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bandua

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  • in reply to: Eurofighter Typhoon discussion and news 2015 #2143642
    bandua
    Participant

    SpudmanWP,

    Of course, the cost might be different depending on whether one or two versions are operated. At this point and regarding only costs it’s possible that simplifying logistics on the F35B it’s cheaper than getting F35B + F35A. My take is that the difference might not be that big an that F35A is a better performing platform. But regarding costs, GAO report after GAO report we see that the different services of the US face extreme uncertainty regarding sustainability of their respective fleets. Costs keep rising and although we have to expect them to reach a plateau at some point, I honestly think none of the buyers have a real idea on that point. LM says buy more and it would be cheaper, this of course make sense but on the other hand you still don’t know exactly what “cheaper” means.

    in reply to: Eurofighter Typhoon discussion and news 2015 #2143646
    bandua
    Participant

    While some further development of typhoon is to be expected, I don’t think the extent of this development might introduce that much uncertainty regarding affordability. Besides I think it’s very likey that most of these R&D might be included in future upgrades of the typhoon fleet anyway.

    in reply to: Eurofighter Typhoon discussion and news 2015 #2143679
    bandua
    Participant

    The question is that despite the UK is involved in the F35 from the very beginning they still don’t have a clear assessment on prices regarding the f35. They know it’s very expensive but not just how expensive. LM keeps telling that they are making efforts to reduce costs, but nobody is certain on how would it translate to facts, I think that’s an issue even for the USA, at least that’s what i understood from the last GAO. All this criticism from the UK towards acquiring more F35Bs is mainly caused by these budgetary concerns. They just don’t know if they can afford it.
    With this in mind, there are other reasons to go the typhoon way:
    – At this point, they know exactly what they can expect from typhoon, both regarding budget and capabilities.
    – Their share in the typhoon pie is big.
    – Some partners seem to go for more.
    – It might help easing things with Germany regarding brexit, I don’t think this is a critical point, but I don’t think we can completly exclude the point either.
    – They already have the stealth thing to play around and develop doctrine and as of now they don’t really need more.
    – I am far from having a clear vision on this, but maybe RAF and RN are having some difficulties regarding how to share the F35Bs (and it’s costs), plus I can imagine RAF is deeply unhappy with the choice of the far more expensive and less capable stovl version.
    – They are leading the typhoon offer for Belgium, which means that in this particular moment taking some distance from the F35 might be convenient.
    – 138 are to many stovl aircrafts, even considering operating the two platforms simultaneously (which wasn’t the orginal plan) there’s no need for more than 72, for the other 66 aircrafts both typhoon or F35A are a better option than the F35B in my view.

    in reply to: Future Franco-German MPA #2151013
    bandua
    Participant

    it will probably be an A320 family derivative. They’ll produce the basic airframes in Toulouse and Hamburg and probably send them to Getafe for “militarization”. That’s what they do with A330 MRTTs and that’s what i find logical for A320 MPA versions, particularly considering that Airbus military is headquartered in Madrid and that they are already producing MPA version of C295. This last part may vary depending on the actual equipment to be installed and other industrial considerations but i think that fits the two main partners and their smaller likely associate.
    C295 is to small + the industrial share for either France or Germany wouldn´t be that significant.
    A400 could be a contender but I think AIRBUS intention is to keep militarizing comercial airframes as in the long term it makes sense regarding economies of escale.

    P8? I don’t see the point since AIRBUS already produce the airframes and even MPAs, and have part of its business focused in militarization of comercial platforms, sure it could be a less riskier maneuvre but also was A330 in the KC-X tanker competition. In the end industrial considerations are a key part for these programs and from my point of view militarization of A320 is a pretty straight forward movement for Germany, France and probably also for Spain (in much lesser numbers though).

    in reply to: What will Germany replace The Tornado with? #2125985
    bandua
    Participant

    Rafale for the GAF? seriously?
    There are only three options in my view:
    – More typhoon. This option is cheaper, widens the gap for potential export orders, increases the credibility of the typhoon as an Air to the ground platform (though i don´t think there’s an actual need for that regarding true buyers after yemen, syria, brimstone, several redflags, taurus etc…) and last but no least is easier to sell to the taxpayers and their political representatives.
    – F35. This option guarantees for the GAF sharing a common platform with almost any country in the NATO (either F35 or typhoon), best stealth option available, first hand development of stealth associated doctrines, buying an aircraft that would be the core of western defences for decades (with its implications for actualizations, generation of new doctrines, introductión of new weopons…), arguably the best AG platform money can buy and last but no least it ensures you as an american friendly country.
    – Mixed buy of the previous. With mixed advantages.

    in reply to: Eurofighter Typhoon discussion and news 2015 #2127222
    bandua
    Participant

    I found it really hard to believe that for the original partners, getting new Eurofighters could be more expensive than any other option available. Still, any air force is willing to put its hands on F35s and any government is willing to buy the American seal of approval such buys imply.

    in reply to: It's early 1989 and you're flying in hostile airspace…. #2127225
    bandua
    Participant

    It’s somehow boring but I think that F-15 was the king at the time.
    su-27: not officially in service, hard to believe it was already mature enought to threat de F15s
    mig-29: with r-27 probably the biggest threat, still short-legs, weaker radar…
    mig-23: a threat in good hands but clearly inferior to f-15
    F-14: close but inferior in every aspect
    f-16: no way, not at the time
    Mirage2000: only in French forums
    Mig30/25: at least you would always have the chance to outpace anybody on your way back home. probably my second choice.

    in reply to: Rafale: 1 or 2 way data link ? #2169343
    bandua
    Participant

    One way AFAIK.

    in reply to: Russia moving tac air troops to Syria #2181956
    bandua
    Participant

    i’d like to know what escort types she got, and how many ?
    any slava around ?
    and is any tu-95 patrol a/c supporting her ?

