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maurobaggio

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  • in reply to: SAAB Gripen and Gripen NG thread #4 #2180268
    maurobaggio
    Participant

    Transfer of TOT: SAAB does not own a lot of the technology used in Gripen, so cannot transfer it to Brazil. Does that mean that Brazil will not be able to design and build a fighter in the future? If that is the case, how come SAAB has managed to build Gripen?

    The Gripen E has been coming from a long list of fighters that has been designed and build in Sweden before this, as : JA 35 Draken, AJ/JA 37 Viggen and JAS 39 Gripen A/B/C/D.

    Because of those fighter the Sweden has been accumulated a lot of knowledge to design and build essential items from any modern fighters as ie: engines and radars.

    Regarding the Gripen E if the US could have been refused to provide its engine GE F414G, then Volvo Aero from Sweden would be able to produce its new version from RM12 for Gripen E , as well as if the UK could refused to supply the AESA radar Raven ES- 5, the Ericsson company from Sweden could develop an AESA radar for the Gripen E.

    As far I Know the Volvo Aero has been working with GE regarding turbine GE F414 since 2000, as well as the Ericsson company has been contracted from Selex to work with AESA Raven ES-5.

    In Brazil there are not any companies like Volvo Aero, as well as Ericsson.

    If the transfer of technology from Gripen E will be restricted only with Saab company, the best that Brazil could be capable about such new fighter will be designing the fuselage of this.

    Therefore Brazil will never be capable to develop and produce independently such future fighter , since this will only be possible if some other countries could develop and produce the engines, as well as its main items from avionics like the radar.

    Just to remember: the agreement of the 100% ToT it were between the Government of Sweden and the Government of Brazil as it had been mentioned during the competition. The Saab and Embraer are just two companies that could not elaborate such agreement without the Governments.

    http://www.defensenews.com/story/defense/2015/10/24/sweden-brazil-pursue-deeper-cooperation-47b-gripen-ng-deal/74415116/

    You say: ‘If the main systems from Gripen NG are not from Sweden, then its cost can not be calculated only in SEK…’ Do you think that a washing machine designer/manufacturer using a pump from Germany, a motor from Taiwan, glass from China for the door, nuts and bolts from India quotes a price broken down into 4 different currencies? No, the manufacturer quotes a price for the washing machine in 1 currency. Additionally, the manufacturer does not change the price every second because the value of the different currencies it pays for components varies every second.

    I have never been clever and capable to work or learn about washing machines, then in reason of this my limitation I can’t to compare washing machines with Gripen E.

    However I do not know if anyone who bought these washing machines could have included this following requirements as: 100% of ToT, it will be able to produce these at home and as well as such license to sale these for their neighbors.

    If you know any manufacturer from washing machines that will accept these conditions above, please share it here, and about any manufacturers of washing machines that it has been tacking almost 14 years to produce a prototype either.

    in reply to: SAAB Gripen and Gripen NG thread #4 #2180836
    maurobaggio
    Participant

    Mauro, the contract was signed in Swedish Kronor and at the time of signature was equivalent to USD 5.4 billion. In the following months the dollar gained value in comparison to both the Swedish and Brazilian currency. The only thing that changed was the exchange rate, the total value of the contract did not change. And you know that.

    Part 1/2

    There are several contradictions in this variation of the contract value, once when it has been challenges of the obligation to 100% of ToT ( Transfer of Technology) from Gripen NG to Brazil, this rate of 100% ToT could not be achieved since the main systems are not from Sweden.

    However when it has been questioned the contract with Brazil the Gripen NG has becomes 100% Swedish, without any foreing part of the others countries where the currency are not the SEK.

    If the main systems from Gripen NG are not from Sweden, then its cost can not be calculated only in SEK, however if this has been done it because that systems are from Sweden, so Brazil should have been access to 100% of technology of those systems.
    .
    After all there are important items that are not from Sweden as F414G engine and AESA radar Raven ES-5, among many others as can be seen in this post below:

    The good (Or bad thing, as some want to see it…) is that Saab can source parts from where the customer wants.

