Do you have a better translation? The one I read was a horrible machine translation, and it doesnt have much on the topic apart from what I posted.
Anyways, no orders within the next few years (4?5?) would mean effectively the same thing, the F-16s remain the only truly advanced 4Gen fighter in the PAF arsenal. Based on previous practice, they are also likely to be carefully husbanded assets.
Hi Fedaykin, that’s necessity, but still doesn’t take away from the fact that maintaining these aircraft must be a severe challenge, especially as several of the parts must be getting very hard to source. The stores the PAF does have, would have to be carefully husbanded.
Especially for an aircraft the Pakistanis did not license manufacture, so lack original design documentation & tooling, the problems mount up.
Much the same reason, India retired its MiG-23s, bulk of its MiG-21s, and its handful of MiG-25s, plus its Canberra.
This despite the huge infrastructure & capabilities at HAL and even the IAF (http://www.bharat-rakshak.com/IAF/Today/Unit-Articles/336-11BRD.html).
Of the entire MiG fleet, only the MiG-27 (around 2 squadrons) and MiG-29s remain, and the former will also be retired around 2020, per my estimates.
To whit, a PAF Chief ( Rao Qamar Suleiman) also mentioned that the Mirages were his biggest challenge, as the spares were getting harder and harder to locate.
RQS’s quote from February 2011 to Aviation Week, regarding the Mirage fleet:”We are getting second hand parts, but we dont know the history of these spare parts we are getting. Its a flight safety issue and a nightmare for me.”
Another recent article also mentioned the Mirage fleet was increasingly challenged.
Reason i picked on the Mirages is also because the JF-17s are first replacing the F-7s, per Khalid Mahmood, JF-17 Deputy Project Director.
Vikas – thanks, but Khalid Mahmood says there are 2 squadrons at 18 aircraft each, and a third is being launched. Thats 36 airframes, are another 14 confirmed or are they LSP/trial ones?
Also, I ran across an article where a Chinese interviewer spoke to a PAF official around middle of last year, at an airshow, and it clearly mentions that the J-10 is not being procured and only the JF-17 is.
So, the PAF’s advanced fighter fleet seems to be the force of 60 odd F-16s.
I was going through the Flight Global numbers and just realized how the IAF has effectively revamped its force structure with upgrades and the Su-30 MKI to keep numbers up, even while retiring all its older MiGs.
My original post about Su-30 MKI numbers:
And on numbers produced so far:
• of 269 aircraft planned, 272 ordered, 3 crashed
http://hal-india.com/SU-30_MKI_Contract_24-12-12.aspDelivered
• 119 by HAL, 50 from Russia, delivered
• So thats 169 delivered, three crashed, so 166 Su-30 MKIs.
• At 18 aircraft per squadron, thats 9 squadrons worth, with 4 sparesOn Order
• Another 82 (ordered) from Russia with kits to be built up in India, percentage of indigenization at HAL unless IAF asks for majority built up, for quick assembly and induction. Plus 21 remaining from HALs order.
• That’s another 5 squadrons, with 13 aircraft spare
• Overall, 14 squadrons in future, with 17 aircraft spares (depute 3 to TACDE, keep rest as reserve, at central level). Or raise a last understrength squadron.So, IAF today, per Press Reports and weblinks:
• In Feb 2012, IAF had seven Sukhoi squadrons – 2 in Lohegaon in Pune (20, 30), 1 in Jodhpur (31), 2 in Bareilly (8, 24), and 1 each in Tezpur (2) and Chabua (102).
• It has aircraft worth 9 squadrons today.
• Of the two possible raisings, one probably went to Jodhpur and another to Halwara as that was the plan per IAF reports in press.
Corrosion pointed out:
http://forum.keypublishing.co.uk/showpost.php?p=1982114&postcount=680
You are definitely right about Halwara. This is 2013 sat photo from Google maps.
