And if the US removed its forces from westpac, china would gladly oblige too… etc etc.
My point was that India isn’t exactly better of than china in gdp per capita, education, health etc. Musashi was using that as a reason for why china shouldn’t be spending “so much” on a modern defence force therefore the same logic should be applied to India.
Your so called point is totally out of place because this is not a thread about India (which Musashi points out) and second, India is a status quo power and poses no expansionist threat to the PRC. India has no allied requirements to defend Japan or Taiwan or the like, either (which also brings up the point why would the US intervene unless these nations were threatened). If you attempt to make a point, make them using the correct examples.
In the PRC – India case, it is the PRC investment in military infrastructure which is forcing India to react. Whether it be raising new divisions in the north-east, or modernizing new AFB or even focusing on its Navy. Its rather ironic. The PRC is the one leading the arms race, and then you turn around & claim that because India is spending, its all ok.
Its rather funny to use India as an example to justify the PRCs spending when it is the PRC’s spending which is making India react in modernizing its military when it would rather spend on social needs, which also have a direct political benefit. Google up NREGA.
Not wanting to get into a massive comparison…
But # India.
What # India? India is spending because China is. Otherwise, just to meet Pak. specific requirements, it would spend far less. If China were to scale back its investments in defence, India would gladly do likewise, especially in the north east of the country. In recent years, the Indian military has a lot to “thank” China for, since pretty much every procurement plan kept in abeyance (to free up funds for economic development, or thought unnecessary) has received a boost thanks to the PRC building up military capabilities.
When India can’t make a gas turbine it shouldn’t be picky with who it partners to get the know how to atleast get onto the ladder.
Given the billion + dollars to be invested in such a program, India better be picky. It will be funded from the tax rupees of many Indian citizens and it should be invested as well as can be, not to just “get onto the ladder”.
…
I thought the ‘why’ was obvious. Prithvi was a missile that was developed and deployed in large part for the nuclear delivery role. That it can also carry conventional warheads is besides the point. You launch the Prithvi, there’s a high chance the enemy will not want to take chances, will assume it carries a nuclear payload and launch a retaliatory nuclear strike.
the answer is to simply make it clear that prithvi is for the conventional role, and agni/shourya for strategic. do the message right, take the confusion out. prithvi may have been developed for multiple roles to begin with, but why replace a missile which excels in one role still when other options are available to take over the strategic one.
The risk is less with a smaller missile like Prahaar which has been specificially developed for an ATACMS-style conventional artillery role.
nothing like that per se. if the enemy sees a 100 prahars or fifty prithvis heading towards different targets within a few minutes of conflict, the “risk” is the same. which is why india has dwelt extensively on NFU.
NFU gives india the edge by dictating terms of escalation in a war. but its flip side is it exposes us to irrational strike first, win the hand sort of thinking.
either way, deterrence issues apart, changing missiles – especially one which works – is not necessary to clarify deterrence.
if the prithvi was a kludge, with limited accuracy and low payload, less reliability, we would not be having this conversation. but as things stand, it has a high payload, has good CEP, and is reliable. its present in numbers and gives us many options to hit hard targets like hardened AFB etc defended in depth. with waypoint navigation and midcourse changes possible, it is also not easy to intercept by ABM systems.
Well depends on what the french are bringing to the table (regardless of what they are capable of) and what price they expect. As one of the objectives of the JV, Indians were to develop the low pressure stage and french were to develop the high pressure stage of the new engine. Since it has been dragging on for the past few years, i believe neither side has reached an understanding for the work share and the extant of JV.
Also money. Safran has made it clear that if India is serious about turbofan work, it has to invest heavily and consistently. Not Tejas style, at least till FSED, drip feed, prove, then release more funds etc. The JV is not going to be cheap
Quad we had a pretty poor experience with the Klimov engines when we purchased the MiG-29. Pretty low MTBF, damaged easily, had to be sent back for repairs again and again to keep serviceability high. Things improved somewhat (but not perfect) with local repair facilities. Still low MTBF and what not. Finally, for upgrade we are licensing newer RD-33 Series 3. Al-31F series in comparison has been far better. Net, when Tejas was conceived, we really did not have a good Russian engine to rely on, in terms of own experience with type.
Frankly, as far as a missile artillery role is concerned, Prithvi is a dated missile and is due for replacement.
