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dionis

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  • in reply to: Ability of RuAF and Russian Navy to destroy US CBG #2505783
    dionis
    Participant

    Those people would be you, you and you.

    As has been pointed out to you before all that video shows is a single exercise, it says nothing about flight hours, aircraft servicability, crew proficiency, airframe lives, etc etc etc

    Actually it does say a lot about most of those, but you clearly are too ignorant to actually try and understand / think through the information.

    Flight hours? not relevant. (see crew proficiency)

    Aircraft serviceability / airframe lives? Tu-22M3 bombers were made early 80s – early 90s. and with little flight time. that means their airframes are in pretty good shape, and with the money the airforce is getting now, they are mostly in good shape i’d bet (and the ones that aren’t might be in reserve)

    Crew proficiency? the young pilots completed everything at 100% efficiency according to the report.

    in reply to: Russian Navy : News & Discussion Part-2 #2097042
    dionis
    Participant

    That web page has not been updated in nearly eight years and that source does not say anything about the Tu-95K-22 having been returned to service, now stop posting until you know what you are talking about.:rolleyes:

    The really amusing thing is that of the sources FAS uses on that page only the link to the book I am using as a source is still active!

    Whoops, not that source, it was another. I’ll see if I can find it, though it didn’t really say there were more than several in possible service condition. And like I said, I never claimed they were in active service, I’d love you to quote me on that, but I did say it’s possible there would be a bunch of them around still, likely at Engels at the decom facility.

    in reply to: Ability of RuAF and Russian Navy to destroy US CBG #2506008
    dionis
    Participant

    I suspect the reason only a paragraph or so gets devoted to Russian weapons in these cases is simply because theres not enough reliable info to rely on out there, after all its better to say nothing then then to add tons of info to an article that is fake/comes straight out of a Russian sales brochure. Also coming back to an earlier point and one that Levsha commented on and that is about the numbers of aircraft on paper versus the number of aircraft that are actually usable, i have a very hard time believing the Russian Air Force has 150+ Backfires ready for use, i mentioned it earlier but the question still stands and has not really been answered as i can tell and that question is regarding the readiness rates, crew flying hours, how well kept the airbase support equipment is (ammo loaders, fuel tenders etc), are the full complement of engineers/flight maintenance personal up to the task (if there is a full complement). Many of these things will be tough to answer i accept but as i said earlier i don’t buy it that Russian pilots are up to scratch merely by going out and flying 1 hour a week and playing dogfights with airfix models.

    People on this forum must have an IQ of less than 100, because information gets posted constantly, even if to Russian sources, people just don’t pay attention.

    I am going to link a youtube video in Russian for the last time, which essentially shows what kind of training exercises / practice the Tu-22M/Tu-95/Tu-160 crews go through now.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qxky4ku__K0

    And this is year old news, with Putin ordering my strategical patrols, I wouldn’t be surprised if the flight crews are getting as much flying time as back in the day . .

    in reply to: Ability of RuAF and Russian Navy to destroy US CBG #2506011
    dionis
    Participant

    Define ‘in service’…

    I wouldn’t be surprised if a Tu-22M consumed more fuel per hour than a B-1B – and may need just as many man-hours of servicing/repair per flying hour as the ‘Bone’. The USAF can barely afford to keep 60+ B-1Bs in service and your telling me that the Russian Federation, which has less than 10% the defence budget of the USA, has 150 BACKFIREs in service!:rolleyes:

    Yes, and the USSR had a total of nearly 500 Backfires built of all variants, including prototypes.

    Upto 268 Backfire C’s were built, and were in production till 1993, with low flying hours during the 90s up until when the economy picked up in 2000 – 2001. Nowadays they are running so many training exercises it’s not even funny. So their preparation is becoming good, even for young pilots. If you spoke Russian it would be worth it to watch the Russian videos about the strategic aviation on Youtube for you.

    http://www.ausairpower.net/APA-Backfire.html

    Essentially, about 168 according to most sources are in service with both the air force and naval aviation, and 90 in reserve.

    And I don’t give a damn about how the US can barely keep its 60 B-1s in service, they must cost more to maintain, plus they have so much other crap to pay for, its really irrelevant as a point. :rolleyes:

    And Russia is far from America in terms of fuel prices. 😎

    in reply to: the PAK-FA saga, continued2…… #2506018
    dionis
    Participant

    Wonder what the final designation for the aircraft will be. . .

    They are likely going to develop a naval version as well? Any rumors about that?

    in reply to: Ability of RuAF and Russian Navy to destroy US CBG #2506358
    dionis
    Participant

    Not being an expert on this topic I was wondering if I might join the fight. I agree that the TU-22M is probably the most potent threat to a CBG, especially if equipped with supersonic ASMs. But it would only be so as either part of a co-ordinated attack with SSNs and SSGNs. The Russian Surface units would have a hard time getting close enough to a CBG. Also the USN is not going to sail a CBG close to the shore before it has dealt with immediate blue water threats.

