The Swedish air force doesn’t think it needs Gripen F. It has Gripen D, but has publicly stated that the transition to Gripen E will not need a Gripen conversion trainer. It plans to go from a LIFT (probably M346, shared with several other European countries) straight to Gripen E. Brazil could lease some Gripen D, or Gripen B with updated cockpits, until it has enough Gripen F.
There. Question answered. If you’d tried thinking about the issue, & wondered why Sweden wasn’t bothering to develop a two-seat Gripen NG for itself, you could easily have answered your own question. But you are only interested in looking for reasons to dismiss Gripen NG. You’re arguing like a lawyer – and that is not a compliment. You’re looking for evidence to fit your case, not examining the evidence & drawing conclusions from it.
Firstly thanks for answering the first question.
However my biggest doubt has remained without any answer:
Among these 8 Gripen F that will be manufactured in Brazil has been included prototypes, or not?
The reason for that most simplest question:
I have seems peculiar is that so far I have not been reading anywhere about some prototype from Gripen F, since as it is a new fighter even has been a two-seat version of the Gripen E , still it will require a test program for the Gripen F.
In 2019 should be installed a production line in Brazil, and 15 aircraft would be manufactured untill 2024, then before 2019 would be none prototype from Gripen F ,even if the design process could be complete in 2019 anyway there will not be a production line to manufacture a prototype from Gripen F before 2019.
The test program from 4.5 generation fighter which had been designed since the first version of Gripen A / B with induced instability will not be tested and approved on a weekend, even the Gripen F already has been a two-seat from Gripen E that could be approved before 2019.
About all that I have read so far it will also taken the prototypes from those 8 Gripen F that will be built for the Brazil Air Force.
Indeed this assumption above has been seems strange from my humble point of view, once these 8 Gripen F has been described as production aircraft’s in the manufacturing schedule, but without any mention about some design schedule that would lead at the prototype phase of the Gripen F, after that should be manufactured/tested/approved the prototypes before then could be ready for production schedule.
However the problem in my humble point of view with this plan would be this: : if the development program from Gripen F delay the production line in Brazil will be halted until the development phase could be finished, since there are only 7 Gripen E that could be manufactured in Brazil according for the contract already planned between 2019 and 2024.
For those who has developed this plan should not be any reason for some delays or increased costs with the Gripen F , after all what could be wrong with: a new fighter as the Gripen F that will be designed by a new team, which will be manufactured in a new production line that still need to be installed in 2019, on a company that until now has never manufactured a supersonic fighter.
Can anyone see any possibility of cancellation of this production line in Brazil with only 15 Gripen NG scheduled so far?
Nobody here can, because your doubts are not about the Gripen per se, but rather about Brazil’s political will and defense policy. If you are that worried, you probably should find a Brazilian politician and tell him/her about your concern. It’s not hard, their office contact info is usually public to allow people to easily find them and tell them about their concerns. It’s off-topic here, because this thread is about the Gripen. While we don’t mind getting occasionally side-tracked, I personally prefer if the thread stays on-topic in the main.
You might be shocked to receive this news, so take a long breath before reading this: the Gripen F is also Gripen NG , as the Gripen F is the two-seater version of the Gripen NG, indeed the Gripen NG is also called Gripen E in this single-seat version that was the first from Gripen NG.So I have presumed that I am in the correct thread to obtain the information about the Gripen F.
How are you so sure that none here has been capable to give me the information that I am asking about the development of the Gripen F?
It seems to me that who has been seeing politicians from Brazil in my doubts it is you. Are you sure that it is you that has been concerned about politicians from Brazil?
I hope you do not see me like some kind of Don Quixote of Cervantes that saw those windmills as monsters.
Below my doubts about the Gripen F:
Maybe someone could clarify my doubts, since Brazil will start the production of 15 Gripen NG in 2019, so the tests program with the Gripen F( two seat Gripen NG) could only start in 2019 if its true that only Brazil will design and manufacture the Gripen F.
Anyway the 21 Gripen NG that would be supplied by Sweden to Brazil will be the single-seat versions of the Gripen NG, and therefore there will be none two-seat version of the Gripen NG( Gripen F) to train new pilots until maybe 2020, so by this date will be the JAS 39 Gripen D the aircraft training for the Gripen NG?
