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Roovialk

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  • in reply to: GENERAL UAV/UCAV NEWS AND DISCUSSION THREAD II #2274932
    Roovialk
    Participant

    Maybe this former drone operator needs to review footage of people leaping to their deaths from the WTC on 9/11.

    in reply to: Doubting PLA capability – the human factor #2284154
    Roovialk
    Participant

    Uhhh…1) We don’t know how they actually operate. We haven’t seen a full exercise filmed and explained in detail. 2) Why reinvent the wheel? By that logic it’s not just China who’s wholesale copying Western procedures. Militaries Western and not are wholesale copying each other too.

    I can only base my possibly flawed judgement on snippets of video I have seen where PLAN deck crew will perform a procedure that is out of context for the operation they are being called upon to carry out. It is almost as though they are actors on a stage. But I guess everyone has to crawl before they can walk and run

    in reply to: Doubting PLA capability – the human factor #2284161
    Roovialk
    Participant

    Err, wholesale copying of western procedures?
    I was under the impression that we knew next to nothing regarding PLA procedures, and certainly far from enough to confidently claim they were copying western procedures.

    Probably the best example of wholesale copying of western procedures are carrier operations aboard the PLAN carrier Liaoing. The deck crew operates as though it was pantomime

    in reply to: Doubting PLA capability – the human factor #2284173
    Roovialk
    Participant

    Thobbes in starting this discussion is on to something. Consider this analysis of Asian thinking on cockpit culture as being the cause of several aircraft crashes:

    “…On July 6, Asiana Airlines Flight 214 crashed while attempting a landing at San Francisco International Airport (SFO). Two people were killed in the Boeing 777 accident, and more than 180 of the 307 people on the flight were injured.

    This is the important part:

    “..Since the airline involved, Asiana, is based in Korea, some observers have asked if the crash might have a cultural connection, as discussed in a chapter in the 2008 bestseller Outliers by author Malcolm Gladwell…… he said Korean Air’s problem at the time was not old planes or poor crew training. “What they were struggling with was a cultural legacy, that Korean culture is hierarchical,” he said.

    “You are obliged to be deferential toward your elders and superiors in a way that would be unimaginable in the U.S.” he added. That’s dangerous when it comes to modern airplanes, said Gladwell, because such sophisticated machines are designed to be piloted by a crew that works together as a team of equals, remaining unafraid to point out mistakes or disagree with a captain.”

    Cultural quirks like these maybe the achilles heel of the PLA. These cultural quirks may explain the lack of innovation and wholesale copying of western procedures bythe PLA

    in reply to: Waging an air war in North Asia – 2025 Scenario #2284266
    Roovialk
    Participant

    Well if we let history be a guide we see that China got the worse of it the last time they jumped on a smaller neighbor. I present the case of Vietnam.

    in reply to: Waging an air war in North Asia – 2025 Scenario #2284270
    Roovialk
    Participant

    The US lost at least 3,573 aircraft over Vietnam. If the US fights China, it would lose that many aircraft within a month. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aircraft_losses_of_the_Vietnam_War

    This isn’t about China fighting the US. This is about China attempting to invade Taiwan and the Taiwanese delivering China a nasty surprise. This is between China and Taiwan. Can you understand that?

    Taiwan is prepared to show China that they also have sharp teeth and claws

    in reply to: Waging an air war in North Asia – 2025 Scenario #2284279
    Roovialk
    Participant

    Any IRBM launched from Taiwan at the Three Gorges Dam would have to travel over 1,000 km and get attacked by over 100 HQ-9 air defense missiles along the way. Chance of survival is minimal.

    Since China has never demonstrated a creditable Anti Ballistic Missile defense system your comment is on shaky ground. And a saturation attack by a combination of Taiwanese cruise missiles and IRBM’s ensures that some portion of the attacking force would get through to hit its target.

    Just a few, (less than ten) warheads hitting the 3 Gorge’s Dam would be enough to weaken its structure and cause massive flooding.

    And we see China is taking the threat seriously:

    “The notion that the military in Taiwan would seek to destroy the dam provoked an angry response from the mainland Chinese media. People’s Liberation Army General Liu Yuan was quoted in the China Youth Daily saying that the People’s Republic of China would be “seriously on guard against threats from Taiwan independence terrorists”

    Since there are already cracks in the 3 Gorges Dam, cruise missile and IRBM strikes would be devastating to China. It is well known that the 3 Gorges Dam is the world’s largest power station in terms of installed capacity (22,500 MW). Between the threat of flooding and loss of electrical power China in spite of your brave talk seems to be thinking twice about invading Taiwan

    in reply to: Waging an air war in North Asia – 2025 Scenario #2284296
    Roovialk
    Participant

    It would be a setback, but it wouldn’t be a big setback. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_power_stations_in_China

    It certainly would have negligible effect on the Chinese war industry. Taiwan is a province of China. There is no negotiation, no comprise, no bargain, no deal. :eagerness: The only way Taiwan can become a country is if Taiwanese speak Taiwanese rather than Chinese.