(c) Google
Sparsh says:
Teer,
With reserves, there are 20 aircraft per squadron and not 18. So 166 Su-30s would translate into 8 squadrons worth of aircraft and not 9. Indeed, there are 8 operational Su-30 squadrons: Nos. 2, 8, 20, 24, 30, 31, 102, and 220. Of the 6 remaining Su-30s, some would be with TACDE and the rest would be with the ninth squadron under raising. There will eventually be 13 Su-30 squadrons.
And now, lets look at this article from October 2012.
http://www.deccanherald.com/pages.php?id=283418
Browne said said 270 Su-30 aircraft would be acquired for 13 to 14 squadrons to be eventually raised.
Code-named Flying Lancers, the process to set up a new 15 Squadron in Punjab would be started in December and become operational by the middle of next year, he said.
“By the end of this year, in December and early next year, we will be inducting a new Su-30 squadron, based in Punjab. That will be the 10th squadron of Su-30s and the process will continue for at least six months – from January to June,” Browne said.
He said the IAF would deploy more Sukhoi squadrons in the eastern and southern sectors.
“We are raising three to four more squadrons of Sukhoi. Two extra squadrons are being raised in the eastern sector. So far, we have raised two squadrons there and two more are in the process,”he said.
“One more squadron will be based in Punjab and one will be in Thanjavur. Therefore, we will eventually have 13 to 14 squadrons of Sukhois,” he said.
So – my estimates were right on the dot!! Nine operational squadrons of the MKI as of today!! And one is being raised right now in the Punjab.
So three more will be raised for sure, with 1 in Thanjavur (TN), 2 more in NE. 1 more may be likely per what the AC is hinting at, but given the 20/sq number, may remain at that level as well.
Its amazing what the MKI inductions have done, they have completely stabilized the falling numbers issue of the IAF & with an aircraft with far more capability.
In the process, they have replaced the MiG-23 BN (around 3 squadrons), the remaining squadron of the MiG-23 MF, some of the older MiG-21 squadrons, and even the older MiG-27s are retiring (with only 40 upgraded). The MiG-21s are all due to retire by 2018, by which time the LCA would have also started entering service in numbers plus the initial tranche of the Rafale would have also begun.
Basically, the IAF’s combat potential has actually increased, whereas its safety profile improved. The low flying MiG-23s had the worst attrition record, with the MiG-21s (by virtue of their overall proportion of the fleet) had the highest numbers.
Regarding the numbers even apart from the Su-30 MKI program, which should be done by 2015, after which an upgrade will start.
LCA: Two squadrons MK1 by 2017-18, with MK2 at a squadron per year, thereafter till 2022 (more orders are likely given the usual IAF practise)
And the MiG-29s upgrade should be done by 2015 (adding a year over the original 2014, just to be conservative).
DARIN-3 Jaguar upgrade to be complete by 2017-18, with new engines by 2023 as a second phase.
Mirage 2000 upgrade to be done by 2021. The very slow pace of this upgrade suggests either the rework is very comprehensive and hence slow, or also that the IAF deliberately staggered the upgrade to keep as many airframes operational as possible. The Mirage 2000s are now reckoned to have a very strong airframe and hence a long operational life.
Rafales should start coming in by 2015, if the deal is signed this year. Those will continue till 2022.
Thereafter, production will shift to the PAK-FA.
The IAF finally seems to have made its inductions lined up. As and when the MiG-29s and Mirage 2000s plus Jaguars retire, the T-50 should be around, plus the AMCA will be there to build up the numbers.
Possible indications of ‘Super 30’ cockpit upgrade on this Su-30SM (both Irkut projects). What appear to two side-by-side, large area displays in the front and three in the back:
Could be the IAF is going its own way using the LCA systems as well. MK2 is intended to have a brand new IMA based avionics setup with data fusion, plus a new frameless HUD. DARE has already mentioned that it will be providing these new IMA Mission Computers for the Su-30 MKI upgrade as well.
