I read up your post well now most of your claims are not available and 180 degree opposite to the real world truth. Here we mean by source is a link of article/news, not like what someone tells in another forum!
First there is nothing like J-10 with AESA, now you are talking about PAF going to have J10 with AESA! Is there any deal with China for J-10 with AESA? I fear even they don’t have one for themselves!
What exactly is 180 degree of ‘real world truth’??
As for your precious source – for PAF FC20 with AESA in 2014-15 — If you bothered to read previous posts – you would know that I have given exact issue of AFM to go read along with the recent book by Alan Warnes on Pakistan Airforce which contains extensive interviews – when another member queried about exact location of said interviews. I have said that this is in 2 interviews with the then Cheif of Air Staff and detailed exactly where to find the interviews – written up by proffessional a reputable sources — what else would you like from me in the way of ‘source’ – do you want me to buy the book and Afm issue for you and hand deliver it?? Or are you expecting me to scan and link copyright material on the forum of the company who’s copyright I would be breaching?? Given your deep interest in the PAF I would have thought you would already have the book and issue of AFM in question– No? If not very easy to buy online.
As for there being nothing like J10 with AESA — as I told you before – please come out of the darkness. Even basic aviation magazines have featured internet sourced J10B pictures and said that the nose looks to have been redesigned to house AESA. Tell you what – google ‘J10B AESA’ and see what results you get — lets see if your views change after that little exercise. Good Luck.
Sigh …. Do not take it literally… Something to this effect ..
Yes, I hold the same view for all US equipment usually.
Strange. I have seen that view repeated so many times in general by Pakistani guys. Why take offense??
‘Do not take it literally’ ??!! You state as a matter of fact that F-16 cannot be used in war and when questioned say ‘Do not state literally’??!!
During Kargil conflict Pakistan had been under sanctions for years — slightly different scenario at the moment – no?
So you are just repeating a concern that some Pakistani guys have raised? How about if I go on the IAF thread and repeat some concerns that Indian guys have raised over the LCA etc — do you think a few people there might take ‘offence’???
:rolleyes: .. Did you even read whats Muns and I posted?? Erieye will be safe. What about the strike packages going in?? They cannot have their ecm pods reprogrammed till they are back at their base. They might take a few losses that could have been avoided.
Strike packages? If Pakistan continues to maintain minimum credible detterence as it is doing – ‘Strike Packages’ will only be flying around inside India.
6 months from now is gonna create a problem, dude.
Anyway, then you might as well remove J-10s, bulk of JF-17s, additional F-16s (apart from the 46 F-16s) … Of these 46 F-16s, remove 4 that are undergoing MLU in Fort Worth, Texas because they will be coming back only by Dec 2011. So you would have only F-16s A/B in your kitty.
6 months from now is going to be a problem? — how about the last 20 odd years?? India has inducted vastly superior technologies and quantitities over this period with Pakistan limited to upgrades, 30 odd f-16A/B’s, F-7, F-6’s etc. If even during that period their combined forces detterant value was enough to hold off a far larger enemy — I doubt they will be too worried about 6 months from now.
Do not worry. I am not here for one-upmanship game.
If my posts rock your world, then I am pretty happy continuing the discussion with other guys.
If coming up with comments like F-16’s cannot fight in war, and having F-16’s, Jf-17’s etc automaticaly means you have an offensive posture — which you then fail to substantiate — qualifies as rocking worlds – you deserve a pat on the back.
I don’t know. If you guys are comfortable with your F-16s, fine. As I said in my post, what I suggested was detrimental to my interest. So I am actually glad if you do not agree with it…:D
Very comfortable with the F-16’s — thank you.
BTW, most of these weapons seem to be geared towards an offensive strike. F-16s, Erieyes, JF-17s etc.
Does PAF still believe in first-strike?
A defensive mindset would have acquired more early-warning radars and more SAMS.
Regards,
Ashish
How do you manage to conclude that simply having F-16’s, Erieyes and JF-17’s means that you must automaticaly have an offensive strategy??? On this basis any country in the world with a fighter plane must have an offensive strategy. Overall I would assess these weapons as being better suited to a defensive posture especialy against a far bigger country. Ofcourse the PAF has to retain the ability to inflict unacceptable damage to the enemy —- but overall its stated strategy is ‘minimum credible detterence’ — doesn’t sound very offensive to me.
The concept of first strike is not specificaly Air Force related — it is related to nuclear weapons and Pakistan has to retain this being a far smaller power – again to detter any aggression.
Although, its not place or in my interest to say, PAF should have stayed away from F-16 block 52. What use is a weapon system that cannot be used in a war.
