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Phelgan

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Viewing 15 posts - 196 through 210 (of 273 total)
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  • in reply to: The long march to be a superpower #2052634
    Phelgan
    Participant

    The peoples and governments of western nations see anything different as a perceived threat, either physically or morally. You can be black or brown or yellow, but as long as you pay homage to the western values of ‘human rights’, ‘free press’ and ‘democracy’ etc as defined by the west then thats fine, you’ll be tolerated. But no matter what color you are, if you are seen as not adhering to those values, you are a threat.

    Yes, indeed – US/UK support for Iran (Shah) and Iraq (Saddam) was in view of their enlightened approach to open and free societies, oh and of course being such strong Christian countries as well. And of course the Americans were in no way influenced in their arguements with Japan by Japanese treatment of China?

    Well it certainly won’t help your case if you happen to be Muslim or atheist.

    Yet the US maintains reasonable relations with a number of Gulf states and they’re all lovey-dovey with Pakistan again. Of course if your idea of being Muslim is Jew-baiting, (does Israel count as an easy ride?) then yes, you’ll get a harder time from Israel’s chief ally.

    You need to brush up on your history mate. It was not the west that helped kick start the Chinese economy, it was the decision of the Chinese government of open up the economy and create a business friendly environment that started the process

    How else was it going to start than with China opening up (a bit of westernisation perhaps?)?

    , and it was overseas Chinese businessmen from HK and Taiwan and other Asian countries like Japan that were the first to invest in China. Western companies only started to move in in force after they saw the kind of profits that were up for grabs.

    And, the Western companies are there and you cannot tell me the Chinese don’t want them, nor for that matter wouldn’t miss them?

    The US and the west did not actively ‘help’ China get to where it is today, if anything, they actively tried to slow and contain China’s growth even to this day with export restrictions on advanced technologies and deliberate policies to keep China out of international co-operative research projects like the ISS etc.

    What exactly do you expect? Despite its free-market pretentions, China is still a communist regime (remember the Red Peril, Red Bear,e tc?) and got to be China by defeating the faction supported by the US. So now you expect them just to export their high tech to someone they don’t completely trust (probably something to do with Taiwan in there). And while we’re at it, the US isn’t fond of sharing all its high-tech with its close allies, so don’t feel China is the odd one out.

    As for not trading with China. Well why don’t go go through your weekly shopping, wardrobe and appliances and try picking out the ones without any Chinese content and see if you can survive with just those items before suggesting you can live without China so lightly. :rolleyes:

    Perhaps thats why I put this line in my post

    Now it may be to keep the folks back home happy (cheap goods) and “control” China’s growth, but the US adn Western Europe stands to suffer greatly if China goes wrong.

    Every western nation has its own national traits and customs, or do you consider the French and British to be identical in all things? They are westernized, not colonized.

    Indeed not, and the question came over more sarcastic than intended (it wasn’t intended at all:o ). Nor, in case swerve thinks I’m insulting his good lady, was I being derogatory! I was curious where the boundary lies – I think the Japanese are one of the most distinctive peoples in the world, based on my limited experienced, and while they certainly do have some of the trappings of the Western World have never personally put them in that catagory. Perhaps its that there history is so distinct – after all most of the Western world has derived from European colonisation and control, but Japan hasn’t (well post-war might be more contentious there….)

    Could you not read? What did Mat say again? :rolleyes:

    I see a comment about the 1904-1905 Russo-Japanese war and Mongolia, not Mongol empire (which is surely outside the 400 year period anyway). If I’ve misunderstood something, please enlighten me.

    in reply to: The long march to be a superpower #2052657
    Phelgan
    Participant

    Sorry but the US does want to “occupy” China in the most important places… The mind.

