That is a relevant post I think, but I don’t know if the data are correct although nothing shocking here.
Do you concur with this remember I’ve that these planes have 70% of their life expectancy left ? I didn’t find an actual source for it :$
but, whatever the official number, I think we can trust this number to include as well the time spent on the CDG, since that’s anyway the main use of the Rafale F1 at the time… It would feel really strange to say “they’ve 70% of their life expectancy left apart from CDG landing/departing” where it would be less..???
I think some may have been confused by my bad wording.
Indeed, I said :
“The planes have flown only 30% of their flying hours potential. After upgrade they’ll have exactly the same abilities as any others F3.”
A better translation could have been, in hindsight, that they have already consumed 30% of their life expectancy. For record’s sake, the french version is something like “les cellules des avions ont utilisΓ©s 30% de leur potentiel”. This isn’t easy to translate sorry
It’s not about a Goebbels-like ‘big lie’, Zedro.
I can see that as a Rafale fan you don’t much like the truth, but all the evidence is that:
1) Embraer and the FAB favoured Gripen.
2) Jobim has directed that the FAB’s preference should be suppressed (presumably to avoid embarrassing questions when):
3) Rafale will be selected as the winner.In the light of the evidence, only a ‘deluded fanboy’ (as you put it) would claim otherwise.
Suppressing the FAB’s choice (to avoid an unsuccessful bidder sueing) only makes sense if another aircraft is then selected.
lol
Funny that you feel like picking this bit.
Anyway, I didn’t make any statement about the actual situation there, for the very reasons I stated that it’s way too foggy and pointless… For me the competition isn’t over AFAIK and thus I won’t conclude on the winner.
But it feels nice that you start again to try to take down the messenger instead of the message. I think the best answer I could do is to link you there http://forum.keypublishing.co.uk/showpost.php?p=1493481&postcount=97 => please read it all, some did conclude too fast.
but please, go on reporting your side of the story, it adds up a nice chapter of the media war I don’t and won’t do myself.
on a more interesting note, something which should be of interest to us all : do we have a new update date for the final word in this contest ?
EDIT : why do you have some many difficulties in spelling right my pseudo btw ? It’s ZedroS not Zedro. Thanks for taking care in the future !
I don’t think any personal feelings are right in this case. There is nothing wring in admitting that Gripen can offer a good bang for less than what Rafale costs. Gripen is like Mercedes C-class competing against BMW 5-er series, of course it is cheaper and still offers most of the features of its rival, nothing wrong with that, as well. And if FAB and EMBRAER would choose Gripen due to cost/integration, then it provides no base for thinking that now Gripen must be *better* (whatever this stupid word means) than the French bird.
Well, my bad feeling here is that basically nothing official was published. So we have rumors, in the context of a bitterly fought competition where, for sure, disinformation is among the weapons of choices, since it’s all about convincing Brazil.
So we have plenty of rumors, some for SH, some for the Gripen (and apparently even some for the Rafale).
The worst is that AFAIK, the real results won’t be published, for a very good potential reasons : neither the FAB nor Lula’s government want to be sued/annoyed by some disappointed bidders. Don’t forget the bidders are rich enough to wage a full blown media war.
Yet some pick up some rumors and proclaim these rumors are the ones to believe or build hypothesis upon. And they keep telling these rumors. Why not wait for the outcome? Why such an hurry for something which will come anyway and for which “reality” will never be really known ? I mean, even if the FAB publishes its report, they could easily have tempered with it in between for “face saving”.
In the end, continuing to speak and to give so much importance about rumors look really pointless. Maybe trying to collect them all would be nice to have a better picture of all aspects of this competition.
But way worse is to pick some of these rumors and continuing telling them. It would be at the level of a deluded fanboy or some spinners like… Goebbels. Let’s conclude again with this quote :
“If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it.”
[I]
Senior people including Tony Ogilvy, Vice-President, International Marketing for Gripen,
lol
that’s hardly a FAB internal source is it ? A vice president of marketing being sure that his own plane will be first is quite normal and expected.
Is there any identifiable source inside the FAB that said anything ?
Why not just wait for the outcome (who knows the rafale may even not come out anyway) and see what they publish ?
Looking back at South Korea or Singapore, we’re still left with only speculations on the actual military ranking anyway, but still some use rumours of that time in their argumentation.
In the end, it really looks quite close from this Goebbels line “If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it.”, which in our case is pretty true since no denial will come from Singapore and South Korea (we still don’t know for brazil, or do we ?).
About contests like these, the only one where the ranking was published is the Netherlands one, isn’t it ?