    Chinese DF-41 ICBM, with a speed of Mach 25, can also rain havoc on American power plants. They would be very difficult to stop.

    Why do you continue to drag America into this? If China attempts to invade Taiwan and Taiwan defends itself using weapons Taiwan has developed what does that have to do with America?

    Didn’t you say earlier that this is a dispute between China and Taiwan?

    Would China after receiving a severe blow from Taiwan choose to launch an attack on America? That would be very foolish for China.

    in reply to: Waging an air war in North Asia – 2025 Scenario #2284322
    Roovialk
    Participant

    Destruction of the showpiece 3 Gorges Dam would set China back 30+ years. Can you show the evidence China is willing to accept those types of losses to prove a point of subduing Taiwan? China should consider this point carefully before they decide to attack Taiwan. As you have said never underestimate an enemy.

    Salvos of Taiwanese IRBMs raining down on the 3 Gorge’s dam would ruin China’s day. And China could do little to stop such an attack

    ” May 1, 2011: A government official revealed that Taiwan had developed a IRBM (Intermediate Range Ballistic Missile) with a range of 2,000 kilometers. The missile was successfully tested three years ago.”

    in reply to: Waging an air war in North Asia – 2025 Scenario #2284353
    Roovialk
    Participant

    It should be pointed out that the WZ-10 is not a Chinese design. Like much of China’a ‘hi-tech’ weaponry it was designed by the Russians

    “Sergei Mikheyev, General Designer of the Kamov Design Bureau, member of the Russian Academy of Sciences and Hero of the Russian Federation dropped the proverbial bombshell at Heli-Expo here in Las Vegas this afternoon.

    Saving the best to last in a briefing to update a series of Kamov programs, Mikheyev told an astonished crowd that China’s Z-10/WZ-10 attack helicopter was actually designed in great secrecy under contract for China by Kamov. Dubbed Project 941, the concept was initially designed in 1995 and developed by China into the WZ-10/Z-10.

    The two-seat helicopter made its public debut at the 2012 Zhuhai airshow – and while the helicopter had been heard of before then – its appearance at the show came as a surprise. At the time observers noted an outward resemblance to the AgustaWestland A129 Mangusta, but no connection was ever made to Kamov until today.

    in reply to: Waging an air war in North Asia – 2025 Scenario #2284356
    Roovialk
    Participant

    One projection estimates 700,000 people would die due to an attack on the 3 Gorges Dam.

    in reply to: Waging an air war in North Asia – 2025 Scenario #2284372
    Roovialk
    Participant

    “…The United States Department of Defense reported that in Taiwan, “proponents of strikes against the mainland apparently hope that merely presenting credible threats to China’s urban population or high-value targets, such as the Three Gorges Dam, will deter Chinese military coercion.”

    As soon as China launched an invasion of Taiwan there would be massive launches of Taiwanese cruise missiles against China’s 3 Gorges Dam. China should think carefully before attacking Taiwan. Taiwan knows it may fall but they plan on taking China with them.

    in reply to: PLAN News Thread #4 #2037673
    Roovialk
    Participant

    Interesting you mention that, because we’ve seen with videos that liaoning deck crew still have a “shooter”. Some have questioned whether this was just a theatrical act, as clearly liaoning doesn’t have catapults.

    Maybe the Chinese are trying to be as complete as possible as they mimic US Navy practices. And in response to another question I have to agree that the Russians if they have any sense at all would be best served copying US Navy practices rather than Chinese navy deck operations

    in reply to: PLAN News Thread #4 #2037759
    Roovialk
    Participant

    Yes the deck operating manual is freely available as well as various specialized navy publications that cover the ends and outs of carrier operations. Still deck operations are not considered the “dance on the deck” for nothing and culture plays a big part on how proficient a navy is at performing deck procedures. The Russian navy for example seems to missed several important steps in building successful deck operations. These include a lack of color coded jerseys and minimal interaction between deck crew and taxing aircraft on the deck. In fact the Russians consider pri-fly as a control tower and launch aircraft via retracting the hold-back chocks from there.

    Since the Chinese and the Indians both use the same Russian designed hold back chock system to allow aircraft to build up thrust before launching via deck ski jump it will be interesting if they both continue to use the Russian method as their respective carrier operations continue.

    If the Chinese are successful with the Liaoning, we may see the Russians adopting Chinese ideas for the Kuznetsoff to improve their efficiency. I look forward to observing the continuing evolution of Chinese doctrine and procedures as they gain more experience.

    in reply to: PLAN News Thread #4 #2037768
    Roovialk
    Participant

    Do you have evidence that former USN personnel are helping the PLAN work on deck procedures? That revelation would be headline news

Viewing 15 posts - 271 through 285 (of 339 total)