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Satorian

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Viewing 15 posts - 121 through 135 (of 690 total)
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  • Satorian
    Participant

    What do you think the US DOD (not LM, it is the DOD which sets export prices) quoting a F-35A flyaway cost of $58.7 million (FY2008 dollars) for partner nations is?

    I would call that an invitatio ad offerendum, not a legally binding proposal itself. I think it’d be a bit much to assume that with this quote the US government would cover all cost beyond this price point.

    Satorian
    Participant

    Somewhere, it all has to halt. It has to start with cancelling the MRCA and then the PAK-FA.

    And somehow all the catching-up has to start. And it’ll only halt with canceling the MRCA and then the PAK-FA.

    Considering the issues and problems of getting the Tejas finished and into service, do you really consider it feasible to run a completely indigenous fifth gen project? Where’s all the knowledge, technology and expertise supposed to come from?

    in reply to: Military Aviation News from around the world – II #2452116
    Satorian
    Participant

    http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/0,1518,628926,00.html

    • Problems with latest delivery of four Eurofighters
    • Computer screens sometimes stop working mid-flight
    • Planes are not grounded, but only flown by day and by experienced old hands or instructors who can bring them back without (instrument) screens
    • GAF hopes to have issues rectified with a software update, prolonged downtime might result
    • Price per plane quoted is €85m

    The price quote should be UPC.

    in reply to: Is this a real or fake news?? #2452273
    Satorian
    Participant

    This belongs to radio host and white supremacist Hal Turner. Just a few days ago he’s been arrested for calling for murder of select politicians.

    And those commenters, strongly assuming they weren’t being ironic considering his audience, would fail the Turing test and the Voight-Kampff test (which usually also applies to 70% of Youtube commenters).

    in reply to: Sentor Inoye wants to sell export F-22 to Japan #2454061
    Satorian
    Participant

    Really, the downgrade would likely be just as much for Japanese Political Consumption. Than appeasing the US……

    And my point in the post you quoted was that Japan should stop this masquerade, because it makes no sense, and go with fully capable weapon systems. Three or four squadrons of F-22s should suit them well.

    in reply to: Could/Would GE/RR self-fund the F136? #2454106
    Satorian
    Participant

    It seems you are ignoring the program cost increases, the 2009 price is quite clear from the information given, which has nothing to do with then year dollars. Indeed I imagine the costs forecast is very much on the conservative side.

    Well, 2009 is very early LRIP, so that’s not really representative on its own.

    in reply to: Could/Would GE/RR self-fund the F136? #2458002
    Satorian
    Participant

    Nice try, but.

    They are not “official program of record numbers”. They are GAO estimates (the GAO’s estimates for weapons systems cost are almost always higher than DOD/manufacturer estimates).

    “Official program of record numbers” is a direct quote from the GAO report. The numbers come from the DoD Selected Acquisitions Report from December 2007, not GAO.

    They are not in 2007 USD, they are in then-year dollars extrapolated to the end of the current planned procurement program. And I guarantee that those being procured beyond 2030 are bringing that average up quite a bit as in theory the constant dollar cost should level off somewhere in 2014-2016 but you can bet that inflation will continue to rise (or at least you should know that the estimates are based on a constant average rate of inflation).

    For example, 2009 USAF budget documents put (again then-year dollars) the average flyaway cost for its 1763 F-35A at $83.131 million. Take a wild guess what the price in 2015 or 2020 must be if the average with procurement going through 2035 is “just” $83.131 million. Here is a hint…The quoted to partner nations & publicly announced in Apr 2008 flyaway price of the F-35A as $58.7 million in FY2008 dollars falls right in line with these numbers. More specifically a constant average inflation rate of 3% makes $58.7 million in FY2008 dollars to be ~$70.1 million in FY2014 (~$130.3 million in FY2035 dollars) & a constant average inflation rate of 4% makes $58.7 million in FY2008 dollars to be ~$74.3 million in FY2014 (~$169.3 million in FY2035 dollars)…

    Of course the F-35B & F-35C are going to be somewhat more expensive than the F-35A but the US plans to only procure 680 of them (combined) vs 1763 F-35A.