    I understand it is a piece of wishfully fiction, but the initial soviet attack on USN CBG in “Red Storm Rising” gives an idea of how it could have been done.

    But how many TU-22Ms does Russia have, and out of those how many are serviceable? Can other Russian aircraft reach out into the Atlantic/Pacific and how many of these are available. Could any of these sortie totally undetected, together with the required tankers etc.

    IF you give command of a CBG to a total idiot and order hin to sail near the coast at DEFCOM 5 yes Russia would be able to take it out in all probability but that simply isn’t going to happen (Watch this space). If the Iranians sortied their SS into the gulf, It would cause the USN to pull back until they were located and given a real close escort.

    Even todays reduced strength CBG is formidable, with little or very few real threats. Looking at what the UKs future CBG may comprise of (1x T-45, 1x FFG, 1 x SSN), I would be a very worried sailor if I was on one in a medium to high threat environment.

    As mentioned before, 150+ Tu-22M3 in service with 90 or so in reserve.

    Armed with either Kh-22M, Kh-15 anti-ship variants, or maybe even the rumored Kh-32.

    http://www.janes.com/extracts/extract/jsws/jswsa034.html

    You also can’t rule out the use of the larger number of Su-24Ms in the inventory.

    in reply to: Soviet Air Power #2506449
    dionis
    Participant

    A lot of those were not going to be mirrored in the USA because the doctrines were different. A lot of them had to do with defeating US carrier battle groups. The West didn’t have to be concerned about countering a similar Soviet threat as Kuznetsov was barely afloat by the time the Wall came down due to the Soviet Navy taking its sweet time in deciding to actually field a carrier.

    That being said, there are numerous examples of the Soviets developing something in response to the existance of a Western weapon system, so anyone who says that is not the case is flat out wrong:

    MiG-25P: counter to the Lockheed A-12 (and that one isn’t even a “Western propaganda myth”, it comes directly from Rostislav Belyakov)
    MiG-31: counter to the ALCM threat
    S-300P: in part a counter to the ALCM threat
    Most of the systems you listed above: counters to the Western CVBGs

    I’d love to know why people keep thinking the F-117A is actually invisible to radar.

    Then the SA-5 is equally ineffective for exactly the same reason, right? As was the Su-15? Good to know! Now we can overfly most of Iran with impunity.

    They already have a credible enough nuclear deterrent to eliminate both the US and China, but yes, they are modernizing the Strategic Rocket Forces and the SSBN fleet at any rate. And yes, they are going to be getting a lot of quality systems, such as the S-400, which IMO is the gold standard for SAM systems at the moment, replacing the S-300PM-1/2 series. Whether they get enough new systems into service to be able to defeat the US in a paper exercise remains to be seen, but that is pretty much irrelevant as the prospects of a US-Russia conflict are so infinitesimally small that it’s laughable.

    Only misguided Western politicians need to trump up China as a serious threat. Not because they lack military power, but because economics would make the prospect of a US-China conflict almost impossible. US politicians will say whatever they want to get X weapon system bought and put jobs into their state or to make themselves sound good in the media, but any sane person knows that the US and China aren’t going to square off.

    The point I was trying to make was pretty simple – the US wasn’t the only country with unique weapons 😉

    And yes, the SA-5 is a joke, if you ask me, and Ukraine should have gotten rid of it 20 years ago. :dev2:

    in reply to: Ability of RuAF and Russian Navy to destroy US CBG #2506456
    dionis
    Participant

    The relevant sources from that section dealing with ALCMs are from no earlier than 2000, when everyone was busy speculating about the thing (note that they use the word “probably”, inferring that they aren’t even 100% sure either). The BOAS article from 2007 doesn’t mention the guidance system, I downloaded it from here:

    http://thebulletin.metapress.com/content/0096-3402/?Article+Category=Nuclear+Notebook&sortorder=asc&v=expanded&o=0

    I also did a query of Russian-language news sources from the past few years and the ones I read through didn’t mention the guidance system used specifically. A lot of them were sure that some sort of precision-level guidance had to be used in the conventional version to achieve the quoted CEP of 6 meters, but that’s as far as they went in the open press. I think it would be safe to say that we can speculate about TV guidance for the terminal phase, but that nobody knows for sure, despite what Globalsecurity, FAS, BOAS, NTI, and the like are reporting. I do like the Russian allegation of precision guidance for the conventional weapon, as it does make sense for the nuclear armed version to not require that level of precision.

