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dionis

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Viewing 15 posts - 751 through 765 (of 1,704 total)
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  • in reply to: Why so many JASSM? #1814026
    dionis
    Participant

    On a side note, another reason for all those JASSMs is the mighty TOR was shown engaging 4 targets within 10 seconds at MAKS!

    🙂

    in reply to: Why so many JASSM? #1814028
    dionis
    Participant

    The S-300 may be able to engage 6 targets simultaneously, but the thing to take into consideration is that the JASSM/JSOW have low RCS, which means the amount of reaction time will be limited, lowering the PK.

    Reaction time and PK are different.

    It increases mission success, slightly, for the JASSM/JSOW, since they reduce the time they are “fired” at by the S-300, if that even makes a difference, as during the time given against even stealthy targets, an S-300 battery might run out of missiles. That’s a calculation you clearly have not done.

    in reply to: Russian Navy News & Discussion, Part III #2025895
    dionis
    Participant

    No Austin, the Vulkan is the upgrade to the P-500 Bazalt / SS-N-12 Sandbox.

    That should be on some, if not all the Slava cruisers in the RuN.

    in reply to: Russian Navy News & Discussion, Part III #2025934
    dionis
    Participant

    Bolid was a Granit follow-on, allegedly cancelled in 1994.
    Project 949AM exists in form of Belgorod.

    Belgorod isn’t complete, and never will be though.

    in reply to: US says no to Georgian arms request– Jane's #1814215
    dionis
    Participant

    Russia could do whatever they like to Georgia no matter what weapons Georgia gets, short of an decent arsenal of nuclear missiles with range to reach Moscow.

    Russia can preemptively spray everything in Georgia with cruise missiles from bombers, Tochkas and Iskanders before they even send the tanks and infantry in.

    Saakashvili will be gone one day, and things will be better.

    in reply to: Russian Navy News & Discussion, Part III #2026089
    dionis
    Participant

    Worthless waste of words, that article. . .

    Nothing new, nothing but assumptions.

    in reply to: US Aircraft Carrier Vulnerable #2026205
    dionis
    Participant

    …but how many long range recon aircraft?. How many A-50’s are there and how many could be spared to go orbiting 300km offshore trying to find carrier groups?. Carrier groups that will detect the A-50 on ESM long before counter-detect on any USN air unit!.

    Talking about the RN here, not the USN.

    And how many could be spared? In any situation, as many as necessary Jonesy. There are 20 or so A-50s in service, and about as many Tu-142M variants.

    The radar satellites you are talking about are passive ones that have the same limitations as all such systems. You need several for triangulation, you only ID the set-type and not the platform carrying it and you are dependent on the signal being recognisable in the first place. I think there is also some issue on just how ‘shortly’ shortly is at the moment?!.

    The radar sats are survivable targets capable of giving a high enough resolution screen shot of what an enemy naval force would look like, rather than a bunch of fishing boats.

    This all boils down to the same thing. Can the carrier battlegroup RELIABLY be detected, tracked and identified at such a range as to prevent concentrated long-range land-attack fire, from the group, attriting those systems intended to counter battlegroup theatre-entry?.

    Any carrier group can be found, as their radar signature would be rather unique.

    in reply to: Favorite BVR missile #1814378
    dionis
    Participant

    KS-172

    Big beast. Big punch. Big range.

    http://www.ausairpower.net/Su-35-AAM-L-P8210524.jpg

    in reply to: US Aircraft Carrier Vulnerable #2026266
    dionis
    Participant

    The problem is that you have to find the target first, so if you launch 60 aircraft and they separate into pairs to search for a target you might find only 4-8 aircraft making radar contact. And then if they pass that contact on to the other aircraft, you may have 60 aircraft launching missiles at a single oil tanker or something.

    Edit:As an example, the Argentines launched strikes of ~36 aircraft in 1982, however many aircraft did not find targets and many of the ones that did were shot down.

    Does an anti-ship version of Storm Shadow Exist, i doubt it would be hard to switch out the guidance system.

    The Russians have long range recon aircraft for this, from the A-50 to the Tu-142.

    The new Russian radar recon satellites are going up shortly also.

    in reply to: US Aircraft Carrier Vulnerable #2026276
    dionis
    Participant

    Sure, but do the pilots train for the role? That is a key question.

    Unless there is clear evidence that they do not train for anti-shipping tasks, I would strongly assume that YES, they do, as the Air Force exists to deal not only with the enemy air force and land forces, but also the naval force of any potential enemy.

    The smaller planes especially would have little difficulty if they choose the anti-radar option for attack.

    in reply to: US Aircraft Carrier Vulnerable #2026280
    dionis
    Participant

    Listing Countries that can launch a co-ordinated long range strike of 50+ aircraft with aircrew trained in anti-ship tactics

    China – Maybe with their TU-16 clones but would have difficulty with target aquisition as they lack a true long range MR platform and training is an issue.

