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nocutstoRAF

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Viewing 15 posts - 706 through 720 (of 948 total)
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  • in reply to: CVF Construction #2032078
    nocutstoRAF
    Participant

    Thanks Swerve so that means that 80 F-35B would cost around £6.8 billion rather than just over £7 billion I mentioned earlier – that has certainly cheered me up 😀 – now if only the F-35B was prettier I would be a happy man!

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2389516
    nocutstoRAF
    Participant

    Well if you believe the press, some of whom don’t much like Fox’s brashness then there is a big spat between Cameron & Fox anyway.

    Fox is pretty powerful in the Tory party though, and is the darling of the right wing back benchers. Whether he gets his way with Gideon remains to be seen, if it moves he wants to cut it!

    I am not personally all the right wing, but I do think defence is an area which both previous Governments and the public have underrated in current times and it is nice to see a Secretary of Defence who willing to put his own neck on the line to fight for what he sees is right – another minister would likely accept the cuts and try to spin it as being a good thing.

    Still in a couple of months we will all see how true this is.

    in reply to: CVF Construction #2032084
    nocutstoRAF
    Participant

    Hey Liger30 – looks like the cost 80 F-35B’s using the figures guesstimated from the Canadian purchase comes in at the bottom end of what Richard Beedell says on Navy Matter’s was the projected budget available.

    Still if they cut the budget by say 10% then you would only get ~ 72 F-35B’s which at this point sounds better than the figure of 50 I saw in one newspaper which caused me to come up with all sorts of crazy alternatives to the F-35B to try and push the number of aircraft up to a more useful number

    in reply to: CVF Construction #2032159
    nocutstoRAF
    Participant

    Assuming the price per plane would be about the same as the price Canada just agreed to pay for 65 F-35 for delivery 2016, LordJim’s upper range suggestion of around 80 F-35B would see a cost of ~$11.077 billion or £7.24 billion based on today’s exchange rate (based on 65 F-35’s costing $9 billion for the planes and ignoring the $7 billion support and maintenance contract as reported in the “Military Aviation News from around the world – V” thread) – does anyone else know is this the sort of money the UK has budgeted for or if the budget for the F-35B is likely to be lower (or higher)?

    I swear I have read that the UK anticipated spending £6 billion on its intial purchase of the F-35 but I cannot find the story again – which if it is true would mean the UK would be looking at an initial purchase of around 65 as well.

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2389770
    nocutstoRAF
    Participant

    Looks like Liam Fox has blasted back in the press at George Osborne warning that changing the rules so that Trident is paid for by the MoD budget would reduce the capabilities of the armed forces – I never thought I like a politician as much as I seem to be liking Liam Fox currently (famous last words!)

    http://news.aol.co.uk/uk-news/fox-warning-over-trident-cut-threat/article/20100718060914152831827

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2391426
    nocutstoRAF
    Participant

    Just seen this news story – HM Treasury expect the Trident replacement to come from core MoD budget rather than from ring-fenced funds outside the MoD’s budget as been the previous Governments plan’s – if it happens it could have a very large impact on the SDSR.

    http://www.defencemanagement.com/news_story.asp?id=13517

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2391870
    nocutstoRAF
    Participant

    Interestingly I just read an article suggesting that the UOR system of buying military off the shelf solutions that are just good enough is no more risky in terms of failure to deliver the capabilities required than current MoD procurement practices – so it suggests that a more long term version of the UOR might be implemented – indeed it might be that this is how MoD saves money in the mid-term.

    http://www.defencemanagement.com/feature_story.asp?id=14485

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2391935
    nocutstoRAF
    Participant

    While I agree that a lot of money could be both saved and generated by buying more generic solutions to our problems instead of a bespoke solution peculiar to the UK – but surely there are times where as an island nation with a restrictive budget does mean that we need something with a specification that we cannot buy of the shelf – the Type-45’s jump’s to mind but I sure there would be others.

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2392554
    nocutstoRAF
    Participant

    Well I have followed the discussion in the Naval sub-forum so I was aware of your debate and I did say in the thread that I thought development aid should be part of the SDSR and I agree with the idea of pragmatic use of development aid to avoid problems in the future.

    Since I have been defending the F-35B the last few days against my natural pessimism I hope that when he talked about 80% solutions in his speech he did not meant cancelling F-35B for one of the alternatives (though I fear that this is the case)

    in reply to: Does the UK need a navalised JSF #2392664
    nocutstoRAF
    Participant

    UK can have the Naval LCA. With BAE helping out HAL on radar, avionics and other things the thing may actually see service in time. But then again even the IN wants the F 35 for its future carriers.

