capital costs) of 2-3 times that of the competition.
If the missiles had a Pk of over 50% against jamming targets then it’s all good.
But in reality, just looking at whats out there now, the base Pk is less than 50% in a jammed environment. With systems like BriteCloud the missile also has multiple possible targets to choose from + much clutter. Since a normal fighter jet has a capacity of 36 stations with BriteCloud + 36 stations with chaffs + towed decoys one can assume that the missile will face at least 4 targets (3 decoys + actual target).
In the absolute best case scenario the missile will have a Pk of 0.5 x 4 = 0.125 or 12.5%. In reality this is probably optimistic if the enemy has modern jammers. 12,5% is the Pk for the correct target in this case.
To add an extra layer we could also assume IRIS-T being used as a hard-kill countermeasure (it has the capability, but the actual performance is not known). This would be a last resort but it is still in the mix…
So… in a future air battle with 16 F35 and 25 Rafale there will be 16*6 missiles 96 missiles giving a potential of 12 downed Rafales (best case) on one side and about 78 IR-guided missiles vs the F35. DIRCM can only handle one at a time and the F35 is inferior as a dog fighter. It is also too slow to exit the fight. The Rafales also have some radar-guided missiles left (but these are assumed to be useless becase F35 is just.. alien technology).
We could change the scenario to 16 F35 vs 32-48 Gripens as well.
In the end it’s all about Lanchesters laws and attrition rate. I think the assumption that missiles always will hit is a dangerous dogma to build an entire strategy around, as it assumes no technical development on the opposing side.
Btw, the B’s original IOC was 2010 and not 2008 so it’s only 5 years late, not 8.
Fire AMRAAMs reliably: Check? Is the AMRAAM fully integrated? Can it use the two way datalink? I think no. Since the C7 does not have a 2-way datalink this is a non-issue.
Communicate with other units:
YES as Link-16, other datalinks, and the radio work just fine. If you are talking Rover, it did not even exist when the F-35 dev was started and did not make it into even 3F
//fair enough
Use MADL to connect to wingmans sensors: No
YES as they can share between two.
It’s the 4+ links that have issues and they are fixing that outside the normal Block path.
-Not according to the editor
Fuse sensordata: No
YES (No clue where you get this)
-not according to the editor of the article
HOBS-capability: No
YES (Again, no clue where you are getting these ideas
-No, the helmet does not allow for this as the testpilots have stated, it has a virtual forward fronting HUD.
http://foxtrotalpha.jalopnik.com/f-35-pilot-seems-unimpressed-with-jets-x-ray-like-visio-1717500325
Fly supersonic:
YES and YES
Can you link any supersonic trial recently done? Flight restrictions halted these tests last year so they have to be resumed right?
Fire WVR-missiles: No um, AMRAAM is perfectly capable in WVR
Ok, let me refrase. Does it have any missiles that can be fired in very close range at targets <500m?
I will give you the editors comments again:
(EDITOR’S NOTE: So the US Marine Corps are going to declare Initial Operational Capability of the F-35B even though its very raisons d’être — unprecedented situational awareness and data fusion – don’t work.
It also won’t be able to communicate with other aircraft or the ground by datalink, because these don’t work yet, either.
We already knew that it won’t be able to use its 25mmm gun before 2019.
So, what are the Marines going to do with these “operational” aircraft that are not fit for purpose?
Do they have any idea of how ridiculous they will look in the eyes of the world by declaring IOC of such a clearly immature aircraft that is so obviously unable to carry out any operational mission?)-ends-
The USMC does not IOC in 2016, but in a couple of weeks.
Sorry, but that can’t be serious. Or as the editor noted:
(EDITOR’S NOTE: So the US Marine Corps are going to declare Initial Operational Capability of the F-35B even though its very raisons d’être — unprecedented situational awareness and data fusion – don’t work.
It also won’t be able to communicate with other aircraft or the ground by datalink, because these don’t work yet, either.
We already knew that it won’t be able to use its 25mmm gun before 2019.
So, what are the Marines going to do with these “operational” aircraft that are not fit for purpose?
Do they have any idea of how ridiculous they will look in the eyes of the world by declaring IOC of such a clearly immature aircraft that is so obviously unable to carry out any operational mission?)-ends-
This is really pushing the envelope of what can be called IOC.
What is it that it actually can do?
Take off and land: Check
Operate its radar and use IR-sensors: Check
Fire AMRAAMs reliably: Check? Is the AMRAAM fully integrated? Can it use the two way datalink? I think no.
Communicate with other units: No
Use MADL to connect to wingmans sensors: No
Fuse sensordata: No
HOBS-capability: No
Use gun: No
Drop dumb bombs: Check
Fly supersonic: ? Can the F35 fly supersonic again? Are the AB restrictions lifted?