Plus, as mentioned in my post above, a Bars upgrade has been trialled quietly in 2012, with implementation this year.
Any idea from Russian sources about what the Su-30 SM BARS is at? In terms of hardware (TWT rating etc)? That should give us an idea.
PAF ORBAT per FlightGlobal
F7 142
F16 A/C 36
F16 B/D 27
jf-17 30 (120 on order)
Mirage 3 69 (Mirage 3EP/OF/RP)
2 seaters 18
Mirage 5 84 (Mirage 5EF/F/PA)
2 seaters 2
Special Mission
IL 78 4
Falcon 20 2
King Air 350 2
SAAB 2000 4 (now we know 3)
ZDK-03 1 (3 on order)
Are these numbers accurate or mistaken? The IAF entry for instance, understates the number of Su-30s by a significant amount & some of the entries are wrong.
If the above is correct, the PAF seems to be in a tough spot, the Mirages are the bulk of the fleet and are really old. The F-16s are too few to matter beyond a point and must be husbanded. The F-7s are primarily defensive, point defense units given range/avionics limitations. Basically, as the JF-17s come in, they’ll have to replace the oldest Mirages & the F-7s. Was surprised to see the number of active Mirages still soldiering on since by virtue of their age & operational requirements, the PAF has found it pretty hard to keep them running.
Su-30 MKI Upgrade – Part 2
NIIP released an interview at AeroIndia. Can’t seem to access the original links on Blogspot, so here is the summary.
RADAR
1. Latest upgrade of Bars completed in 2012, being implemented this year
2. Indian specialists have evaluated the Bars extensively over the years, also in test flights exceeded usual Russian standard flight tests, with upto 10 test flights per day.
3. A lot of feedback from “Indian specialists” (probably refers to both IAF & DRDO) over the Su-30 MKIs use in India etc, revolved around new approaches versus what NIIP was used to. Free scope to handle all sorts of targets, Russian, non Russian. A lot of data collected even on operation in EW environment. The Suggestions incorporated into latest version of radar
4. This is now the new standard and is also the standard for the latest 42 MKI ordered. Agreement signed, all relevant details agreed on. Whole IAF Su-30 MKI fleet to be modernized to this latest standard. Ryazan will do the bulk of the work on this with the work commencing within the next couple of months! First few of the 40 MKI to be upgraded by Russia, rest by India (HAL) with technology details furnished.
My note – clearly, this is NOT software alone, as Ryazan is the dedicated hardware manufacturer for the Bars. We are looking at an upgrade to the Bars here, both hardware and software.
5. Apart from this, a new dedicated training mode is being developed in a compressed timeframe based on an Indian requirement. There is no time to test and evaluate in Russia. The Indian side responded very promptly with their contribution, so NIIP could also do it in time (probable reference to RC-1/RC-2 changes?)
6. Current radar system (production radar) also in discussion to be further upgraded. This is the much discussed Stage 1 and Stage 2 modernization.
Stage 1: The complete PESA upgrade
Stage 2: AESA
7. At present, discussions are on with regards to PESA, Stage 1.
But NIIP has also offered the IAF the Stage 2 based on PAK-FA tech.
EW:
Su-30 MKIs are receiving the reworked R118 system with improved coverage. This is the Eagle Eye system. Six antenna’s instead of 4, as on the other aircraft which are getting the R118 tailored for the fact that the Su-30 MKIs front (With canards) requires a unique solution.
Some truth in that given the Indian Armed Forces (and the Indian public’s fascination) for the glitziest toys in the market…same reason why an Apple will sell in China as versus cheaper locally made phones …
But times are changing, with huge orders for domestic gear placed on local manufacturers.
What was the rationale for inviting foreign bidders in the first place if indigenous LUH is available for the role?
India is dual sourcing in a variety of projects. It uses imports for the interim while a local project gets ready for the rest.
There are several projects where this policy has been followed. Radars, EW, etc.
With some it has been successful. Others like the LUH, not really.