    :confused: UK version of the LCA (N) sound like a bad plan not because there is anything wrong with the LCA (N) but more due to the fact that the LCA (N) is as far as I understand a reasonably priced replacement for Indian Sea Harriers and surely the CVF are meant for power projection which needs a very different plane to something designed to replace Sea Harriers. Plus you can guarantee if the UK purchased Naval LCA it would insist on its own version with a different engine, radar and avionics, want at the very least to assemble it in the UK which will result in a much higher price that will likely for the number purchased be close to the F-35B without the performance of the F-35B. :confused:

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2392666
    nocutstoRAF
    Participant

    I think from what I read Liam Fox basically was saying that you could not cancel some programmes (like the CVF) because much of the money is already spent and other costs could not be made until we pulled out of Afghanistan so expect more cuts from 2015 – 2020 😮

    EDIT: Just found this speech by Sir Richard Davies given at the RUSI Land Warfare conference:

    http://www.rusi.org/events/ref:E496B737B57852/info:public/infoID:E4A4253226F582/

    Impression given is that he is in favour of using development aid to influence certain situations before they become threats, reduce heavy armour, fast jets and large ships in favour of more small ships, helicopters and UAV’s. The speech also hints heavily at increased use of special forces, more focus on Peace Keeping and Counter-insurgency, amphibious and strategic air lift – and there is some mention of how you do not need a 100% gold-plated solution if a 80% solution will do the job most of the time.

    in reply to: Does the UK need a navalised JSF #2392899
    nocutstoRAF
    Participant

    With regard to cancelling the F-35B there is no concrete evidence, however the programme is under scrutiny and it seems to me this is the make or break point for the F-35 programme and it is still possible given what is happened in the past that F-35B could be cancelled in a re-structuring of the F-35 programme to get the development costs back on track – unlikely I know but not impossible as of yet.

    With regard to Typhoon procurement the only evidence I have is this:

    BAE not betting on Typhoon order

    BAE Systems is not expecting the Ministry of Defence to order the final set of Typhoon fighter jets for the RAF, but manufacturing jobs will be protected by export orders, said Ian King, chief executive.

    Full Story

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2392905
    nocutstoRAF
    Participant

    I understood (possibly wrongly) that the Green Paper was the basis of the terms of reference for the SDSR and therefore a good insight into what they were likely to decide the UK’s future force might look like.

    in reply to: CVF Construction #2032831
    nocutstoRAF
    Participant

    sorry to disappoint you gloom but the long leads for Astute 7 have been ordered indicating it will be ordered. This are only plans we have many many of these some they do other they don’t. Reducing the deterrent is unlikely Fox has made some interesting comments from Chateem house http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/jameskirkup/100047163/liam-fox-sometimes-you-have-to-fight-for-peace/
    I’ve just come back from Chatham House, where Liam Fox has been outlining his thinking on British defence. In a nutshell, he says we have to have the means and the willingness to deploy serious military power in order to deter potential threats to the realm. (I’ll try to get a link to the full text soon.)

    (Snipped by nocutstoRAF)

    Full text of Liam Fox’s speech here – seems to be pushing for martime power projection and increased ability to deliver special forces in-country IMHO

    http://www.chathamhouse.org.uk/files/16977_130710fox.pdf

    in reply to: Does the UK need a navalised JSF #2393073
    nocutstoRAF
    Participant

    Plus to follow on from pjhydro’s point the F-35B is more than a naval aircraft, it will be able to deploy from either CRCP hardstandings in a vertical take off or landing, or in STOL from hastily repaired/built runways of around 200 – 300 m making it way more useful to UK which will not be able to afford a massive range of fighters like some other countries as they will be able to move the aircraft group to forward operating bases without having to ship a huge amount of equipment and a load of Royal Engineers to build a full airstrip.

    I still question what will happen if the SDSR results in there being top few F-35B available until the middle of the 2020’s to do anything other than train and if you are lucky deploy one squadron or if F-35B gets canned in the US as while there are some ascetically pleasing alternatives (and I do not care what anyone else says Gripen, Rafale, and LCA-N are pretty aircraft) they will not be as good as F-35B, just cheaper.

Viewing 15 posts - 706 through 720 (of 948 total)