F-16 cannot be used in war???!! Where do you get that from?? As I stated in a previous post 18C/D’s + upgrade of 45 A/B’s was a good option to get some nice capabilities quickly – with alot of it funded by the U.S. and as a stop gap untill a more reliable ally – China – can supply something similar or better.
How does it compare to the R 77 ? The Su 30 MKI has a better radar than the Block 50/52+ and has a better Jammer, which would mean that any marginal advantage the C5 has over R 77 will be nullified as the F 16 will have to be well within the R 77s range to try a successful BVR kill using the C5.
I think the next gamechanger will be the MRCA, and not the FGFA. 100+ MRCA backed by MKI will be very hard deal with. (India is likely to get AMRAAM C7/Meteor depending on its choice for MRCA)
Both Su30 and block 50/52+ are exceptional machines – actual outcomes are debateable but not as important as the deterant value the F-16 brings.
As for MRCA being game changer – I would respectfully disagree. Look at it this way – is the winner of the competition going to be substantialy more capable than the SU30MKI – if not – then how can it be a game changer? Also bear in mind PAF’s planned aquisition of AESA equipped FC-20’s.
Thanks guys for your posts :
1) With regard to DRFM : Did some digging on the forum and ans provided by poster Nick previously (Thanks) :
quote : Digital Radio Frequency Memory. A sort of must have for modern jammers to enable immediate deception jamming (realtime). The memory module records the key parameters of the radar pulse, allowing for the techniques generator (a purpose built DSP/mini computer) to modify the signal appropriately and the jammer “plays it back”, so that the opponent radar is spoofed. Ie it thinks the target is at x+1, when it is at X, is flying at Y, when it is actually at Y+1, etc, to make the radar lose lock, or get an inaccurate fix.
Also : On the Indian side, DRFM jammers are widely used, namely the Elta 8222 SPJ which has been seen on IAF Su-30K’s, MKI’s, MiG-21 Bisons, Upg Jaguars & the DARE (DRDO) Tusker which is used on the MiG-27 Upg. A Jaguar squadron reportedly received Support Jammers & the DARE equipped MiG-27s are being used for EW, implying that the EW package is more than just self protection. (It is a combination of an internal and external jammer).
Im unsure as yet whether Erieye will be able to provide active protection for it’s F-16’s
2) With Regard to restrictions on Use : As of i can remeber India has not signed any end user agreements. Indeed i can’t remember officials having the need to inspect anything. No End user agreements have yet been signed for the P-8I i think.
Heres what Ajay Shukla has to say :
http://ajaishukla.blogspot.com/2009/07/india-had-signed-two-earlier-end-user.html
3) On the Kerry Lugar Bill : Quote :
SEC. 203. LIMITATIONS ON CERTAIN ASSISTANCE.
(a) Limitation on Security-related Assistance: For fiscal years 2011 through 2014, no security-related assistance may be provided to Pakistan in a fiscal year until the Secretary of State, under the direction of the President, makes the certification required under subsection (c) for such fiscal year.
(b) Limitation on Arms Transfers: For fiscal years 2012 through 2014, no letter of offer to sell major defence equipment to Pakistan may be issued pursuant to the Arms Export Control Act (22 USC 2751 et seq.) and no license to export major defence equipment to Pakistan may be issued pursuant to such Act in a fiscal year until the Secretary of State, under the direction of the President, makes the certification required under subsection (c) for such fiscal year.
http://www.thenews.com.pk/daily_detail.asp?id=200156
4) As for the rest I’m a little suprised Rimmer as to your posts : in the interest of brevity i’ll plainly mention info that you already know :
1) Refuellers have been in Indian service since 2004 and the IAF has been practicing buddy refuelling from it’s MKI’s for a while before that. Indeed 6 more refuellers are in the pipeline and the RFP has been sent out. Has the edge really moved.
2) Awacs maintainence : India chose the IL 78 because of fleet commonality with it’s Il 76’s which have been maintained close to 2 decades. I don’t think maintainence will be a real issue. Indeed they all have brand new PS 90 engines. Add to that the 3 DRDO Awacs on Embraer and an additional 3 Phalcons to be ordered. Edge now?
3) AMRAAM Vs R77 etc. Indian experience with BVRAAM for over a decade. Regular exercises in BVR engagements across various continents.
So the USA is at best a unreliable supplier to Pakistan – Pakistan knows this very well and this is why the F-16C/D number was slashed in favour of the FC-20. The 18C/D’s + upgrade of 45A/B’s (alot of it US funded) is a good choice to aqauire some nice capabilities / weapons quickly and as a stop gap untill a more reliable supplier – China -is able to supply something similar or better.
I keep seeing list after list of what the IAF is doing — and while I’m very pleased for them such lists are better suited to the IAF thread. So India is ahead and Pakistan has to catch up — thats been the case since independance. It was the case with BVR weapons, AWACS, refuelers, even nuclear weapons. The important point is not that India is ahead — the important point is that Pakistan continues to maintain ‘minimum credible detterence’ which is its stated goal — and I believe that it is well on track for this.