    Pyotr Veliky (Kirov class), Severomorsk and Kulakov (both of the ASW specialized Udaloy class) that’s the main surface component of the scort fleet. Not sure whether that was your question though.

    in reply to: Russia moving tac air troops to Syria #2193379
    bandua
    Participant

    You do your best to undermine your credibility. To oppress your opposition is one thing to blame, but the continous indiscriminete bombing of the civilian population, children, women and elderly is a war-crime for all to see.

    As per definition any state involved in any war will commit war crimes. Assad won’t hesitate to attack populated areas but i don’t think it’s a gol in itself. They simply want to get ride of ISIS, Al-Qaeda and their likes ASAP and cannot afford the time and the risks of a house by house terrorist cleansing operation. one may doubt regarding terrorists strongholds where opposition has some decent people’s support but even then Assad and particularly Russia have nothing to win by targeting civilian they are more ruthless than evil and I don’t think that NATO will perform such operations in a different way. For sure they would be using more expensive guided bombs, but in the end you are bombing a block inside a city where terrorists and civilians are intermixed, and no matter how precise your bomb is you are going to get collaterals hit.

    in reply to: Russia moving tac air troops to Syria #2193404
    bandua
    Participant

    There is one way to solve this.. but you won’t like it.. an autocratic governing power forcing each sides to behave under very stringent oppressive rules.. which is exactly what Assad has been doing for years.. and what Egyptians are doing right now..

    http://edition.cnn.com/2014/03/24/world/africa/egypt-muslim-brotherhood-sentences/

    I see it exactly the same way, there’s not such thing as democracy in ME.

    in reply to: Russia moving tac air troops to Syria #2131246
    bandua
    Participant

    I think that the regime would be extremely happy to see all the civilians left in East Aleppo (or any other Islamic controlled territories) but let’s face it, the “Rebels” can’t allow it. It’s like a massive kidnapping, and well, Assad and Putin cannot afford to be blackmailed. The whole Syrian situation is getting very complex, I don’t think that anybody is ready to step back.
    Saudies and Gulfs know that any solution with Assad staying in charge might blowback on them, first because Assad is not likely to forgive. But also becouse Nusra, ISIS, etc.. will probably retaliate in case their supporters abdandom them to Iran, Russia an Assad. Iran and Assad cannot do anything but to respond to an aggresion on their interests. USA might have a chance to step back without “looking weak” but needs a new administration to do so. I think it’s a mistake but for the west is prefering to support Al-qaeda or ISIS than Assad or Putin. Not saying that they like terrorists, but that’s their choice for Syria. The thing is that they can´t press further unless wanting to force the ruskies to WW3.

    in reply to: Eurofighter Typhoon discussion and news 2015 #2133548
    bandua
    Participant

    the 11.5 tn might refer to the two seats configuration. Regarding speed I believe that 20 or 30 years ago they would state something like 2.2-2.4 maybe even 2.5, but nowadays it doesn´t make much sense. the RAF 1.8 figure probably refers to very specific RAF configuration for peace time to reduce airframe and engines fatigue. Most sources states 2+ which basically means it has power to fly at a speed in excess of mach 2 but its not recommended to surpass such speed as doing so would be very demanding for the airframe (composite materials and speed…), I think that mig25/31 was similarly limited to 2.8 and even F22 is probably limited to 2.2-2.4 to preserve its RAM coatings…

    in reply to: Russia moving tac air troops to Syria #2133577
    bandua
    Participant

    Syria is a really complex matter, but from my perspective there’s no gain for either SAAF or RuAF in attacking a UN convoy. In addition, the timing is just too convenient for me to believe that it was actually attacked by the loyalist forces. I mean Assad and Putin may not deserve the peace nobel price, but attacking UN convoy is just plain silly, none of the two looks like a fool to me.
    It looks like an attack intended at diverting attention from the bombing on SAA positions in Deir Ez Zor, in fact it served that purpouse by shifting the center of concerns at the UN summit. But it would have been silly by the USAAF to strike from the air, I believe some proxies on the ground did the actual job.

    in reply to: Military Aviation News #2137935
    bandua
    Participant

    Russia could ground UK’s F-35s by killing all 40 pilots – General’s memo

    It’s quite usual to see pics of fighter pilots censored to avoid such actions (I am thinking on several pics of Algerian Flanker pilots). In fact I believe that the British had asked France for information about Argentinian Etendard pilots in the context of the Falklands war in order to carry out a similar mission. Hybrid war…

Viewing 15 posts - 16 through 30 (of 53 total)