    Known as PR that, everyone tries it. At the moment, the US is mroe successful at it. China didn’t have to let Pepsi/Coke etc. in, they chose to!

    quote=hell king]You don’t think Americans want to turn the Chinese people into good obedient Christians that know their place?
    [/quote]60-years ago maybe, supporting Chaing Kai-Shek. Do you really think they care what China are as long as they are not a (perceived threat). Do you think being Christian (or Jewish) will make a difference if they ARE seen as a significant threat? There is a vocal – and not insiginificant- fundamentalist presence in the US, but they do not dictate everything. As for the rest of the West (by which I guess Western Europe and parts of the Commonwealth), well Christianity isn’t so healthy anyway..

    The West has dominanted the world for over 400 years. China is the first “non-European” country since then to threaten that domination.

    Gee, what were those Soviets up to!

    They certainly aren’t gonna to see the West having a monopoly over knowing what’s right to do. China’s rise puts a lot of what the West believes in academic and religious theory in question and the only way to maintain the status quo is to control China. You can’t do that by doing nothing.

    How so. Its funny that the west, the US in particular, has been quite happy – to a degree – to help China get to the place it is. Now it may be to keep the folks back home happy (cheap goods) and “control” China’s growth, but the US adn Western Europe stands to suffer greatly if China goes wrong. So what do you want. WE could go back to don’ trust the Chinese, don’t trade with them, etc. and let them carry on with their 5-year plans and see where the economy goes, but where else was that money coming from.

    Japan was ‘westernised’ in everything but breed, yet there was still strong xenophobic paranoia in western nations right up to the point when their economy ran into a brick wall . It was that which finally dispelled western fears – that Japan had been shown to have reached the limit of their powers, and that limit was still behind that of the western standard bearer the USA.

    Please define westernised. If they are, they are the least Westernised Westerners I’ve ever met. And just think of those stupid Brits, spending all those years dealing with them, building their Navy,e tc. during the early C20.

    As for mongolia, well you need to brush up on your history and maths skills. The mongolian empire was from 1206 – 1405. In the early 1900s, mongolia was little more then a forgotten backwater. Even if you mean the 1400s, that was still comfortably within the ‘400 years’ criteria.

    Who mentioned Mongolian Empire?

    in reply to: The long march to be a superpower #2052881
    Phelgan
    Participant

    The report is balanced your right, but there are certain things I do not agree with so much. The Asymetric warfare approach would work if you are fighting an occupying force but america doesnt want to occupy China, just send it back to the stone age, and or ruin chinas economy.

    Not occupying China, did you not see the Pepsi umbrellas;)

    I don’t think the US knows what it wants to do with China. Certainly ruining its economy or sending “it back to the stone age” are not likely to be high on the list. Any US Govt doing that would soon be out on its ear from the likes of said Pepsi, Coke, etc.

    in reply to: 25,000-ton cruiser under consideration #2054371
    Phelgan
    Participant

    nuclear+fuel

    I realise that the USN fleet must consume a lot of fuel, but in the grand scheme of US usage, is it anything compared to domestic usage (vehicle fuel, power gen, domestic heating, etc.)?

    Is the US self-sufficient in Uranium? Could just be replacing one dependancy for another – like the debate here about nuclear power stations. Granted, our supplier is probably a lot more realiable than the middle east!!!!

    in reply to: Ex-Varyag to be completed by China? #2056464
    Phelgan
    Participant

    No. That’s a situation not even US carriers can solve. Carriers as big stick diplomacy have never solved anything from Vietnam to Iraq.

    No, but having the carriers has meant that when it came to the fighting, they had the ability to carry out air missions without reliance on their enemy’s neighbours. Carriers are not just diplomacy.

    As a matter of fact, what makes it worst is that the largest proportion of missions generated and munitions delivered in all the US campaigns are still coming out of land based air forces.

    You would find that in situations like the above, it would be better to hatch an alliance with a neighboring country or faction, so you can put a forward base, which in turn where you can base your army and air force units.

    And if you cannot find such a willing accompliace? or the situation develops at short notice? Surely the (a) point is that the CV gives you the independance/flexibility NOT to have to rely on someone else.

