Hi All,
I can’t seeing it going that far unless Putin decides he will do a Georgia,Hungary or Czechoslovakia take over, the problem for the Ukraine is that there are no resources that the west will benefit from. Putin now sees the west as a toothless threat, we will stand by and watch as he does what he wants simply in my opinion because we need their gas, like was feared a few years ago the Russians will hold the gas pipelines as ransom if we go against their actions.
On the one hand their is big business in Russia that could persuade him to not be as bolshie and take a softer line as they say money makes the world go round and if those who control the Russian economy will suffer they may even get him out of power, on the other hand Putin being ex-KGB and would like a return to the old days of the Soviet empire with all the former states in tow this may be exactly what he is after and this is just the start of a series of territorial grabs.
What he has to consider is what the rest of the world will think and how it will affect his country in the outcome of any military action he may decide to take of coarse there is always the possibility that like the new Ukrainian naval admiral defected/resigned other in similar posts throughout the Ukraine may do the same this is a problem that could thwart any real attempt at a retaliation should the Russians use force.
Judging by the looks of the trapped Ukrainian forces they have older kit than the troops who appeared so suddenly in the Ukraine unless these are just the better equipped units of the Russian forces ?
Geoff.
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