I see that the link do not work.The data are from wikipedia and they quote the IMF statistaics. Here are the figures (I used copy/paste) :
About the cumulated GDP of US and EU that’s 26.364 bn if you are from Europe or 26,364 bn if you are from US (.instead of , as 3 digit separators:) )It is true that the GDP adjusted after purchasing power would push the Chinese close to US. However, the Chinese themself strongly oppose that type of calculation and do not pretend to have a higher GDP.
I did not pretend being an economist, I just quote some data I find on net… Sorry :diablo:
Now your stats seem more agreeable… thanks!
Purchasing power is very important because it measures the relative worth of the currency and currently I believe the chinese Yuan is under valued being pegged to the american dollar… but pegging isn’t all that bad since it protects the currency and creat stability. In 90s asian economic crisis it’s the yuan pegging of the dollar that saved the whole of asia form further damage and unstability. The problem only arises that after pedding the dollar its very hard to drop the pegging since there is a excess of investment in China from foreign sources that are not really into developing then as to wait for the Yuan to hike in value. These enormous amounts of money will generate unforseeable damage to the chinese economy and that is the reason why the chinese government resist the pressure raising the value of the Yuan.
There are some implications why the chinese government don’t want to measure the GDP in PPP.
1) If Chinese GDP is measured in PPP then it would rake 2nd or 3rd then it would not bode well if China is still a developing nation…
2) GDP by PPP raises the GDP of underdeveloped nations by hypotheical margin, way bigger than the ture value of the GDP thus it is inaccurate as well.
Really?
According to the International Monetary Fund (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_%28nominal%29),
the GDP of US + EU= 26.364 bn $;
the GDP of China + India =2.592 bn $
That means that the GDP of China +India is 10 times less the GDP of US+EU.
So, how on earth the western economic supremacy “no longer exists and hasn’t been for some time now”?
China and India could well have the most dynamic economies, with the highest growing rate, but they have a long way until they could challenge the western supremacy (if ever)…China a menace for Australia? :p
China is not taken seriously by Taiwan, so how can became a threat for Australia?
Where are you getting the stats??? International Monetary Fund web site is at http://www.imf.org… I don’t know what you are even trying to say! China has a trade surplus of 16 Bn in the fist quarter of Fiscal year 2005.
The total of US + EU GDP is only 26.364 bn??? Youโre crazy!
World Bank compilation rate Chinese GDP at $1,417,000,000,000 USD
http://devdata.worldbank.org/data-query/
that is 1417 billion dollars if you can count correctly.
US are rated at $10,948,546,920,448.
SO in a sense China isn’t on a comparative level with the United States yet but the GDP scale by USD isn’t a very accurate measurement in itself as it does not take into consideration the exchange rate and the purchasing power of the currency. GDP is only a relative comparative value good for comparing countries with similar economies but rather poor at comparing a developing nation to a developed nation.
The west have already lost its edge in low tech manufacturing sector due to cheap labour in china. There is no turning back the situation as underdeveloped country can and should take advantage of the cheap labour market. Both EU and US should shift their economy toward high tech developement instead of the labour intensive products. The only problem with EU and US lies with that taking those industries out of the economy takes time without having to resort to massive unemployment. That is what’s really going on with the textile trade dispute between china and both the EU and US. But by the actions of imposing a quota they basically went against all the reasoning behind free trade and WTO… Some people here blabber on about economics yet without the slightest understand of the subject.
US and india fighting over goa??? one US carrier group will be sufficent to sink the entire indian navy.
The marines will certainly spearhead the attack,and they will take goa in 1 or 2 days(assuming its only a convential war) no need to call in the army.Indian army will be pulverised by airstrikes from the US carrier.
I hope you don’t mean pulverised by a single carrier group…
It will definately take the whole of USN to concentrate their resources if the USAF is not involved as proposed by the author… Look at Iraq and you can see how long it takes the USN + USAF to pulverised them completely. It will take many times more time to crack Indian air defences…
Lets not forget that we are talking about two nuclear power here… Not that India has any proven nuclear threats to the US homeland but if a carrier group was ever caught in a nuke strike… then it would definately cost a lot of lives…
with 8 billion USD budget constraint…
i’d get
4 squad of FC 1 for point defence…with PL-12 as BVR and HMS coupled IR would more than make a decent point defence fighter
1 squad of JH-7A or Su-30 MKK for antishipping.
Some Ka-31 AEW or the SAAB erieye or Y-8 AWACS…
and some cheap medium range sam systems like the KS-1A, I-Hawk.
Gotta love the drawings of a PLAAF Tu-160 too ๐ This guy has certainly gotten the whole “the sky is falling” thing down. Kopp needs to quit pretending to be an analyst and work as a lobbyist for Lockheed.
