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Teer

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  • in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2203779
    Teer
    Participant

    Hope your forecast proves to be correct.

    The entire 36 unit Rafale deal and cancellation of the 126 unit MMRCA deal has already proven him correct. The fact the existing deal had a shadow over it and was poorly negotiated meant it was done for.

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2203899
    Teer
    Participant

    5 LRSAM FUs are none other than the S-400

    Interesting programs, confirmed by the MOD which are contracted for are:

    Himraj
    The role of the Himraj is to intercept, monitor, analyse, and locate adversary’s radar transmission
    in 70 MHz to 40 GHz band. DRDO is responsible for the system design, development of critical subsystems, and realisation of a truncated reference version of the engineered system for Ground Base
    Mobile ELINT System (GBMES), which are being pursued towards production at BEL. The entire
    system configuration has been finalised and realisation of engineered system is in progress.

    Litening 4

    Rafael is extending its Litening family of targeting pods for air forces looking to upgrade existing platforms.

    Litening 4, the latest variant of the pod, has gone through major enhancements in sensors, resolution, image processing and algorithmic processing capabilities. “Litening has transformed from a targeting pod into a much broader sensor pack that extends the aircraft and pilot’s capabilities, far beyond target acquisition,” says Yuval Miller, manager of Rafael’s Air and C4ISR division.

    The new version extends the effective observation range, enabling detection and recognition of targets from tens of kilometers away. “The [sensor’s] high resolution enables pilots to reliably identify the combat objects and consequently to avoid collateral damage” Miller told Aviation Week, noting the pod has a proven operational combat record in day, night and adverse weather conditions.

    Many automated processes previously employed only in ultra-sophisticated reconnaissance systems are now implemented in the Litening, enabling fighter pilots to assume missions and capabilities far beyond lasing a target for smart weapons. In addition to ground attack the pod also assists pilots in the identification of aerial targets from Beyond Visual (BV) ranges.

    http://aviationweek.com/defense/rafaels-litening-aircraft-upgrading

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2203906
    Teer
    Participant

    MOD Report, May 2016. Future programs.

    Su-30 MKI Enhancement 268 Numbers AoN Stage
    CIWS 61 Flt RFP Formulation Stage
    LRSAM 5 FUs RFP Formulation Stage
    Software Defined Radios 473 CFA Approval
    Digitisation of Pechora 16 FUs RFP
    HPR 12 AoN
    Survey, Target Towing, Communication Jamming and Signal Intelligence Role along with Associated Equipment 7+2 RFP
    Air to Ground Missile for Heptrs 476 RFP

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2203922
    Teer
    Participant

    https://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/india-considers-additional-30-unit-hawk-buy-426642/

    India considers additional 30-unit Hawk buy

    23 June, 2016 New Delhi

    India’s defence ministry is considering the acquisition of an additional batch of BAE Systems Hawk advanced jet trainers.

    New Delhi indicates it could purchase as many as 30 examples of the Mk132 variant, which would be licence-built by Hindustan Aeronautics (HAL).

    Defence minister Manohar Parrikar says the requirement, chiefly for the navy, is still to be fully defined. “We are negotiating for the price and once the price negotiations are over we can announce the final numbers.”

    The proposed purchase is in addition to a previously announced need for 20 aircraft to be operated by the air force’s Surya Kiran aerobatic display team. That deal has yet to be concluded, however.

    Parrikar also confirms the cancellation of a 2014 request for information for intermediate jet trainers, despite continued delays to its indigenous HAL HJT-36 Sitara programme.

    However, he says that production of the HJT-36 has been halted to resolve issues with the type. “The HJT-36 has a lot of the stall-related problems that have been overcome. Spin remains a problem, we will not make any more IJTs until they overcome this problem.”

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2203925
    Teer
    Participant

    https://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/airbus-touts-its-make-in-india-credentials-422794/

    Airbus touts its ‘Make In India’ credentials

    The Airbus Group produced over $500 million worth of aero-structures, components, materials, and services in India during 2015.

    In the five years up to 2020, the company hopes to achieve a cumulative $2 billion in procurement from India, says Airbus Group in a statement.

    “Indian suppliers are a cornerstone of our globalisation strategy,” said Airbus chief procurement officer Klaus Richter. “Many of the projects with our Indian partners have been very successful and we aim to further strengthen these relationships in the future.”

    [b]The statement lists several Indian companies with which Airbus contracts work including Hindustan Aeronautics (A320 forward passenger doors), Mahindra Aerospace (components), Tata Advanced Systems (composite wing parts), Wipro (actuators), and Infosys (IT services).[b]

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2203932
    Teer
    Participant

    Thank you. It’s only eyeball engineering but the beam section looked thin to me . With that value for the weight it makes more sense. Probably High MPa Steel. Or simply a work model used for the display.

