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dionis

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Viewing 15 posts - 781 through 795 (of 1,704 total)
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  • in reply to: It was 30 years ago today #2039677
    dionis
    Participant

    Go and read up on the development of armoured warfare doctrine. And find out how many Tigers were in France in 1940.:rolleyes:

    LOLOL So you’d agree the T-72B would swamp and roll over the M1 Abrams like nothing eh? 😀

    in reply to: US Aircraft Carrier Vulnerable #2040131
    dionis
    Participant

    Why am I doing the research for you on this?. I’m telling you what the physics are – not trying to argue with you or convince you of anything!. If you are interested enough – do the research yourself.

    If you want something Janet and John to play with, to make it all a bit easier to understand, this gives a very basic idea of blast zones in pretty picture format: http://meyerweb.com/eric/tools/gmap/hydesim.html?ll=-73.9971,40.7223&yd=500&si

    That will show you that for a 10kt weapon the 15psi blast zone is 0.33 mile or about 1700ft. For a 500kt weapon that zone is 1.21 miles or about 6300ft. So, for a 50-fold increase in yield you are actually looking at a blast effect increase less than a factor of 4. That figure is for a groundburst but shows the basic problem with your premise.

    Airburst extends that figure perhaps 10% but you still have the issue of optimal burst height. The optimal burst height for the 15kt weapons dropped on Japan was 1500ft give or take. As yield increases that altitude increases and increases the distance from the burst to the target.

    Remember that for a burst at 4-5k ft altitude that the detonation would have to be made within about half a nautical mile of the carrier for it even to be within the immediate effects zone. Nukes dont come with an impact fuse Dionis and even if it manages to burst directly over the carrier at 5000ft its still 5000ft away!.

    As you’ve been told all along weapon designers know, even the Russian ones, that damage from a nuclear warhead, to a ship, comes from blast wave and shock effect not from trying to get large lumps of steel to change state into plasma. Understand that that is what the designers have aimed to achieve with their missile warheads.

    4 500 feet (average of your numbers) = 0.74 nautical mile

    This still puts it within the immediate effects zone. And yes, obviously, not an impact fuze but and airburst.

    in reply to: Russian Navy News & Discussion Thread Part II #2040137
    dionis
    Participant

    Also clearly the plans are to include 5th gen fighters, so I bet a good one that it’s navalized PAK-FA variants.

    No more cruise missiles though, which is a major change in doctrine. I imagine she’ll have plenty of Kashtan mounts as per the usual Russian way of doing things, probably with a navalized Tor-M variant too.

    While the RuN overhauls it’s old cruisers regularly, and with the new frigates/SSK/SSN types/SSBN/CVN in production or readying for it, that leaves the question of what will be the large displacement escort ship? A large destroyer – small cruiser type vessel? Several types?

    If the Russians want to keep their deterrence high, developing new Yakhont + size missiles and a platform should be necessary.

    in reply to: Russian Navy News & Discussion Thread Part II #2040315
    dionis
    Participant

    Russia to build nuclear-powered 60,000-ton aircraft carrier

    MOSCOW, February 27 (RIA Novosti) – Russia’s new-generation aircraft carrier will be nuclear powered and have a displacement of up to 60,000 metric tons, a United Shipbuilding Corporation executive said on Friday.

    Vice Adm. Anatoly Shlemov, the company’s head of defense contracts, said the new carrier was still at the drawing board stage, but its blueprint and basic specifications have already been defined.

    He said the carrier will serve as a seaborne platform for new-generation fixed- and rotary-winged aircraft, in particular, a fifth-generation fighter that will replace the Su-33 multirole fighter aircraft currently in service, as well as unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV).

    “It will be a fifth-generation aircraft with classic horizontal take-off and landing capability,” the admiral said.

    Shlemov said, unlike in the past, the new aircraft carrier would not be armed with cruise missiles, which were not part of its “job description.”

    He said that at least three such carriers were to be built, for the Northern and Pacific Fleets.

    The executive offered no timeline on the project, saying it was not as yet clear which shipyard would get the contract.