    It wouldn’t be a surprise if they could essentially use the missile like a Kh-59M, except with an extreme range. I’m sure the Russians could communicate between the seeker / launch platform through satellite or some other form or radio link. Which would then mean they could re-designate targets in the terminal phase quite easily.

    in reply to: Russian Navy : News & Discussion Part-2 #2097635
    dionis
    Participant

    lol, you have no sources, no evidence and no knowledge so you resort to insults………pathetic, but at least you learn new words when your playing in the sand box!:D

    http://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/russia/bomber/tu-95.htm

    Even a basic source like FAS has this info.

    You don’t know a thing about the RuAF strategic bomber forces if you don’t know 45+ Bear G units were in service in 1998. That’s a source starting several have RETURNED to service, and also don’t pretend your sources are 100% credible – including that book, made from totally unclassified sources.

    Between capable submarines and aircraft carriers, the USN has had less need for SSM than the Soviets/Russians (and even then it had the anti-shipping Tomahawks for range).

    Large subsonic missiles are not a particularly hard target for even a decent SAM system. . .

    in reply to: Russian Navy : News & Discussion Part-2 #2097730
    dionis
    Participant

    “Lamewad”? Is that a new word on the playground?

    It’s sealord’s new nickname 🙂 – feels the most appropriate of the -wad combinations 😉

    in reply to: Ability of RuAF and Russian Navy to destroy US CBG #2506838
    dionis
    Participant

    The difference between Wikipedia and something like Jane’s Online is that you and I can’t log into Jane’s and actively edit the content to display whatever we like. Wikipedia doesn’t even delete unsourced comments, and they are way too broad in scope to deal with fact checking every article. Jane’s, again, are professional researchers and analysts. That’s the difference between the two online sources, and as I pointed out before, not even Jane’s is free from errors. But they do have a great deal more credibility than anything on Wikipedia.

    That’s why Wikipedia is a good starting resource, from there it’s not hard to check for the links the info was sources from.

    in reply to: Ability of RuAF and Russian Navy to destroy US CBG #2506847
    dionis
    Participant

    Which is precisely why Wikipedia is pretty much useless as a serious, credible source.

    As is every other military source online, Jane’s included. What is published doesn’t necessarily have to be accurate or even completely true.

    in reply to: Ability of RuAF and Russian Navy to destroy US CBG #2506856
    dionis
    Participant

    The problem is that unless you have access to every single source the author claims to be using, you can’t be sure that they aren’t just pulling your leg and typing whatever the hell they want to.

    Here’s the irony – you don’t EVER know if someone’s pulling your leg online. So that’s irrelevant I’m afraid.

    in reply to: Soviet Air Power #2506863
    dionis
    Participant

    I completely agree, F-117 (still no parallel), Aegis (also no parallel), and AIM-120 (3 years before R-77, although both are post Cold War weapons), are just a few more of the NATO advantages over WP. The Soviet Defence industry literally bankrupted the Soviet Union, as they had to react to such western events as the Reagan Plan of the early 1980’s, which outdated a generation of Soviet Weaponry. Yes the Soviets may have had a large armaments industry, but the cold reality is that it’s economy could not sustain such spending, so even if the Soviet Union had not fallen, it would have been a result of spending cutbacks in the defence industry, further widening the technological rift between NATO and WP. Despite this though, the Soviet army was one of the 2 largest armies in the world (China being the other), and even though they did have certain technological shortfalls, as the Russian saying goes, quantity has a quality all in it’s own.

    Riiight..

    Tu-22M3 – no parallel
    SS-N-12/19 – no parallels
    SS-N-22/26 – no parallels
    Kirov Battlecruiser – no parallels
    S-300/400 – no parallels
    Oscar II Class sub – no parallels
    SS-18 ICBM – no parallels

    And yeah, the F-117 has no parallels, yet one got shot down by people who has an SA-3! Pretty terrible if you ask me.

    And the Aegis, grand and all, seems to be great for shooting down civilian airliners – or making Standards miss their targets. . . but hey – maybe those were flukes. . .

    there’s probably more…

    I can also guarantee you, that in 15 years the Russian armed forces will be expanding not only in numbers, but more into quality weaponry, more than enough to deter anyone both conventionally and in terms of nuclear weapons also. But the more worrisome prospect for any die hard US or British patriot – will be China. With over 1.6 billion people and an economy growing as fast as it is, I’d be far more worried about what the Chinese will do in the next 20 – 30 years.

    in reply to: Ability of RuAF and Russian Navy to destroy US CBG #2506866
    dionis
    Participant

    Venik is a running joke and has been for at least ten years. Here, other boards, USENET, you name it.

    What does this have to do with varying Wikipedia sources?

Viewing 15 posts - 1,336 through 1,350 (of 1,704 total)