    Here a more up to date picture…

    [ATTACH=CONFIG]245047[/ATTACH]

    The important aspect is not what I should be know about it, but the fact that contract has been back to the original amount of the US$ 4.5 billions from 2009.

    In my humble opinion I think there are several contradiction in this, after all between 2009 to 2016 there are variations in the exchange rate every single day.

    in reply to: SAAB Gripen and Gripen NG thread #4 #2181190
    maurobaggio
    Participant

    What you seem to ignore is that Sweden needed a partner to cover the Gripen E development cost; Switzerland decided before Brazil and was therefore going to be that partner; now it’s Brazil instead. Being a “partner” has some advantages, however also one disadvantage, which is that one is expected to cover some R&D costs. Somewhat similar to what the F-35 partners are doing.

    In addition: I don’t think Saab uses the concept “LRIP” however it it seems clear that, just like for F-35 the first 100 or so Gripen E will be more expensive than the next 100. Thus one should expect future customers to pay a lower price than what Switzerland would have paid for those very-early productions units (just like those countries who bought into early F-35 LRIP units paid a much higher price than those that ordered later).

    This is a good explanation about the contract with Brazil had been raised to U$ 5.4 billion in the day of the signature. After all at one day before it had been quoted at $ 4.5 billion since 2009.

    However in the case of Brazil the contract were US$ 4.5 billions, it is possible to observe in Bloomberg source, however at contract was signing the value has been corrected to $ 5.4 billion since the same would be outdated at the 2009.

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-05-18/saab-loses-3-5-billion-jet-order-as-swiss-reject-gripen.html

    In fact I do not know if the value of the contract Brazil $ 5.4 billion has been already included the cost of from funding this.

    On the total value of the Switzerland contract that was voted in Switzerland: US $ 3.233 billion

    1.Comparative Table Brazil / Switzerland

    width: 500 class: grid align: center
    [tr]
    [td][/td]
    [td]Type[/td]
    [td]Number of Gripen NG[/td]
    [td]Amount of Contract (Billions)[/td]
    [td]Unit Cost (millions)[/td]
    [/tr]
    [tr]
    [td]Brazil[/td]
    [td]Gripen E/F[/td]
    [td]36[/td]
    [td]Us$ 5.4[/td]
    [td]US$ 150[/td]
    [/tr]
    [tr]
    [td]Switzerland[/td]
    [td]Gripen E[/td]
    [td]22[/td]
    [td]US$ 3.157 [/td]
    [td]US$ 143[/td]
    [/tr]

    By the same unit cost from Switzerland the Brazil would have enclosed in its contract:

    • a new production line that will be installed in Brazil
    • development of the new Gripen F in Brazil
    • financial resources to keep the production line in Brazil with rate of the 3 aircraft’s per year for five years

    If Brazil and Switzerland were partners in the development of the Gripen E, the big question should this: who got the injury of the departure from Switzerland with its US $ 3.233 billions, as well as the return of the contract to the value of $ 4.5 billions with Brazil after threats of investigations by the Justice of Brazil?

    So if indeed Brazil has been partner of the Gripen E program this could be such proof that perfect partner exist, since this will puts the money and it does not participate in the decisions of the Gripen E, and also leaving all the hard work for Sweden.

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2181205
    maurobaggio
    Participant

    According to the MoD’s letter to the company, the Gripen NG was found non-compliant with the IAF’s tender requirements on 51 counts, of which 43 relate to the critical Active Electronically Scanned Array (AESA) radar.

    http://ajaishukla.blogspot.nl/2011/05/rejected-mmrca-vendors-fight-to-return.html

    Since then has Saab/Selex made a lot of progress with the AESA. Perhaps one of the reasons why Saab think they may have a chance to return to India?

    I ask apologizes to everyone for coming back to this matter, however I was curious about the same as this would refer about the MMRCA program, despite this has been officially describe as dead, something tells me that still breathes.

    In fact it is quite strange that information, once Selex ES company has been working with the AESA Captor-E radar from Typhoon, as well as the radar AESA Raven ES-05 from Gripen E, and the latter has been described as the lighter version of the AESA Captor-E.

