How many SRBMs does the PLA require to take out the important runways in Taiwan? If you ever wanted to know the numbers required based on OR analysis, look here.

http://peacethoughstrength.blogspot.com/

The analysis is done by an amateur. Even if the role of the missiles are as he described, his equation is flawed and his reasoning even more ludicrous.
The point is not complete annihilation of all Taiwan air bases but rather how long can air operations be disrupted and most importantly by what percentage of sortie rate will be suppressed. The missiles are used to open up a window of opportunity. Even a 50% suppression upon the first wave of missile is a good investment. Then there is also the psychological effect of BM raining down on your position.

BTW these SRBM are under direct army control. Most likely It will be used as long range fire support in a cluster wave of 5 missiles. PLA historically never depended upon air superiority and intrinsically no PLA doctrine calls for complete air superiority not even the new joint high tech limited war.

The likelihood of Taiwan withstanding a all out PLA attack? Not good…according to Taiwan defense minister, ROCA can annihilate 70% of the first wave of PLA before succumbing. Which really means when it comes to a war of attrition Taiwan will lose. Coming from your own defense minister doesn’t give much confidence.

So yeah there is a difference between fan fiction and operational reality.

[QUOTE=MiG-23MLD;1248219]

The MZKT 79221 is not new(1997), at least in belarus/russia. And it was developed by belarus for the russian topol-M. If you knew that, then why did you made that question? perhabs you thought that china had developed it?…

And why do you say that these tels were probably destined for the DF-31A? Wheres the evidence? we know that china has 10 wheel ws2500 tel copied from soviet maz543, but i think thats very different from 16 wheel.

If you think this is MZKT 79221…
I seriously doubt it. No Topol-M or its TEL is going to end up in China. Russia don’t trust China enough to be supplying strategic assets.

Since I have cut down on my internet leisure time in a big way, I am unable to post stuff like I used to. But there are quite few interesting developments;

Checkout the

Beijing CIDEX 2008 exhibition thread at CDF
Plus more pictures here http://www.fyjs.cn/bbs/read.php?tid=134359&fpage=0&toread=&page=1 (Thanks to koxinga)

PS: There are several threads worth checking out in recent times at CDF:

Thanks!

The new helmet mounted display is especially interesting.

It seems like a departure from Prussian style HMS and opts for a visor holo display. They still maintain the weird protrusions for triangulating head movement.

my argument? My argument that 50m FAC (ring a bell, that is those fast and small boats with missiles and so) isent ocean going vessel and lacks the sea keeping to operate in oceanic warfare.
Or do you have in mind some ocean going 50m missile boat? If not, stop wasting my time with twisting words to suite your own end.

We are not talking about type 022 in the pacific but rather it’s utility isn’t limited to the 200km you placed. If type 022 is envisioned to patrol outcropping islands like the Spraltys then it must operate freely within the second island chain. In a sense Type 22’s limitation lies more with the target acquiring platform Y-8Xs.

here’s news coverage

China welcomes Taiwan referendum failure: media

http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSTP25061920080323

No it means they won the election. Contrary to the fantasies of many there is a very distinct difference between an election and a referendum.

The referendum was held and that failed too.

What was the point of that post, all you have done is post commonly held knowledge that does nothing to support your completely absurd notion that one election changes everything forever.

Current president Chen in a very recent meeting with Ma alluded him as being unable to protect sovereignty and accused Ma of selling out to the commies.

Unless DPP somehow wins another election in 4 years (unlikely as KMT holds majority in Legislative yuan and all the administrative assets), I don’t see a revival of anti China sentiment. China is also going to “throw them a bone” by opening more markets. The normalization of both political dialogue, bilateral trade, and especially tourism will bridge the gap in the near future.

Ma agree to the one china priciple which really all PRC calls for.