Rimmer,
Please mention the areas where PAF will outclass the IAF ?
I have listed the projects which are going to be inducted in next few years time.
I am sure with all these inductions the PAF has become much better than it was before at the time of sanctions. It will surely take time for both air forces to induct these complex machines and to operationalize them.
Lets take the example of UAV’s. The PAF is inducting the UAV with some sensible payload now only where as the the IAF has done it 5 years before. Now IAF is expanding its fleet of UAV’s with both indigenous and procured one’s and is in wide spread use.
The same way in case of radars, induction of Aerosats , GreenPie and various locally build radars in quantity will make any Air intrusion undetected for fighters and cruise missiles impossible.
The IAF is heavily investing on network centric warfare and satellite based recce now. All these means that there would be lot more to catch up for the PAF in coming decade.
Pakistan being the smaller power has historicaly played catch up to what India aquires (even nuclear weapons) – so no surprises here.
The 12 per year production of MKI is from HAL only. The Russian factory is also producing MKI’s which also got accelerated on IAF request. IAF is in negotiation to buy 50 more of these beasts.
There will be more aircrafts retiring from IAF, but the same is the case with PAF also.
Apart from all these the IAF will be inducting LCA, LCH, Transport helicopters, ALH, Green pie, Spyder, 2nd Phalcon, Akash, C-130J’s, spy satellite and different UAV’s, AeroSats, Harop .
This is apart from the various upgrade programs happening to the current service aircrafts.
So the technology upper hand the IAF has at this decade will continue in the coming decade also.
Pakistans stated aim is not numerical or even technical superiority– it is minimum credible detterance — and they seem to be well on track to maintain that.
Have you given any source?
I give you the source as PAF cheifs recent interviews and you ask me if I’ve given a source??!! – do you even read the post before replying?? Or perhaps a Cheif of Air Staff is not a good enough source for you — I’ll see if the Queen mother is available!
lol So much darkness is not good. Just recently PAF got it’s hand on a fourth generation fighter and yet to get any BVRAAM in number! Forget USA or Russia/India selling PAF any fifth generation fighter. There is no other source.
If you couldn’t even work that one out I can only feel sorry for you. The only future sources of fifth generation fighters are Russia, USA and India???!!! You are so correct — so much darkness is not good — please come out of the darkness.
If J-10 is sufficient against EFT/Rafale than everything is possible in this world! Its like comparing a grape with an orange! But for no reason PAF tried to get western fighter like Gripen before going for J-10! I think they did not have any other choice. 😉
So what would you compare the J10B with — even with the limited info available? EFT / RAFALE / J10B — all with advanced radars, similar canard design, powerfull engines — Care to explain the vast differences between them which makes them like grapes and oranges??
I did not know PAF asked for Gripen and got refused — please confirm your sources. Regardless this is a bit beside the point — the point is — is what they are going to get going to maintain credible detterance — and my take on that is a resounding yes.
Which ‘independent’ sources you are talking about?
Read up what US Office of Naval Intelligence has to say about even the basic J10 — add AESA and all the other improvements on the J10B for a fair assessment. If you can provide any independant sources which assess the AESA equipped J10B as no comparison to the latest fighters from Europe — please do share.
what the PAF wants and what it can afford/obtain are TWO different things.
The PAF did want the Gripen/Rafale… Unfortunately things did not work out …
PAF also wanted western avionics in their JF-17s, however it seems that the Chinese forced them to go in for the Chinese avionics for the initial batches atleast.
It for sure doesnt look good, that the first customer, the PAF, doesnt have confidence in Chinese Avionics and is opting for western ones…So yes, AESA integration and availability is suspect as of now.
The Chinese AESA would be top of the line for them and there is a doubt that it will be released to PAF so soon…Are you implying that the J 10A is incapable of housing an AESA radar ?! :confused:
They had to go for a whole new model just to accommodate an AESA radar !? 😮
Refer above. I’m referring to your suitable counter to the PAK FA as a paper plane ..
Thats exactly what i meant. We still dont have any clear idea as to when the suitable counters to the PAK FA will emerge.
and you saying that “and suitable counters will emerge over the next decade.” kind of gives a message that you assume that whatever the counter is, it will be released to PAF at the earliest ! 😮If obtaining the best Chinese Technology was so easy, the negotiotions would be of the J11B for PAF instead of the J10.
However, somethings are just NOT an option…
Well Paf wanted Jf-17 with Russian engine and first 50 on soft loan from Chinese —– and they got it. I would say that odds against that happening were stacked far higher than AESA on FC-20 in 2014-15
You need to read up on issues before posting –PAF Cheif has clearly stated that he was very impressed with the Chinese avionics / radar — and he would only go for a Western solution if somebody gave a very good offer.