    So if disapproval of the Gripen Demo(NG) had occurred in reason of the issues from the development of radar Raven ES-05, probably the same disapprovals could have been happened with the Captor E from the Typhoon.

    However Typhoon has been chosen of the short list with the Rafale F3 while the Gripen NG were dropped among others.

    Just as curiosity I’ve never been reading about trials that could have been conducted by Brazil Air Force with competitors of the F/X 2 program(F/A 18E/F, Rafale F3 and Gripen NG), it seems the competition that took place in Brazil were only about who among the competitors made more promises in piles of papers, totaling more than 36,000 pages.

    in reply to: SAAB Gripen and Gripen NG thread #4 #2181759
    maurobaggio
    Participant

    The low overhead by opening one additional Gripen line in Brazil seems to indicate this view is much too simplistic. One of the main selling points of the Gripen are low costs; that means not just low operating costs but also low costs in assembling it. Perhaps the Gripen “ikea” cartoons are not so far off! πŸ™‚

    Again, check how much (or little) Brazil pays for:

    assembly line
    Tot
    Full Gripen package including 36 Gripen

    If you also take into consideration that Brazil has to cover significant part of the R&D costs of Gripen E/F, perhaps you start to realize that this is indeed a low-cost option!

    The Gripen F does not exist even as draft, so there is no way to assume the cost of it, as well the contract with Switzerland has been show the cost of the Gripen E/F in Brazil are not fully detailed so far.

    1.Comparative Table Brazil / Switzerland

    width: 500 class: grid align: center
    [tr]
    [td][/td]
    [td]Type[/td]
    [td]Number of Gripen NG[/td]
    [td]Amount of Contract (Billions)[/td]
    [td]Unit Cost (millions)[/td]
    [/tr]
    [tr]
    [td]Brazil[/td]
    [td]Gripen E/F[/td]
    [td]36[/td]
    [td]Us$ 4.5[/td]
    [td]US$ 125[/td]
    [/tr]
    [tr]
    [td]Switzerland[/td]
    [td]Gripen E[/td]
    [td]22[/td]
    [td]US$ 3.233 [/td]
    [td]US$ 147[/td]
    [/tr]

    By the less of the unit cost from Switzerland the Brazil would have enclosed in its contract:

    • a new production line that will be installed in Brazil
    • development of the new Gripen F in Brazil
    • financial resources to keep the production line in Brazil with rate of the 3 aircraft’s per year for five years

    Automated assembly does not necessarily mean that moving the SH line will be “cheap”; I clearly recall Americans expressing doubt as to whether India had the necessary competence to operate such a sophisticated assembly line. Training is not cheap.

    The US as well as other countries from West has shown great concern about industrial processes that could have been transferred to India, once it may be used in other aircraft such as the FGFA and specially in the PAK FA from Russia.

    By the way such automated process can increase productivity and could reduced costs, as well as it could be be very efficient with purpose of the increasing of the quality parameters of the new projects.

    However in my humble opinion the India had been chosen the Typhoon and the Rafale F3 in the short list of MMRCA program in reason of the both fighters has been using industrial processes highly advanced that could quite useful in the future programs from India.

    Training is not cheap because it always has been implies such level of the transfer of technology, and in this case there are always obstacles in both sides , specially by who owns the knowledge of technology and they are not very happy to transfers the same, then the obstacles has been arisen to change the process.

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2181782
    maurobaggio
    Participant

    http://ajaishukla.blogspot.nl/2011/05/rejected-mmrca-vendors-fight-to-return.html

    Since then has Saab/Selex made a lot of progress with the AESA. Perhaps one of the reasons why Saab think they may have a chance to return to India?

    In fact the Gripen E has never been tested in India during the competition MMRCA since the first prototype of the Gripen E will fly only in 2016.

    The Gripen Demo had been shown to India or even for any other countries is not the Gripen E, once the Gripen Demo has been modified from legacy Gripen D in order to trial the concept of the Gripen E.