However my biggest doubt in this matter is that there will be none prototype of the Gripen F before 2019 since it will be built in Brazil only 15 aircraft from the production batch for Brazil Air Force?
Note: I’m still waiting if some good soul will clarify my doubts about the Gripen F.
i think Brazil will pay for redundancy and indigenous solutions, developing their industrial & research skill for self sufficiency,
plus the fact that Argentina is a close neighbor/ally
You’re right about the possibility that Brazil could making several changes to enable the sale of Gripen NG to Argentina, but those supposed changes would be easily canceled by a detail that so far I do not recall that anyone has mentioned here that is: Intellectual Property.
Saab owns the Gripen NG project, and because this detail any change in the design or subsystem (engine, avionics as i.e) would require that SAAB has approved the change of the same, once it no matter where or who has been working in the Gripen NG project as the final license belongs to SAAB.
So if Saab does not approve the change, in fact it would not be possible for anyone to change even the supplier from a screw in the Gripen NG that could be to manufactured in Brazil.
Note: I’m still waiting if some good soul will clarify my doubts about the Gripen F.
Brazil has trainer versions of both AMX & F-5EM, & will buy two-seat Gripens. It doesn’t need to use up hours on the fighters for conversion training. It may need to spend more hours on conversion training because of the lack of a LIFT.
I think Tonnyc may be right, that you’re not really complaining about Gripen, but about Brazilian politics. As he says, all your criticisms would be equally true (& some of them more so) Brazil had ordered F-18E or Rafale.
Maybe someone could clarify my doubts, since Brazil will start the production of 15 Gripen NG in 2019, so the tests program with the Gripen F( two seat Gripen NG) could only start in 2019 if its true that only Brazil will design and manufacture the Gripen F.
Anyway the 21 Gripen NG that would be supplied by Sweden to Brazil will be the single-seat versions of the Gripen NG, and therefore there will be none two-seat version of the Gripen NG( Gripen F) to train new pilots until maybe 2020, so by this date will be the JAS 39 Gripen D the aircraft training for the Gripen NG?
However my biggest doubt in this matter is that there will be none prototype of the Gripen F before 2019 since it will be built in Brazil only 15 aircraft from the production batch for Brazil Air Force?
Brazil has trainer versions of both AMX & F-5EM, & will buy two-seat Gripens. It doesn’t need to use up hours on the fighters for conversion training. It may need to spend more hours on conversion training because of the lack of a LIFT.
I think Tonnyc may be right, that you’re not really complaining about Gripen, but about Brazilian politics. As he says, all your criticisms would be equally true (& some of them more so) if Brazil had ordered F-18E or Rafale.
The fact that has not been changing since the Gripen winner the competition are that 36 Gripen NG will be delivered for Brazil till 2024, and 15 of those Gripen NG will be assembled in Brazil from 2019 until 2024, resulting in an average of 3 fighters per year until this new production line could be shutdown in 2024 if new orders has not been confirmed at this time.
I have been realistic since I’m only commenting on what has already been established in the contract, and my doubt is the fact that if it is creating another production line for the Gripen NG to manufacture only 15 aircraft in five years does not increase the possibilities this fighter win others competitions, since they could be acquired directly from Sweden.
Otherwise this production line could generate a large cost in its operation with only 3 aircraft’s has been assembled per year as proposed in the contract, that could result in damages about the technology transfer process if this line in Brazil would be canceled even by the Government of Brazil in reason of this small unsuspected accounting detail of the 3 aircraft per year.
So far as I have commented in another posts are the the only viable options in my humble opinion for this production line in Brazil would be :
I think that I’m doing here is giving my opinion about some weaknesses from an extremely complex and important project as the Gripen NG has been meaning for a country like Brazil and Sweden .
Luckily for me I’m not a messenger in ancient Greece, as well as TonnyC and Swerve also got lucky not to be kings in ancient Greece, once in ancient Greece had been a tradition among the kings cut off the head of the messengers that brought bad news.
I wouldn’t be so sure about taking the Swiss decision as a benchmark Tonnyc, yes they have moved to using the PC-21 for BFT, AFT and finally LIFT but the school is rather out on it’s success. There have been rumbles from the Swiss Pilotenschule that pilots are arriving at the OCU unprepared for the performance jump. Leading to changes being needed in the OCU burning more hours on more expensive fighter airframes.
