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Schorsch

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  • in reply to: Tornado Replacement #2474902
    Schorsch
    Participant

    I thought the whole “supersonic, very low level, terrain following” idea is being replaced by the idea of stealth, the F-35. No need to fly under the radar,but slip through it.

    While it wouldn’t necessarily hurt if you are stealthy and fly low.
    However, that is somehow limited to few applications.

    in reply to: MiG and Sukhoi #2476017
    Schorsch
    Participant

    MiG-29 has accomodated 950+ export orders out of ca 1500 produced so far.. That makes it a very successful export type already. The prices of Su-30 series and MiG-29SMT/K are pretty close and customers usually pick the more impressive design.

    How many are post Soviet?
    How many actually had a choice (political/financial)?

    Fact is that the majority were sold just via price, while the Suchoi – especially later versions – have their stand on the international market reasoned by performance and some unique features.

    By the way: 950. Where are all these airframes?

    in reply to: Tornado Replacement #2476292
    Schorsch
    Participant

    the Tornado can achieve mach 1.3 at low level. The latest Gr4 varient, and most Gr1’s, I believe had there intake ramps removed and will not go supersonic at low level with stores.

    In an operational scenario, supersonic speed at deck is quite unlikely. The USAF actually wanted just that with the F-111, but sobering experience is that the achievable Mach 1.1-1.3 at deck do not justify the 2-3 times higher fuel burn compared to M0.8-0.9.

    The Tornado can break the barrier with stores, but they need to be “supersonic”, means quite a lot do not qualify for it.

    in reply to: The awesomeness of European shipyards. #2057435
    Schorsch
    Participant

    I would add the U212, the nasty surprise.

    I guess especially the USN always looks at the big picture, maybe sometimes too big: the stealthy long endurance fight-’em’all Überkreuzer, packed with lots of weapons whose abbreviations begin with “J”.

    in reply to: MiG and Sukhoi #2476828
    Schorsch
    Participant

    Yeah, would have been interesting as I truly believe there is a bigger potentail market for a lighter 5th-gen fighter than one of the PAK-FA size. Just look at the sales and number of countries that purchased the MiG-29 family vs. Su-27 family.

    —–JT—–

    While the lack of MiG-29 orders is less connected to its size, but rather that it cannot compete in its basic version with the then available Suchoi 27. The Russians concentrated investments in the Suchoi 27.

    90% of all MiG-29 are of the “A” model and were conceptually outdated in many aspects in the early 1990s.

    in reply to: USN "super carriers" too big? #2057515
    Schorsch
    Participant

    I obviously tend to agree. My big concern (at the risk of restarting an ongoing controversy) is that if the USN is limited to the Super Hornet, the capability and flexibility of its supercarriers will be drastically underutilized and could legitimately be called into question. Bring on the F-35 and UCAVS!

    Developing a carrier fighter from an existing design takes 3-5 years.
    Even a navalized F-22 is thinkable. Not likely, but technically feasible.
    I agree on your remarks about flexibility: even Essex class carriers served well in Vietnam, although 20 years old in design.

    Major concern of carrier design is how bring maximum effectiveness out of the ship, means how to generate most sorties with given resource. A reason for the large US carriers is their large sortie rate, something they already topped all other carriers in WW2.

    in reply to: USN "super carriers" too big? #2057699
    Schorsch
    Participant

    Remember that a large proportion of the aircraft on a Nimitz is proposed to be defensive. I doubt that a smaller vessels holding a smaller aircraft detachment still can survive in hostile environment and retain an effective offensive punch.

    The question is how large the aircraft detachment is and that somehow determines the size of ship and crew. A key element is to keep the average size of the aircraft small as it reduces maintenance crew, space requirement, deck requirement and needed fuel.

    in reply to: Nato intercepts – Why? #2478884
    Schorsch
    Participant

    Why do NATO aircraft intercept Russian aircraft? If they are no threat, and you know what they are, why intercept them?

    Is it purely to help them navigate through civilian airspace where airtraffic is heavy? And if so, why can’t that be done via radio? Does the interception make any difference to the flightpath of the Russian aircraft?

    Is it all built up tension because of the Ukraine and others wanting to join Nato?

    Jay
    UK

    We should add that successful intercepts are reported, but those that didn’t occur or haven’t been successful are normally not reported. So we hear of intercepts every other day, but probably we don’t know how often Russian aircraft fly their normal flight plan, are monitored by radar and no additional jet fuel is expended and the QRA pilots can enjoy another day of pointless TV shows.

    in reply to: USN "super carriers" too big? #2057894
    Schorsch
    Participant

    Good question. I’d say the fleet could be cut back substantially.

    Because he already paid the bill and any bail-out wouldn’t save the big amounts. And the US carriers are one the few trustworthy guarantees for stability in the world, better than nukes and ICBM.

    Sure, for peacetime steaming through friendly oceans the carriers are too big, 60 aircraft are still too much, and more than two escorts are waste.
    But carriers are built for war with powerful enemies.

    I think it is wise to continue to built carriers at about one every four to five years. At the same time keeping sea time low, having always lots of ships in port, keeping down crew and cutting active air detachments. In times of crises there is the option to grow the actual numbers by 50% quickly.

    Current cruises are 75% aimed at keeping capability of aircrew and ship crew.