    The design may have changed further. However, one set of trials have occurred and further are underway.

    Ignore the journalistic yelling about better than JDAM etc, but the real details.

    Jodhpur: India has actually taken a lead in the development and testing of its ‘First Fully Indigenised’ Smart Anti-Airfield Weapon (SAAW). Highly placed sources in the Union ministry of defence shared exclusively that the SAAW was successfully test launched from a Jaguar aircraft towards the fag end of first quarter of May by the Aircraft & amp; Systems Testing Establishment (ASTE) in Bangalore.

    Officials shared that this SAAW weighs around 125-150 kgs and has a strike distance of 80-100 kms.

    “It is a long-range, precision guided Air to Surface weapon and can be launched from Jaguar and Su-30 aircraft. In future, the same can be integrated to the French Rafale aircraft being imported by the IAF,” said the official.

    This Smart Anti-Air Field Weapon will lend a supreme power to IAF since the high explosive warhead is capable destroying even the steel reinforced concrete runways and bunkers etc of enemy with deep penetration capabilities

    http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/jodhpur/Indias-first-fully-indigenized-anti-airfield-weapon-tested/articleshow/52393362.cms

    Its basically an Indian equivalent to the Spice 250 etc, a few hundred of which have been ordered by the IAF.

    This, the NGARM and Astra are critical for the IAF to maintain any sort of air superiority going forward.

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2203937
    Teer
    Participant

    http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/made-in-india-f16s-on-radar-thanks-to-fdi/article8756876.ece

    [COLOR=”#0000FF]The defense minister who cries the Rafale: “Our FGFA, AMCA, and 40% indigenisation domestic LCA fighter are so great that we are preparing to introduce our enemy fighter’s assembly line into our country just for fun !!!”[/B][/SIZE][/COLOR]:eagerness:

    Can you stop with this Toan?

    Your out of context, over the top screaming does nothing for the thread.

    The LCA by the way is % 75 now by LRU and 40% by value per data submitted by HAL to the Parliamentary Defence Committee, May 2016.

    Platform
    % Import by number
    % Import by value
    SU-30 MKI
    25%
    44%

    LCA
    25%
    40%

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2159268
    Teer
    Participant

    The IAF actually diluted requirements that it had itself laid down for the HTT-40’s design, when it wanted to import the basic trainer from abroad..a scam wherein an indigenous product was held to far higher standards than the imported equivalent. So one set of requirements for its indigenous program, and a far lower, relaxed set of requirements for the imported airplane. And then they fought tooth and nail to scrap this HTT-40 program and just go ahead and purchase more PC-7 Mk2s.

    Clear case of favoring the imported basic trainer with remarkably diluted requirements..the IAF would’ve summarily rejected the HTT-40 with such features as 0-60 ejection seat, or non-pressurized cockpit or not meeting glide ratio or take-off distance parameters it set.

    the same folks seem involved. same arms agents in westland adn same methods used.

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2159588
    Teer
    Participant

    Thanks Teer for the lecture in Indian government inner workings! :applause:

    Hey, hope I didn’t bore you. GOI tends to be OK when the intent is ok, same for all Govts I guess.

    Now speaking about dysfunction, I noticed this:
    India scraps black-shark torpedo deal

    Yes, I know torpedoes don’t fly! But the context here is that after years of “negotiations”, the deal was scrapped even-though (1) a replacement is still required, and (2) this will add a few more years of delay to the procurement…

    So it might be good politics to appear a though negotiator, but is it really good economics?

    IMHO, its more than just politics. They would have discovered some serious issues with the deal which cannot be revealed in public. There is the Agusta Westland case which (according to present GOI and Italian investigators both) showed some dubious antics. That apart, there were also concerns from 4 years back about this deal.

    http://www.sify.com/finance/murky-helicopter-deal-shadow-on-billion-dollar-torpedo-sale-news-news-mk3bnkegacasi.html

    What the previous MOD did was typical under the then Defence Minister. It did nothing. It neither outright cancelled the deal and began the process anew – a MOD directive apart, there was no progress on finding an alternative clearly. Nor did it make an exception.

    Now, the current deal is cancelled & while not optimal, the current DM has noted the Scorpenes will get an alternative.
    http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-news-india/manohar-parrikar-agustawestland-bjp-two-years-anniversary-rafale-deal-defence-minister-defence-procurement-2815916/

    However, you may well point out (correctly IMHO) that it is political to a degree, because the current GOI will not want to get aca caught with somebody else’s issue and then called corrupt.