With the LUH, fiasco or not, the reality is that the conditions required by the Indian Armed forces are often stringent and not available via an off the shelf buy.
For instance, the reason the current LUH is being cancelled is because neither Eurocopter or Kamov met all the requirements and an Indian Army General went on record with his objections. Among them, that wounded troops could not be accomodated in the chopper without them having to twist their bodies etc.
Basically the ad hoc modifications proposed by the vendors were not suitable.
The real winner then is HAL, because it now gets more time to make its helicopter ready and to local specs.
Foreigners look at the increasing number of murderers, rapists & robbers in the Lok Sabha & state legislatures, unbothered by prosecutors. & find it laughable that foreign firms are pursued with such vigour. How can corruption be wiped out when the country is rotting from the head down?.
Those same foreigners were also busy singing paeans to the current ruling establishment, the Congress and acting as if it were the solution to India’s ills. As long as the gravy train continued uninterrupted.
Like it or not, foreigners and their interests are often at cross purposes to what India actually needs & quoting them as some sort of denomination India needs to assuage points to the exact same malaise that has gripped India even after its ostensible independence.
The urge to suck upto anything and everything foreign while mucking up at home and having no accountability to the governed themselves, even though that is what actually counts.
Why are there a lot of ‘indigenous’ indian military programmes that claim to be such, but are in fact ‘collaborations’ with foreign firms? In those pics of the TATA ‘developed’ SPG, they claim it’s ‘indigenous’, but then actually have a photo showing the South African workers from Denel, which actually developed the gun?! So how come Denel wasn’t blacklisted?
Till date, I haven’t come across any significant Indian program that claims to be indigenous yet denies its foreign assistance, wherever acquired either via JV or consultancy. At most, its shoddy PR which just shows a couple of models but subsequent interviews or official reports always mention the collaborating partner.
Theres also a lot of nuance in current arms proposals being pitched by Indian arms firms, which are tailored to India’s Defence Procurement Procedure.
The Indian DPP specifies various kinds of programs each of which has different levels of indigenous content (by value) with local participation.
They are Buy, then, Buy and Make, Buy and Make (Indian) and Make.
1.Buy again breaks into Buy Indian, and Buy Global. Buy Indian stipulates 30% local content by value.
2.Buy & Make refers to TOT, with local content gradually rising.
3. Buy & Make Indian is in specific with regards to a JV with 50% local content.
4. Make (local only by default) – again either very complex strategic systems (e.g. Long range ballistic missiles, BMD radars, etc) or low value items. Again, with several types of % by value mandated.
Its comprehensive but can also get confusing.
Now, if you look at the above, a company which is competing in the Buy Indian or Buy & Make Indian category, will obviously tout its indigenous credentials since it will have (by law) either 30% or even 50% planned via local contribution. If its Make , even more so!!
Why not take credit for it and in fact by not publicizing it, they may understate their work.
Tata for instance planned to do the electronics and hydraulics, plus mover (vehicle + integration) for any SPG, with the gun & breech imported/contributed by its partner or even that liable to be assembled in India.
They have a fairly substantial defence setup. Look here:
http://www.tatapowersed.com/
Coming to blacklisting, thats a sore point. Thanks to India’s current hamfisted MOD, they blacklist at the drop of a hat. Technically, even JVs are not permissible. But there are hopes that via the private sector, Indian firms may buy out the technology & combine with their own contributions and hence avoid the JV tag with a blacklisted firm & hence still get technology in.
A bit of a challenge and unlikely to happen easily.
Right now, there are JVs happening dime a dozen, but do remember, that if an Indian firm is touting any of these programs for a local requirement, it will have to justify its own contribution as well.
Pakistan needs to send all these pashtuns back to Afghanistan and all the Americans back into China.
LOL, what the heck?
