Suprising then, as PAF tends to put a very high emphasis on avionics, and considering that they managed to purchase 36 F-16s and Erieyes, I expect them to have enough money to upgrade the avionics.
Link to to aforementioned articles please.
Actually, situations exist where 4th generation – 4.5th generation jets can be enough of a deterrent to the U.S. Air force – especially if the U.S. military is not willing to commit a large amount of resources to the battle.
Say, for example, Taiwan took the unlikely step of declaring formal independence, and the PRC took the even more unlikely step of enforcing attempting to rejoin Taiwan by force. Older jets such as the later J-7 variants would have a very hard time facing off Taiwan’s indigenous fighter, along with the F-16s. Unless they simply sent enough jets that Taiwan ran out of BVR missiles, China would be unlikely to achieve air superiority. With a late 4th generation jet such as the J-10, China would be able to contest air superiority without relying on massive numerical advantages. Of course, if Japan decides to intervene with their new F-22s and F-35s, things will quickly become hellish for PRC pilots.
As for Iraq, they had a very limited amount of MiG-29As, and they were not used. Saddam did not scramble the Iraqi air force, as it would have been useless. He ordered planes to be buried, apparently.
Its a deteriorating margin at best. India will likely attempt to develop its indigenous technologies, leaving sources of funding for Russia hard. It is hard to hold on to a lead when your best scientists head for the west.
China has a way of purchasing both foreign built technology and attempting to develop its own indigenous models. While the first production batches of the J-10 may depend on Russian technology, replacement indigenous parts are already developed.
The WS10A is in some respects superior substitute to the AL31, providing a higher thrust/weight ratio and lower cost.
Considering that Sukhoi engineers have themselves admitted that J-11s manufactured in China are better made then the Su-27s in Russia, the future of Russia’s aerospace industry looks grim.
Goldendragon:
Nothing will come close to ever being able to fight off a determined U.S. invasion, the only hope is that enough damage will be done to deter an invasion. To this extent, stockpiles of strategic weaponary plus a solidly 4th generation fighter jet will deliver enough losses to make war painful.
Even the European Union will have a hard time fighting off the Atlantic fleet alone, let alone the power the U.S. can bring in a total war.
Or because most advance Russian radar like N-011M bars family and its follow on N-035 Irbis are out of china’s reach for reasons that should be clear to most people with rudimentary knowledge about IAF.
Or it might be that China is banking on the superiority of its systems over Russian designs in the years to come.
The only reason that Russia is ahead of China in avionics development is due to the massive amounts of resources invested in it during the years of the Soviet Union. In recent years, the Russian economy has tanked, and has only recently started growing. Meanwhile, the Chinese economy experiences exceptionally high gains every year. Enormous amounts are being poured into research institutes, and China has the economy to sustain this development.
Time is on China’s side, and China has the ability to invest considerably more resources into research and development.
Well, to be honest, that wont be true because the J-10 is firmly mid-4th gen, to be truly remarkable, it would have had to be a pathbreaker which the F-16 was when it was introduced.
The high amounts of production alone will make the plane a very influential fighter, and it the fact that many later Chinese planes will draw from its lineage. Already – twin engine stealth variants and naval variants are in development. The airframe is very modular, and it is likely that these planes will be upgraded many times.
The political ramifications alone are worth considering – countries such as Pakistan, Nigeria, Iran, Zimbabwe, and other less friendly nations now have the ability to purchase a relatively modern plane. With estimated production totals of 1200 planes, the sheer number and widespread availability of plane later one would make very influential.
With the amount of upgrades the J-10 is likely to receive coupled with the fact that it is likely to be exported to many countries will make it at the very least, quite influential. Even today, the woefully outdated Mig-21/J-7 still decide battles in wars between less industrialized nations with significant reserves of the worlds natural resources.
Sir, unless one of us on this forum shows the exact situations under which these victories were achieved, this statistic is meaningless.
In IAF service, MiG 21 Bis’s flown by instructors have on many an occasion trounced their opponents including the high and mighty Su-30 K’s. Does this mean that they are indeed superior?
The IAF ostensibly got a 9:1 victory ratio against the USAF in Cope India, by varying tactics, pilot skill and ROE -with Bisons, MiG-29’s and Su-30Ks scoring kills against the F-15C. Out of which the Su-30K’s iirc had repeated victories,
Does that mean the Su-30 K is superior to the F-15C? Not at all!
Your points 1 & 3 are quite logical!
Agreed – again, the fact the PLAAF is not publishing information on exactly what happened. If it were a 1:1 ratio starting off at beyond visual range, I’d be very impressed. However, it may be possible that the J-10s are given advantages, such as being the defender, or having numerical superiority/better pilots. Without knowing the exact makeup of the exercises, a clear conclusion cannot be drawn.
However, it is worth knowing that Shenyang has traditionally been the politically favored manufacturer, and that the PLAAF officers and politicians elicited suprise when the J-10s won.
One of the reason I believe some form of breakthrough has been made in avionics/radar is that the new J-11s are ditching Russian radars and avionics in favor indigenous components. Whether this is because indigenous technology represents a significant upgrade, or simply for compatibility with Chinese weapons systems/ease of maintenance is unknown. It is most likely some combination of both factors.
One thing is for certain, the J-10 will end up becoming one of the most influential planes of the early 21st century, just as the F-16 was easily the most influential planes of the late 20th century. I just hope their capabilities are never tested by fire.
There may be many reasons why Pakistan cut the order for F-16s and opted for J-10s
Pakistan doesn’t want a repeat of what happened in the 80s, when its entire airforce was rendered obsolete by political tension. Washington has shown to be a relatively unreliable partner, at least in it’s dealings with Pakistan. In this case, a nation which offers co-production(as in the Jf-17/SD-10) and has always been a reliable friend is useful. Diversifying the air force prevents Washington from rendering the PAF obsolete. Investment in Chinese planes insures that the PAF has at least one supplier for relatively modern planes.
[*]Combat Capability
The J-10 might have been underestimated by this forum – the Chinese are excellent at keeping secrets. Many recent signs point to some form of breakthrough in radar/avionics development. This – coupled with the development of better and more reliable engines, might make the J-10 considerably more competitive then we thought.
It has consistently beaten out the J-11s in mock combat. This may be from a combination of its superior maneuverability, lower radar signature, better avionics and other possible improvements. It is possible that this plane has been grossly underestimated.
[*] Technology sharing
It is also very possible that China has offered Pakistan the ability to maintain and produce low level spare parts for the J-10. This is purely speculation, but any transfer of technology would go a long way into bolstering Pakistan’s indigenous aircraft industry.
Again – this is highly unlikely, only very recently have the Chinese government acknowledged the existence of such a plane, and they have been keeping mum about it.
It is very possible that any of these factors – or a combination of all 3, have influenced Pakistan’s decision. I listed the factors by probability. Either way, the J-10s will add an unknown factor to the Indian subcontinent – I just hope we never find out exactly how effective those planes are.