Fire WVR-missiles: No
Well, I wish the USMC all the best of luck.
Finally! But the original IOC-date was set to be in 2008 for USMC. So it will only be 8 years late in 2016?
Do you guys realize that we don’t even know if the B2 is slightly supersonic or not?
It is high subsonic, NG made a book where they discuss it.
http://www.northropgrumman.com/Capabilities/B2SpiritBomber/SpiritOfInnovationBook/Pages/default.aspx
It is supposed to go near supersonic at sealevel but never above mach 1.
The mentioned upgrade relates to a new 4K sensor engine as a replacement of current 640×480 FPA. The detail will be richer and resolution will improve. But the effective range won’t be affected, just like your 6MP phone can’t see “further” than an older 2MP phone. It’s the fixed 1x optics which is the limit.
DAS was always primarily a MAWS sensor, but with direct image output. Any attempts to make it some magical game changer in aerial combat are just a box of empty promises.
http://www.cinele.com/images/Documents/Datasheets/ir2013/2k_x_2k.pdf
Better image quality means sensor range is increased.
If my camera has a photo of an aircraft that is 4 pixels across on my old camera and 12 pixels across on my new one, then I can positively ID the object as an aircraft instead of something undefined. In this case I could be 73% further away and get the same clarity (4×1,732 = 12).
the resolution is low, we can dismiss theories of pinpointing anything BVR when they dont provide resolution on par with eyes,
as has been said before: its first and foremost a missile launch detector, and useful detecting obstacles close up,
like your wingman during night flight
To be fair he did mention something about an upgrade to the cameras coming. But the problem will still be there. A wider FOV lowers the effective range (or clarity in the image). The DAS will not be more than a MAWS the pilot can interact with (like PAWS-2) and for queing DIRCM.
Once again we have a feature that is exaggerated by the fanboys.
oh, neither would i, its what it was built for in the first instance, and nothing is hotter than a rocket
You forgot the sun 😉
Where did that come from? I have to confess, I find it very hard to believe the 2.3 GHz figures unless the measurement was taken dead square and centre ahead.
It’s from a comparison of Northrop XST and Have Blue.
But don’t bother, MiG-31BM i great at copy pasting stuff. Unfortunately he doesnt read any of it so I suggest you don’t either.
MBDA certainly hasn’t shied away from advertising it on the F-35. They’ve probably done some degree of design work already.
Well, if 70% (or something like that) of all NATO countries will use the F35 then probably it is good business for MDBA if they can fit the missile in the bays.
However, it will take time and someone has to take the first step to fund it.
interesting stuff, thanks for sharing
I don’t think swing wing is a good idea, not with today’s technology (NASA is working on morphing wings I believe)
Well, it was pre Meteor they came up with that. Maybe supersonic isnt needed when the missile, at least in theory, can hit targets out to 300 km and use variable thrust.
back to the F-35, here’s a pilot talking about the new helmet
http://foxtrotalpha.jalopnik.com/f-35-pilot-seems-unimpressed-with-jets-x-ray-like-visio-1717500325
I’m quite disapointed, the DAS system for one sounds rather poor, at least for spotting a target
also it seems you can’t just project a rear-view of the F-35 while looking forward, like a digital rear view mirror. that sucks
and finally he compares cockpit visibility of the F-35 with the F-16 and F-22, saying that they are designed for air superiority, while the F-35 is not
Yeah, at least this iteration is for “general awareness” and only has HUD-capabilities looking forward. In the future though I believe they will incorporate eye tracking and virtual HUD for rear targets as well. That can be done…
Also, he confirms what has been discussed before. The visual clarity is NOT of a very high pixel density, eyesight is much better (daytime). Finally that is settled.
I hope we get to see more honest pilots. And he had some good points as well, like the whole purpose of the F35 being to kill the enemy before WVR. I do hope fanboys will read and watch the vid.
that makes PAK-FA the last manned fighter,
impressive range and loiter, but, a swing-wing ? really?
Thats the only way to make it both supersonic and have extreme range. There are no free lunches 😉
I believe the next fighter will be more of a flying C&C for drones with extreme thrust/weight.
orignal article
https://medium.com/war-is-boring/no-the-f-35-can-t-fight-at-long-range-either-5508913252ddit is certainly more logical to turn on a powerful long range radar, and let $20 million UCAVs sneak into missile range and attack/risk getting shot down
plus those UCAVs can risk getting WVR to get a visual confirmation of the target. as has now been clearly established, that’s a really bad idea with an F-35. or better yet a pair of them, since they never go in alone
why risk $200 million + pilots for a job which a $20 million UCAV can do better. fill it with short ranged missiles and it’ll be a major threat against even the most advanced manned fightersand before anyone tells me it can’t be done, the Avenger proves that you can build a stealth jet engined UAV for less than $20 million, which has enough internal room to carry at the very least two AMRAAMs
You are spot on and FOI + SAAB agrees that the cheapest way to beat stealth is by drones.