    In which case, China is better served having a global C41 capability first, and followed by no less than important massive air lift capability.

    No quibble with those needs, but which is going to make the public in the West/Japan/Australia take note more – a CV or big,lumbering aircraft?

    in reply to: Ex-Varyag to be completed by China? #2056633
    Phelgan
    Participant

    Why? What’s the use of carrier air power if you cannot beat land based air power filled with stealth fighters?

    (1) depends on your opponent
    (2) why do you assume you will not beat land based air power? Simply because the opponent has stealth? Ah, the magic answer 😡

    You should be more concerned with the boomer in the other thread there.

    But as has been noted its a bit all or nothing. A boomer may deter a conventional (i.e. state) enemy, but ay what point will you be willing to use it? In a dispute over Taiwan? Spratleys? A.N.Other island?

    If I were China I would take the money used to make carriers and build subs out of them. Lots of subs.

    What about a balanced mix, avoiding all your eggs in one basket?

    Besides, while the carriers are not going to give China the means to take on the US directly, it will give them flexibility in their backyard. To confront the West, it is not necessary to make them think you are going to win a shooting match, just to make it look too costly. A situation likely to have been reinforced with Iraq….

    in reply to: Aussies repel Iranian Gunboat #2057082
    Phelgan
    Participant

    Several.

    Much of the Iranian petrol productin infrastructure was located within range of Iraqi bombers during the Iran – Iraq war and were prime targets, with some completely destroyed and many of the remainder badly damaged.

    Thus the seeds were sown for the limitations in Iranian domestic petrol refining capacity seen today.

    So why haven’t they built new ones I hear you say?

    The US embargo on financing any construction in Iran (and a similar ban is in place in the UK and much of the EU). Companies are strange like that, they like to be paid, with lots of hard cash up front and regular progress payments.

    But Iran can finance it themselves I hear you say?

    The main companies who could build the Mullah’s their petrol refining facilities are affiliated with the major oil companies, all of who hate the Mullahs with a passion, as Khomeini and his merry gang nationalised the foreign oil company’s assets after the Islamic revolution in Iran.

    The construction companies are not going to piiss off their main customers and business partners to do deals with a bunch of West-hating clerics.

    Surely there are non-Western construction companies who would do the construction you ask?

    Indeed, however the demand for refining capability worldwide is such that they have a long list of other, less politically unacceptable customers to build for first, Anyway, very few of them want to really piiss of the US, because the industry is a small one, and what comes around, goes around.

    Thus Iran has to buy most of the petrol it uses, which suits the oil companies, the US and the other oil producing countries.

    Hope this helps.

    Unicorn

    Cheers Unicorn, as informative as always.

    in reply to: Aussies repel Iranian Gunboat #2057106
    Phelgan
    Participant

    refining in iran

    Is their any particular reason for iran lacking the necessary capabilities for refining? Its hardly rocket (or nuclear) science is it?

    in reply to: Best naval gun in the 100-130mm range? #2058498
    Phelgan
    Participant

    True but they would operate under or within the umbrella of DD(X)’s supported by LCS. All backed up by Marine or Naval Aircraft………..:D

    Would still be inclined to have some sort of defensive missile system. Would not be expected to stand-up under massed AShM attack, more against the odd-missile threat of a coastal sub or of course Hezbollah-type agency!

    in reply to: HMS Astute Launched #2059216
    Phelgan
    Participant

    no VLS

    VLS is presumably a cost/size issue. AS the RN has withdrawn sub-Harpoon, the only missiles they will be firing are Tomahawks and I believe there is a co-development programme with the US to make the latest Tomahawk (D?) in a tube-launched form.