Did find this though.
Nah he should work for the CIA instead…
he can make big $$$ passing hearsay for fact.
Sounds like another member of the tinfoil hat society.
Remind me again how many Tu-22, Tu-96, and Tu-160 china is actually fielding. That’s a big nada!!!
Not even in the near future too… at least the russian will only sell the Tu-22, Tu-96, but it seems the PLAAF isn’t really interested or have their eyes on bigger fish…
It’s people like him that cry wolf when ever there is some small talk about russians wanting to release arms. if you think he’s on the right track then Auzzies definately need to get the grossly overkill F-22 purchase just to satisfy your ego.
another one of those nut case babbling about fictious chinese capabilities… i guess he’s doing exactly what washington wants him to do..
Some vague site reports the following alarming news:
China builds submarine base near Malacca Straits
China is building a submarine base on an Indonesian island close to the Malacca Straits. Australia has protested the submarine base plan, according to diplomatic sources. The base would be the first Chinese naval base outside China.Source: http://www.east-asia-intel.com/eai/
Nice, Chinese subs in the straits ๐
Cool the PLAN finally make a move to ensure its ability to blockade…
This base could effectively block all traffic from SE asia and espically Japan…
I guess this is official news…???
China would have to seriously consider the Air Defense Threat that ships of USN, JMSDF, and Korean Navy in any conflict with Taiwan. This threat will only grow with the addition of Royal Australian Navy AAW Destroyers that are in the planning stages now. Combined with American Carrier Battle Groups. They would provide a major obstacle for China in any conflict with Taiwan. Further, the USN is converting large SSBN’s to SSGN’s in the near future. These ships could attack hundreds of target with almost at will :dev2:
You make it sound like it’s everyone against china…
Sadly the realistic veiw would probably be no one except US will be involved and even then there would be a great lack of enthusiasm. This point veiw is clearly shared in every administration. Remember Bush commenting that there is no obligation for the US to get involved and clearly Taiwan is required to defende herself independantly for at least the first few month without any external support.
Btw we are off topic… we are argueing the potential of top asian DDGs not politics so please drop this useless arguement.
I guess so but 2 of those are barely enough to cover even 1 fleet let alone 3 and An-12/Y-8 doesnt have the range if PLAN wants to deploy farther away. As i mentioned b4 it doesnt seem to have datalink. As for erieye type awacs, no one even knows what it is and besides its for PLAAF i dont see them sparing any to PLAN in time of conflict since they themselves dont have much to enough.
2 are spotted but 6-8 set of the radar was ordered so there may be more out there…
there are many types of Y-8… the AEW, MPA, and balance beam AEW testbed, elint and sigint.
Y-8J Cub
This new airborne early warning (AEW) variant of Y-8 (Project 515? HY-8?) was first spotted near Shanghai. It may feature a Searchwater/Skymaster surveillance radar housed in a enlarged, slightly dropped nose radome, a configuration similar to the smaller Britten Norman Defender twinturboprop for ground and maritime patrol and AEW roles. Six to eight sets of this radar system were purchased by China in 1996 from UK’s Racal for $66m. The Searchwater radar has been used onboard RAF Nimrod maritime patrol aircraft and RN Sea King AEW helicopters, with a quoted range of 210km. So far at least two Y-8J AEW platforms {serial numbers 9281, 9301) have been converted by Shannxi Aircraft Industry Corporation (SAC) and both are in service with PLAN. It was speculated that the aircraft could be used to provide targetting information for long-range anti-ship missiles, but this has not been confirmed. This AEW variant is believed to be far less capable than KJ-2000 AWACS being evaluated by PLAAF but can be regarded as a stop-gap measure for PLAN until a fully capabable AWACS enters the service.
Y-8X (Xun, Surveillance) is PLAN’s first long-range maritime patrol aircraft (MPA)(range 5,600km). It is essentially a Y-8/An-12 transport aircraft equipped with a Litton AN/APS-504(V)3 surface search radar in an enlarged undernose radome plus western navigational systems for long range patrols over the sea. The aircraft also carries optical and IR cameras and sonobuoys. One of the drawbacks is that the aircraft is unarmed, but the it does have the potential to carry a heavy load of weapons. Around 3 Y-8Xs are believed in service with PLA Naval Aviation (serial numbers 9261, 9271, 9281?) stationed in Shangdong Province. They have been carrying out series of long-range intelligence gathering missions near the coast of Japan and South Korea, prompting interceptions by F-15s and F-16s from the latter two countries.
Im wondering why the US cant seem to stand up to Frances role in all of this. France has built nuclear reactors for both Iraq and Iran and the US has done nothing even close as to ask them to stop.