Special supersonic fighter drones with long loiter time (and beamed datalinks to airborne leader, ie Gripen D or ERIEYE). Passive sensors onboard and external fire control.
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And a graphic displaying a “legacy” fighter jet with an extended arm to 4 stealth drones.
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Considering that the datalinks are beamed it is very difficult to intercept and jam (antenna gain is pretty huge) and that drones can be used as relays (at least my 80s army radio could) the whole solution is very jamming resistant.
What is holding back projects like this is not the arms manuacturers but politics and funding.
Royal Aeronautical Society
TIM ROBINSON puts virtual F-35s into perhaps the most accurate non-classified high-fidelity simulation of a future air combat clash.
http://aerosociety.com/News/Insight-Blog/3272/Does-the-F35-really-suck-in-air-combat
Garbage in garbage out.
For instance the fundamentals in the comparison are biased and based on possible future F35 capabilities vs estimated current Russian tech capabilities. Anyone can do fancy graphics, but IMO elementsofpowers comparison is way better. (Even though it turned out to be a bit pro F35)
@totoro’s statistic indicate effectiveness is down to last evolution in measures-countermeasures race
http://forum.keypublishing.com/showthread.php?117432-historical-kill-percentages-of-SAMs
Yeah, it is indicative but still no actual test results which would be good to have.
Tu-22m your better than that, look at the view and situation u are presenting; top view, afterburner.
Thanks for having high expectations of me, but if you compare that pic with actual afterburner you will see a bit of a difference.
Now think about how the dual tails hide the exhaust plume that the mixing with ambient air and nozzle shape go into dissipating exhaust gas or do u assume that the USAF and DoD is bullsh*tting everyone that they plan that Ir and RF detection range are roughly equal. Did they put the LOAN nozzle on for looks? Come on, obviously there are angles that don’t present a favorable IR sig.
And don’t pull that Gripen crap, it uses standard heat exchangers which is a huge RF and IR liability. Your touting the heat exchangers on the Gripen is worse than silly, the’ve been standard on fighters since the 70’s. Guess what, they found a more effective method for surface cooling and exhaust cooling. The knock on the F-35 had to do with the heat in the combustion chamber, do u know the exaust temp? I don’t, but they’ve stated its lower than comparable turbofans. The use of fuel as a heat dump as in the case of the F-22 and F-35 may have hit their limit, but as of now they are the best thing going to preserve all aspects of LO. There are several scholarly papers dealing with this. Needless to say the conclusion is in diametric opposition to your conclusions.
You can cool down exhaust gases by increasing the “surface area” of the jet vs surrounding cold air. Flat nozzles are great for it, as well as putting the exhaust in two jets. The F22 is a prime example. Unfortunately there are still two jets, both with pretty high temperature and a pretty large plume (as is the case when much warm air and exhaust gases are pushed out in a jet).
There is so many buzzwords going around the F35, but once details emerge it allways turns out that original claims where exaggerated. Just take the Beesleys maneuverability claims, the supercruise or the other bs.
Heat exchangers where the coolant is fuel that goes into the engine is the exact same thing as the F35 has. Maybe it is just a part of the rebranding hysteria going on at LM. If I where to rebrand ‘wings’ into ‘signature reducing lift surfaces’, would that change their function? If I where to rebrand “fuel as coolant fluid” with “fuel as heat dump”, would that change the function? No, it is exactly the same.
And sure, I have no doubt that the engine is colder than comparable engines since there are no other fighter jet engines in the same class! Are they comparing with AL41, F136 or the J58 on the SR-71? Let me just guess here, they didnt give any model to compare with, it was just like the BS claims about its capabilities vs “4th gen fighter”. Or do you call the comparison below serious?
In this case they didnt provide any example of the fighter they compared with even though the picture on the right (only more advanced) has been standard for a long time outside of USAF.
TU22m !
Mach 2+….AFFENGEIL !
Well, with almost straight pitot intakes and no vents the theoretical top speed is around mach 2. Some aircrafts, like Viggen, could however reach mach 2.1 in special circumstances and I think F16 has a top speed of mach 2.05 for the same reason.
I know.. But from time to time some joker pulls out the IR supression card and tries to sell a story that the pig is invisible in IR spectrum, for cheap.
Sorry for stating the obvious and wasting space on the internetz then 😉
What is more important though is the actual effectiveness of AA missiles vs modern jets. I imagine Britecloud + next gen jamming + chaffs would pretty much kill BVR as a concept.
It’s really hard to find test results on how countermeasures perform. I have seen one report that mentioned a 100% succesrate vs currently fielded (late 1990) IR missiles. And most nations still use the same ones.