    The new carrier has an estimated price tag of $4 billion.

    So far the Russian Navy only has one aircraft carrier, the Admiral Kuznetsov Project 1143.5, built in 1985, with a displacement of 55,000 metric tons, a crew of 1,500, and capability to carry more than 50 aircraft.

    60,000 tons light is like the ULYANOVSK!

    in reply to: US Aircraft Carrier Vulnerable #2040318
    dionis
    Participant

    The numbers on that site are crap.

    Your comment is no better.

    in reply to: US Aircraft Carrier Vulnerable #2040321
    dionis
    Participant

    As Schorsh states Dionis that site is suspect. You need to be a bit more careful with your sources – maybe you should find a website that is a bit more authorative than that of a student with an anti-nuclear agenda!.

    As stated before, even if the student knew what he was talking about, you are trying to directly scale off yield and, once again, nuclear detonations do not do that. By this, keeping it at its very simplest level, I mean that doubling the yield of the weapon does NOT equate to a doubling of blast effect/radius. Look at Schorsh’s formula and you will see how it works.

    We then come to Gary’s point that if you could place a nuke aboard a CVN or on a barge alongside it and detonate the weapon – then you might get the effects you are anticipating – annihilation of some areas of the ship through the heat pulse. You are not going to get that off a missile warhead though. The need to do that kind of damage to a ship is simply unnecessary and would be a waste of the nuclear warhead.

    Again as stated the warhead would detonate at optimal burst height for its design yield so that the maximum coverage area possible with that warhead would be achieved. An airburst a few thousand ft up will see the carrier largely out of the immediate-effects zone, but, the blast will still knock it out of action, kill crew, destroy aircraft etc, etc.

    Jonesy, your rhetoric isn’t helping your argument at all here. If you want to be even remotely credible here, I suggest you post some sort of yield-to-effect calculator for us to use.

    If Little Boy / Fat Man could destroy a city, a warhead with 50x the power is going to cause off the scale damage to a naval vessel.

    “According to Encarta, the damage radius increases with the power of the nuclear bomb, approximately in proportion to its cube root. If exploded at the optimum height, therefore, a 10-megaton weapon, which is 1,000 times as powerful as a 10-kiloton weapon, will increase the distance tenfold, that is, out to 17.7 km (11 mi) for severe damage and 24 km (15 mi) for moderate damage of a frame house.”

    This leads me to believe that a 500KT weapon, will double the blast of the suggested figures above in this page.

    Remember, the Czar Bomba turned rock into ash in its air burst explosion. While being off the scale in terms of power, a closer air burst, even 1000ft above a carrier, it going to cause the majority of it to either fall apart or burn.

    in reply to: US Aircraft Carrier Vulnerable #2040324
    dionis
    Participant

    His numbers are a bit off. For instance there is not and never has been a 100megaton bomb made(there was a 100 meger in a card game about twenty years ago though!) so based on a cursory review I am not too impressed by his facts. There is no doubt though that having a large nuke go off over your head would ruin your day!

    Cheers
    Gary

    Yes there was, the Czar bomba was 100MT capable, yet detonated at 50MT due to a lead tamper instead of a U238 tamper. So you might want to get your facts straight.

    in reply to: US Aircraft Carrier Vulnerable #2040734
    dionis
    Participant

    In the tests mentioned the airburst weapon scorched paint and damaged masts/antenna on heavier vessels and, again from memory, pushed an aircraft carrier about a quarter of a mile. Not a chance of a ship getting vapourised though!. Shock damage aplenty and with vessels with running engines and embarking live ordnance you have a great risk of fire and sympathetic explosion – getting a Nimitz to go foomp and disappear in a cloud of component elements though….not very realistic!.

    A Granit’s 500kt warhead will cause massive destruction

    http://www.magnetbox.org/archive/aol/nuclear.html

    Site that 10kt (50 TIMES less) than a Granit, vaporizes .5 miles.