I would gather that the purpose of the reactors are to generate electricity… not biulding nukes. France is one of the largest comsumers of nuclear energy comprising of a massive 70% of total electricity generated by nulear means. There is nothing wrong with generating electricity and France simply porvide a means to do that. What Iran decides to do with the spent fuel is chiefly up to the Iranian government and of no consiquence to France.
The facts are that until Iran started its nuclear program, not in a single ocasion did US mass forces at Iran border,draw plans for an invasion or even speakofan attack. The Airbus incident was regretable,but unlike the hostage taking of UA diplomats, not planed or even wanted.
Ronald Rumsfeld openly advised to president Bush to attack Iraq or Iran immediately 911. The reasoning behind such a dicision was that there was nothing to bomb in afghanistan!
Greenspan himself admitted in an press conference that increasing the value of the Yuan will have many immediate setbacks for China in the short run this is not in the best of interest of the Chinese. He himself would not advise that. Now what the americans fail to realize is that the relative weak economy after 911 is not due to the chinese imports as these markets are dominated by cheap labour and this trend is not going to change. Rather than compete with these competetive and low cost products the american investors should really change their focus toward high tech, high cost niche markets.
Like I said, if they act irrationally, the response would dictate that they are never able to do so again. Ever. I doubt they’re stupid, they just have different motives and thought processes than we do.
exactly… I think Iran gearing up towrads WMD is more of a political move rather than strategical importance. More in the sence as to irratate the US than actually using it agains the US soil…
Why would we worry about the Russians doing something stupid? We had Kennedy and McNamara being stupid enough for the both of us ๐
Totally agree with you here… Those burocrats did make a hell of a dangerous bluff. In a sence Khrushchev really deserves a nobel peace prize for stepping down peacefully…
How is MPA and AWACS program gonna assist in naval oth targetting? for starters i dont recall Y-8 or A-50 having any such datalink capability to transmit the data it can gather and besides it operates only 3 MPA how can they provide 24 hr coverage. As for awacs its bit early to talk about things in devolopment, not to mention i dont think PLAAF can afford to spare AWACS for Maritime purpose to help out PLAN.
PLAN lacks maritime reconnaissance capability it operates only handful of airborne platforms (Y-8s) which can assist in that even when it comes to naval helicopter it doesnt have much capability.
this is from Global security… not the best of sources i know…
The first modern airborne surveillance radar purchased by the PLA was the Racal (now Thales) SKYMASTER radar. Building on its relationship with the PLA established through the 1980s sale of its CYMBERLINE artillery radar, the purchase of 6-8 SYKMASTER systems was revealed in August 1996.[87] These were to be fitted to Y-8 transports and work to that end was reported to have started later in 1996.[88] By 2001 Internet-source images were appearing of the resulting aircraft. The SKYMASTER is a version of the Racal SEARCHWATER radar used by British NIMROD patrol aircraft, on which it can detect objects as small as a submarine periscope. At first British sources justified the sale of the SKYMASTER to assist PRC coastal anti-piracy patrol missions. But in early 2000 reports emerged that the PLA was using its SKYMASTER-equipped Y-8s to vector a LUDA-class destroyers in naval exercises.[89] At altitude the Y-8/Skymaster could be used to support naval battles, especially with long-range targeting for submarines and ships, or by vectoring offensive or defensive aircraft.
A final potential source of European AWACS technology may be the Swedish Ericsson PS-890 ERIEYE active phased array radar. In early 2002 an Internet source picture appeared of a Y-8 with a planar array similar in shape to the ERIEYE. This is reported to be an active PLA program.[92] In addition, Internet source pictures have appeared of a model of a smaller Y-7 transport with the same radar. The radar shown in this later image bears a greater similarity to the ERIEYE. Inasmuch as Sweden has sold some military hardware to the PLA, such as Special Force speed boats and armored personnel carriers, it is possible that it has sold the ERIEYE or its associated technology to the PLA. It is also possible that the PLA has developed this technology indigenously. Should the PLAโs ERIEYE-like radar have a capability similar to the Swedish system, then it would have an impressive maximum search range of 450km. Because it is a phased array system, it is capable of long-range โspotโ modes in addition to wide search modes. The PLA would favor this technology because as Israel has proven, it can be adopted to incorporate intelligence missions, and as the U.S. has proven, can also be adopted to perform ground-mapping and targeting missions.
Erickson PS-890 ERIEYE
Status: No reports of sales to PLA but the PLAAF is testing a similar system
Type: S-Band Active Phased Array
Performance: 450km maximum detection range, 300km detection range for fighter-size target, has sea surveillance mode
I think we can safely conclude that PLAN has achieved or is on the verge of achiving long range detection capability… as to your point about 24hr coverage. I’d have to admit that PLAN does not have the resources to do just that yet.