What new engines? Blisk-ed M88-eco, M88-3, or just new M88-2?
hum, that’s a bit more than I know sorry…
AFAIK they’ll have the same as the current F3, but which version is beyond my knowledge. But I’m pretty sure some others know, let’s see π
You mean, F1 had 70% potential of current F3?
The planes have flown only 30% of their flying hours potential. After upgrade they’ll have exactly the same abilities as any others F3.
About this upgrade, some stuff I forgot.
The planes have, as far as I remember, about 70% of flying potential.
Initially this F1 standard wasn’t supposed to exist, but was done when the state realized they had delayed the Rafale too much to get some planes for the CDG. Hence this basic AtA F1 standard.
F2, the initial target, are way easier to upgrade to F3 and it should be the same in the future.
What ?!? You didn’t know the changes are that huge ? π
To provide a bit more elements for those not having them, changes include :
– new engines (previous were removed when storing the planes and are anyway of an older generation + they were most likely used for spares)
– planes have to be wired all over again
– electronic elements have to be replaced by the current generation (AFAIK it means almost all of them, from Spectra to the radar).
in the end, apart from the plane outer shell, almost most of it change.
it requires for the planes to go again on the fabrication line.
++
I agree that most probably we won’t have something very precise (if really happenned), but if you have several sources from “named” journalists saying approx the same thing in different newspaper it is better than nothing…And it starts to have some credibility. To cross check is the best solution in this case, otherwise it is a rumor, especailly on a forum with the issue of anonymat !
were you ever able to do such a check ? Do you have an example in mind ?
I am confident that this will appear somehow in the press if really happened.
as long as there’s nothing official from the UAE, which is almost certain, how can you expect something in the press ? At best some “you name it” air force official saying “we kicked butts like hell there” which in fact says nothing. But some officials saying “we’ve beaten this plane X times” looks quite unlikely. At best it would be mild no ?
anyway, let’s wait and see π Hopefully Christmas will bring some presents π
Hoppefully we will soon hear about that !
There are some good independent defense journalist sources which will certainly give some nice infos such as these two blogs. They usually have very good contacts.
well, I don’t remember them saying this plane has beaten this one according to some sources I can’t quote, so there isn’t a lot to expect from them. Am I wrong ?
I dont know how many times this has to be clarified. FYI, the Indian side did not leak anything.
I didn’t want to upset you. I really remember having read that the Indians pilots were pretty much satisfied of their performance, which looked like “we beat some of them”. Maybe I got it wrong and they were “only” very pleased with the learning experience…
Wait and see…Don’t be too fast in your conclusions. There are as much reasons to keep the secret if the rafale was favored or not. I’ve seen rumors stating that it was the SH that was favored as well as the rafale or the gripen for that matter.
funny, after Lula said he was going for rafale in september, I’ve very few if any rumour saying that the rafale was the fab or industry’s favourite. Some press articles were quite positive but they didn’t claim to have had access to any “internal source” saying the same (apart that Lula himself did say so, but that’s not a rumour). Did I miss something ?
Sounds like that’s a direct quote from your source. Any chance you can disclose if this person was a first hand observer or reporting from secondary sources? Also, is this is a pilot, gov. official or corporate guy? US, Middle East, UK, French? π
Finally, any indication whether this included BVR, or WVR only?
well, I really tend to think that this kind of “anonymous” leaks are always a good way to put the things in the best light for the one you favour.
I’ve seldom heard any leak being bad how his own side. Remember the Indian pilots after they flew to the States ? Well, leaks from their side said they were the best around. Leaks from the other side were less glorious…
The worst is that both sides may be true : depending on what you look at, your mileage can vary quite extensively.
Will we get some kind of official report for these fights ? I highly doubt it, since it’s not the case usually. So what’s left ? Lot of room for all wanabee’s “mine is better than your” and nothing serious…
On a more concrete side, I read at some point that the F22 wouldn’t take part in these exercises. How come we hear of them again ? Was it wrong ? Did it change ?
++
EDIT : the funniest here is all fanboys can easily pick up/found comment from the side they favour. Like some french dudes having some rumours of french air force, and some other guy rumours from his own side. And they keep bringing their own one sided rumours as war trophy. LOL
Rumors came out alot in the last months, most of them saying that “FAB prefers the Super Hornet” like FAB was an individual. Anyway I suspect FAB has as much political guided poeple as in the government.
thanks a lot for this info
do you some background about it ? Like in which newspapers (is News Corp present in Brazil ?)? Did they provide some reasons for this supposed preferences ?
Ah… If only they could release this little report it would be way easier ! No way to try to track some rumours in such a competition where you never know where it comes from, with the spin/bribes/money/political preferences around ! π