320kts to 360kts is a bit sedate for various training exercises and might not provide enough work load for the trainee to weed out the unsuitable for higher performing aircraft. Many a promising student who sailed through the AFT stage was washed out at LIFT because they couldn’t handle the workload of a low level 500 kts nav exercise. Dropping the jet based LIFT means that rather than finding this out at LIFT on a cheaper jet trainer this happens at the OCU costing time and money. If a pilot can’t handle the load at LIFT there is a chance to push them down the multi engine transport route or onto helicopters.
Congratulations in my humble opinion for your balanced explanation about some negatives points about the only turboprop trainers in the training process for new pilots before them could reach at the high performance fighters as the F/A 18 C/D.
The explanation in my opinion has not disqualified turboprops trainer as the PC 21 or Super Tucano, only has showed that it would be ideal to have small number of the advanced jet trainers that complement the turboprops trainers in the final phase of the training process, with the proposal to avoid that fighter as the two-seat F/A 18 D could accumulate many flying hours with high cost only to accomplish the conversion of the new pilot from a turboprop aircraft to a jet aircraft.
The fact are that every Air Force has been adopts the concept they think should best for their needs, in the case of the Brazil Air Force the decision about a new future advanced jet trainer to prepare new pilots for the Gripen NG still as possibility, but there has been some speculation on this subject what is very common especially when some country choosing a new fighter.
The schedule is wrong. According to the published dates, the last of the 36 Gripens will be delivered years before the AMX will be retired. The latest upgrade is supposed to give AMX another 20 years of life.
The 36 Gripens will replace the capability lost with the retirement of Mirage 2000 (though the capabilities added by the upgrade allows the F-5BR to do things that previously only the Mirages could), & partially replace the F-5BR.
There are a problem that has been little known ventilated during the competition for the 36 fighters in which it won the Gripen NG, once this problem was the definition of a new advanced training aircraft for the Brazil Air Force.
In this long competition of the 18 years the MB 326 and MB 329 had been removed from service, and now the Brazil Air Force does not has an advanced training aircraft to qualify the new pilots for the F 5EM or AMX, so those fighter could have been accumulating flying hours in reason of this too .
Thus in the next ten years the F 5EM and AMX will probably accumulate high number of flying hours in reason of the lack of an advanced training aircraft for the Gripen NG, which could result in the acceleration from end of the useful life of those F 5EM and AMX.
After all it seems a lot of procrastination about only mention that in future would be orders for the Gripen NG to replace the F 5EM and AMX as if there are a long time for this decision, indeed it had not even planned during competition, once this occurred with a defined number of 36 fighters.
When a country has commits 80% of its defense budget with the payment of its active and retired military personnel, the replacement of 110 legacy fighters for 36 new fighters could be described as: Downsizing.
For anyone who could be capable to find out the resources to purchase and operate a fleet of 100 Gripen NG in the budget from Brazil Air Force maybe would be indicated in the final list for the Noble Prize in Economics.
maurobaggio, you need to let go of this idea that Brazil will make 15 and only 15 Gripen NG. Reputable defense analysts everywhere predict that Brazil will need some 100 fast jet fighters in the medium term to replace the F-5 and AMX and restore the lost capability due to Mirage retirement. The winner of the FX-2 is expected to be that replacement. It turns out the winner is the Gripen NG.
You can argue that the Rafale or Super Hornet is more capable, and some people do make that argument. But the idea that Brazil intends to make only 15 jets domestically makes it hard for people to take you seriously.
The Brazil had almost been taken 18 years of the competition to select a new fighter , in this long time perhaps the single fact that did not change much was that new fighter should replace the: F 5E / F, AMX and Mirage 2000( before Mirage IIIE).
After those 18 years from competition has been established that the 36 new fighters as the Gripen NG will replace approximately 110 fighters and these are the: F 5EM, AMX and Mirage 2000( already retired).
So the emphasis has always been that the new fighter should replace the legacy fleet in a ratio of almost 1: 3, which according to the studies of Brazil Air Force would allow saving resources once it will operating a fleet with a single model as the winner Gripen NG instead of three legacy models( AMX, F 5E and Mirage 2000) , and in quantities smaller too. After all any resemblance to the studies that had been lead at the JSF Program from US are not casual.