See, being a large ballistic missile with a 1-ton payload, simply using it has a signifcantly greater chance of provoking a nuclear retailiation, whatever warhead it was armed with.
look you are not making sense because there is no given reason a 1-ton warhead will provoke a retaliation whereas a 500 kg one will not. Nukes are not going to be used just because the prithvi is more effective, thats akin to saying a single Su-30 sortie with 4T of bombs will provoke a nuclear retaliation, say what? if the opponent is stupid enough to launch a strike merely because it sees prithvis coming its way, it will pay the price in terms of a retaliation. prithvis will be used predominantly against a variety of targets eg PAF AFB, PA C3I nodes, including hardened targets for which a variety of warheads have been developed, which are very effective. i can post more details available publicly but its regarded as a work horse missile.
A smaller precision-strike weapon like Prahaar serves better in the artillery role. And with the larger, longer-ranged Shaurya the Prithvi is already redundant anyway.
what you dont get is the prithvi with its larger warhead offers more options against more targets. and by virtue of its large inventory and production facilities is more cost effective, at least for the near future.
unless you have exact figures of CEP for the prahar claiming it to be a precision strike weapon (as versus a more effective area weapon, there is a difference) is pointless. long range missiles are not precision strike weapons, unless you put the cost in with expensive terminal guidance. that reduces the flexibility of their employment.
the USP of prithvi, now prahar is they are missiles that can be mass manufactured at reasonable cost and deployed, used in number.
a bit of a correction. the mmr is not a failed project replaced by a customized elta 2032. its actually the mmr hardware (antenna, stabilisation, backed including TWT, running a mix of indian and israeli software with some israeli processors).
for the aesa (uttam) program drdo has already developed the exciter, receiver, signal processing hardware etc. even an antenna has been developed.
what they are looking for is a proven partner to assist them in developing the all important tx/rx module for the radar (compact, high power, able to dissipate heat) and help in certifying it, consult for calibration.
they already have substantial experience with radars and even airborne radars thanks to the MPAR radars (sv-2000 and another one) plus the aewacs project.
uttam’s aim is clearly to field an all indian AESA FCR. any reevaluation means they were not happy with what was on offer with initial partnerships.
Toan,
Good estimate, but like you yourself noted there is a shortfall versus the 42 squadron requirement, the shortfall may mean more LCA ordered as well as MMRCA numbers at 189-200.
A couple of corrections, the UPG MiG-27 are just 40, rest have not been upgraded, without engine upgrades, they will all be retired by 2020-2025, for sure
The Jaguars may stick around for another fifteen years. There were four standards, NAVWASS, DARIN, DARINs 2 and 3. DARIN 3. DARIN will be upgraded to DARIN-3 now. Around 2-3 squadrons. The DARIN-2 upgrade was applied to around 77 planes (including ~40 navwass and 37 new planes which were the last production batch).
DARIN-3 is an evolution of DARIN-2, and with engine upgrades for around 125 Jaguars mentioned, the DARIN-1 planes come in around 48 aircraft.
I dont know why media has been saying 68 planes.
IAF’s Chief of Air Staff, Air Chief Marshal P V Naik told India Strategic defence magazine in an interview that the Jaguars needed urgent upgrades. Since there was still considerable life left in the airframes and systems, it was necessary to go ahead with the process as fast as possible.
IAF had actually issued a Request for Proposals (RfP), or tender, in November 2010 to Rolls-Royce, which had provided the Adour 102 engines when the aircraft were acquired beginning 1978 from the then British Aircraft Corporation (BAC), and the US Honeywell, which says it has offered to supply ‘more powerful engines at competitive rates.’
Rolls-Royce however opted out recently, and faced with the single vendor situation, the Ministry of Defence cancelled the RfP.
Air Chief Marshal Naik said that the government had now decided to process the case on the ‘single vendor’ basis keeping in view what is available, and most suited, and negotiate with the selected manufacturer.
IAF has nearly 125 twin-engine Jaguars, dubbed as Deep Penetration Strike Aircraft (DPSA) for ground attack role, when the deal was initially signed. The aircraft can carry nuclear weapons.
……………Upgrades of the IAF Jaguars would also include modernisation of avionics, sensors for night operations, and integration of helmet mounted sights for the pilots.
