Well, I can agree with you that the Japanese plan to attack America was wrong from the start. It was just plain foolish. But the Japanese could not have captured Hawaii, so faulting them for not doing so is futile. It simply underscores the depth of their folly.
The Japanese could not have put themselves in a position to launch any substantial attacks on the US West Coast. The logistics of such a move would have been prohibitive, even with Pearl in hand. However, they did historically make a few nuisance strokes including a bombing attack in Oregon, of all places.
I also agree that an increase in Japanese success would endanger the Germany-first strategy.
I believe you have correctly identified Japan’s Mahanian advantage at Midway in the strength of surface forces. However, the ability to bring that advantage to bear was limited. Not only was the Japanese force slower and shorter in reach (gun range vs aircraft range), but check the lines of communication. The Japanese could not sustain their presence there; the Americans could, and it would be up to the Americans to decide when they had the greater local strength.
Halsey is the other American admiral. Unfortunately, it is now fashionable to portray him as a dolt who knew nothing but blind aggression.

To borrow a phrase, the Germans had bruised their jailer but remained in prison. Jutland changed nothing on a strategic level, which suited the British perfectly fine. The German fleet went on basically to rust its way thrpugh the end of the war. On the matter of British ammo, the most recent Warship volume has the third and concluding portion of the Riddle of the Shells series, which is recommended to all. It’s worth noting that the RN learned much at Jutland, and the Admiralty went on to develop some fine AP ammo. If you look at the post-war Baden firing trials, it was scary what the new 15in shells could do.
One British battleship at Jutland later went on to do what I think must be the craziest thing ever undertaken by a battleship. In 1940, Warspite went charging into the fjord at Narvik, which was crowded with German subs and destroyers. By all rights, she should have been torpedoed, but not only did she come out of it without a scratch, but she managed to sink a U-boat and lead a route of the German surface units.

Ah yes, a good picture. You can see the front overhang of the bridge.
It does seem that Wolsey is the way to go.
This is fun, with everyone supplying different pieces of the puzzle.

No, I’d still say Wallace is out of the running. Unlike a V/W conversion, she doesn’t have the forward overhang of the bridge.
I see that Wolsey had an L02 pennant. Is that possible?

Drat! That does make things somewhat more difficult.
By the way, I eliminated Valentine and Whitley as they had been sunk shortly before this particular evacuation photo.

The Wair conversion (and I’m not sure why it got that nickname) was to specialize the ships as fast escorts. All of them carried the same 4in twin mounts, regardless of their original sub-class.
The V/W lineage began with the V-class flotilla leaders, meant as leaders for the R-class ships. The only ship in our list from this series is Valorous.
The V-class ships which followed (including Vanity, Vega, Verdun, Vivien, and Vimiera) were intended to form their own flotillas. They differed in some details from the leaders, but this would be difficult (impossible?) to pick out after their conversions. Thornycroft built two “special” units with certain machinery refinements; Viceroy was one of them.
A repeat order followed, and these were the W-class ships (including Westminster, Wryneck, Winchester, and Wolfhound), essentially identical except in originally carrying triple torpedo mounts that were unavailable for the previous series. Again, Thornycroft built a “special” pair, Wolsey and Woolston.
A couple more series came later, none of them figuring in this topic. Note that the Admiralty was not fastidious about exactly which names were nominally for which class (W-class Voyager, for example).
Wallace was not from a V or W class, but from the Shakespeare class, though some sources claim Shakespeare-class names were initially assigned to the V-class leaders.
Final note: an external feature of the Thornycroft “specials” was a flat-sided second funnel. To me, the ship in the photo appears to have a flat-sided funnel (making it Wolsey, Woolston, or Viceroy), but I wouldn’t advise you to trust my eyes. What do you think?

I’m really not good at ship recognition, but I guess I ought to give this a shot.
I’m fairly certain that we’re seeing a Wair conversion of an old V/W class leftover of WWI vintage. You can see the 4in twin mount. There were c13 such ships in service at the time of Dunkirk.