    Even such prototype to a production fighter can bring several modifications at this last phase of the development, however from the point of view from Engineering some converted aircraft with the propose to test concepts should not be confused with a prototype, once only the prototype has been designed to meet the full requirements of a new project.

    in reply to: SAAB Gripen and Gripen NG thread #4 #2183264
    maurobaggio
    Participant

    This isn’t for FBW in particular.
    Two is the idea that Brazil is getting the F414 technology. A few individuals insist that Saab swindled Brazil by promising Brazil things that Saab can’t possibly accomplish, such as giving Brazil F414 technology. This is delusional. .

    The agreement of 100% ToT ( Transfer of Tecnology) of the Gripen E has been carried out between the Government of Sweden and the Government of Brazil.

    Indeed Saab is only one company as well as the Embraer. Just to inform : Saab can not sell the Gripen without the Government of Sweden has given the authorization for it, much less about any minors technology transfer of the Gripen with any nation without the Government of Sweden has been approval this agreement.

    The agreement comes with a strong technology commitment from Sweden to transfer “everything” that Brazil will need to develop its own next-generation military jets.

    http://www.defensenews.com/story/defense/2015/10/24/sweden-brazil-pursue-deeper-cooperation-47b-gripen-ng-deal/74415116/

    The Saab has never been participated in the production of the F414 from F/A 18E/F or Gripen E as weel the F404 from Gripen C/D , once in Sweden the Volvo company has been directly involved in the development of GE F414 engines as well as in the production of the GE F404.

    The curious fact should be that Volvo had never been offered to the Government of Brazil the opportunity to equip the Gripen NG from Brazil with its development from RM12 engine. it were developing by Volvo for the Gripen NG . This development of the RM12 were canceled after the Government of Sweden has been chosen the F414 from Gripen NG. However this could have been easily explained in function those :

    January 19, 2000
    EVENDALE, OHIO – GE Aircraft Engines (GEAE) and Volvo Aero Corporation of Sweden have reached a long-term agreement under which Volvo will manufacture designated components for GEAE’s F414-GE-400 fighter engine.
    The F414 powers the U.S. Navy’s F/A-18E/F Super Hornet, mainstay of the Navy’s aircraft carrier fleet into the 21st century. GEAE is currently on contract to build 176 F414 engines, but production is anticipated to exceed 2,000 engines over the next 20 to 30 years.
    http://www.geaviation.com/press/military/military_20000119.html

    May 30, 2008
    Volvo Aero has joined with GE to support this development program and the flight and demonstration testing that will continue beyond 2010. Cooperative relationships with both Volvo Aero and airframe manufacturer Saab have led to this milestone and will continue through the Gripen Demonstrator Program and beyond.

    http://www.geaviation.com/press/military/military_20080530.html

    I’m really confused about your post.

    This isn’t for FBW in particular.
    Two is the idea that Brazil is getting the F414 technology. A few individuals insist that Saab swindled Brazil by promising Brazil things that Saab can’t possibly accomplish, such as giving Brazil F414 technology. This is delusional.

    Brazil and Saab will proceed with what’s in the contract, not with what’s on their delusional minds.
    .

    This part of your post about ‘delusional’ it has not been directed to the FBW, right?
    In my humble opinion I think is not, since for all the posts I could remember that I have been reading from FBW his seems quite consistent as well as better informed about its issues.

    I really hope that you do not think about your post it has been delusional either, since it would be quite embarrassing for me…

    in reply to: SAAB Gripen and Gripen NG thread #4 #2183929
    maurobaggio
    Participant

    Maurobaggio, in your last link:

    There you have it…

    I’m not sure about that…

    In my humble opinion if some country has been considering to develop and produce a modern fighter, it has been necessary full knowledge about the technology of this engine, at least India has been request this in relation to F414 engine:

    β€œThe US manufacturer has won a deal to supply 99 F414-INS6 turbofans for the Tejas MkII, following a selection decision by India’s Aeronautical Development Agency.
    “GE Aviation will supply the initial batch of engines and the rest will be manufactured in India under a transfer of technology arrangement,” says GE India chief executive John Flannery in a 1 October statement.”

    https://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/india-picks-ges-f414-for-tejas-mkii-fighter-348059/

    Apparently it has no been necessary to sign a contract to purchase the Gripen E with a requirement of 100% of ToT to obtain access of technologies from Saab:

    A top Saab official told Business Standard on the condition of anonymity: “If we are approached by the government of India, Saab would be happy to partner the Defence R&D Organisation (DRDO),

    Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd (HAL) or an Indian private company in not just manufacturing fighters in India, but in developing real capabilities for building a single-engine fighter for the IAF.”