The deal for new engines, 250-plus, inclusive of spares, should be worth more than $ 2 billion.
………….
The F-125IN vs Adour comparison:
https://docs.google.com/viewer?a=v&pid=explorer&chrome=true&srcid=0B-Fs98BOHNP1YzdiMjU0ZjMtNGFkYi00YjFlLTg0OGItMzU1Y2Q2YzNiNWYz&hl=en_US
The US engine is the better choice, in terms of performance.
DARIN-2
http://osmaniac.blogspot.com/2005/10/hal-jaguar-darin-ii-specifications.html
Like I mentioned a few days ago. When The F414 was selected for the Tejas, a hell of a lot people, Scooter & Co, were adament the F/A-18 was going to win the MMRCA competition – it was a done & dusted deal comfortable placed in their pockets and nothing could go wrong now…Then, well, the rest is history.
But its rather funny how a few weeks ago, Indian officials said during a article posted on another thread: ‘Why? By time these upgrades are finished the airframes will be nearing the end of their service life’…(Something along those lines anyway) And it must be said, they do have a point. Then all of a sudden they seem to be all for it…
Well you have to also look at few things, one the Mirage 2000’s are showing a pretty good airframe life so far, with the aircraft not showing as much fatigue as had been expected. I could point to the interview with Military Technologys George Mader, if you are interested.
Other thing, is the life mentioned by the French is probably the designed TTL, but as the IAF has seen before – eg with its MiGs, the actual TTL is usually higher. This is determined by fatigue testing for aircraft which we did not have the design data. In the case of the Mirage, the French will probably assist in determining the actual operational life.
Next, the Mirage has a very good reputation in the IAF and a very strong lobby as a result. Many senior personnel who have flown Mirages back it strongly. And hence it has support all the way to the AHQ level. The perception is, its a very good plane so lets upgrade it.
Now, the last 10 odd Mirages were purchased only a few years back, so they will probably be the last to go for an upgrade, stretching out the fleet utilization, balancing airframe hours also a mix and match of different types can still give a good result – 2000H with 2000-5.
Just quick pointer on why IAF likes Mirage so much:
http://www.bharat-rakshak.com/IAF/History/Kargil/PCamp.html
Mirage 2000-5 DASH 5
http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_hb3126/is_655_56/ai_n28851433/
After this, for the UAE it was upgraded further, the Dash 5 MK2 was also in the running for some European competitions, where reportedly it lost out to the Viper, on cost and political grounds
Please read both articles, I think the Mirage 2000 is kind of an earlier Rafale or Eurofighter. It is not as advanced overall as they are in terms of the aero performance which these two double engined fighters bring today, but it was probably one of the best, or the best european fighter of its era and with avionics upgrades it can still do terrific damage to IAFs rivals. PAF is but buying the F-16 Block 50/52 today, in most ways – except perhaps the newer engine and CFTs, the Mirage 2000-5 is their equal..
what i know, mind you public information, nothing hush hush, is not that different but it kind of differs and also agrees with what you have.
basically, two things – one, india has asked key suppliers not to give it items which its rivals are receiving or give it something superior which they will not get, whenever possible. at the very least customized differently. that applies to the mirage upgrade as well as the scorpenes. for the latter, what the scorpenes have in terms of some systems is not available to the rival.
second is, india has in the past heavily diplomatically lobbied the respective governments supplying items to aforesaid country as well, this applies to deals like the JF-17 as well. this will not necessarily be the domain of the IAF, but of the govt of india and its diplomatic attache.
so the IAF may not have been involved in asking the french not to sell xyz items, but that does not mean Govt of india will not do it.
Next, coming to the jf-17. this is from a series of IAF personnel again, speaking publicly and in a frank interaction.
per their evaluation jf-17 gets the PAF the multirole capability the IAF would have got in terms of avionics viz an upgraded mig-21 bison, but the airframe is superior in that it has better range and payload. this was by a senior IAF person who was fairly clued into the program. he based it on an evaluation of the platform and its avionics, including at the time both french & chinese systems. (but this was before the MAR-1 deal was announced, but it wont significantly change the comparison). not a slam, because the bison is regarded as a useful asset by the IAF. it has rvv-ae, r-73e with HMCS, ew, kab-500 capability and offers a cost effective multirole capability.