    Go figure. The Nimitz would be reduces to nothing – for the most part. I’m not suggesting it would disappear though 😛

    in reply to: Russian Space & Missile[ News/Discussion] Part-3 #1819867
    dionis
    Participant

    I’m suggesting that they have the capability by possessing accurate warheads, not big warheads. They had the ability to eliminate most of the Minutemen back in the Cold War through sheer volume, although that was a paper capability at best. Had they fired ICBMs towards the USA the Minutement would’ve been fired in retaliation anyway.

    I don’t think they would have had the time?

    That’s the reason for the high number of Ohio class subs.

    in reply to: Russian Space & Missile[ News/Discussion] Part-3 #1819871
    dionis
    Participant

    That’s the point. Cheyenne is basically the ONLY super hard target in the USA, apart from individual ICBM silos. Those 20mT warheads might work against the former, but are worthless against the latter on a large scale.

    Soviets were known to have first-strike destruction capability of most Minuteman silos – are you suggesting the lower current numbers is what has made this stop for Russia?

    in reply to: US Aircraft Carrier Vulnerable #2041171
    dionis
    Participant

    Actually, a single well placed torpedo should suffice.
    And again: modern warfare is not the attrition oriented stuff from WW2, were sunken ships counted as any damaged ship might return to service soon. Today mission kills count (additionally, seamen tend to feel sorry for the sunken comrades, even from the opposing navy).

    A nuclear attack would most likely not sink a ship, but it would severely reduce its ability to continue fighting. The Crossrads test was a ground burst in shallow water with a huge wave going over the ships.

    Erm.. what?

    If a 750kt explosion goes off 100 meters from any vessel, I’m quite certain it would be vaporized.

    in reply to: US Aircraft Carrier Vulnerable #2041293
    dionis
    Participant

    Thats about right TVI. Provided you get warning, which all of the big supersonic ship-killing missiles definitely provided, EMP can be mitigated by the simple act of isolating the antenna/waveguides from the electronics. Essentially there is nothing magical about EMP – its basically ‘just’ a surge current that will short circuitry. Stop that current making it to the circuitry and its not going to have much impact beyond the antenna. Obviously more advanced electronic scan systems are more vulnerable.

    For ‘conventional’ radar types the antenna damage need not be critical as the ‘follow-up’ strike would have to be outside the EMP radius so as not to get fratricide-killed by the EMP themselves!.

    This argument is medium-rare. 😉 Not quite cooked well enough.

    You might know you have a few unidentified objects flying your way, or even missiles – but how can you just guess they are being sent for EMP damage? For all you know, they might start more systems up for defenses – and fall right into the trap?

    Not to mention doesn’t EMP / nuclear explosion aftermath interfere with radar even after the blast? Might have to dig up an article about this – can’t remember off the top of my head.

    in reply to: Russian Navy News & Discussion Thread Part II #2041368
    dionis
    Participant

    All Yakhont has going for it is speed, and frankly so what. Rbs-15 Mk3 and the latest Otomat variants are more than adequate AShM’s.

    And ‘badly defended RN destroyers’ is a particuarly ignorant statement.

    Speed, warhead, range. Lots of each. Big difference.

    That’s pure ignorance if anything.

    in reply to: Russian Navy News & Discussion Thread Part II #2041372
    dionis
    Participant

    Funny, such missile have destroyed more than of the heavy Russian AShM’s, Royal Navy destroyers come to mind.

    Could you be any more generic? The systems huge footprint and yet non distributed nature make it inefficient for ship design and it offers nothing that a combination of western gun and missile based CIWS do not.

    The differences (advantages) in the CIWS might be minute, I’ll give you that much.

    But there’s no way you can win any argument with Yakhont vs Exocet non-sense, badly defended RN destroyers aside 😉

    in reply to: Russian Navy News & Discussion Thread Part II #2041546
    dionis
    Participant

    Nothing special about Yakhont or Kashtan.

    Compared to the Exocet and Harpoon, the Yakhont is about twice the weapon. You are not going to kill anything significant with a small, sub-sonic missile.

    Kashtan’s integrated system also allows for more rapid and ensured destruction of incoming cruise missiles.

Viewing 15 posts - 781 through 795 (of 1,704 total)