    In 2012, DRDO chief VK Saraswat had sent Saab a “Request for Information”, followed in January 2013 with a “Request for Proposal” inviting Saab to jointly audit the Tejas design with DRDO.

    http://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/for-building-light-fighters-in-india-saab-officials-want-government-to-government-deal-115041800799_1.html

    However, the following text should be emblematic:

    The agreement comes with a strong technology commitment from Sweden to transfer “everything” that Brazil will need to develop its own next-generation military jets.

    http://www.defensenews.com/story/defense/2015/10/24/sweden-brazil-pursue-deeper-cooperation-47b-gripen-ng-deal/74415116/

    By placing quotes around the word β€œeverything” in the text from article above , indeed this grammar option could give several meaning for it, as well as the ironic sense at the word of β€œeverything”, once for the author could not longer means everything as his wrote, so that β€œeverything” could have been meaning like something or even nothing important…

    in reply to: SAAB Gripen and Gripen NG thread #4 #2184758
    maurobaggio
    Participant

    The TOT conditions were negotiated between the Brasilian and the Swedish government and no, in the contract there’s no clause to send the blue prints of things like the engine to Sao Paulo. Just to have an idea if Boeing had won, the 36 airframes would have been entirely built in Saint Louis.
    Volvo does not manufacture the F414 in Sweden, that engine is built in the States, it produced the RM12, a variant of the F404, that equips the Gripen A/B/C/D. Volvo proposed an upgraded RM12 to SAAB to equip the “E”, it lost to the F414 (costs). There are several bits and bobs in the Gripen that the Swedish government doesn’t have the IP rights, MIDS-LVT comes to mind (albeit for the Brasilian scenario that particular piece of hardware is entirely irrelevant ).

    In fact there are many possibilities only about Volvo transfer technology from GE F414G to Brazil:

    January 19, 2000
    EVENDALE, OHIO – GE Aircraft Engines (GEAE) and Volvo Aero Corporation of Sweden have reached a long-term agreement under which Volvo will manufacture designated components for GEAE’s F414-GE-400 fighter engine.
    The F414 powers the U.S. Navy’s F/A-18E/F Super Hornet, mainstay of the Navy’s aircraft carrier fleet into the 21st century. GEAE is currently on contract to build 176 F414 engines, but production is anticipated to exceed 2,000 engines over the next 20 to 30 years.

    http://www.geaviation.com/press/military/military_20000119.html

    May 30, 2008
    Volvo Aero has joined with GE to support this development program and the flight and demonstration testing that will continue beyond 2010. Cooperative relationships with both Volvo Aero and airframe manufacturer Saab have led to this milestone and will continue through the Gripen Demonstrator Program and beyond.

    http://www.geaviation.com/press/military/military_20080530.html

    The condition of 100% ToT of the Gripen NG it has been accept by the Government of Sweden, and it are not only responsibility of the Saab company.

    Only to remember how it has been important the agreement with Brazil about the Gripen NG to the Government of Sweden:
    http://www.defensenews.com/story/defense/2015/10/24/sweden-brazil-pursue-deeper-cooperation-47b-gripen-ng-deal/74415116/

    in reply to: SAAB Gripen and Gripen NG thread #4 #2185309
    maurobaggio
    Participant

    maurobaggio, you misinterpret “100% of ToT”!

    Saab hasn’t promised ToT of every nut and bolt in the aircraft as you seems to believe, you wont find that in those 36000 pages, they have promised 100% ToT of their technological knowledge to design and manufacture a modern fighter jet ie system integration ala Saab etc. so that Brazil in the future can build one themselves.