    Here is the quote around the issue.

    Maybe it’s difficult to ban it because, some argue, India has Scorpene submarines that need torpedoes, which come from WASS, a subsidiary of Finmeccanica.

    We have refused it [WASS].

    How then will you make Scorpenes functional?
    I will make it functional, don’t worry about it.

    Indian make?

    There are other companies who can supply it… Can’t tell you for security reasons where we will get it from.

    – See more at: http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-news-india/manohar-parrikar-agustawestland-bjp-two-years-anniversary-rafale-deal-defence-minister-defence-procurement-2815916/#sthash.Lkioeabe.dpuf

    Unfortunately, like I said, there is a lot of dross that will be carried over from prior decisions. Its no secret that the corruption had hit record levels and hence some deals are under scrutiny.

    However, not all procurement will be affected and we are yet to see any evidence of some systemic effort to scrap all deals under politics (thankfully).

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2159888
    Teer
    Participant

    I did track the reporting and I am aware that Parrikar briefed Modi on the status of the MMRCA deal. That’s still a ways from Parrikar recommending or endorsing a two squadron Rafale purchase. When the MoU was announced, Parrikar (dutifully) welcomed it as the PM’s decision – “It’s a great decision taken by Prime Minister Narendra Modi on better terms and conditions“.

    Again, how do you know Parrikar wasn’t part of the process based on what MOF said it could endorse? He went to the PM and said the previous process is broken. He says now it is upto you. IAF provides input or select officials are sounded out about minimum necessary in the short term to boost combat power. DAE et al are tapped along with MEA who would have been working with the French otherwise to see what would get the French to transfer tech to L&T from Areva for future nuclear plans.

    Jaitley (FM), Modi (PM), Parrikar (DM) and MEA (Swaraj) plus delegates and officials from HAL, BARC, DAE, NPCIL etc sit together and devise a plan which PM takes to the French, with a range of options. Modi then sits with Jaitley and sees what can be afforded.

    This is how GOI decision making is done.

    Not Modi decides 36 planes are good.

    While there’s no way to prove or disprove the extent of his involvement, given Parrikar’s record and statements so far (particularly on conserving the public purse), I’m disinclined to believe he devised (& presented to the PM) a plan resulting in a commitment to purchase an aircraft –

    i) before terms & conditions were known (let alone cost),
    ii) without playing it off competing vendors and,
    iii) without seeking commonality with the follow on purchase (for locally assembled aircraft).

    All Parrikar has said is that he will get India the best possible deal. He has been working ten different things at one go because this is not sequential. He knows previous process was flawed (deliberate or otherwise loopholes in the non technical sides of the deal, financing etc). He wants that fixed. IAF is screaming at top of its lungs for MMRCA.

    Meanwhile Parrikar fixes Tejas plan (120 in first tranche), restarts other options (as fallback) and works the Rafale. Big focus is on Su-30 serviceability.

    This is how things happen in realtime to meet IAF requirements.

    Possible since Parrikar had only been in office for 3-4 months and perhaps didn’t have a handle on the business yet, but I believe its unlikely.)

    Or Parrikar went to Modi and said, this is the problem, here are the range of options and their price which I have worked out with MOD finance and Finance Ministry since per the larger discussion we need to give the French something for the Areva deal since NPCIL/DAE/BARC etc are keen on it & French Govt won’t intercede unless they get something else overall.

    Assuming Dassault doesn’t, or with the best of intentions can only put a relatively pricey deal on the table (think Mirage upgrade), what options does the GoI have after investing over an year in the effort?

    What if Dassault, having secured this contract, bids high for the subsequent ‘Make-in-India’ program? Would the MoD turn it down in favour of a different and logistically incompatible entry? And if so, how wise would it be to operate just 2-3 squadrons of a unique aircraft for the next 35 years (Mirage redux)?

    MOD has a range of options on its table. While not ideal, the IAF would certainly be boosted by 2-3 squadrons of Rafale with weapons and systems compability with the Mirage. We can buy more over time.

    The issue folks aren’t getting is the depth of dysfunction Modi has inherited economically. He is working a dozen things to kickstart the economy, but the basics remain the same, investment in core sectors at a massive rate – electricity, roads, ports, infra, hygiene. Without which nothing else works. That means the funds available for defence have to be optimized.

    UPA was spending our tomorrow for their today.

    The basics were simple. Announce a fake budget for the defence forces and R&D and PSU/MIC/Pvt sector.