Just as during the competition the Brazil Air Force established the finalists of the competition, and in the analysis of the Brazilian Air Force one Gripen NG has been pointed as capable as one Rafale F3 or one F / A 18 E / F. So in the final phase of the competition were 36 fighters that could be: Gripen NG, Rafale F3 or F/A 18 E/F
So far it will be 36 aircraft as the Gripen NG and nothing more at least 2024, just only to remember that the Gripen NG will begin to be paid from 2024.
In 18 years of competition were several times that had been canceled by three different presidents of Brazil that had claimed that fighters were not a priority for Brazil.
So if it took 18 years only to choose 36 fighters, in my humble opinion I think that possibility to raise this number to 100 aircraft it seems more like a dream than reality in terms of Brazil.
The only certainty in the schedule has been presented so far should be that the second production line that will be assembled in Brazil would manufacturer between 2019 to 2024 the total of 15 aircraft, which would result in an average of three aircraft per year.
I’m not saying this is impossible, after all even a production line can be profitable if it has no been delivering any aircraft, but it should be necessary that the customer will pay for the installation as well as the idle of this line due to lack of orders, after all even a production line stopped still generating costs.
As a saying that I heard many times that says: The path to hell has been paved with good intentions.
both gripen & EF is competitive agile as it is, to say the least, i really dont think either will receive TV,
especially gripen as you wouldnt want to add weight to it
The MiG 29 and Su 27 were very agile even in early versions from 80s as the JAS 39A Gripen, but still the new version from those Red fighters has been received the TVC engines as: Su 30MKI, Su 33UB, Su 35S and MiG 35 .
And the best part if I misunderstood your analysis about TVC engines should be that Russians has been able to convince many customers in adding this supposed ‘dead weight’ of the TVC engines, as well as the adding cost in those aircraft that has been selling around the World or will sell as the PAK FA. Besides the US had accepted this ‘dead weight’ from 3D TVC engines in the F 22 Raptor.
The only reason I have seen for the Gripen NG hasn’t been equipped with TVC engine even as option should be so far there are no available TVC engines in the West supplier chain from Gripen NG, since no one has funded the project must in reason of the cost hazard , once the F/A 18E/F has been using the same engine from the Gripen NG , however: F/A 18E/F, Rafale F3 and Typhoon has reached the Global market before that competitors as the Su 35S and MiG 35 with TVC engines .
For a country like Brazil which has been supposedly interested in the transfer of technology from Gripen NG that could be very interesting this alternative in my humble opinion , once the Brazil could be a partner in the developing process about a new version with TVC from the current engine from the Gripen NG , of course if the supplier will accept this task.
The Brazil could participate from this trial program of the Gripen NG with this new TVC engine , after all the TVC also decreasing the landing and takeoff distance, and as the Gripen has been designed from the start as a STOL fighter, the TVC would be an advantage even to improve this capability.
Maybe at the end of this supposed program could be possible to conclude at the end that Gripen NG would become so much agile with TVC engines that no human could be tolerate the high G accelerations, however in this case this whole R & D program could be used for the design of an UCAV in future.
There is no technological development without accepting risks, since innovation is put forward, however a lot of work should be necessary in all phases to accomplish this.
About to create a production line for only 15 aircraft may seem an innovation, but it is not rational since this would be viable if the production line in Sweden would be closed or unable to meet all possible orders after 2018.
In the opposite case the cost of producing in Brazil will be higher than in Sweden, since this production line will have to be paid off in ratio for the aircraft that would produced in this new facility in Brazil,and in this case I see the biggest threat in the next years about the rescission of this line by the Government of the Brazil.
And this notion of Gripen with TVC is obviously coming from mauriobaggio… He comes up with some far out ideas. Not real practical, but definitely long in imagination.
Unfortunately it did not come out of my head , indeed I wish to be capable
to accomplish something like this, however the honor of this belongs to Mr. Jan Gunnar Jorgensen:
“ Further Gripen upgrades under consideration by the air force ( but not yet contracted out) include or included passive search and track system ( SAAB Dynamics IR-OTIS, a Russian Style infra-red ball sensor mounted in front of the canopy); a helmet-mounted display from one of two competing sources: the Oden display from Celsius or a joint Ercisson Saab/Pikington proposal; a phased array radar( Ericsson active eletronically scanned antenna or AESA); a thrust-vectoring ( following a study involving Eurojet EJ200 engine) since cancelled due to lack for funding.”
