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Wanshan

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  • in reply to: Type 212A with a deck gun? #2027590
    Wanshan
    Participant

    Modular Multipurpose Mast (Triple M) by Gabler Maschinenbau

    Webpage: http://maschinenbau.gabler-luebeck.de/en/entwicklungen/eigenschutz/index.html
    Brochure (pdf): http://maschinenbau.gabler-luebeck.de/files/triple_m.pdf

    @Jonesy: Very similar in concept to the sail-mounted Blowpipe/Javelin mounting I’ld say, though it appears to me that that couldn’t be raised like this mast can i.e. the sub had to surface in order to use it.

    in reply to: US Senate halts F-22 funding #2414411
    Wanshan
    Participant

    I posted the numbers I have. Actually I have each & every budget going back to FY1998 readily at hand but it is quicker/easier to just post the numbers from a single document. The numbers I posted are supperted by said budgets.

    Understood, I also used budget data (from http://www.finance.hq.navy.mil/fmb/10pres/books.htm going back to FY1997)

    Unfortunately, both of the documents you posted numbers from, the document itself in a number of placed is unreadable so I don’t know if the numbers you posted are correct or if you are missing/misreading something.

    I gave a perfectly good indication of the pages, tables, columns and rows from which I took data (which I could read, for I wouldn’t have been able to post those data other wise) . So, the question is what other places you were trying to look at BESIDES the places I indicated, and from which the data matches your initial quote (so why assume an error). The differences are in the FY (what estimate) and in the cost code (what’s included).

    FY09
    http://www.finance.hq.navy.mil/FMB/09PRES/APN_BA1-4_BOOK.pdf
    (see page 26)

    FY10
    http://www.finance.hq.navy.mil/FMB/10pres/APN_BA_01-04_Justification_Book.pdf
    (see page 23)

    Both tables relate to F/A-18E/F procurement
    Quantity (of airframes) listed on the line just below column headings.
    Cost code 8 > Rec. Flyaway Cost
    Cost code 12 > Total Flyaway Cost
    Cost code 28 > Total procurement Cost

    Although I do not know what additional weapon system costs for the F/A-18E/F could possibly add up to ~$30 million per airframe at this point in the program.

    Rec. Flywaway costs comprises: airframe, electronics, engine, armament (sum of cost codes 1 through 7).

    The difference between Rec. Flyaway Cost and Total Flyaway Cost is from:
    + Cost code 9: Non-Recur Cost
    + Cost code 10: Ancillary Equip
    + Costcode 11: other ‘support’

    The difference between Total Flyaway Cost and Procurement cost is from:
    + Cost code 21: support cost (sum of cost codes 13 thru 20)
    – Cost code 23: advanced procurement credit
    + Cost code 25: advanced procurement calender year
    + Cost code 27: Initial spares:
    (Cost codes 22, 24, 26 are subtotals)

    The difference therefor is in support costs, initial spares, and ‘government accounting’ (i.e. shuffling money back and forth between FYs and CYs)

    At any rate what needs to be is apples-to-apples. If you are comparing based on flyaway cost then all being compared must be flyaway cost, if you are comparing based on weapons system cost then all being compared must be weapons system cost, et cetera.

    Indeed.

    Yes I did.

    page 43 of pdf
    F-35 Flyaway Unit Cost
    FY2007: $247.450 million (02)
    FY2008: $215.035 million (06)
    FY2009: $199.489 million (08)
    FY2010: $158.546 million (12)
    FY2011: $124.580 million (24)
    FY2012: $101.726 million (42)
    FY2013: $091.223 million (48)
    Total Program (average): $083.131 million Not here: here’s over 1600 airframes > who can tell today that this is what will actually be sold/ordered in future?

    page 55 of pdf
    F-22 Flyaway Unit Cost
    FY2007: $136.826 million (20)
    FY2008: $137.467 million (20)
    FY2009: $146.388 million (20)
    Total Program (average): $154.267 million
    Not here: how many airframes ? > who can tell today that this is what will actually be sold/ordered in future?

    Exactly. It continues to drop each & every year until some time after 2015 when full rate production is underway. That is why accelerating LRIP procurement & procuring 150 more F-35s during FY2010-FY2015 (amazing how there is/was no money for additional F-22s but that without any additional F-22 procurement there is money for 150 more LRIP F-35s that will cost about the same as 100-120 additional F-22s would) is more expensive than sticking to the plan & procuring those 150 F-35s during full rate production.