    Saab own, has has been said in this thread, all the key technologies; radar source codes, EW(With in house Gallium nitride transistors (GaN)).

    Regards

    Thanks for the explanation, and in my humble opinion you could be correct with regard from Saab, however there are at least an important detail that you have been missed so far, the agreement has not been only between Saab and Embraer, but between the Government of Sweden and the Government of Brazil.

    The agreement with Gripen NG are not between two companies( Embraer and Saab), but between two governments, once it was the Government of Sweden that has been funding the contract, beyond this was not the Embraer who has bought the Gripen NG, but the Government of Brazil

    The Government of Sweden has had full access about all technological aspects of each single part of the Gripen NG , and it not just about the item that Saab has beem assembling or manufactoring so far. After all the Goverment of Sweden has been keeping only important suppliers from their allieds countries as ie:US and UK.

    However this does not necessarily meaning that Saab has been keeping all knowledge about the Gripen NG, just as example the Volvo company that it has beem manufactoring the F414 engine in Sweden too.

    Transfer of technology should not have been confused with manufacturing rights, as to develop and produce such modern fighter, then it has been necessary full knowledge in all aspects of operation and construction of each item, as well as engines and avionics.

    I don’t have any copies of these 36,000 pages that has been describing the entire process of the 100% of ToT in Brasil, however 100% of something like the Gripen NG in fact should be every single bolt and nut, as weel as its engine and avionics.

    In fact I guess that the same 100% ToT does not apply to weapons of the Gripen NG, even the software of those, since those weapons are not part of the aircraft, but every single part that has been assemblyng in the fighter, it should be part of the 100%.

    Unless 100% does not mean anymore 100%.If someone prove it, may be could be nominated to the Nobel Prize in Mathematics.

    in reply to: SAAB Gripen and Gripen NG thread #4 #2185555
    maurobaggio
    Participant

    I’ve always taken that to mean ‘full transfer of the technology we own’ – but as you say, that isn’t what a lot of people understand by it.

    There are in Brazil about 36,000 pages that has been describing in detail all the process 100% ToT( transfer of technology) those three competitors: F/A 18 E/F, Rafale F3 and Gripen NG.

    Maybe you can clarify that those 36,000 pages, once your analysis seems clever:’full transfer of the technology we own”.

    However I have a doubt about your analysis: has it been elaborated before or after the contract were signed with Brazil?

    I had always thought about that requirement of 100% ToT( transfer of technology) of the program F/X 2 from Brazil for only 36 fighters in 2005 were an unrealistic request, and it would not have been accepted by any competitor, however I was wrong, since it were accepted by three: USA (F/A 18E/F), France (Rafale F3) and Sweden (Gripen NG).

    Just Russia that seemed the most aggressive competitor, since it had offered the Su 35S as well as the MiG 35 did not accept this requirement of 100% ToT for 36 fighters. In the case of Russia 100% ToT only for a batch of at least 100 fighters.

    The Su 35S had been touted as the favorite for Brazil since his predecessor Su 35M were appointed in 2002 as the best evaluated by the Brazil Air Force of Brazil among the other competitors (Mirage 2000BR, Gripen C/D, F 16 C/D). However this competition was canceled in 2003 by the new President Lula of Brazil who had taken the office that same year.

    The main doubt could not be about the contract with the Gripen NG, but the whole process of competition from F/X 2, since it could have been created tough requirements by Government of Brazil only to exclude competitors, and for others competitors that were political convenient to Government of Brazil those tough requirements will be gradually abandoned after the end of the competition.

    Apparently the proposal from Eurojet Typhoon were not accepted by Brazil due to its high cost, however the most likely is that the European consortium has been formed for several countries did not accept the requirement of 100% ToT for only 36 Typhoons.

    Why Russia did not accept 100% ToT about 36 Su 35S?
    This could be the funny part, once Russia had been keeping a complication that none other competitors (USA, France, Sweden) it were thinking about : China.

    If Russia accepts 100% of ToT on 36 Su 35S in 2009 with Brazil as then it could say ‘no away’ to China on the same terms?