    Given that the S and T conversions are firing tube-launched (and the T’s are likely to be around for some time yet), one missile upgrade was probably deemed enough.

    in reply to: HMS Astute Launched #2059236
    Phelgan
    Participant

    Ed: mate good luck in getting those extras, from everything I’ve read, they are only going to have the three. These are costing too much as is the new carriers and the Vanguard fleet, Oh not to mention the Daring class. Basically the RN is becoming a shadow of it’s former glory simply because the ministers have become too greedy and don’t want to spend money on defence!

    Well a forth is looking reasonably likely as some of the lead in work is now funded. But with talk of a build rate of 1 every two years, I guess they are not going to maintain more than seven SSN total (12 years between first and last boat of a class seems somewhat excessive to me)….

    in reply to: Brazilian Navy air defence???? #2059239
    Phelgan
    Participant

    If they can get the ship going, at least they can say “fitted for, but not with” about the aircraft 😉

    in reply to: Hope for the Royal Navy? #2059816
    Phelgan
    Participant

    numbers

    The RN still has a requirement for 8, and plans for C1 (large combat ship, possibly cheaper T-45), C2 (medium capability patrol, and C3 (cheap patrol ship). The aim is, apparently, to have eight of each, which would obviously be a major step forward. The UK also needs to replace its mine warfare vessels, and arguably this could be combined with C2 and C3, by buying a UK LCS equivalent.

    One thing to remember is that a RN task force would be able to call on other ships too, so it is not simply limited to the T-45s. If the UK can get 16 Type 45s and 16 other patrol ships, then it would be enough to adequately defend four battlegroups. For proper defence of a carrier, you really only need four escorts. The UK practice has been to include a ‘goalkeeper’ frigate next to the carrier, but this was due to the fact that the carriers lacked adequate self defence capabilities (by carrying Sea Dart, not Sea Wolf missiles). In the future, any carrier could carry missiles like the RIM-116 RAM, which would be enough to protect the carrier, thus dispensing with the need for the goalkeeper frigate. Four T-45s would simply be the UK equivalent of the US assigning Arleigh Burkes and Ticonderogas.”

    I would be surprised (pleasantly so) if the RN managed 8 T-45 AAW and 8 T-45mod and had a decent class of medium capability vessels. I assume the C-1 and C-2 would be T-23 replacements…

    But I’m not convinced that 8 off primary AAW vessels will really allow for four battlegroups – inevitably some will be in refit/extended readiness/flying the flag on the wrong side of the globe/etc. But then I also don’t see both CVs and two amphibious groups being up and running at one time either, so I don’t suppose it matters.:(

    Are 4 escorts (presumably a 2 AAW and 2 other) enough to protect a light carrier and its replenishment? My fear with all such things, is what if one goes ?

    in reply to: Hope for the Royal Navy? #2060161
    Phelgan
    Participant

    Both CVBG (Stennis & Nimtz) currently in the Persian Gulf have 1 CG and 3 DDG’s and a AOE. As for SSN’s who really knows? With one being norm………:cool: Which, is very typical…………..:D

    In a situation in which they expect little or no threat to the CVs, whereas I was envisaging a wartime footing.

    There are also allied units in the Gulf which could be called upon in things got warm.

    Does the USN have any other ships in the Gulf?

    in reply to: CVF News #2060194
    Phelgan
    Participant

    Do you know “European” that that Battle of Trafalgar happened two centuries ago, and that the French-English wars have been over for a long time now ?

    Pretty sure Trafalgar came after the act of Union, therefore French-British wars thank you.

    About the French and English who “don’t like each other”, I usually see this kind of dislike in the medias (especially the english press, in fact), but I never saw it from any English person I had the the oppotunity to meet. And I met many of hem…

    So, pardon me, but the Cliché of the so-called “traditionnal French-English hate” is BS, pure and simple!!!

    There is still dislike, but I think it is much more on a national level i.e. its not individual persons, but what the relevant nation/government does. Just consider all the ranting about Iraq!

    Of course it could be that all the English people you meet are showing their well-renowned good manners;)

Viewing 15 posts - 196 through 210 (of 273 total)