    The F-22 has 2 handicaps. F-22 and F-35 for US yield a hi-lo mix of aircraft. Obviously, all other things being equal, the more advanced F-22 should/will cost more than the less advanced F-35. Another key difference between F-35 (lo) and F-22 (hi) is that F-35 development has foreign partners and exports are foreseen (and are more likely). The F-22 was for US consumption only/mainly. That automatically means a smaller production run for F-22, and higher per unit costs. IMHO

    in reply to: US Senate halts F-22 funding #2414671
    Wanshan
    Participant

    FY 2009 Budget Estimates
    AIRCRAFT PROCUREMENT AIR FORCE, VOLUME I

    http://www.saffm.hq.af.mil/shared/media/document/AFD-080204-081.pdf

    page 43 of pdf
    F-35 Flyaway Unit Cost
    FY2007: $247.450 million (02)
    FY2008: $215.035 million (06)
    FY2009: $199.489 million (08)
    FY2010: $158.546 million (12)
    FY2011: $124.580 million (24)
    FY2012: $101.726 million (42)
    FY2013: $091.223 million (48)
    Total Program (average): $083.131 million

    page 55 of pdf
    F-22 Flyaway Unit Cost
    FY2007: $136.826 million (20)
    FY2008: $137.467 million (20)
    FY2009: $146.388 million (20)
    Total Program (average): $154.267 million

    Numbers are in then year dollars. So the FY2007, FY2008 & FY2009 dollars are the same dollars but the Total Program (average) dollars are not comparable since the F-35 Total Program goes through 2035 where as the F-22 Total Program (in the reference document) only goes through 2009 (it only goes through the 183 F-22s).

    Of course if we were continuing to procure more F-22’s the price would still be decreasing & if we were procuring them at more than 20 per year the price would be lower as well. It has been said that if we were to procure an additional 100 (over the 183) that the price would drop to below $120 million.

    In other words, the cost of the F-35 won’t reach ~1/2 the $140 million average of the last 60 F-22 until it reaches full-rate production.

    If we were to procure a significant number of additional F-22s & we assume that for FY2010-FY1012 the average cost were ~$10 million less than then for FY2010-FY1012 then those F-22’s would cost (average per airframe) almost exactly what is projected (average) for the FY2010-FY1012 F-35s. So cutting the F-22 & buying more LRIP F-35s doesn’t really save much if any money – all it does is buy more high cost LRIP F-35s that actually cost about the same as additional F-22’s would.

    And that is just point 1. Your points 2 & 3 are complete speculation with absolutely no basis in fact.

    WIth the F/A-18E/F example, you used procurement cost (whereas I used flyaway cost, which you considered wrong). Yet here, you use flyaway unit cost. So, what does it need to be?

    ALso, you’re not listing number of unit here. The program average F35 is severely affected by the 1621 aircraft beyond FY2013, out of a total of 1763

    in reply to: US Senate halts F-22 funding #2415055
    Wanshan
    Participant

    DEPARTMENT OF THE NAVY FISCAL YEAR (FY) 2009 BUDGET ESTIMATES
    AIRCRAFT PROCUREMENT, NAVY Volume I: BUDGET ACTIVITIES 1- 4

    F/ A- 18E/ F (FIGHTER) HORNET (MYP)
    Unit Cost ($ M)
    FY2007 $74.759
    FY2008 $87.765
    FY2009 $83.486
    FY2010 $90.628
    FY2011 $93.024
    FY2012 $78.865
    FY2013 $82.733

    DEPARTMENT OF THE NAVY FISCAL YEAR (FY) 2010 BUDGET ESTIMATES
    JUSTIFICATION OF ESTIMATES MAY 2009
    AIRCRAFT PROCUREMENT, NAVY
    Volume I: BUDGET ACTIVITIES 1-4

    see page 23; columns 4 through 9;

    cost code 8 (rec. flyaway cost)
    FY 2008 unit cost = 52,215.546
    FY 2009 unit cost = 54,668.689 < my number for FY 2009
    FY 2010 unit cost = 61,725.599

    cost code 12 (total flyaway cost)
    FY 2008 unit cost = 2,289,464.932/37 = 61,877.431
    FY 2009 unit cost = 1,417,297.313/23 = 61,621.622
    FY 2010 unit cost = 663,412.169/9 = 73,712.463

    cost code 28 (procurement cost)
    FY 2008 unit cost = 2,784,795.000/37 = 75,264.730
    FY 2009 unit cost = 1,865,650.000/23 = 81,115.217
    FY 2010 unit cost = 1,063,655.000/9 = 118,183.889

    Your source:

    DEPARTMENT OF THE NAVY FISCAL YEAR (FY) 2009 BUDGET ESTIMATES
    JUSTIFICATION OF ESTIMATES FEBRUARY 2008
    AIRCRAFT PROCUREMENT, NAVY
    Volume I: BUDGET ACTIVITIES 1-4

    see page 26; columns 4 through 9;

    cost code 8 (rec. flyaway cost)
    FY 2007 unit cost = 53,734.000
    FY 2008 unit cost = 55,066.000
    FY 2009 unit cost = 55,429.000

    cost code 12 (total flyaway cost)
    FY 2007 unit cost = 2,319,853.000/37 = 62,698.730
    FY 2008 unit cost = 1,631,725.000/24 = 67,988.542
    FY 2009 unit cost = 1,486,303.000/23 = 64,621.870

    cost code 28 (procurement cost)
    FY 2007 unit cost = 2,766,098.000/37 = 74,759.405
    FY 2008 unit cost = 2,106,370.000/24 = 87,765.417
    FY 2009 unit cost = 1,920,168.000/23 = 83,485.565 < your number for FY2009

    in reply to: US Senate halts F-22 funding #2415566
    Wanshan
    Participant

    $1.75 billion divided by seven aircraft is Weapon System Unit Cost not Flyaway Unit Cost…

    It is insane to assume that procuring just seven F-22s in one year would result in comparable per unit cost as 60 over three years.

    The point really is that anti-Raptor fanatics deliberately mislead everyone as the the cost of the F-22 by comparing non-comparable cost (such as total program unit of the F-22 vs flyaway unit cost of everything else). Add to that the fact that the F-22’s cost is still artifictially high due to insanely low production numbers (the cost is/was still dropping).

    I’m all for Raptor and have no interest in misstating costs. Just did a quick calculation. If you have better data or a better calculation with the same data, please do present it.

    Dassault Rafale: 120 ordered, 68 delivered as of June 2009
    Program cost €27.82 billion (2006)
    Unit cost
    Rafale C: €64 million, US$82.3 million (flyaway cost, 2008)
    Rafale M: €70 million, US$90.5 million (flyaway cost, 2008)

    Saab Gripen
    Number built: 213 as of December 2008[update]
    Unit cost US$40-61 million (export price VAT excluded)

    Eurofighter Typhoon
    Number built 146 (as of May 2008)
    471 ordered (as of January 2009)
    Unit cost GB£69.3 million
    i.e.
    1 GB£ = $1.64096 now > $113.7m
    1 GB£ = $1.44287 last january > $100.0m
    1 GB£ = $1.9749 in may 2008 > $136,9m

    in reply to: US Senate halts F-22 funding #2415573
    Wanshan
    Participant

    And what would an F-16 cost if we only made 187 of them?

    Surely less than an F-15

    Unit cost of F/A-18E/F is US$54.7 million (2009 flyaway cost) [Number built >350 as of 2008 ]

    in reply to: US Senate halts F-22 funding #2416861
    Wanshan
    Participant

    The $1.75bn (£1.1bn) would have funded the construction of seven extra F-22 fighters, in addition to the 187 jets already being built.

    That’s an astonishing $250.000.000 unit cost!
    $46,75 billion for 187 units …

    in reply to: Navies news from around the world #2028236
    Wanshan
    Participant

    The littoral combat ship Independence (LCS 2) underway

    The littoral combat ship Independence (LCS 2) underway during builder’s trials. Builder’s trials are the first opportunity for the shipbuilder and the U.S. Navy to operate the ship underway, and provide an opportunity to test and correct issues before acceptance trials.

    A second SeaRAM could easily be added to the hangar roof. As could 2×2 or 2×4 Harpoon.

    in reply to: Navies news from around the world #2028238
    Wanshan
    Participant

    Hardly “advanced”:eek:

    ‘Based on’ is not ‘same as’

    One might adopt the basic hull design and a similar powerplant (reactor) but otherwise fit the sub out with modern russian, western and/or indigenous equipment, and apply modern means of noise dampening.

    in reply to: F310 vs F100 #2028243
    Wanshan
    Participant

    LCF VLS modules when it was built originally are tactical length, and would have required upgrading if Tomahawks were ordered. I’m not sure if they have been upgraded, which they might do since they are looking to get into the BMD game.

    Interest in adding Maritime Tactical Ballistic Missile Defence (MTBMD) capability is not recent, nor is that in adding Tomahawk capability.