    The application of 100% ToT has not been an offer by competitors, but a requirement of the Government of Brazil. However if it is not implemented, there will always be the possibility of cancellation of the contract in any time.

    in reply to: SAAB Gripen and Gripen NG thread #4 #2185739
    maurobaggio
    Participant

    Brazil makes a lot of cars. Volkswagen do Brasil builds cars designed in Brazil – & has done so for decades.

    Some people don’t understand the difference between brands & where the work is done. There’s a Japanese-branded car largely designed in France, assembled in the Czech Republic from parts made in several countries, with a choice of a mainly Japanese-designed engine made in Poland or a French engine. What country is that car from?

    I did not know that Volkswagen has been a Brazilian company, I thought it were German.
    However what really matters about this issue are where those projects has been tested and approved for production.By the way: how many Brazil designs has been produced in the Germany by the Volkswagen ?

    The fact could be resumed that a project has been made in Brazil by a company like Volkswagen will only be approved after the same had been examined by the company’s headquarters ( Germany). if it were not necessary to change the design that could have been demanded by the headquarters, then its project will be approved and frozen by the headquarters.

    Even today problems in the production or manufacturing process in many cases can only be resolved by headquarters staff (technicians, engineers), since there are a lot of control over access to sensitive technology in those companies.

    The Embraer had been a state-owned company in Brazil until 1994, and it was privatized in 1994 due to a large financial debt in reason of the AMX program with Italy. In fact Embraer as state-owned company paid for the whole development of the AMX from Brazil side , and after this the Embraer had been donating 53 AMX for the the Brazil Air Force , once the Brazil Air Force had no budget to buy this.

    If in the decade of 80 Embraer were a private company, now in Brazil there would not be a single AMX in Brazil Air Force, as well as the Embraer would not have had technological conditions to develop its great commercial success as the EMB 145 in the 90’s. This were only possible in reason of technological advances from AMX program, besides the credibility that had been gave from AMX program in the international market from jet aircrafts.

    The Gripen E will not be equivalent as AMX for Brazil today, once the Gripen E project has been entirely developed in Sweden. For this reason I doubt the Gripen F will be fully developed in Brazil because this reason as well the short time to accomplish this task.

    The Brazil are perhaps the fifth largest market in the world for computer processors, however it has not been manufacturing just a single unity of this in Brazil, as well as aircraft engines today. It appears that the R&R Spey from AMX were assembled in Brazil by state-owned company called Celma in the late 80’s.

    If the promise from 100% ToT of the Gripen E will be required by Brazil, both the F414 technology should be transferred to Brazil, as well as radar technology from AESA radar of the Selex.

    However I guess that Embraer has not interested in this aspect of the contract, once it does not produce aircraft engines or AESA radars.

    So this is a rhetorical question: who will enforce this promise?

    My answer: anyone in the Government of Brazil , in reason of this simple fact that same has been nominated the Embraer as fully responsible for the 100% ToT from Gripen NG.

    in reply to: SAAB Gripen and Gripen NG thread #4 #2186139
    maurobaggio
    Participant

    So it seems things are progressing well with the Brazilian tech transfer and collaboration. A hint to India…?

    Google translated from: http://www.di.se/finansiell-information/telegram/?NewsId=69720cfa-a915-4960-bb01-2b42ae19e100

    With the political crisis in Brazil the agreement about 36 Gripen E / F has been seriously threatened to be revised or even canceled if the current president will be removed from office.

    In fact the agreement has been already under investigation, since there are many doubts, specially about the criteria for transfer of technology, once during the competition were established the criteria of 100% of ToT among all competitor from the short list: F/A 18E/F, Rafale and Gripen NG

    So far the technology transfer has been carried out only between two companies: the Saab and Embraer. However in the case of Brazil the Embraer has been a private company, either a multinational company, unlike India where the HAL has been an own state company.

    The Embraer does not produce engines or AESA radar, and I guess that great doubt in Brazil should be something like these: who will receive 100% of the ToT of the F414 engines from GE, as well as the active modules of the AESA radar from Selex just to point two main examples?