    Do you perhaps know which kind of inflation model is at the base of the then-year dollar calculation? It seems kind of odd to extend such a projection that far into the future.

    Oh, and just for my own reference: Do you know where I can look up the price quote as delivered to the partner nations in April 2008?

    in reply to: Sentor Inoye wants to sell export F-22 to Japan #2458133
    Satorian
    Participant

    We had 8 years of dumb people trying to sound smart in the Bush administration saying all sorts of nonsense and people shook their heads and agreed. I wouldn’t put too much credibility into the claims that an export version of the F-22 is not plausible. Its all about granularity. Today a lot of the granularity in capability comes from the software and has less and less to do with the hardware. In many ways you more or less dumb down the granularity of its software and you suddenly have an export model.

    And we already know that the F-22 suddenly gained air to ground capability when they integrated in the F-35’s software. So we know from that the radar can be handicapped to not include air to ground advantages by simply not using that software update. It more or less boils down to how much can we allow the Japanese to know about the true capabilities of their hardware.

    To be honest, I don’t know why they should even downgrade any of the capabilities not covered by US export restrictions rather than Japanese SDF ideology. I always thought that the distinction into offensive and defensive capabilities was rather vague and mostly nonsensical. A knife is neither an offensive nor a defensive weapon inherently. It just depends on how you use it. Same for any fighter jet, bomb, missile or projectile.

    in reply to: Gripen NG beats SU-35 in a2a #2459649
    Satorian
    Participant

    1.6 to 1 means 16 Flankers lost for every 10 Gripen lost. Nilsson says the JSF gets the opposite ratio: looses 16 JSF for every 10 Flankers shot down.

    Think about it, no way do 6 JSFs get shot down to kill a single Flanker, no matter how badly it gets beat up on this forum.

    Very good point. 1.6:1 it probably is then.

    in reply to: Sentor Inoye wants to sell export F-22 to Japan #2459915
    Satorian
    Participant

    Funny, how you left out the rest of my quote……..:rolleyes:

    It doesn’t change anything about the way you changed your mind.

    First you said that non-stealth fighters were useless and then you went on to explain why sometimes they aren’t. Please explain in detail how I misrepresented you by leaving out a part of your post in my quote and how the part not quoted changes anything to the contrary about that part I quoted.

    in reply to: Gripen NG beats SU-35 in a2a #2460059
    Satorian
    Participant

    “1:6 to 1”

    I’m not sure what’s that supposed to mean.

    1 to 6?
    1.6 to 1?
    0.166 to 1?

    in reply to: Sentor Inoye wants to sell export F-22 to Japan #2460851
    Satorian
    Participant

    No, Stealth………..(i.e. Useless)

    So what you’re saying is, all other “non-stealth” aeroplanes are “useless”?

    No

    Totally makes sense.

    Satorian
    Participant

    List of Valid Constructive arguments :
    1)smileys
    2)dots…
    3)marketing slogans

    source wiki.

    You should not forget. To, place your punctuation oddly……..!!!! Or “place” perfectly normal words used without second meaning in “quotation marks”……. :eek::eek::rolleyes: :diablo:

    And give a thumbs down to the post you quote……… :eek::eek:

    With all do respect……….!!!!! 😎

    in reply to: Could/Would GE/RR self-fund the F136? #2470982
    Satorian
    Participant

    By the GAO……………..Funny, they don’t match Lockheed Martins, other JSF Members, or even the DOD? How is that possible……..

    They don’t match the DoD? Those are DoD numbers from the Defense Department’s quarterly Selected Acquisition Report of December 25, 2007 for the full program in then-year USD.

    Funny indeed.

    in reply to: Could/Would GE/RR self-fund the F136? #2470989
    Satorian
    Participant

    They are out of context as the first few years are hardly representative of average cost of the F-35. Nor, any aircraft for that matter………Why do you think the DOD Numbers continue to drop each year! Yet, they stop at 2013 before production reaches full speed…………..:mad:

    In Dec 2007 USD:
    Program unit cost: 122m
    Average procurement cost: 104m

    Those program of record numbers provided to congress, contained in my original post as well, are projections for the complete production, calculated as of December 2007 in 2007 USD. How are those out of context?

Viewing 15 posts - 121 through 135 (of 690 total)