    Work with MOD Finance to delay select big ticket acquisitions so funds are returned unspent. Ask PSUs to not invest in capex (hence Tejas delay as HAL waits for IAF to fund it, IAF kicks ball back to HAL, ADA sits and watches) and has that returned as dividend or repatriation of funds to MOD which then goes back to MOF. MOF – the great PC, spends it on his signora’s vote catching schemes. Many of which were mired in corruption but ignored because regional satraps needed to be placated to remain in power.

    Now, rationalization is going on, decisions are being taken. This means some hard choices. IAF is taking LCA, that & a boost in Su-30 serviceability adds far more immediate punch than the MMRCA, hence only 36 as a first buy is still doable. Why the Rafale only though? That was all the IAF. But now Parrikar is seeing other options too & again, that means Modi has given him that autonomy.

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2160584
    Teer
    Participant

    Yes, and there is no difference between US and any other supplier country in this regard. Indians will not magically become happy about the cost, technology transfer and whatnot just because it’s an US FMS sale.

    And the current PM/admin while shaking hands with the US and posing for photo-ops are not exactly even a fraction in terms of as aligned to US aims (as versus India’s) as the previous folks were.

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2160591
    Teer
    Participant

    In fact more than S-400, I’d be more happy if they fixed the revenue budget to get the IAF serviceability and availability to 75% +. Which is apparently the first priority for this Govt.

    In terms of capex budget and SAMs, in terms of SAMs we have 15 squadrons of Akash coming in, some 3-4 squadrons of SpyDer and once final trials are fixed this year, some 9 squadrons of MRSAM (Barak-8). The first two are committed already. Plus the remaining Pechoras (some 8-16 squadrons plus will be upgraded).

    While none of these are a hybrid LR/BMD system like the S-400, from the IAF perspective that’s still a huge step up. We have some space.

    I suspect S-400 is being procured for a “rough and ready” BMD system for the Metros while the local BMD program can be deployed once it clears Phase 2 as well (missiles of 2k km+ class).

    This makes it a “political priority” to withstand the saber rattling from Pak and give India the space to put conventional warfare back on the table vis a vis Mumbai type terror attacks.

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2160592
    Teer
    Participant

    The ‘feedback’ from the MoD comes via the Defence Acquisition Council which wasn’t involved in this case. And if a decision is made by the PM (and this decision was made by the PM), it doesn’t mean it was based on ‘whims and fancies’ instead of his own well considered (albeit mistaken) judgement.

    Parrikar represents the MOD and he personally briefed the PM.

    Rest is all bureaucratese.

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2160594
    Teer
    Participant

    WRT to S-400 the MOD State says deal has been done , Russian says no deal has been signed …….Parrikar says 5 system are being procured.

    Considering the urgency and secrecy surrounding the deal , I wont be surprise it might just get a pass through earlier than the usual time MOD would take. Recently Parrikar media mentioned of Parikar streamlining MR-SAM contract since it over laps S-400 capability

    Funding is the issue here. If Rafale deal is signed, we simply dont have enough budgeted in the Capital Budget for this to happen this year (IMO).

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2160599
    Teer
    Participant

    I’m not saying it was an uninformed or arbitrary decision. What I am saying, it was his decision.

    Given its political implications, I don’t know whether he’s been given the discretion to walk away if he’s not satisfied with the value offered. But if the deal does go through, I’m still disinclined to blame Parrikar for it.

    I’ve generally been impressed by him, which is why I’m confident that had it been left to the MoD, he wouldn’t have made the mistake of running the off-the-shelf acquisition and the mooted new Western production line as two separate and independent programs.

    I still don’t understand what you are driving at here. It was clearly a decision made by both Parrikar and Modi with them acting together.

    I don’t know whether you tracked the reportage of the event.

    Parrikar said he briefed Modi about how the earlier process was flawed and there was no deal possible under that. And anything new would have to come from him.

    Then there were reports of India asking for anywhere between 36 to 48 to 72 Rafales as a “new deal”.

    Finally reports emerged of the new 36 deal. Clearly MOD officials sat down to determine the new number & this was taken as a start by Modi to Hollande. Unless you think Modi was following the Rafale deal and decided 36 was enough vs 126.

    Modi also got the Areva deal with L&T which was asked of him by NPCIL etc given the issues with KK & BARC expressing its support for the effort.

    In short this is not “Modi” but the entire new “system” which has tried to recast a broken earlier program, but they have to be met midway by Dassault (on pricing for it to succeed)

Viewing 15 posts - 76 through 90 (of 1,980 total)