    A navy study of 2005 mentions both in relation to Mk41. It at least suggest current VLUs are capable of launching BMD-versions of Standard missile and Tactical Tomahawk block IV (TacTom). There is no mention of any modification of current launchers or their swapping out for (a) strike length module(s).
    Marine studie 2005 (dutch) see p.13-14
    http://www.defensie.nl/_system/handlers/generaldownloadHandler.ashx?filename=/media/Kamerbrief_marinestudie_tcm46-114383.pdf

    If indeed fitted with Tactical Mk41, then unless the LCF was designed with space and weight reserved for Strike Mk41, there will have to be structural modifications to the ship. Surely this would be noted in policy docs. (as it would increase the cost of any such projects)

    The 2003 ‘state of the union’ adress by the Queen (troonrede) states that the Mk41s on the LCF can fire Tactom.
    http://www.hcss.nl/en/download/62/file/20031015_ccss_survey_1.pdf (see p5)

    So does this DoD study:
    Studie “Grote Oppervlakteschepen Koninklijke marine”
    Deelstudie 3 Ondersteuning landoptreden door LC-fregat
    en
    Deelstudie 4 Vergelijking kruisvluchtwapens en stand off wapens
    http://www.defensie.nl/_system/handlers/generaldownloadHandler.ashx?filename=/media/DS34_Studie_GOSKM_tcm46-114897.pdf (see p 12)

    If it can fire TacTom, it is strike length.

    Indeed, this is what Lockheed Martin says:
    “All four new Dutch “LCF” Air Defense and Command frigates will be equipped with Lockheed Martin’s MK41 Vertical Launch System to launch SM2 and ESSM missiles. Each LCF ship has five strike-length launch modules installed. “
    http://www.lockheedmartin.com/europe/netherlands/

    in reply to: Russian Navy News & Discussion Thread Part II #2028247
    Wanshan
    Participant

    MOSCOW, July 15 (RIA Novosti) – The United States was unable to detect the presence of Russian strategic submarines in the Arctic before they test-launched two ballistic missiles, a Russian intelligence source said on Wednesday.

    They have no way of knowing if they were detected or not.

    Unless they meant the US wasn’t able to detect the presence of submarines because there weren’t any there. That’s merely a matter of how long before the test-launch.

    (spin)

    in reply to: F310 vs F100 #2028321
    Wanshan
    Participant

    And the MK41 VLS on the “Sachsen” and “De Zeven Provinzien” are tatical lenght.
    Cheers

    The basic module is available in three sizes: Strike, Tactical and Self-
    Defense. The Strike module is approximately 25 feet (7.6 meters) long and
    capable of launching the largest missiles such as those that support sea-based midcourse ballistic missile defense and long-range strike. The Tactical module is approximately 22 feet (6.7 meters) long and capable of accommodating the same missile types as the Strike, except for the Tomahawk land attack cruise missile and those missiles designed for a SMD role. The Tactical module is currently being integrated and installed in ships of the Turkish and Australian navies. The Self-Defense module, at just more than 17 feet (5.2 meters), is ideal for meeting the mission requirements of offshore patrol vessels, corvettes, small frigates and amphibious ships.

    http://www.lockheedmartin.com/data/assets/ms2/pdf/MK41_VLS_factsheet.pdf

    LCF (DZP class) supposedly equipped in such a way as to be able to fire Tomahawk (though these have not been purchased: planned procurement of the missile got cancelled ). That pretty much rules out the Tactical length VLU as the standard VLU on these ships (unless a single strike length module were to be installed as the 6th VLU module, or – absent additional VLU modules – a tactical module were to be swapped out with a strike module. In both cases, however, there would either have to be below deck space available for the extra length of the strike module (7 feet worth > 1 deck), or an external enlargement (7 ft) would have to be built at the level of the main deck. Neither option is very likely.)
    See: here and here

    in reply to: Navies news from around the world #2028328
    Wanshan
    Participant

    Nice sense of perspective here – its only a ship for crying out loud :rolleyes:

    Sacrebleu! Vous etez sur?

    (C’est la sauce qui fait passer le poisson 🙂

    in reply to: Navies news from around the world #2028437
    Wanshan
    Participant

    I’m sorry but i find this really hard to belive. I can’t see russia getting ships built in other countries yards. AMybe they need the designs so they can build them there selves but i just can’t see this happening. Russia has cheaper Labour, Empty Ship yards and lots of unemployed. I don’t see the point in building anywhere else.

    Hulls built in China, fitted out in Russia? :diablo:

    in reply to: F310 vs F100 #2028684
    Wanshan
    Participant

    The Norwegian frigates are a derivative of the F-100 class but have a different command system (a development of the Kongsberg MSI-3000) and the French Spherion bow sonar. The Norwegian ships, however, will retain the AEGIS/SPY-1 system of the F-100. They will use the new SPY-1F lightweight version controlling Evolved SeaSparrow Missiles.

    In March 2002, the existing F-85 (Norwegian frigate) and F-100 (Spanish frigate) members of the family were joined by a new Izar-Lockheed Martin design, a 2,600-ton AEGIS corvette. It was the smallest AEGIS ship yet
    designed, made possible by the introduction of a further downsized version of the SPY-1 radar, the SPY-1K.

    http://www.forecastinternational.com/samples/F670_CompleteSample.pdf
    page 6/7 (14/15)

Viewing 15 posts - 1,681 through 1,695 (of 3,544 total)