As for counter to PAK FA — sorry you have no clear idea when China will come up with a counter — I’ll ask China to release all details just to satisfy you – although I think it might be slightly unlikely given their track record.
Pakistan has never requested J11 — If they had and had been refused I would be more inclined to buy into your ‘doubts’ about what China would release to Pakistan – leaving aside obvious and justified Russian objection to China exporting the type to anyone. Why don’t you dig up what China has released / funded for Pakistan so far and use that as guide to assess likely future actions. I hope common sense will prevail.
As for AESA on J10A – Independant assessment of J10B is that nose has been redesigned to house AESA — I wonder why they would do that if they could have just stuck it in the J10A. Hell even an issue of AFM had a picture of J10B – with a caption over it reading something like ‘FC-20?’ I’m sure you can quote an independat source saying the same thing with a picture of the J10A underneath??
No, thats a single seater in the background. I am told two “D” versions…
Welcome all the same!
Can you please post a link to the Air Chiefs interview ?
I’d want to confirm if he said that its the J-10B which would be inducted … might as well clear up some thing which is uncertain ….The only counter which PAF could probably field would be the J-XX which however seems quite distant …
You talk as if the Chinese have already approved the export of this paper plane and that PAF has confirmed orders for it .. ! 😮
The Sept 08 issue of AFM confirms timescale- in it the chief also confirms that PAF wants FC-20 to come with AESA – in the PAF book by Alan Warnes – he again says that FC-20 is required with AESA – although source of ASEA inknown at this stage. I’m sure that armed with this info a capable member like you will find required confirmation. Please do your own digging.
I did not say he said J10B — but if you know of any other versions of J10 flying around with redesigned nose to carry AESA — please share.
Which aircraft are you refering to as a paperplane? – if its J10B – which I belive = FC-20 — There are numerous pictures of it flying around – please find on the net. Your ‘paper plane’comment reminds me of another aircraft which was put down for years as ‘a engineless paperplane’. If Fc-20 has the same fate as that aircraft I would be very satisfied.
As for contract being signed again – I did not say this – please read the article for confirmation of what I did say. Please try to stick to what I say instead of putting words into my mouth about what I have not.
First two Block 52 F-16Ds are due to land in Pakistan in two weeks. Should have announcments by then.
Source is uncles, best friends, nannies dog walker, so bear with me but I expect the usual news outlets to be coming out with this soon.
Could well be — if you see picture attached taken at rollout of first – I think that may be the second in the background:-
The current line of questioning from certain members reminds me of a post by a ‘Sharmaji’ years ago on this forum. It was around the time India signed for its AWACS – He proudly announced and aggressively argued that by 2010 – IAF will fly with impunity over Pakistan ala Isreal over Gaza / West Bank. Me thinks not.
I think the concerns of current members about PAF’s ability to maintain detterance are even more misplaced than his — all that time ago.
Which AESA PAF ‘lining up’? As for PAK FA, two most advanced aviation industries ie USA and Russia took so many years to develop fighters like F-22 and PAK FA, now from which country do you expect to emerge one?
MCD is good enough but there you need something for deterrence. Against Eurofighter you may field any number of Rafale or against F-22 you can feild PAK FA, so that there are chances of win.
As for FC-20 AESA — ‘lining up’ please read up on Paf Cheifs latest interviews with AFM – I think we can trust this source-no?? Currently Chinese type but potentialy western sourced.
From which countrywill counter to PAK FA come?? I’ll let you take a stab in the dark —- its very obvious if you just try— see if you can get it correct.
With regards detterance to Eurofighter / Rafale – I believe FC-20 will be sufficent for this. If you resent my view please read up on the view of independant sources on how capable the ‘J10B’ is likely to be.
FC -20 with Aesa is as good as a paper configuration …
It will be quite a few years till the FC -20 reaches Pakistan … And there is still no certainty if its the A or the B version ..Just like the PAKFA is some way off, this FC-20 with AESA is also some way off..
It would be interesting from your comments to know how the AESA equipped FC-20 would be a suitable opponent for jets like the Eurofighter, Super Hornet or the Rafale …
Are you saying that the Pakistan has a 5th generation fighter in the works to counter the PAKFA ?
As per PAF cheif — induction of FC-20 AESA = 2014-2015 — when exactly will India induct PAK FA?? or even the fighter it is doing lengthy trials for at the moment??
He also states it will come with AESA — but you think its still unclear whether it will be the A or B version???!
Read again what I said about a counter to the PAK FA in previous post – if you are confused – I’ve read it again and it seems quite sraight forward to me.