    USA – Maybe as the USAF can fit Harpoon to its B-52 and B-1B and the Navy has Land based P-3C and its Carrier Air Wings though how often they train is unknown

    UK – No as Sea Eagle has been withdrawn from service and only the Nimrod retains an anti-ship capability with Harpoon

    Russia – No as it only has 45 TU-22M3 assigned to the maritime role. Remainder have been re-rolled as Strategic Forces and assigned to Engels, Ryazan and Shailkovka Air Bases. The Bear-D is no longer in service and the 2 ASW/MR Bear-F Regiments are assigned to the Pacific Fleet based together with the TU-22M3 at Kamenny Ruchei.

    India – No as they only have one squadron of Jaguar maritime strike aircraft

    France – Maybe if the air wing off CdG co-ordinated with land based Atlantique 2 squadrons but again training is an issue

    Germany – No as equipment and tactics of the German Navy were designed around confines of Baltic

    Japan – Maybe as one of the prime roles of the F2 is Anti Ship and they have tanker support.

    All of their 150 Backfires can use anti-ship weapons and will do so if necessary.

    None of hte other countries you listed have “long range” strike platforms if you count the airframe itself.

    If you want to count smaller aircraft, then the Russians can launch anti-ship strikes with Su-24Ms, Su-34s, Su-27SMs, Tu-95MS Bears with Kh-555/101 TV-guided missiles, or Tu-160s with Kh-15 or TV guided missiles, and even the MiG-31BM when it becomes available in large numbers. . .

    in reply to: US Aircraft Carrier Vulnerable #2026282
    dionis
    Participant

    They best hope oil prices pick up again then.

    And I would post the Aster percentage kill ratios if I had any. The weapon is still in testing and won’t be cleared for use for another 2 years. When the numbers come along I will. And if you believe that a brand new weapons system is somehow worse than the 25 year old weapons it was designed to kill then there is little point in continuing this discussion. The Type 45 weapons and radar combination is widely regarded as the best AAW destroyer in the world and will be for several years.

    I do not doubt that the Aster is a fine weapon Grim!

    However, basic physics and limitations of weapons speak for themselves.

    Even with a 90% kill chance, the HMS Daring, or even several Type-45 destroyers will have a very hard time defending against a supersonic heavy ASM onslaught.

    in reply to: US Aircraft Carrier Vulnerable #2026314
    dionis
    Participant

    The source for the list I produced was Warfare.ru. The list covers all units that are not mothballed, in reserve or pending disposal. I do not hold it up as the be all and end all mind you. But with only a pool of 8 major surface unit from which to deploy a taskforce ie not all are going to be available at any one time, it really show the state of the Russian Navy. The is epecially so as they are now saying it will be 2050 until they have a balanced navy capable of regular deployments os any meaning size or duration.

    They have said no such thing.

    2050 was when they expected to have 6 CBGs.

    in reply to: US Aircraft Carrier Vulnerable #2026326
    dionis
    Participant

    Why exactly does it come off that all your defence systems will work as advertised and all the RN ones will not? The Aster being the most modern system on the market will be more effective against your missiles (it is designed to go after supersonic missiles too by the way) compared to a 1970’s/80’s SAM system against Harpoons. Then you have all the close range defensive systems of the RN that won’t be entirely useless.

    In short, neither side would come away without massive damage. So the outcome would depend on the specific scenario and objectives of the engagement.

    Work as advertised?! No one said that the the Russian systems work 100% of the time, but when a missile is 2.5x as fast as your opponents, and packs a hell of a bigger punch, you are in big trouble. Reaction time for the RN is going to be tiny. Russian CIWS systems like the AK-630 and Kashtan especially are going to have far more “active time” than anything aboard any RN ship since the Russian missiles are all supersonic. It’s not even a fair comparison. The Aster is nothing incredible by any measure, and the Harpoon is even less impressive. A 140KM launch range will put the Russian Moskit armed vessels into range also, which is hardly good news since you have even more supersonic missiles headed your way other than the Shipwreck and Vulkan. If we included potential use of Backfire units, they don’t even need to use the heavy Kh-22M/32, as the short range of the Aster-30 would permit even the use of the 150 – 250KM range Kh-15 hypersonic missile.

    Also, if you really believe the Aster is superior to Russian weapons, I suggest you post percent-kill numbers. The Russian weapons systems are rated to engage supersonic missiles with 80 – 95 % probability of kill.

    Su-33s from the Kuznetsov are even designed to provide cover against sea-skimming missiles with the R-27EM variant.

    in reply to: US Aircraft Carrier Vulnerable #2026344
    dionis
    Participant

    [color=red]Sealordlawrence has been torpedoed again.[/color]

    Type 65 by any chance?

Viewing 15 posts - 751 through 765 (of 1,704 total)