in his & several other officers opinion, the jf-17’s greatest contribution to the PAF is it builds up numbers, and is better than the f-7 series (which per IAF eval is a point defence asset, as it has limitations in range, payload) and since its airframe is newer than the mirage series in pak service, its a plus. apparently the mirage series, because of airframe lives are carefully husbanded assets, especially the ones with modernized avionics. the jf-17 since it is a newer asset, gives the paf more leeway.
what the IAF was really watching, as far as the paf was concerned, was the strike capability of the f-16 fleet. with cfts, they could get great range despite a decent payload. to address this they boosted their modernisation of the AD network with new radars and sensors.
if not for pak-US political issues, a strong F-16 fleet could give the PAF very useful capabilities – the iaf had thought earlier, PAF would probably bring its fleet to around 5 squadrons plus, at 100 planes. of course, economic issues have prevented that from happening so far.
the avionics, range, payload combination make them excellent strike assets while useful in air to air. there were other things the IAF was looking at, but probably best not discussed in this thread.
Painted UPG doesn’t look too bad, any idea what the rectangular fairing at the base of the starboard fin is? and its origins?
http://aviaforum.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=256713&d=1312387649
Its an AESA jammer originally from Elettronica, now made in India either by BEL or by Elettronica’s Indian partner Alpha Electronics, and integrated by BEL. Its part of the DARE (DRDO) EW suite similar to that on the LCA. There will be two more, one on either side for forward coverage.
The other antenna & electronics plus the combined receiver, techniques generator, processor are from DRDO (UREP).
ainspiron,
to add, what was the “PAF opinion about JF-17 avionics” and which avionics were these, the French upgrade or the Chinese one?
Same file – note this is for 2010 achievements. We are already closing on 2011 end.
Good progress made on key systems on the avionics front.
Ring Laser Gyro (RLG)
based Inertial Navigation System was developed,
qualified, and tested. An Active Radar Seeker for
advanced missions was successfully developed. A
Fibre Optics Gyro was successfully developed and
tested onboard.
Currently IAF uses French RLG-INS and Astra seeker is Russian.
A novel method was developed and
flight-tested for an in-flight structural monitoring of the
manned as well as unmanned aircraft structures
HAL Edgewood also offers structural monitoring systems, plus there is a SAAB system on Su-30 MKI.
Besides,
over 100 test flights of a 3,000 gm Micro Aerial
Vehicle (MAV) designed and developed by DRDO
were carried out.
For IA and IAF Special Forces and regulars.
A laser seeker kit – ‘Sudarshan’, for
1,000 lb bombs was developed and initial demand for
significant number of seeker kits has been received
from the Services.
Sudarshan cleared for production. Till date IAF used French (BGL100), US (Paveway2) and Israeli (Griffin series) LGBs
After the success of the Sudarshan LGB (and orders placed), more emphasis on PGMs
DRDO July 11 http://drdo.gov.in/drdo/pub/nl/2011/nl_july.pdf
ARDE
Inauguration of PGM -Electronics
Centre and HILS-facility at ARDE
The Precision Guided Munition (PGM)-Electronics
Centre and HILS-Facility at Armament Research
and Development Establishment (ARDE), Pune,
was inaugurated on 06 June 2011 by Shri Anil M
Datar, OS and Director, ARDE, Pune. This Centre
has three parts, viz., control electronics, guided
sensors and hardware-in-the-loop simulation (HILS).
The facilities available at this Centre are inertial test
setup, precision acceleration test setup, three-axes
flight motor simulator, two-axes linear trial motion
simulator, GPS simulator, and electronic integration
facility for PGM. This Centre will be specialised in
electronics for PGMs.
Shri Anil M Datar, OS and Director, ARDE inaugurating the Facility.
Also, confirming the MPR (Medium Power Radar) is in an advanced stage of development.
LRDE, (DRDO radar lab)
Vice Admiral Satish Soni, AVSM, NM,
OSD to CNS, on 02 June 2011
Vice Adm Satish Soni evincing keen interest on MPR
proto array.
The PDF has a picture of the Radar backend, processing and RF hardware.
Also, DRDOs Aslesha 3D Low Level Lightweight radar has cleared trials for IAF. Apart from surveillance orders, will be interesting to see if a variant, mast mounted, is used for the SRSAM being developed with MBDA, same as ELTA 2160 is used for SpyDer