    Transfer of technology between companies has been quite different from transfer of technology between governments, and in the case of Brazil the Government of Brazil has been appointed without competition a private company and multinational to receive all technology that will be paid by the state.

    Thousands of Brazil’s engineers has been training every year in multinational companies from automotive segment, however so far there are not such Brazilian company that should be capable of producing automotive vehicles.

    The secret from this success recipe: compartmentalized technology.

    in reply to: RuAF News and development Thread part 15 #2189228
    maurobaggio
    Participant

    That’s pure fantasy.. Such version was never developed.. I could imagine Su-27KM having the hardware from Su-27SM (N001VEP) but hardly BARS or slotted array from Su-27KUB. Remember, no one will be putting too much money into the existing Su-27K airframes as they are quite worn already.

    Thanks for this compliment, but if this was fantasy, certainly it did not come from my mind.

    Briefly in 2005 the Russia had been negotiating with China a batch of 50 Su 33MK and maybe Su 33UB. The reason were to equip the unfinished Varyag aircraft carrier that had been purchased by China from Ukraine in 2001.

    Indeed the first and so far unique prototype of the Su 33UB has been modernized since 2005 by Russia with the introduction of Al 31FU engines with TVC, as well as the PESA radar Zhuk MFSE , in order to modernize this as well as serve to test for this new version Su 33M and its export version Su 33MK, however it has not been produced so far a single prototype from Su 33M or Su 33MK.

    However China had been canceled the acquisition of the Su 33MK, once it has been chosen to develop the J 15, which it could be described as version from Su 33. It appears that J 15 has been developed since 2001 through the acquisition of a prototype Su 27K which were left in Ukraine after the collapse from former Soviet Union.

    References:

    https://books.google.com.br/books?id=dccE7YOi-54C&pg=PA190&lpg=PA190&dq=su+33+china%27s+military+modernization&source=bl&ots=0j5gf2sIr5&sig=E57wsmS0YHVua7sSM0K25Br-jPA&hl=pt-BR&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwjU1siUjrXLAhVM2B4KHYgfBxkQ6AEIKDAB#v=onepage&q=su%2033%20china%27s%20military%20modernization&f=false

    http://www.milavia.net/aircraft/su-33/su-33.htm

    in reply to: RuAF News and development Thread part 15 #2189748
    maurobaggio
    Participant

    MiG-29K/KUB will be on the carrier, Su-33 will be ground based fighter to protect Kola peninsula and Arctic region. It will have sense to modernize them with N001VEP radar to give them anti-ship capabilities, which MiG-31BM doesn’t have. They both will protect the gate between Murmansk and Franz Joseph islands.

    As far I know about it issue, it seems to me that the Russian Navy has been acquired a batch of 20 Su 30SM to replace the Su 24M, however I guess that choice by Su 30SM has been a bit odd, once it could have three others alternatives from Su 30SM:

    • new batch from Su 33, and this could have included the engines and radars from Su 30SM or the Su 33UB. The main advantage would be that the Su 33M could be shipped in the Kuznetsov aircraft carrier and in air bases on the ground.
    • put into production the Su 33UB that are the twin seat version from Su 33. The Su 33UB could operate shipped in Kuznetsov aircraft carrier or air bases on the ground. Also the Su 33UB could have been used for training for the Su 33, and this option could save many flight hours with Su 33,since it would extend the useful life of those legacy Su 33.
    • the Su 34 to replace the Su 24M in the Russia Navy just it has been making the VVS.

    Perhaps the option for Su 30SM has been motivated by the higher cost from Su 33M and Su 33UB, as well as the Su 30SM has been better option in the Air-to-Air missions in Black Sea than the Su 34, once ​​the Su 34 has been dedicated for attack missions.

    However I guess the cost from Su 33M and Su 33UB would not be much higher than the Su 30SM, at least it will not so high to derail this supposed acquisitions from Su 33M or Su 33UB.

    In fact it has been always the intention of the Russian Navy will be equipped with Su 33 and MiG 29K. This plan were not implemented after the end of the Soviet Union due to severe lack of budget.

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