    And stop picking on the Super Hornet. 390nm operational radius for inderdiction isn’t that bad, actually quite OK. Which Navy aircraft (except the A-6) was better (hint: the F-14 wasn’t)?

    in reply to: Use of aircraft for anti piracy ops. #2479363
    Schorsch
    Participant

    Fabe, I am not so sure that Schorsch was serious there.

    I would say something like a LHD to be present in the area. Something like WASP and Mistral (or Huan Carlos I when ready). They can carry all kinds of helicopters (from surveillance to attack versions), fast speed boats (to carry commandos) and stay on the station for long periods.

    Correct, I was not.
    But I think such problems that undergo the military overkill of current days can better be solved with just bribing some locals. Of course, that would mean fighting injustice with even injustice, we won’t win friends down there and in the end nobody can claim a nobel victory. But does anyone expect anything else?
    At the moment I increasingly see that admirals see a good chance of reasoning their multimillion USD budgets. The NATO navies can hunt Russian subs in the Barents Sea, but are unable to protect our future DVDs players in the Gulf of Aden.

    in reply to: Use of aircraft for anti piracy ops. #2480471
    Schorsch
    Participant

    How about taking ~50 million USD, taking them to a hostile clan, equip them with some old fashioned gun boats (retired stuff) and let them go on patrol in front of the ports of Somalia?

    in reply to: MiG and Sukhoi #2480534
    Schorsch
    Participant

    http://www.cheesebuerger.de/images/smilie/konfus/c028.gif

    So whats gonna be the name of this new corporation? What will the aircraft be designated? Mikoyan Sukhoi? MiS-35?

    *head implodes*

    This is no merger of equals, rather MiG is attached to Suchoi and can run its remaining projects under its umbrella (MiG-35) and do after sales support.

    But basically we see the status of the formerly WIA changed to officially KIA.

    Schorsch
    Participant

    I pointed this out before, and no one really talked about it. Israel has had nukes for years, well we “believe” they have nukes, to play that game. Question is, why hasn’t anyone else in the middle east decided they need nukes too?

    I think this comes down to more than Israel and Iran, let alone any other “ME” country. One thing any ME country knows is, well, at least in the past, is that Israel will not act “outwardly” without the US’s consent…..(ok flame me now, I am, and admit, playing simplistics). However, I have heard, and maybe my source is wrong, but that if Iran were to get Nukes, it would set off a Nuke program in every country in the ME that could do/afford it…..namely, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, etc etc etc, hell we all know they have enough oil money, if need be, they can. Does this argument have any water? Id like to know, as some people know I have no problem waving my flag, but I still wana know the whole story.

    Fact is that if Israel ruins the Iranian nuclear program the whole Middle East will protest with one voice … publicly.
    Actually they (incl. Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Eqypt, Jordania, Pakistan, Turkey, UAE) will applauder as they have no interest in a nuclear Iran. For most countries mentioned a nuclear Israel is no real problem, as Israel does not try to get hegemonic power over the region. Also, Israel is always very much bound to the USA, so they don’t act totally inadequate but normally seek backing at least to some extent in Washington (and Washington has wider interests going in the same direction with most ME governments).
    A nuclear Iran in the opposite is a nightmare for most countries, especially with a government which has the set goal of overthrowing all non-islamistic governments in the region.
    For this reason I don’t find the idea too far stretched that Israel might use Saudi airspace for an attack. Of course, this cannot be done based on an official agreement, but the Saudis can look the other way when Israeli jets fly low through the desert to get to their intermediate airports or airborne tankers in Iraq. The way back they can do high altitude via Jordan. The few F-16A Jordan has can make a symbolic act of opposition, or just stuff it.

    See my signature.

    in reply to: Norwegian Government select JSF #2481414
    Schorsch
    Participant

    If you wage war on a regular basis, it gets cheaper to drop bombs from a LO aircraft.
    If you seldom or never wage war, it gets cheaper to have a stock of stand-off missiles so you don’t have to hassle with SAM’s in the first place.
    I also think its questionable to go within bombing range with double digit SAM’s with an F-35, you’d probably still need to still invest in a stock of stand-off missiles.

    So, what do you think, how many wars did Norway assume in order to come to the present conclusion?

    Schorsch
    Participant

    Not so bad scenario(most likely in response to Israeli attack):
    Iran retaliate by launching a salvo of 10 or so conventionally armed Shahab-3 missiles at the Dimona reactor plant.

    Somewhat bad scenario:
    Iran orders Hezbollah(from South Lebanon) to launches its 42,000 rockets toward Israel in retaliation. Some rockets now have the range to reach Dimona.
    http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1040546.html

    Very bad scenario(improbable, but possible):
    Pakistan “lend” Iran a couple of 35kt nuclear warheads to armed its Shahab-3 missiles. Since those warheads weigh only around 450 lb, it’s small enough to mount on the Shahab-3.

    I use bold letters so people read what I say:
    The Iranian missiles do not have the capability to effectively destroy the Dimona facility, their CEP is too bad. Only armed with nuclear warheads of considerable yield they would be effective in destroying a military-industrial target.
    Anything else is for show only.
    A second strike would only demonstrate Iran’s inability and underline the currently underdeveloped stage of its missiles (which are basically upscaled Scuds).

Viewing 15 posts - 886 through 900 (of 3,480 total)