Mr. Jan Gunnar Jorgensen; Combat Aircraft Vol 4 No. 2; SAAB JAS 39 Gripen, page 165, 2001.
In any way the matter about the JAS 39 Gripen in my humble opinion is very good.
Even the fact that had been described in this matter about the chances of the Gripen C / D could be acquired by Brazil were quite favorable in 2001, as indeed has happened after almost 13 year from the time of this matter that I have mentioned above.
Gripen and F/A-18 already have variable nozzles. I think you are thinking of thrust vectoring ?
You are completely right, and I keep making the same mistake despite all the years that has been passed, so I have fixed my wrong text and new text follows above:
Just I recall the Russians had been settled the Su 33KU in 2005 with TVC ( Thrust Vectoring Control) engines to improve the takeoffs and landings in the Admiral Kuznetsov Aircarrier, once the Su 33KU with two-seat are therefore heavier than the Su 33K .
Anyway Saab in the early 2000s had been proposed to develop a new version of the Gripen with TVC engines , and those should come from Typhoon, however those engines were canceled as the idea was abandoned for the Gripen, since this time in its supply chain anyone has not interested in developing such TVC engines for the Gripen.
As the Gripen NG and the F/A 18E/F Hornet as I recall has been using the same engine, would not this be an opportunity to develop to the Gripen NG and the F/A 18E/F Hornet themselves with TVC engines?
After all if the proposal Sea Gripen is real this would be an ideal candidate to use those TVC engines?
Using TVC was a proposal that was included in that India Navy briefing I put up: http://www.livefistdefence.com/2011/…n-navy-on.html
It has not been pursued to date, anyway TVC primarily aids take-offs on a STOBAR setup.
Meanwhile if as possibility in the future the Sea Gripen has been using TVC engines even aboard from Sao Paulo Aircarrier it allow greater freedom choice about the definition of the system ( STOBAR or CATOBAR) from supposed new Aircarrier from Brazil Navy that will eventually replace the São Paulo .
Such TVC engines from the supposed Sea Gripen and even the F/A 18 E/F could be option for other navies that may has been eventually using Aircarrier with STOBAR system, without any detriment from CATOBAR system option that has been using so far only in the US Navy and France Navy .
After all even if the F/A 18 E/F could be out from production line in the next years, still there are the possibility from upgrading the F/A 18 E/F from US as well as Australia, which would add to the supposed market from the Gripen NG, so with all the advantages from TVC engine maybe this is the occasion for it.
If Brazil has had the financial resources to create a second production line for only 15 aircraft in Embraer, so the task of financing the development of TVC engine for Gripen NG has been appeared easy for achieving so far, or would it not?
That’s my point, the cat will launch a 55,000lb Super Hornet at the same speed as a 55,000 lb E-2C (I know your thinking of the speed required to provide needed lift for TO, in Carrier ops, wind over deck and thrust of the aircraft also come into play). The Super can launch off a C-13-1 catapult that launches at max 80,000lbs at 140 knots, at MGTOW with only 19 kts of wind over the deck.
The shorter (C-13-3) of the CdG have a lower max launch weight (Supers have a MGTOW of 66,000 lbs), but with sufficient wind over deck, a Super could be launched with a GTOW below 60,000 lbs. Second the approach speed of a Super is lower than that of a standard Hornet. At anything below 42,000 lbs, it’s approach speed is lower than 140 knots. The E-2C actually has an approach speed below 90 knots, so there is no doubt the Super would require more force to stop, the question is: is it within the CdG’s arrestor gear abilities? Considering the gear was from the U.S., and the fact that the Halloweene claims they did land on the CdG during Operation Bois Belleau, I would say yes.
http://www.dod.mil/pubs/foi/logistics_material_readiness/acq_bud_fin/SARs/2012-sars/13-F-0884_SARs_as_of_Dec_2012/Navy/F-A-18E-F_December_2012_SAR.pdf
http://63.192.133.13/VMF-312/LSO.pdf
https://info.publicintelligence.net/F18-EF-200.pdf
Just I recall the Russians had been settled the Su 33KU in 2005 with variable nozzles engines to improve the takeoffs and landings in the Kuznetsov Aircarrier, once the Su 33KU with two-seat are therefore heavier than the Su 33K .