The militants claim that more than a dozen military personnel were killed in the attack and that 3 JF-17 fighters were destroyed..
the PAF maintains that only 1 soldier was killed and 1 officer injured in the attack and 1 aircraft (JF-17?) was damaged
What is the actual tally of deaths and aircraft damaged or destroyed?
I wonder what the actual tally here was as well. Perhaps 3 JF-17s were destroyed.
Clearly, these guys attacking the bases are well prepared & have been fairly effective so far at identifying and targeting the high value assets such as aircraft.
Whew….
Looks like PAF did lose one of its SAAB AEW&C aircraft in the strike on its AFB.
The PAF denied it initially, judging it by the posts earlier on in this thread (August 2012) but now the details are out.
ISLAMABAD: The February 6 admission by senior officials of the defence ministry that a Saab-2000 aircraft fitted with an Airborne Early Warning & Control System (AWACS) was totally destroyed in the August 15, 2012 terror attack on the Kamra airbase, implies that the concerned authorities had been keeping the tax payers in the dark for the past six months by claiming that it was only the nose cone of the precious aircraft which had been partially damaged and that it would be repaired by the manufacturers in Sweden.
The fact that the Kamra airbase raiders had completely destroyed one of the four Saab-2000 AWACS planes was made public for the first time by Additional Secretary Defence Rear Admiral Farrokh Ahmad during a meeting of the National Assembly’s Standing Committee on Defence on February 6, six months after the Minhas airbase at Kamra was attacked by the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan.
The meeting was chaired by President Zardari’s sister, Azra Fazal Pechuho, as the chairperson of the 18-member Committee. Responding to a question by Ayaz Ameer, one of the Standing Committee members, Rear Admiral Farrokh Ahmad conceded that a Saab-2000 AWACS which was parked at the Minhas airbase was completely destroyed by “miscreants” when the Kamra came under attack.
When asked by Ayaz Ameer to further enlighten the Committee on the issue, Secretary Defence Lt Gen (R) Asif Yaseen Malik admitted that one fourth early warning ability of the PAF was knocked out by the raiders with the ruining of one of the four Swedish-made Saab-2000 planes.
But the secretary defence did not respond to Ayaz’s query about the actual loss suffered by the national kitty due to the ruining of Saab-2000 AWACS. As The News asked PAF spokesman Group Captain Tariq Mahmood about the likely price of the Saab-2000, he sought a couple of days to collect the required information. Asked about the price of the Saab-2000 AWACS, a senior PAF official said while requesting anonymity that the perished plane was worth 130-140 million US dollars. But a highly placed defence ministry official differed with the figure, saying that the plane destroyed at Kamra was worth 250 million US dollars.
However, a senior defence ministry official said on the condition of anonymity that the Saab-2000 AWACS destroyed at Kamra was worth $250 million. Ayaz Ameer, a former army captain, estimated the price of Saab-2000 somewhere between 250 and 300 million US dollars.
http://www.thenews.com.pk/Todays-News-2-159025-Tax-payers-kept-in-the-d…
Unlike the P3Cs lost in the Mehran attack, this is a more serious event as this aircraft is unlikely to be replaced for free as the P3Cs reportedly were, by the US (albeit PN may have lost the upgrade costs?)
Plus reports on the net suggest that another AEW&C was also damaged in the raid, and was sent to Sweden for repairs, this aircraft being the one the PAF initially admitted to.
You seriously believe the Indian Navy (Ship Building Industry) is more capable than the UK. Which, was the pioneer in Carrier Design. Including Catapults, Angled Flight Deck, and the first to Operate Jet from Carriers. To name just a very few.
Also, in what way is the CVF not an effect design???
India’s issues are not around design inasmuch as they are around public dockyards operating with antiquated technology/building methods and restrictive labor laws. Both issues are being address, via building up/procuring tech and also by involving private dockyards for efficient scale up. Time will tell, whether it works out as well as hoped, but its a positive step even so.
http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/new-yardstechniques-to-swiftly-build-warships/483869/
The main challenge is to handle workers unions and labor issues.