Anyway Saab in the early 2000s had been proposed to develop a new version of the Gripen with variable nozzles engines , and those should come from Typhoon, however those engines were canceled as the idea was abandoned for the Gripen, since this time in its supply chain anyone has not interested in developing such variable nozzles engines for the Gripen.
As the Gripen NG and the F/A 18E/F Hornet as I recall has been using the same engine, would not this be an opportunity to develop to the Gripen NG and the F/A 18E / F Hornet themselves with variable nozzles engines?
After all if the proposal Sea Gripen is real this would be an ideal candidate to use those variable nozzles engines?
There was never an official “announcement from winners” before the oficial announcement that SAAB won it, Lula almost provided one for Dassault, but the SU-35 and the F/A-18E/F “thingy” are entirely your imagination.
And yes, my original language is Portuguese, and i have been following closely the FX and FX2 “Novela”. If you dont believe me, ask Hammer, we have in this board someone who actually was part of the Sukhoi team who tried to sell the SU-35 in Brasil.
Thank you for compliment me about my imagination, since this was the first time.
There was a thread in the past about the possible victory of the F/A 18 E/F in the competition from Brazil, if you are interested to check this you will see that it had not been coming from my imagination about the F/A 18 Hornet or even the Su 35M in 2002:
Thread: Brazil closer to Boeing on Jets deal after Biden visit:
http://forum.keypublishing.com/showthread.php?124622-Brazil-closer-to-Boeing-on-jets-deal-after-Biden-visit
Maybe you can tell us about the story of the supposed Sea AMX and new Aircarrier in Brasil during the 80’s, once I also did not imagine it at all, and such mere resemblance to the supposed Sea Gripen is not coincidence.
Well you have to read between the lines when trying to figure the way the armed forces work in Brazil
This topic is about gripen so to not be drifting away i will be short
Brazil will get the gripen but before it was choose the miraga2000 was retired from service, ……this was not necessary at the time… but MAYBE just maybe if this was not done the FX whould still going on without a winner.
The same principle can be applyied to aquisition of the AC from france…. at the time the NAVY and the AIR force are figthing about WHO should be responsible for the AIR WING of the navy
Got the point?
regards
Rodrigo Monteiro
I got the point and hugged it in my words.
In 13 years of competition there were 04 announcements from winners:
2002: Su 35M
2009: Rafale M3
2012: F/A 18 E / F
2013: Gripen NG
With the detail that the Gripen had been participating for 13 years in this competition, with the Gripen C / D before the Gripen NG.
The leasing of the Mirage 2000 had been credited in 2005 as courtesy from France to Brazil until the last one could buy the Rafale M3, since France believed in this time as a certain its victory.
The current President of Brazil had announced the F/A 18 E/F as winner, however canceled this as the official visit for the President of the United States in 2013 due to the scandal that the NSA that had spied the same.
The Sea Gripen is just a proposal thrown to the winds, and to maintain in terms of Brazil, it would be neither originality, once in the decade of the 80 the Brazil also had announced it would develop a Sea AMX as one new air-carrier that would designed and built in Brazil, which in fact both has never occurred.
No money I assume.
No money I assume too.
Maybe the first generation from R 77 were not fully Soviets or after Russians, once during the 90s in reason of the economic crisis could have missed the high investment to manufacture all the necessary components in Russia for R 77, in particular the digital signal processing chip:
‘Russian seeker technology has advanced in strides since the early 1990s, largely as a result of the commodification of Gallium Arsenide monolithic chips and digital signal processing chips in the globalised world market. Agat, which manufactures the 9B-1101K semi-active radar seeker for the R-27EP/P, the 9B-1103K active seeker for the R-27EA/A, and the 9B-1348E seeker family for the R-77 missile family, publicly disclosed some years ago the use of the Texas Instruments TMS-320 series digital signal processing chip in a late model ‘digital’ variant of the 9B-1103K seeker. This chip is a mainstay of Western military radar design.’
http://www.ausairpower.net/APA-Rus-BVR-AAM.html
However even though there weren’t a lack of resources in that time, still the Russians could not have purchased this first generation from R 77 once that would be the US who had been mastered the technological secrets from R 77, and with this knowledge the R 77 could become ineffective against the ECM tactics from US and its allies.